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USOIL / TRADING IN SENSITIVE AREA / 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Price Context: • The price is currently trading within a supply zone defined by the levels of 72.30 and 71.47. This suggests that there is significant selling pressure in this range. Scenario Analysis: • First Scenario (Bullish): If the price breaks above the supply zone (specifically, if a 4-hour candle opens above this range), it is expected to rise towards a higher supply zone between 75.37 and 76.16. This indicates a bullish outlook if the resistance level is overcome. • Second Scenario (Bearish): If the price breaks below the supply zone, it suggests a decline towards a demand line around 69.66, with potential further drops to levels at 68.12 and 66.78. This indicates a bearish outlook if the support level is broken. General Market Condition: • The overall sentiment is described as being under “upward pressure,” suggesting that, despite the current resistance, there is a prevailing bullish trend or sentiment in the market.
TVC:USOILLong
by ArinaKarayi
EURUSD / TRADING UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE / 4HEURUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Movement to Supply Zone (1.092 - 1.095): • Prices are attempting to reach a supply zone between 1.092 and 1.095. This level acts as potential resistance where sellers may enter, potentially halting further upward movement. Potential Decline to Demand Zone (1.085 - 1.083): • If prices face resistance near 1.092 - 1.095, they might pull back to the demand zone between 1.085 and 1.083. This demand zone represents a level of support where buyers might enter, stabilizing prices. Outlook if Prices Stabilize Above 1.085 - 1.083: • Stabilization above this demand zone suggests an opportunity for prices to increase. The next target is another supply zone between 1.101 and 1.104, which could act as a new resistance level. Risk of a Decline if Demand Zone is Broken: • If prices break below the demand zone (1.085 - 1.083), it signals potential for further decline to a lower demand zone (1.079 - 1.076). A break below 1.076 would likely confirm a downtrend. Trend Confirmation Based on Zone Breaks: • Breaking the supply zone (1.092 - 1.095) would signal an uptrend, while a break below the demand zone (1.079 - 1.076) would confirm a downtrend.
Long
by ArinaKarayi
BIPI Buy Position1. Trend Confirmation: Identified a Change of Character by the break of the previous high at 81, indicating a reversal in market sentiment and a new bullish trend. 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG): On the Weekly chart, identified Fair Value Gap between 69 - 71. 3. Trade Execution Entry Price: 74 ( Engulfing Candle on 5 Nov 24) SL: 66 (FVG) TP1: 110 (1.618 Fibbo) Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:4.5 Monitoring: Check-in daily closing price 4. Outcome: Exit Price: Profit/Loss: pips ------------- Disclaimer The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
IDX:BIPILong
by Phoenix-Rise-Trade
XAUUSD / OVERALL UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Market Movement: • Prices initially dropped to a buy zone at around $2,728, where a buying opportunity was identified. • After reaching this zone, the price increased, securing a profit of 145 pips. Price Retesting and Stabilizing: • The price is currently retesting the $2,728 level. • If the price stabilizes above this level, it indicates potential upward momentum. Upward Targets: • If prices hold above $2,728, the next target range is a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $2,756 and $2,772. This gap suggests potential for further gains if it’s reached and surpassed. Demand zone and Downward Risks: • If prices break below $2,728, they may fall to $2,710. • Should prices decline below $2,710, further drops are expected, with a potential support or “demand zone” between $2,688 and $2,672. Overall Market Sentiment: • Despite potential downward corrections, the market remains under bullish pressure, indicating that the primary trend remains upward for now.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
XRP Scalping-Day trading HIGH RISKHigh Risk BINANCE:XRPUSDT XRP appears likely to respect the daily bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap), and it's rare to see such setups on this asset. Given this unique opportunity, I’ve decided to enter, aiming to close the trade around the Intermediate Term High (ITH). This is a straightforward setup: stop-loss placed at the swing low, as a break there could indicate a move to seek liquidity at lower levels. Target profit is set in the premium zone.
Long
by Jaytradermb
2
BTC Swing LongPotential for a Strong Bullish Move 📈 BINANCE:BTCUSDT Based on current price action, I believe we may be heading into a significant bullish leg. Here’s why: Bullish Arguments: Previous Month Low (PML) is being disregarded. Previous Month High (PMH) is being disregarded. Previous Week Low (PWL) is being disregarded. Previous Day Low (PDL) is being disregarded. 4H swing high is being ignored. 4H swing low is being disregarded. The only bearish point to note: Previous Week High (PWH) is still respected. Trade Management: Once we hit the first Equal High (EQH) around 68K, I’ll move my Stop Loss to Break Even (BE) and manage the trade towards the final target.
Long
by Jaytradermb
2
XAUUSD / OVERALL UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Gold is trading under bullish pressure despite a recent pullback of 2.09%. This suggests that while there’s short-term weakness, the overall trend is still upward. The analysis identifies a demand zone between $2,735 and $2,728, with a possibility for a dip to $2,710, which could serve as another support level. Should prices stabilize here, a bullish continuation is likely. If gold fails to hold above $2,728 on a 4-hour closing basis, a further decline toward the next demand zone between $2,688 and $2,672 may be anticipated. An initial upward target lies in the fair value gap (FVG) between $2,756 and $3,772. Above this, the analysis notes supply zones between $2,782 and $2,790, with an all-time high (ATH) of $2,810 as the next major resistance. The strategy is a combination of support-resistance testing and close monitoring of 4-hour candles. Stabilizing above the lower zones suggests a bullish rebound, while a failure could lead to extended declines.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
USDJPY / OVERALL UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE / 4HUSD JPY 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Supply Zone (154.685 - 154.975), This range is seen as a resistance level where the price might struggle to break above, as sellers are likely to dominate. If the price stabilizes in this zone, it suggests that a reversal could occur, potentially leading to a decline. Potential Decline to Demand Zone (150.331 - 149.075) , If the price reverses from the supply zone, the expectation is that it could drop to the demand zone, where buying pressure is higher, and the price might find support. Downtrend Confirmation , For a confirmed downtrend, prices would need to break below the demand zone, signaling strong selling pressure and possibly more declines. Uptrend Confirmation (157.135 - 157.873) , Conversely, if prices can break above the supply zone, it would signal a potential uptrend. The target in this case would be the next resistance zone, around 157.135 to 157.873.
Short
by ArinaKarayi
NAS100USD / TRADING UNDER EARNING Q3 / 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Initial Achievement , Prices have reached a target with a profit of +350 pips, indicating successful movement in the predicted direction. Current Trading Range , Prices are currently within a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 20,549 and 20,410. An FVG is an area where liquidity may exist, so prices might experience some consolidation here. If prices break below 20,146 (the demand line) and hold there, this would likely confirm a downtrend , A demand line often indicates support, where buyers might step in to prevent further drops. Stabilizing within the FVG (above 20,410) suggests potential to reach 20,820 and further to 20,968 , If prices stabilize above the demand line, this would indicate strength and could push prices towards the target. Overall Sentiment , The analysis concludes with an upward pressure bias, suggesting the analyst anticipates more bullish movement despite potential consolidation zones.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by ArinaKarayi
9
Trading NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 28/10/2024 Last week highlighted the importance of a risk management plan for all traders using the Judas swing strategy as a case study. The strategy produced two trades on FX:GBPUSD and one on $EURUSD. Despite facing two losses and securing only one win, proper risk management ensured that the single win offset the losses, allowing us to end the week at breakeven. With these results in hand, we were excited to see what the upcoming week would bring. We got to our trading desk at 8:25EST and started our day by demarcating our trading zones. Once we have demarcated our zones, we wait for the high or low of this zone to be swept, as this will assist us in determining our bias for the trading session. After 35 minutes, the high of the zone was swept, indicating that we should look for potential selling opportunities during this trading session. Next on our checklist is to wait for a Break of Structure (BOS) on the sell side. After an hour, we observed a BOS on the sell side, which resulted in a Fair Value Gap (FVG) being formed in the process We must wait for the price to retrace back into the Fair Value Gap (FVG). A trade can only be initiated once price has entered the FVG, and it is crucial to be patient and wait for the price to close before executing any trades. This waiting period acts as a filter to avoid scenarios where the candle entering the FVG proceeds to hit our stop-loss. The next five-minute candle entered the Fair Value Gap and closed, indicating that we can proceed with executing the trade The position experienced a drawdown shortly after the trade was executed, but this did not concern us as we had only risked 1% of our trading account, targeting a 2% gain. Additionally, we implemented a minimum 10 pip stop loss to allow the trade sufficient space to fluctuate without prematurely stopping us out and then proceeding in our anticipated direction. Upon checking the position later, we found it had shifted in our favor. However, we needed to remain composed since it had not yet reached our ultimate target. Our task was simply to be patient and wait for our targets to be achieved Upon reevaluating the position, we noticed that price had returned to the entry point. At such moments, individuals who have risked more than they can afford may start to panic. That's why we continually stress the importance of only risking what you can afford to lose, as it greatly diminishes the emotional investment in trades. We have encountered situations like this before and will likely face them again. However, what remains within our control is the decision to risk only an amount we are comfortable with losing, which in turn lessens the emotional attachment to the trades. According to our data, we can anticipate being in a position for an average of 11 hours, so the duration of this trade meeting our objective is not a concern we simply need to remain patient for it to occur. After 13 hours and 25 minutes, our patience was rewarded when our Take Profit (TP) was reached, resulting in a 2% gain on the OANDA:NZDUSD trade
Education
by CleoFinance
XAUUSD / UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE TO PUSH A NEW ATH / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Price Action , Gold prices are approaching an all-time high (ATH) near $2,790. The price is now testing a demand zone between $2,756 and $2,746. If prices hold above or within this demand zone, there is potential for an upward move to the ATH of $2,790, with a possible extension to a new ATH of $2,810 if bullish momentum continues. If the price breaks below this demand zone, it could drop to the lower demand zone between $2,735 and $2,728. A decisive break below this level might confirm a downtrend. Overall Market Sentiment , Currently, the market exhibits upward pressure, with a generally bullish outlook as long as prices stabilize above or within the key demand zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
XAUUSD / OVERALL UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Trend and Demand Zone , After a price drop into a demand zone (between $2,733 and $2,727), the asset rebounded, yielding a 160-pip profit. The ongoing bullish pressure suggests further upward momentum. Targets and Supply Zones , The price aims to reach $2,750 following a retest of the demand zone. Afterward, it may push into a supply zone ($2,754 to $2,758), with potential to hit a new ATH at $2,775 if the momentum continues. Downside Risks , A breakdown below the current demand zone could indicate a decline towards a secondary demand zone ($2,722 to $2,717). A breach of this lower zone would confirm a shift to a downtrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
NAS100USD / TRADING SUPPLY ZONE / 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Situation , Prices are in a supply zone, stabilizing between 20,418 and 20,522. This suggests a consolidation phase, where prices may move sideways as buyers and sellers are in balance. Potential Decline , A possible decline could reach the demand line at 20,146. This level could act as a support, as buyers may step in if prices drop here. The analysis indicates an overall bullish pressure, as long as prices remain above the demand line. A bounce here could signal buyers gaining strength, potentially pushing prices up toward the supply line at 20,820. If the demand line at 20,146 breaks, further declines are anticipated, possibly bringing prices to a lower demand zone between 19,963 and 19,735. This scenario would suggest that bearish momentum is taking over.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by ArinaKarayi
XAUUSD / UNDER TENSTION OF THE MIDDLE EAST / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Price Movements ,The text notes that after an Israeli attack on Iran, gold prices surged, reaching an all-time high (ATH) of around $2,758. This is a typical reaction as investors often view gold as a safe-haven asset during political unrest, causing demand—and prices—to rise. Demand Zone , Between $2,739 and $2,734, this zone is where buyers may step in if prices drop, creating a potential “floor” for further increases. Supply Zone ,Between $2,754 and $2,758, this zone acts as resistance, meaning sellers may dominate here, capping short-term gains. Breaking above this level could push prices to a new ATH of $2,775. If the price breaks the supply zone ($2,754–$2,758), it may rise further, suggesting momentum toward $2,775 or beyond. If the price falls below the demand zone ($2,739–$2,734), it may decline toward the next support level between $2,722 and $2,717. Overall Trend: The text suggests that gold prices are under upward pressure, largely due to geopolitical instability, and are likely to continue rising unless key support levels are breached.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
XAUUSD /PRICES TRYING TO REACH NEW ATH / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS The price has already achieved a profit of +340 pips, signaling a strong upward trend. The fact that this movement continued after a news release suggests that market sentiment is likely driven by external factors, such as macroeconomic events or announcements. The demand zone between $2,720 and $2,711 is critical because it reflects a price area where buyers are likely to step in. Historically, demand zones are areas of strong buying interest, which halts a downtrend. The expectation is that, if the price stays above this zone, it may bounce back towards the ATH of $2,757. This would mark a retest of the resistance level, a crucial price ceiling. A move beyond $2,757, extending to $2,771, would imply a breakout. In technical analysis, a breakout from an all-time high (ATH) can lead to a new price discovery phase, where prices rise with minimal historical resistance. Traders might look to capitalize on this momentum. The break below the demand zone would indicate that buying pressure is insufficient to stop the fall, leading to a continuation of the downtrend. A potential price drop to $2,685 would signal a notable reversal in sentiment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
EURUSD Buy TradeTime Frame: - H4: FVG Identification - H1 Entry Signal 1. Trend Confirmation: Identified a Break of Structure by the break of the previous resistance at 1.0807 area, indicating a reversal in market sentiment. 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG): On the H4 chart noted a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 1.0806 - 1.0810. 3. Position: Entry : 1.0825 Stop Loss : 1.0811 Take Profit: 1.0849 RRR : 1:1,9x ------------- Disclaimer The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Long
by Phoenix-Rise-Trade
NAS100USD / UNDER EARNING Q3 / 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Upward Momentum , The NAS100USD is moving upwards, likely driven by positive sentiment or market reaction to Q3 earnings. It indicates that buyers currently dominate the market, pushing prices higher. Supply Zone (20,418 - 20,522) , This is a potential resistance area. If prices reach this zone, they may face selling pressure. If sellers overpower buyers, it could lead to a downward movement from this level. Demand Zone (19,963 - 19,753) , If prices begin to decline from the supply zone, this demand zone serves as a support area. Here, buyers might step in, leading to a potential bounce or stabilization. This level might offer a good entry for long positions if the overall trend remains bullish. Breaking the Supply Zone , If NAS100USD breaks above 20,522, it would signal a continuation of the upward trend, targeting the next supply level around 20,820. This would indicate strong buying pressure and positive momentum, likely driven by sustained optimism or robust earnings.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by ArinaKarayi
EURUSD Potential Buy?Time Frame: - H4: FVG Identification - H1 Entry Signal 1. Trend Confirmation: Identified a Break of Structure by the break of the previous resistance at 1.0807 area, indicating a reversal in market sentiment. 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG): On the H4 chart noted a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 1.0806 - 1.0810. 3. Waiting for entry signal after price touches FVG. ------------- Disclaimer The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Long
by Phoenix-Rise-Trade
4
TOBA Potential Buy1. Trend Confirmation: Identified a Change of Character by the break of the previous high at 312 & 500, indicating a reversal in market sentiment and a new bullish trend. 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG): On the Weekly chart & Daily Chart, identified Fair Value Gap between 470 - 496. 3. Trade Execution Entry Price: TBA if price entered FVG SL: 460-474 (below Daily & Weekly FVG) TP1: 1050-1070 (Fibo 161.8%) Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:8 Monitoring: Check-in daily closing price 4. Outcome: Exit Price: Profit/Loss: pips ------------- Disclaimer The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
IDX:TOBALong
by Phoenix-Rise-Trade
XAUUSD / OVERALL UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Price Behavior , Prices are trading inside a demand zone—a price range where buying interest is expected to be strong, leading to potential price increases. Today, prices have declined by 1.80%, signaling short-term weakness. A potential decline is expected to continue toward the demand line at $2,685. This level serves as support, where buyers may step in to stop further declines. If prices stabilize inside the demand zone or if a 4-hour candle opens above/inside the zone, this suggests a potential increase. In this case, the target price levels are $2,750 and $2,757, implying a bullish rebound. If prices break below the demand zone, this indicates further weakness. In this case, prices are expected to decline further toward $2,685 and possibly $2,663, suggesting a bearish continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi