Fxtrading
Sell Trade Setup On GBPAUDHey Traders,
Obviously GBPAUD is madly bullish on 1D, 4H and 1H! No single doubt about that.
However, on 30Min TF, it just broke structure, and that is very important cos 30Min is the fractal TF 4H and 1D traders uses in executing their trades, but that is not the show!
On 1W TF, the price is trending in a Symmetrical Triangle, and that spiky s**t we saw last week made the retest of the upper band trendline active, now the rule of Symmetrical Triangle is that, it can either go up or down, but we are talking about Weekly TF here so a lot of things can happen fractalizing the TF, you can sell, and Buy.
Breaking the market down to 30min, it just showed a very spiky Head and Shoulder pattern and the retest of the neckline just got triggered, i am looking to sell it down to retesting the Trendline, then wait if there is going to be a BOT of not.
Who Moves the Forex Market | Forex Market Players
Forex is the largest market in the world, with the tremendous daily trading volumes and millions of market participants.
In this educational article, we will discuss who moves that market and who are its 6 the most significant players.
1. Governments
Governments tend to set economic goals and influence the markets with their political decision. They define the course of their nations, issuing policies and imposing regulations.
2. Central banks
Central banks implement the decisions of the governments, applying multiple instruments:
Central banks control the emission of the money, shifting the supply and demand.
They control interest rates and define the credit policies.
Central banks control the international trade and sustain the exchange rates of the national currencies by interventions and handling the foreign currencies and gold reserves.
3. Commercial banks
Commercial banks handle the international transactions.
Over 70% of total Forex Market transactions directly refers to the actives of commercial banks.
Commercial banks are also involved in speculation activities, benefiting from market fluctuations by relying on various strategies.
4. Corporations
Corporation is the business that operates in multiple countries.
With the constant capital flow between its branches and counterparts, corporations are permanently involved in a currency exchange.
Also, corporations usually hedge currency risks, storing their liquidity in particular currencies.
5. Investment funds
By investment funds, we imply the international or domestic professional money management companies. Dealing with hundreds of millions of investments, they quite often are operating on Forex market, buying foreign assets, speculating and hedging.
6. Retail traders
The main goal of retails traders and speculators is to make short terms profits from their transactions on the market.
Typically, the activities of traders constitute a relatively small portion of total trading volumes.
Knowing which forces move the forex market, you can better understand how it works. The spot prices that you see on the charts reflect the sentiment of all the above-mentioned participants.
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USDJPY Long Setup, looking strongGood morning fellow Traders!
I have been tracking the YENUSD pair with great interest in recent weeks as we have been rebounding from its local low. The pair has a beautiful long-term trend on the higher timeframes, setting the direction I have been looking to trade.
We are currently sitting in a sweet spot, the price has been consolidating around 130-137, however, as soon as we have left this range in the past, volatility has kicked in, both ways. We have broken through the high of 137 two days ago, making the idea very plausible and easy to understand.
This is my Game Plan:
- Clean push above 137
- Pullback onto 137 area, preferably seeing a pullback down to 136.8
- Consolidation on the red line, smooth prices needed here
- No big slippage into the box, staying around the red line
- Trigger signal once price starts to recover between 137 to 137.2
- Entry upon jumping out of the box
This trend setup looks very strong because the higher timeframes support the direction we are trading in.
Make sure to follow my Tradingview for more ideas and check out my BNB short post, we are in profits!
Thanks for tuning in and let me know if you liked the video in the comments below.
Many thanks.
TraderCH
The Winning Formula..Hey Traders,
You'll have seen on my prev editors pick we looked to short USDJPY.
It tumbled enormously. But, as we predicted it comes back up for RE entries on shorts. Where you re enter short is incredibly important; too early and you will lose money, too late and you will lose money. The sweet spot comes when you trade 'factual price' levels and what is real to you and me. Within this is following the natural flow of a market.
That means, when you rebound up on longside trades you are looking to rebound down on short side trades. But these short side trades are not one trade, they are a series of trades following the new trending market, as you can see we have here. Entry 1 gives you gain 1,entry 2 gives you gain 2. This can be followed until ultimately you reach key PA levels for longs.
That's because your bias must change once the validity of the market direction is no more. In other words, the low price is too low to short.
Trade with a plan.
USDCAD DAILY OUTLOOKLooking at the W1 of the USDCAD, price is obviously bullish and when you go down to the D1 there is a strong demand zone there where i am anticipating a long time BUYS. Price is likely to sell from where it is currently but i need more confirmations from LTF before i take my shot. Lets see how it goes. Trade smart always.
Will the NZDUSD be able to hit the 0.70 lvl this Year?This pair is one of my top focuses for this year and I almost let it slip by. After conducting my R/A this weekend I came to find out that the New Zealand economy might start over heating and the RBNZ is possibly going to be in a position to keep rising rates. The RBNZ is looking to raise rates to around 5.5% (at least that is what is projected). The data on New Zealand is:
Annual GDP: 6.4% and ranging
Unemployment: 3.4% and declining
Wage Growth: 4.3% and rising
Inflation Rate: 7.2% and rising
Industrial Production: 16.1% and rising
Manufacturing PMI: 50.8 and ranging
Retail Sales: -4% and declining
Housing Index: 186.2791 and declining
The technicals are also showing a double bottom and a descending wedge which adds to the probability that price might push higher.
Sentiment is also pushing more towards neutral for the USD as there are starting to be increased talks about the FED slowing down on interest rate hikes and being more dovish.
The Fundamentals, Technicals, and Sentiment are lining up which push my conviction lvl around the 60% lvl which got me to start planning on how to build a decent position on this pair. I have a position on this pair already at 10k (I am look to build to a standard lot for now).
This is what I am look at. If price stays above the 0.60 lvl, then it is highly likely that price will push higher. If price pushes below the 0.60 lvl by the end of March, then I don't think I am wrong, but I would think that I was too early. I would take my loss and retrograde for now and then come back in. My objective is to build a position up on the NZD before the 0.65 lvl (possibly around the 0.63 lvl, if lower, that would be ideal). If I am able to get into a full position before the 0.65 lvl, see price push higher to 0.68, and place a stop around the 0.65 lvl, I would be in a good spot to just hold onto the NZD and see if it pushes up higher.
If this doesn't work, like always, back to the drawing board to update my plan accordingly. But I think this is a high probability trade that will last for a while.
Like always, these are my thoughts and this is how I trade. Please come up with you own plans and ideas and ways to trade. This can be extremely risky and with the uncertainty in the markets, I could potentially blow up my account if I am not careful. Y'all have some great trading out there.
SasanSeifi 💁♂️ USD/CHF 1H ⏭ 0.92500/0.92200 ? ❗❗HI TRADERS ✌
The Possible USDCHF scenarios are marked in the chart .We can expect that the price will be corrected to the range of 0.92500/0.92200. The possibility of a positive reaction from the range of 0.92500/0.92200 can be considered. Otherwise, if the low price stabilizes at the level of 0.92200, we may see further correction. We have to see how the price will react to the specified range of demand and orderblock
The supply Zone is 0.93200/0.93500.
If the price penetrates above the range of 0.93500, the desired scenario will be fielded.
❎ (DYOR)...⚠⚜
WHAT DO YOU THINK ABOUT THIS ANALYSIS? I will be glad to know your idea 🙂✌
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SasanSeifi💁♂️AUD/NZD.6H UPDATE🔥😍✅ 127 PIP HI TRADERS ✌As you can see, according to the scenario, the price was able to correct about 127 pips up to the correction target range of 1.087/1.084🔥✌. It is currently trading in the range of 1.084. We can expect a positive reaction from the range of demand zone.It should be seen how the price will react to the specified ranges. Otherwise, if the price penetrates below the range of 1.074 and stabilizes, the possibility of further correction can be considered.
❎ (DYOR)...⚠⚜
What Do you think about this analysis? I will be glad to know your idea 🙂✌
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'Trade Like A Casino', The Hidden SecretHey Guys!
This cropped up on my desk recently and I thought it's so essential for Traders to understand.
You hear the term 'Trade like a casino' often thrown around the Trading space. It normally refers to essentially taking in more than you lose.
But in reality beneath the surface, there's way more to it than that and it's incredibly relevant in your Trading plan.
Watch to learn more valuable lessons.
🐻 AUDUSD Bearish Trend 📉📉 AUDUSD has been showing a bearish trend, with price action indicating a potential downward movement. Technical indicators support the bearish view, with the RSI and MACD both showing a bearish divergence. 📉 Traders may want to consider short positions with appropriate risk management strategies in place.
Like and share the idea if it's helpful.
How Sentiment Impacts TradingAs we have looked over the EURUSD lately its important to reflect on the why, how and what we are looking for in the future.
(This would be a video, but I've had a load of mouth injections at the dentist)...
So you can how the market rebounds towards our PRE-Determined short zone..
Some of you will remember WELL when I said the sentiment HAS to change and it will come thumping down.
Well, that's exactly what's happened.
The sentiment twists once again and we look for prices to fall so we can RE long.
Look to lightly RE long as labelled 1.046 Area (risk averse Traders)
This coincides with various TECH factors and allows you to see a very valid long zone.
Looking for next week to assess movement and/or risk / entry / exit.
See you soon!
USDJPY: Waiting For a Breakout 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY is testing a solid horizontal daily resistance.
If the price breaks and closes above 134.5 - 135.5 area,
it will push the market much higher.
The next goal for buyers will be 137.6 level.
I will post an update on Monday in case of a confirmed violation.
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DXY UPDATEDXY has finally started to make the bullish continuation I have been projecting for a number of weeks, however since the lift of psychological level 100. Price made a Bullish BOS and an impulsive move, I am expecting a retracement on the USD soon and a new HL to form.
Remember if dollar retraces this will have an opposite effect on RISK.
EURUSD: Key Levels to Watch Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Hey traders,
Here are the important key levels for you to watch next week on EURUSD.
Resistance 1: 1.099 - 1.014 area
Resistance 2: 1.08 - 1.085 area
Support 1: 1.048 - 1.052 area
Consider these structures for pullback / breakout trading.
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CNY responds beautifully to Technical AnalysisSpot the 4 patterns. With Dollar Index (DXY) plotted below for comparison.
It's a shame the USD/CNY can't serve as a leading indicator for USD-pairs, but its analysis shows you WHEN to enter the USD-market, long or short, and catch the big waves.
The most notable are the periods of sideways trading. Looking at USD/CNY, those are really calm and composed, while DXY is shouting and screaming as it were.