Bearish reversal?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3141
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.3287
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.8018
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBP (British Pound)
FOMC & 800K Fewer Jobs Dragging on Dollar The dollar is under pressure, with persistent selling pressure driving it to new yearly lows across several currencies, including the pound.
A recent revision of jobs data revealed that U.S. job growth was significantly weaker than initially reported, with 818,000 fewer jobs added (for the year ending March 2024). This huge downward adjustment, the largest since 2009, indicates that the labor market cooled more rapidly than previously thought.
These revised job figures could likely intensify concerns that the Federal Reserve has been too slow in lowering interest rates.
At its July meeting, Federal Reserve officials considered the possibility of a rate cut but opted to hold off, hinting at a move in September. Markets are now pricing in a September cut, which would be the first since the emergency measures taken during the early days of the Covid crisis.
Regarding the labor market, “many” officials noted that “reported payroll gains might be overstated,” which means that the Federal Reserve might be ahead of the rest of us, and exactly where it wants to be regarding timing the rate cuts.
1:10 RR Sell Setup for GBPCHF Core Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts
Based on the Smart Money Concepts methodology, the following analysis has been conducted:
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: H4
Swing Structure:
The current swing structure is bearish with a perfect Break of Structure (BOS). Inducement has been taken, and the corrective swing move is almost complete.
A Breaker Block (BB) Point of Interest (POI) area shows weakness in the internal structure, making it a critical zone.
The POI BB & Fair Value Gap (FVG) are identified at the initial level of the Premier zone of the impulsive swing.
Support: The previous support has now become resistance after the breakout, making this area a key Change in Polarization (CIP).
Pattern:
🟢 Chart Patterns:
No significant chart patterns have formed to support this move yet. However, it’s important to wait and observe what happens when the price reaches the level.
🟢 Candle Patterns:
The "Inside: Narrow Range 4" pattern is intact. The breakout from this pattern will determine the next short or initial move.
Volume:
🟢 Significant volume was observed at the lowest level of the swing, but there was no volume during the corrective move. This lack of volume indicates a lack of interest from bulls in the current move. Most players are still interested in selling, as the bearish trend remains strong.
Momentum RSI:
🟢 The market is currently in a bearish to sideways zone. There is no sign of a range shift, but the RSI line has taken resistance at the 60 level multiple times, indicating selling momentum is still present.
Volatility Bollinger Bands:
🟢 Contraction is fully in form, and after the breakout, the next move in volatility will be decided. Given the current bearish trend, another volatile bearish move is expected.
Strength ADX:
The ADX is currently neutral, indicating no clear strength dominance from either bulls or bears at this moment.
Rating: ⭐⭐⭐
This setup is rated as a 50/50 probability due to the neutral ADX and lack of supporting chart patterns, indicating a balanced risk.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H4
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bearish
☑️ POI: Breaker Block
💡 Decision: Sell limit
🚀 Entry: 1.1172
✋ Stop loss: 1.1240
🎯 Take profit: 1.0507
😊 Risk to reward Ratio: 10 RR
🕛 Expected Duration: 10 days
SUMMARY:
This analysis suggests a cautious bearish setup with an entry at 1.1172, a stop loss at 1.1240, and a take profit target at 1.0507. The risk-to-reward ratio is 10:1, and the expected duration for the trade is around 10 days. The lack of volume during the corrective move, resistance at the RSI level, and intact Narrow Range pattern suggest a probable continuation of the bearish trend. However, the setup carries a balanced risk due to the neutral ADX and lack of clear supporting patterns. Monitoring the price action as it reaches the POI is crucial for confirming the trade's viability.
GBPCHF Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPCHF for a buying opportunity around 1.10300 zone, GBPCHF was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.10300 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bearish drop?The Cable (GBP/USD) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could fall to the 1st support which acts as an overlap support.
Pivot: 1.3044
1st Support: 1.2939
1st Resistance: 1.3106
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Buy GBP/CAD Bullish Pennant The GBP/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bullish Pennant pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 1.7705, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.7763
2nd Support – 1.7796
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Buy GBP/CHF Bullish PennantThe GBP/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bullish Pennant pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 1.1195, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.1273
2nd Support – 1.1301
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Bearish reversal?GBP/CAD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.77176
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.78211
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.76227
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBP/CHF BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the GBP/CHF pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 1.084 level.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GBP/CHF Cup and Handle ready to rally to 1.1737Cup and Handle has formed on the 4 hour chart.
We do need the price to close above the 20 and 200MA to make it a high probability analysis..
But all in all, it's bullish and the chart is looking up.
We also have an uptrend (Safety line) in Check showing momentum is up.
Target 1.1737
Bearish drop?GBP/CAD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 88% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.77176
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 88% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.78211
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.76227
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
R2F Weekly Analysis - 18th August 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. I'm going to go through various assets/markets, and give a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what I'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
- R2F
Gbpusd watching for pullbacks ideally for longHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Watching for a pullback to long. daily chart it has hold on to the uptrend line, last few days momentum was to the bull side. Looking at setups for long on this. Also for Eurusd.
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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Disclaimers:
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How to track the US dollar's direction?A lowering of U.S. interest rates may be necessary, but the downside risk is a weaker USD. And a significantly weaker dollar may cause inflation to creep back up again.
Today, I will share a little hack on how to track and preempt the U.S. dollar’s direction.
To conclude:
Long-term - Down
Mid-term - Range to a breaking point
Currencies Futures and Options
Minimum fluctuation:
0.00005 per AUD increment = $5.00
0.00005 per CAD increment = $5.00
0.00005 CHF increment = $6.25
0.000050 per Euro increment = $6.25
0.0001 per GBP increments = $6.25
0.0000005 per JPY increment = $6.25
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
EURGBP to find buyers at market price?EURGBP - Intraday
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
We look to buy dips.
Daily signals are bullish.
20 1day EMA is at 0.8517.
We look for a temporary move lower.
We look to Buy at 0.8515 (stop at 0.8491)
Our profit targets will be 0.8575 and 0.8590
Resistance: 0.8535 / 0.8550 / 0.8575
Support: 0.8528 / 0.8515 / 0.8500
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GBP/AUD is going to drop around 1.93(8/16/2024)After completing a 5-wave EW impulse pattern, GBP/AUD correction has been started around the 2.00 zone. since then the price dropped until reached 1.933 where the previous resistance exists (which made it into support after breaking).
Yesterday, after releasing good fundamental data from AUD, the price started to drop again from 1.94100.
We believe the price will be going to make a new low and eventually reach 1.93.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
If you like it then Support us by Like, Following, and Sharing.
Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?GBP/CHF is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.12961
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.14601
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.11326
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.