Gamestop
GME Seeing Heavy Support, Will we see a Retest of 300+?After a near 50% crash over just 5 days, GameStop (GME) is seeing heavy support at the 21 day EMA, and we're back at a 222 handle. My play here would be to exclusively short GME when we see the upper band of the flag tested near 300+. But, to be honest, with risk so incredibly sporadic, and flows (and price) essentially blurred by MM and Fed manipulation, I'm staying away from GME until I see another massive rally. Then my plan would be to short back to sub 250's...
A little further down to goThere is a CwH that will complete in the next few days or so. It will also be consistent with an established trendline and the Gann Fan I've been using with great success to track the price action.
I'm very bullish on GME. There are more short positions than there is stock, so all we have to do is wait and this thing can go up as much as there is money in the coffers of the shorters and their insurance. Strange but true.
$GME - Support TimeAnd again the shorter whale has used 1 million XRT shares and 100k to dump on GME longs. Doesn't matter.
Trend:
-Check out the trendlines and see the obvious support at the red line.
-Check the resistance at the top blue line.
Where are we going next? That's right, $350 is the new bottom, ~$600 could be the new range.
New Range:
Going into the new $350-600 range has implications of it's own though, this is the area the hedgies will feel the most pain. We've seen this from their attempt to unpin the price from $350 last week (close to getting margin called) and their further attempt this week with the attack today on the 15'th to further unpin the price from $260.
The first unpinning must have been a 100% attack. The second unpinning may have been a friendly whale (or not) putting us in the oversold RSI area and giving reddit apes their much wanted juicy dip (Not that they'd need a dip to buy GME) especially with their stimmy check arriving in 2 days. It's estimated that ~3 billion worth of stimulus money will be going into GME and you can bet the other side of the trade is doing their damn best in both legal and illegal ways to make people think that their stimulus has no effect.
HODL
Don't be fooled by cheap HF tactics. If you're buying GME, you're not buying a normal stock. Adding a stop loss is a guaranteed way to get burned with the wild "volatility" swings (really just HF doing very illegal stuff because retail doesn't just all dump 10 mil shares on the exact same 1 minute on the 10'th of March)
GME will swing wildly up and down. Don't buy it if you expect only ups and can't handle 50% loss or can't buy the dips. Don't try and swing trade GME, you'll get burned. If you're ready to make big bucks with GME, the only strat is to buy, hold and buy the dips.
Get ready to be shaken by the insane HF tactics, Fear Uncertainty and Doubt (FUD) being spready by all media like Yahoo Finance, Barrons, Market Watch, CNBC, E-Toro Social and tons of other places. Don't ingest media regarding GME from normal news outlets as they're all blatantly lying and misreporting on the truth.
I suggest visiting: www.reddit.com
This is where real research is being done.
Going bananasAMC isn't getting as much institutional attention, and I think it's going to make a lot of people rich.
My prediction is a pullback at around 18 to 22, and then it'll really blow.
Similar to GME, there will be some dirty tricks to short ETFs that hold AMC shares, dark pool fuckery, all the stuff we've seen them do with GME already (and continue to). They can't do anything about the shares that retail investors refuse to sell, however. That's the word around the campfire and there just isn't a solution for that. If people buy and hold the people shorting eventually lose and have to buy in.
Gamestop Reckoning Part 1. VolumeAs the community of traders reckons with many a crazed new-comer and their love of gamestop GME and AMC we have to be glad that people are being more and more interested in trading. However, for many of us, trading isn't to make a statement: it isn't to make a point, to stick it to someone or to prove how resolute you are.
For me at least, trading is the end result of an exciting process of creative research, imaginative planning and positioning, using algorithms that I've written to try to get a well-timed entry, and the satisfaction of not worrying about each pricepoint thereafter -- knowing that
I like the stock because of the sub-industry position in our future as a society
I like the stock because of the particular company's financials relative to any similar sub-industry member
I feel that management, both based on metrics and intuition from listening to the researchers, COO, CEO, CTOs at the company actually believe in what they are doing.
I feel that the timing is right from a technical perspective, relative to events, from an industry-cyclic standpoint, and broader market threats.
Thus, in summary, my "advice" to anyone would be: buy a stock because you find it compelling, you can imagine what they do 5 years from now and its more than what they do now, you know the company is healthy, there aren't many threats, and you wouldn't be upset if it lost 10% because you are confident in its future. .
If you feel this way about GME, then that's great. But its unlikely that you will make it through the above points without a bit of heartburn -- especially given the following: EARNINGS COME NEXT WEEK . This is a time to ask yourself the following question: what is a fair price? Did 100% gain exceed your fair price? How about 500%? I'll leave that to you.
Today lets look at GME's Volume using the OBV Correlation Indicator.
The OBV Correlation Indicator can be set to correlate with any reference. I've chosen QQQ
Secondarily the direction of chart stock's OBV is encoded with color: So if the histogram is negative AND red this means the correlation is negative and the obv direction is downward for GME.
Lastly price correlation is encoded with a line, and price direction with color. Thus a negative red line means the price directions are also anti-correlated and price is downward.
In the case of GameStop we see the natural pre-earnings pattern.
A lower price correlation than usual to the broader market
A lower volume correlation than usual to the broader market.
But we see something else here. We see accelerating negative correlation in Obv of GME and the index as well as obv oscillator decreasing at an increasing rate.
This is all one moment in time. However we have to remember earnings are about rectification: rectifying the price with perception, rectifying expectation with guidance, and also rectifying expectation with position --- i.e., a time to take profits.
Ask yourself this: Do you see whatever will be said by management as being something to sustain a 1,000% increase in price? Do you imagine a buyout would be offered at 1,000% its price at last earnings?
This week: Watch the relative volumes, watch the decoupling of volume and price using this indicator (OBV correlation indicator), and if you are holding GME, consider looking like a genius and selling now.
[STOCKS] The Technicals Behind GameStop (GME) #3Hello everyone, this is an update of my previous trading plans for GameStop. I discovered this stock back in November 2020 with the help of r/wallstreetbets. I've tried to apply the technicals almost at every point, even though this market acts insanely irrational.
It's very important, especially for beginner traders, to enter a trade at the lowest point possible and not during a pump.
You won't have a trading plan and you won't know where to take profit. So you will end up holding bags.
Luckily, the price of the GameStop stock made a return with an inital movement. I've entered another trade with a buy-in at $42 with a take-profit order at $150 (and another one at $420,69). We had a great risk/reward ratio here, but this one wasn't easy to spot.
I personally did not expect the price to move past the $200 mark but it did. This is a good sign for those who like the risk.
We can see that the price is moving towards previous highs, where sellers appear on the market. Most of them try to sell their bags to break even or they take profit in an obvious risky trade.
I personally don't trade this stock anymore. There are many more other opportunities in the market.
Please always consider to got to a casino an take the 50/50 - red/black chance. You might be more successful :-)
cheers,
Ares
GME next week - A smooth-brained ape evolves a wrinkle.As I sat here nibbling on my crayon, I developed an itch I couldn't scratch ... for it was on the inside of my head. It was not like anything that ever happened before, so I wrote it all down for you to read. Please tell me, am I evolving? Or, can I go back to my crayons.
A tale of Apes, a Moonshot, and Hedgef*ckery.
The week started out well. With a quickness of pace akin to swinging from trees, a new breakout event sent apes into a flurry of excitement and pounding their chests. But, alas as often occurs, an evilness descended upon the zoo.
On Wednesday (03/10) hedgebastards attempted to destroy price at lunch (when they know retail peeps are away from their accounts). This is their way. They failed. Yeah, price collapsed and wiped-out stops. But, the diamond handed apes bought the dip, beat them back, and laughed as they ate more bananas.
What the hedgies didn't get were the apes DRIVING the car called Misery. Our car Misery, doesn't have GME brakes (stops) for EXACTLY THIS REASON. After all they tried to achieve what happened? They faceplanted right in the road. Apes kept on keepin' on and drove Misery right over that shiny crown of a speedbump toward recovery - roughly 2/3 of the pain and suffering inflicted. Better yet, price stabilized.
Their efforts also had a side effect: SSR = Short Sale Restrictions. SSRs went into effect IMMEDIATELY and were set to continue for the entire next day. (Their idea was to let the market settle and think things were safe. Then, hammer it again on Friday.)
Oopsie, it seems a big fat whale saw what was going on and, with a soft touch, nudged the price down 10% again. Shucks, SSR extended to EoW. Sucks to be a hedgie restricted to selling shorts at market value, not 100s below.
Now, we're into the weekend. So, what I here you say. Markets are closed you say. What recent newsworthy financial event just occurred? Hmmmm, American Recuse Act? Yeppers. That's $1400 going into non-savvy accounts. And, yeah, they will see $GME adding 70% over a week, $158 to $270 (time of writing). FOMO.
Here's what I see.
(It's my first time but, if I've done this right, this is on my chart.)
02/24 1st Breakout event, open-ended.
03/05 2nd Breakout event, open-ended.
03/10 3rd Breakout event, closed-ended. (both versions)
My read:
Scenario #1
That $1400 is already priced in to the stock. This forms a convergence event (CE#1) this Monday.
The suckers have their money and start flushing it into the stock during early trading on Monday. This means I'll be watching what happens closely for further indications of what to do.
Hedgebastards will want to ensure even late-comers have the opportunity to get that money in during lunchtime. Then, they wipe-out all the protective stops the n00bs placed. (Not being mean, I was one too. It's a perfectly fine mechanism and ABSOLUTELY what THEY should do.) I imagine, around end-of-day (2-3ET), there will be at least one stop run (maybe two).
Scenario #2
That $1400 is NOT already priced into the stock. This forms a convergence event (CE#2) on Wednesday 03/17.
Refer to Scenario #1 for the rest of the story.
Play for next week! $BRQSBitcoin and crypto tech companies are on fire lately and with a lot of upside potential from the millenual day traders and wsb AUTISTS we can see a huge push from this company that associates the keywords of
Android devices and cryptocurrency transactions and systems.
$BRQS
Clearly upwardLots of talk across the subs and social media etc about a launch, and some interesting discussion about the cup w handle pattern. The CwH may pan out, but there are some loose requirements that this pattern doesn't fulfill. We'll see if that's in the cards. Also, that would translate to something like 700/share or something to that effect if it follows the "normal" run of the CwH. Given the potential this has from the unbelievably painful place the HFs are in, I expect it to go much much higher. Maybe it'll get to the 700 area and retrace a little then go back up? Who knows.
In the chart here I saw that there's a very consistent upward trend line showing the way to reasonable expectations for the price action. It may prove more accurate in the long term.
I'm long the stock and have no doubt that we'll see some completely bonkers returns, but as far as a timeline I'll leave that to the dreamers. No way of telling for sure. All I know is, at some point, the shorters are gonna have to pay the piper. If they don't it will have devastating repercussions on the American free market, and the world market as a whole. No one will trust the American market for a very long time and the long-term losses will be astronomical. It will effectively tell the world that democracy and free markets are dead.
I have trouble believing the government would pass up the opportunity to collect all those tax dollars from all us knuckle-dragging, poo-flinging primates once we drain the HFs, anyway. But, given what complete turncoat, lying mfers they've been we can only hope they'll play by the rules that got us all into this whole thing.
Either way, hodl me hearties. Hodl. It's worth my money to make them sweat.
NEVER FORGET 2008.
ENDGAME - GAMESTOP - $GME - PT: 2000I believe that with GME... We are witnessing a complete failure of the MM to control the SP... A true free market.
It appears that the squeeze has not been squoze...
Retail Impulse Wave 3 is coming.. You must hedge in the "real" market.
I have forecasted that SPY will correct in Mar-Apr. and institutional liquidation due to another impulse wave in the BANG stocks will cause this...
Vlad Tenev admitted that they were about to have a liquidity issue during Wave 1.
The sharks smell blood in the water and they will pounce again... even harder this time.
Do not underestimate this... traditional investors.
TECHNICAL VIEW:
- The beauty is that without algorithmic pressure... it is possible to have PERFECT Elliot Motive Waves... See my previous forecasts on the BANG Stocks.
- Wave 3 PT: 765
- Wave 5 PT: 2000