Analysis, Set Up and Taking Trade Part 2Sometimes trades don't go the way we anticipated but for that reason, we have Stop Loss.
This Is one trade at the loss so far.
One more trade and I'm done regardless if I make win or lose.
Fvg
Analysis, Set Up and Taking Trade Part 1This Is part 1 on Market Analysis, Waiting for set up and taking trades.
Hope this help.
Probability for 30/11/22 I got two ideas but also there is a third one. The price might go to consolidation today and If nothing happens during London Kill Zone I might change the pair and look for setups.
$ETH - Could Long, but not yet - Below 1194 *SMT**SMT = Smart Money Theory. See Related Idea for Tuorial/Explaination on Smart Money
Keeping to the principles of SMT, There are two Redeliver-Rebalances below current market price. A redliver Rebalance is like a fair value gap except where the Wicks don't touch, a presiding wick outreaches a proceeding candle. These act as imbalances i which price seeks. We should see the price possibly move up to the bearish order bock . Why? to suck in all the buyers. Then Smart Money Takes the chart against the buyers (CHARTED HERE:
After bouncing off the bearish order block it should seek that imblanace where the Redeliver-rebalances are. It should fill the small 15 min one or just run right through it, to the second one which is near 1194. The 11 94 i also near the Smart Money Buy Zone or discount of the current "wave" (Last low before breaking and closing above the preceding high); At that point Smart Money will then buy ETH at a discount rate and should take the price higher. How much higher? I don't know because I'll need to see the price action on the way down... it could go even lower. So for the safety of my account, I'm playing it safe and only going to where I the it will travel the last furthest. It could drop and fill the R-R and hit the Bullish Order Block at 1192.68 before we see a hard bounce up again.
I have it going to that low until there until the "Crypto week/day" ends. After that it's a waiting game to see where it goes, but I still have it ultimately going as low as 860. The current -1 standard deviation of the current high/Low is actually around 804 where there's more confluence for price to reach, but playing it safe I'm thinking 860, that 804 mark where the Weekly fair value gap is below the sell side Liquidity
All we can do now is wait
Happy Trading and good luck
Again, this information comes from my observational training and mentoring under ICT.
COINBASE:ETHUSD CME:ETH1!
BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D
12hTTF,1hEC NQ 11/23 - Thanksgiving Week12h TTF, 1h EC
Looking for a bearish1h to sweep back under this RHL and go back to the green. I Do not really trust this pump over the high since my daily target has already been hit.
Invalidation is a 12h candle close over the RHL.
Happy thanksgiving all! and if there is no entry, there is no trade.
AUDUSD Projection for Week of 28 Nov - 2 Dec 2022Anticipating AUDUSD to climb up all the way to the market gap created early Monday and head up to grab the liquidity lying further above to form the high of the week either on Tuesday or Wednesday for a SELL at a premium zone.
Asian Range | Liquidity Trap | FVG & London OpenHey folks I hope you're all good and making some good untraditional profits 😉
Here is a model that you will find few days every trading week!
{Terms used in this Idea}
Asian Range:
a time span from 19:00 to 00:00 NY Time that forms every day except for Mondays.. Usually price taking of Asian Range's high or low means liquidity is taken and price "could" reverse short-term if that agrees with our daily bias..
London Open:
Time span from 02:00 to 05:00 NY Time when the market is very acrive. Price usually forms high or low of day during London Open..
FVG:
Fair value gab is a gab that forms between two candles separated by a third candle forming the gab (blue-shaded boxes on chart)
If you found that useful give it a ♥️LIKE♥️
💙Thank You💙
Glad to hear from you in comments✍️
Link is going to break the rangeI'm sure that Link will reach the blue zone around $10.00 before finding its rock bottom below $5.00.
Blue zone: take profits if you bought the dip and possible shorts.
FOMO Fear of loosing out.Moved my stop loss and you may say I did it too soon however we all know price sometimes is unpredictable.
Instead of bigger profits, I end up with smaller ones. Well, we don't dwell in the past.
Let's move on and think about another profitable setup.
Trading Day with Analysis Part 2 21/11/22This is part 2 of my trading day with analysis.
So far 2 winning trades and 1 lost.
Trading Day with Analysis Part 1 21/11/22One win and one loss but overall in the green.
This is to show how I look at price action and what makes me take the trade.
Friday Re-cap11/20/22
Slow Friday but nice movement if you were able to catch it. Here is my Friday views as well as a little preview of some scenarios that could play out for the S&P. Of course this is just my degenerate view and video is for my personal journaling, no financial advice take it with a grain if salt.
Thirsty Thursday FV Gaps11/24/2022
Some nice Fair Value Gap Entries riding it up and down. As always Blue arrows are the entries and Red arrows are the exits. Up arrows Buy/Calls while down arrows Sell/Puts.
GBPUSD Looks like cable is going long after what seems to be a market structure shift.
With an FVG and Orderblock inside a discount range we can likely see price run those areas before buying again.
LETS SEE WHAT THIS WEEK HAS TO OFFER
#analysis 95 - OB confluent with FVGA strong movement price action occurred downward. Now looking forward to a down trend on the H1 time frame. The entry is at the H1 OB which is confluent with the potential filling of the FVG. SL is above the OB & EQ, and the TP is yet to decide.
3% Take Profit.Missed one trade and got to another. Buying at almost premium.
From the moment I missed the trade, I was waiting for FVG creation. Price did retrace to FVG but consolidated for some time. It tool longer then I anticipated but in the end, everything worked out.
Please share your thoughts.
DXY LONG BIASWe saw price drop down into a weekly support level and immediately there was a rejection to the upside. Price is forming a pattern known as AMD. We should see the distribution leg very soon to the upside.
DXY LONG PREDICTIONDXY is currently sitting on a weekly support level. We saw price take out last day's low and currently we have a intraday shift in market structure. We should see higher prices from here atleast to fill the 1hr imbalance above price.
NAS100 1h Short SellI have interest in this orderblock/Supply zone. It has a great expansion or drop away from the level and it even left behind a fair value gap. But if price continues breaking swings to the downside, I will promptly lose interest in this sell set up. The drop, whether price retraces or not, is supported by the daily time frame where it seems that price is heading for a huge fair value gap to fill.
USOIL 5m Sell SetupThere is an Orderblock on the 5m with a fair value gap and a convincing expansion for me to see this as a sell opportunity. The target is just the take profit. Price can drop lower for the stack of liquidity below.
idea on a EJi have a trade on the FVG and we have some great selling pressure from NY open at 8.30am on the lower time frames.
Probability for 14/11/22 If you look at D TF and use Fib you will notice that price will continue to go down. If you drop to 1H TF then you'll see price retested to what was support and now became resistance. I'll go for small scalp Long today on 15min TF and after that, I'll go short once I get setup.
Let me know your thoughts.
Prediction for 10/11/22I think there is no rocket science, the price will go up or down. today I have difficulties predicting where the price will go. To me, I see FVG below on 4h TF and 1H TF. it looks like due to the downtrend price will go down and I do go short with a stop loss must. London Kill Zone doesn't give me much of a signal or setup at the moment. I guess that whole action will be reserved for the NY session.
Please share your thoughts.
