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2024-10-17 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Bullish spikes on all of them but markets closed mixed. All closed with a big tail above and we are where we closed yesterday. Near but still above the daily 20ema, near bull trend lines but also with bulls not strong enough to get a big breakout above with follow through. Most of the current patterns are in their last stages and the breakout will happen over the next days. I am neutral for now and scalp in both directions. dax futures comment: Big spike to new ath but also big rejection. Market is contracting inside the clear bull wedge. I doubt we get the breakout tomorrow but it could happen but next week for sure. Where will this break out to? Right now I favor another leg down to 19500ish more than a breakout above. On the daily chart it’s bullish and nothing else. I still do have my 20000 target. current market cycle: bull trend key levels: 19500 - 20000 bull case: Bulls touched 19800 and got rejected, no surprise there. Only question is how fast do will they retest that price. It’s possible that we need to sell some more to find new buyers but I do think bulls have a better chance of the blow off top if they stay above 19600. Since we are oscillating around 19700, I can’t be anything but neutral for now. Invalidation is below 19500. bear case: Bears need a daily close below 19500 to break outside the bull wedge inside the bigger bull channel on the daily chart. Volume is increasing which is better for the bears than the bulls but they can’t print one decent daily bear bar and until that changes, you simply can not be a bear here. Invalidation is above 19820. short term: Neutral. Bullish above 19820 and bearish below 19500. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-06: 3 Months left in 2024 and I do think the market is in a trading range where the upper area is around 19500 and the lower area is probably 17000 or 16000 if something bigger comes up. Since we are at the very top, I expect the market to go some sideways before trying to go down again. Not so sure about 19491 being the high, since liquidity could see a bigger increase and upside could be higher. We will likely have another 10%+ correction this year and a possible year end rally. Update 2024-10-13: Possibility of a blow-off top to 20000 is there. If we get there, it will be the short opportunity of the decade. current swing trade: None trade of the day: S elling 19800 or buying the opening breakout above 19640, which was good for 160 points.
EUREX:FDXSZ2024
by priceactiontds
A significant update on Nasdaq today Hello traders, This is a new update of the NASDAQ market after the release of the data news.Uh uh, that came uh, stagnant stable as expicted 241K, not much happened, but as you can see from the chart, the NASDAQ market really bounced.Off of the 50 moving average and went down a little to stop out traders who were putting their stop losses.Right below the 1 hour level 20300 and that is a trick that institutions, financial and money institutions and funds due in order to stay alone in the market and get rid of all the.Other traders and as I told you before, the market may go down for a correction and still move up since.There is no real impact on the market. I'm pretty sure that the target will be still the daily level that we.Talked about.Earlier, which is?Umm. 20474.And if that level is.Are broken. We should wait for a Pull back and then look for a long trade.to go and seek the next level which will be 20744.So please keep watching that level. As long as we have a bullish momentum, we should look only for a buy trade, not a sell since the four hours. the daily chart are still bullish and there is still a bullish momentum, so we should look for a buy.trade not sell trades. Thank you for your attention and good luck for everyone and take care.
FXOPEN:NDQMLong
by YMtradingsystem
4
Great bullish momentum in Nas100 Hello traders, As you can see, there is a strong amendment, a bullish momentum today in NASDAQ, giving us a great opportunity for a bullish a long train.As you can see from the chart, there is.an inclination to go up upward to reach the daily level of 20474 which is.A higher.Target, So please keep in mind that this is a trade that we took pre market since early in the morning the market showed some significant volume.With the.Upside move of the standard deviation. Also a breakthrough of the 50 moving average.That gave us more confluence that the market is going higher to reach the daily level. So please keep in mind that today we have an.Economic data that will be released today for the.Uh, uh, what is it? Umm, the uh.Excuse me? Initial jobless claim is gonna be released today and if it is positive, so we might see an upside down of the trend where we'll have like.a move downward or a reversal of the trend if so we should be looking for 20124 level which is a previous daily level which is well respected. And as you can see from the chart, those lines are very very.Helpful that show us it's like a road map for the price action to be moving.From level to level, this is how we can make money off of.It's pretty simple, but it's really effective, so please pay attention to those levels and let's make money together..
FXOPEN:NDQMLong
by YMtradingsystem
New news from the Middle East, GOLD gains and positive outlookOANDA:XAUUSD Reaching the target price increase at an all-time high of 2,685 USD, the haven asset continues to get stronger as the Middle East situation becomes tense again. Israeli sources say Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has approved a series of targets in retaliation for Iran's missile attack on Israel earlier this month. US B-2 bombers have attacked weapons storage sites of Houthi rebels in Yemen in an effort to stop attacks by Iran-backed groups. US media mentioned that the US military's latest measures have disrupted the Red Sea supply chain. The US Department of Defense announced that US military forces carried out precision strikes on five underground weapons storage sites in Houthi-controlled areas of Yemen. US Central Command indicated that assessment of combat damage from airstrikes in Yemen is ongoing and there are currently no civilian casualties. Bloomberg reported that US B-2 stealth bombers attacked weapons storage locations related to Houthi rebels in Yemen. American B-2 bombers fly to the target from Whitman Air Force Base, Missouri. This is the first combat mission of this wing-shaped stealth bomber since January 2017. At that time, two B-2 bombers flew a 30-hour round-trip mission to bomb an Islamic State training camp in Libya. Each B-2 is capable of carrying up to 20 tons of bombs, including 80 500-pound GPS-guided projectiles. "This type comes to Vietnam in about half a day and can only be used to make rice cookers, combs, water ladles, trays, buckets, basins,... that's it." Meanwhile, the market sees a 92.1% chance that the US will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in November, according to CME's "Fed Watch Tool". Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has an upside target at its all-time high of $2,685 and it currently has the conditions to break this level and refresh its all-time high in the short term. A short rising price channel is formed, notably by the price channel and the nearest support is currently in the area of ​​2,672 – 2,660USD. RSI points up but is still far from the overbought level, showing that there is still plenty of room ahead. In general, on the daily chart, from technical position to space and momentum, gold is likely to increase in price in the near future. If the $2,685 level is broken gold will tend to continue rising with a target then around $2,700 as the whole price point or more like the $2,711 price point of the 0.786% Fibonacci extension. The uptrend in gold prices on the daily chart will be noticed again by the following technical levels. Support: 2,672 – 2,660USD Resistance: 2,685 – 2,688 – 2,700 – 2,711USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2701 - 2699⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2705 →Take Profit 1 2694 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2689 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2642 - 2644⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2638 →Take Profit 1 2649 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2654
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
2024-10-16 - priceactiontds - daily update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Gold - Bulls got the breakout above and got rejected at 2700 again. I think we will spend a bit more time at the highs until bulls give up or we find more buyers willing to buy above 2700. Right now I still favor the bulls for continuation but only willing to buy on strong momentum. comment : Retest 2700 is done, now what? We have a proper channel, so trade it. 2690 right now is not a good spot. Wait for a closer price to the lower trend line or look for shorts near 2700, if bulls show weakness again. New highs inside the channel are getting sold, so you should not buy into strength but rather on pullbacks. current market cycle: bull trend (also trading range on the daily chart - 2619 - 2710) key levels: 2670 - 2710 bull case: Bulls will likely retest 2700 tomorrow. Can they get another big breakout above it? I think so but right now it does not look like it. I expect more sideways until the bull trend line on the daily chart is closer. Bulls still in full control and I would not look for shorts on this. Invalidation is below 2670. bear case: Bears selling new highs but thats about it. Market is grinding higher again and we are near the ath. Nothing bearish about this. Bears can start a case if they close below 2670 again. Invalidation is above 2720. short term: neutral - I would not buy 2700 in hope of 2710 but rather buy decent pullbacks inside the current channel. medium-long term - Update from 2024-09-22: Very strong breakout above, again. Market currently has no ceiling. Most likely 2700 next and I do think 3000 could be a potential target if we continue. There is certainly an argument for a measured move based on the bull rally from 2018-08 to 2020-08. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Selling 2700.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by priceactiontds
2024-10-16 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Bears hoped for a second leg down and build decent selling pressure but bulls bought the dip. Nothing unexpected and we likely continue sideways at the highs until bears give up again or more bulls get exhausted and want to secure profits. Technically I expect another leg down but we could retest the highs first. Don’t overstay your welcome in positions. comment: 5850 was the low yesterday and bears could not break below. Weak bears gave up and we closed around the 50% pullback from Tuesday’s selling. Where does this leave us? Nowhere. 5890ish is the worst place to trade now because it’s the exact mid point of this trading range. Wait for strong momentum or until we reach one of the extremes again. These bullish earnings should have taken the market higher by now if you ask me. So there is a decent chance we are forming a credible top. 5850 - 5920 is the current range and until we see the MAG7 earnings, it probably won’t break out of it. current market cycle: bull trend (bull wedge) key levels: 5850 - 5920 bull case: Bulls bought the dip, no surprise there. They want 5900+ next and they will probably continue to buy 5850. No more magic to this. Since it was a bullish close, bulls are very slightly favored higher tomorrow but I would not buy 5886 right now. Invalidation is below 5850. bear case: Bears tried and failed. They have to make the market more neutral and trade sideways until more bulls want out of their position. BTFD is still strong. Anything above 5850 is bullish and bears have to scalp. Earnings will probably set the next impulse to either side. Invalidation is above 5920. short term: Neutral inside given range. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-13: Very rough guess for the remaining trading weeks in 2024. Spike up, decent correction (~10%), nasty (blow off top) year end rally if earnings hold in Q4. Don’t trade based on that guess. current swing trade: Nope trade of the day: Long the double bottom with yesterday’s low. Very obvious trade that worked greatly.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
WILL EIGEN REACH $4 BEFORE END OF OCTOBER? The probability of reaching $4 is very possible. Here are my confluences: - Weekly Low at $3.29 which had liquidity resting just got raided. - Q4 has seasonally been great for Cryptocurrencies over the years so I expect a great end to Q4 for EIGENUSDT. - Price is currently testing the Daily Bullish Order Block which is within the Range Discount Array. - There is more Liquidity resting above current price rather than below current market price. - Targeting price to reach $3.72 , $3.91 and $4 for this Long entry. Trading is risky so always use proper risk management. Happy Trading Pals
Long
by Evaliste
GOLD reaches price increase target, outlook remains positiveUS inflation data reinforces the prospect of an interest rate cut next month. Gold prices rose more than 1% in the weekend's trading session, while safe-haven demand triggered by rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The U.S. Department of Labor reported Friday that the Producer Price Index (PPI), a measure of wholesale prices, was unchanged in September, suggesting the inflation outlook remains favorable and supporting the view that the U.S. Department of Labor The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates again next month. The report showed that US PPI increased 0% month-on-month in September, lower than the expected 0.1%, the previous value was a 0.20% increase. Commerzbank reported that gold ETF holdings increased by nearly 95 tons in the third quarter, meaning ETFs once again contributed positively to gold demand for the first time in 10 quarters. This week, the market will focus on US retail sales data to determine whether consumer spending will continue to be strong. In addition, the European Central Bank's monetary policy decisions are also the focus of market attention. Traders will need to keep an eye on (Empire State Manufacturing Survey; US Weekly Jobless Claims and Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey, as well as data on building permits and construction starts US housing on Friday.) In summary, although the gold market may experience volatility in the short term, in the long term, the safe haven asset gold is still the main factor supporting price increases. Including the recent reduction of interest rates by the Federal Reserve, attracting investors to choose gold as a haven, combined with the widespread war in the Middle East, has further boosted gold prices, because gold is considered an investment channel. safety, especially during difficult times. geopolitical conflict. Going back a bit in history, in 1979, during the Soviet conflict in Afghanistan, the value of gold more than doubled during that period. If Israel carries out retaliatory attacks against Iran, the gold price has absolutely enough basis to continue to surge even stronger. Previously, on October 1, Tehran fired about 180 missiles at Israel in retaliation for Israel's killing of Hamas and Hezbollah leaders. Economic data to watch next week Tuesday: Empire State Manufacturing Survey Thursday: European Central Bank monetary policy decision, US retail sales, US weekly jobless claims: Philly Fed manufacturing survey. Friday: Housing construction starts and construction permits in the United States Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD During the weekend trading session, gold achieved the target increase in the weekly issue sent to readers last week and the upward momentum was temporarily limited by the technical level of 2,660 USD. If gold breaks above 2,660 USD, it will be eligible to continue to increase in price with the next target level after that at about 2,672 USD, more than 2,685 USD. Breaking the $2,660 level means that the price channel is also broken, while the Relative Strength Index pointing up with a significant slope reinforces the expectation of strong price increases in the near future. As long as gold remains within the price channel and above the EMA21, the bullish outlook and the technical structure for the uptrend are unchanged, pullbacks should still only be considered short-term technical corrections. In the coming time, the main prospective trend of gold is price increase and notable levels will be listed as follows. Support: 2,634 – 2,630USD Resistance: 2,660 – 2,672 – 2,685USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2686 - 2684⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2690 →Take Profit 1 2679 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2674 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2627 - 2629⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2623 →Take Profit 1 2634 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2639
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
News that the Middle East cools down brings GOLDOANDA:XAUUSD adjusted downward again in the short term after recovering and achieving the upside price target around the technical point of 2,660USD on yesterday's trading day. The Washington Post reported on Monday that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told the Biden administration that he is ready to attack Iran's military facilities, but not its oil or nuclear facilities. This can be seen as a sign of Israel's restraint in retaliating against Iran's missile attacks. According to a report by "Jerusalem Post", sources revealed that Iran has contacted Israel through secret channels, saying that as long as Israel's response is limited, Iran will consider this round of conflict to have ended. . These two pieces of news eased external concerns about the situation in the Middle East, thereby reducing the appeal of the safe-haven asset gold and causing the upward momentum to slow down, creating downward corrections in the future. short term. Next, traders will need to monitor comments from Federal Reserve officials this week for further hints of an impending rate cut, as well as U.S. retail sales data. The market still sees an 88.1% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its November meeting. Since gold does not earn interest, lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold . However, gold will react more strongly to "future" orientations. Therefore, it is possible that even if the Fed cuts another 25bps, it will not react strongly but will be influenced by Fed officials' comments on future direction, especially Jerome Powell. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold's recovery was limited after hitting target gains at $2,660. The area around the technical point of 2,660 USD has created pressure causing gold to correct downwards but it is also receiving support from the 2,634 – 2,630 USD area. Note to readers in the previous issue. Along with that, gold is also receiving support from the position of the EMA21. As long as gold remains within the price channel, the main uptrend remains unchanged and the EMA21 level will still serve as the closest support for the uptrend. Once gold breaks above $2,660 it will tend to continue rising with a subsequent target of around $2,672. The $2,660 – $2,672 levels form an area of ​​resistance in the short term. During the day, the technical outlook for gold remains bullish and notable levels are listed below. Support: 2,634 – 2,630USD Resistance: 2,660 – 2,672 – 2,685USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2686 - 2684⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2690 →Take Profit 1 2679 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2674 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2627 - 2629⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2623 →Take Profit 1 2634 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2639
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
GOLD hits upside targets, temporarily capped by $2,672OANDA:XAUUSD continues to get stronger, reaching the short-term target level at 2,660USD and aiming for the next target levels at 2,672 - 2,685USD. Boosted by falling US Treasury yields, investors cautiously await more data that could provide a fresh assessment of the Federal Reserve's monetary easing cycle. According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders now see about a 95.5% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut in November. Market attention will be focused on US retail sales data, industrial production data and weekly jobless claims data due out later this week. Gold prices have risen more than 29% year-to-date, with optimism about interest rate cuts fueling recent gains. Gold prices are also supported by strong purchasing power from central banks and safe-haven demand amid ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East. The latest news from Israel, two Israeli officials said on October 15 local time that although Israel's attack on Iran is not expected to target nuclear facilities and oil facilities, it could including missile and drone launchers, Iranian warehouses and factories, military bases, government buildings and other targets. Iran on October 1 launched a large number of ballistic missiles into Israel, attacking Israeli military and security targets in response to a series of previous Israeli attacks and assassinations. In security consultations involving Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, Defense Minister Galante and other ministers, a comprehensive agreement was reached on the course of action against Iran, timing and intensity a response is possible, but the details still require final Cabinet approval before the action can be taken. Gold itself does not generate interest, but it has the potential to increase in price during times of geopolitical and economic instability. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Gold has recovered and increased to achieve most short-term targets from 2,660 USD to close to the 2,672 USD area. Temporarily, technically, the gold price is still limited by the level of 2,672 USD. However, maintaining above 2,660 USD will be a positive condition in the short term for the possibility of a technical price increase in the near future. Once gold breaks $2,672 it will be on track to continue rising more with a target then around $2,685 or so making new all-time highs. The relative strength index (RSI) is pointing up from 50 and is still far from the overbought level, showing that there is still room for price growth in terms of momentum. As long as gold remains within the channel and above the EMA21, it still has a bullish technical outlook, and notable intraday levels are listed below. Support: 2,660 – 2,643USD Resistance: 2,672 – 2,685USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2686 - 2684⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2690 →Take Profit 1 2679 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2674 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2642 - 2644⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2638 →Take Profit 1 2649 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2654
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
Harmony one is going up! Technical analysis + trade plan by BFChart Overview Timeframe: 4-hour (Binance Exchange) Price as of Analysis: $0.01346 Volume: 3.744 million ONE Formation: Falling Wedge pattern Chart Patterns and Indicators: Falling Wedge: A falling wedge pattern is typically a bullish reversal pattern, indicating that the current downward trend is weakening and a potential breakout to the upside could follow. The narrowing of price action shows a decline in both support and resistance levels, with lower highs and lower lows. The breakout is anticipated above the wedge resistance, potentially marking the beginning of an uptrend. The VMC Cipher B indicator is similar to the MACD and shows signs of bullish divergence, meaning that while the price has been declining, momentum is building for a potential reversal. The RSI is hovering around 50.25, which is neutral but can indicate momentum is shifting. If RSI starts increasing above 55, it will confirm bullish momentum. Stochastic Oscillator is currently at 35.30, this shows the asset is near the oversold zone but still in neutral territory. A move above 40 may confirm a bullish trend reversal. The HMA histogram shows early signs of turning bullish as the color changes and bars are in the process of shifting positive. Volume has decreased over the wedge formation, which is typical of such patterns. An increase in volume after the breakout will serve as confirmation for a stronger upward move. Potential Price Targets: Immediate Resistance: $0.01360 - This is the wedge resistance. A breakout above this level confirms the pattern. First Target: $0.01550 - Based on previous price levels, this area is the next resistance once the breakout occurs. Second Target: $0.01750 - This aligns with the previous significant high and could be a target after the first resistance. Risk Factors: Stop-Loss: It’s crucial to place a stop-loss below $0.01200 (below the previous support levels) to manage risk in case of a false breakout. Volume Confirmation: Ensure that the breakout occurs with significant volume, as low-volume breakouts may lead to a reversal back into the wedge. Trading Plan 1. Entry: Enter a long position after a confirmed breakout above the $0.01360 resistance with strong volume confirmation. A 4-hour candle close above this level should confirm the breakout. 2. Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss slightly below $0.01200 to manage the downside risk in case the falling wedge pattern fails and the price reverses. 3. Profit Targets: First Target: Set a take-profit around $0.01550 to capture the first major move after the breakout. Second Target: For those with a higher risk appetite, target $0.01750, which aligns with the next resistance. 4. Position Size: Risk only 1-2% of your trading capital on this trade. Given the potential volatility and the falling wedge pattern, it's essential to manage position size conservatively. 5. Monitoring: Keep an eye on the volume and the RSI/Stochastic Oscillator. If RSI rises above 55 and Stochastic confirms the upward movement, the breakout should gain more strength. Monitor for any potential fake breakouts. If the price fails to close above the resistance on the 4-hour chart, consider delaying the entry until clear confirmation is given. The Harmony (ONE/USDT) chart is showing a potentially bullish falling wedge formation, indicating that a reversal from the recent downtrend could occur soon. A breakout above $0.01360 with confirmed volume is crucial for confirming the uptrend. If confirmed, Harmony could target $0.01550 and $0.01750 in the near term, but it's important to employ tight risk management through proper stop-loss placement.
Long
by elfabiiani
1
2024-10-15 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. dax futures comment: A daily bear bar closing on it’s low. What a time to be alive. Kinda in the middle of the channel now, which is a bad bad place to trade. Both sides have valid arguments. I would rather sit on hands and only scalp on momentum than initiate trades around 19600. current market cycle: bull trend key levels: 19500 - 20000 bull case: Bulls can be happy a decent dip came which they can now buy. Will they buy 19600 or will they wait? I am not sure but would you really want to buy 19600 now in hopes of a climactic continuation above 19800? Hard to make that a good trade. I do think the rally was fueled by momentum, that is gone now. Invalidation is below 19500. bear case: Bears finally got a decent day and they want/need follow through tomorrow. Obvious targets to hit next are 19350ish (breakout price) and the potentially much bigger support at the daily 20ema and the bull trend line around 19300-19350. If we get there, I highly doubt bears will push their luck and we see another strong move up. On the 1h tf, the first target for tomorrow is the open of the week 19536 and that is also where a smaller bull trend line is. Can be bigger support and bears could also give up there. Hard to make a bigger bear case for now but it’s worse for the bulls to blindly buy this just because we dipped some. Invalidation is above 19800. short term: Bullish but a bit more neutral right now, until we know where the next support is and bulls come around again medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-06: 3 Months left in 2024 and I do think the market is in a trading range where the upper area is around 19500 and the lower area is probably 17000 or 16000 if something bigger comes up. Since we are at the very top, I expect the market to go some sideways before trying to go down again. Not so sure about 19491 being the high, since liquidity could see a bigger increase and upside could be higher. We will likely have another 10%+ correction this year and a possible year end rally. Update 2024-10-13: Possibility of a blow-off top to 20000 is there. If we get there, it will be the short opportunity of the decade. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Shorting 19750 was not the hard part about the short trade but holding through bar 38 - 52 was. Had to get short bar 32 or latest 33. Can you hold afterwards? Tough. Open price was an obvious magnet when we hit 19650, so do you want to hold through a 60 point up move when you are short? I did not. Could have gone short below bar 57 but then you see the spike and hope for more and when you hold, market reverses bad again and you are underwater or break even at best. Then you do what? The 15m 20ema was decent to short then but all in all tough because market wanted lower but also produced many big tails below the bars that touched 19600.
EUREX:FDXSZ2024
by priceactiontds
Technical Analysis for Numerico (NWC/USDT) + TRADE PLANTechnical Analysis for Numerico (NWC/USDT) The price is showing a breakout potential at the top of the channel, which may signal a trend reversal. Descending Channel Pattern: Resistance: The upper trendline shows where the price has faced rejection multiple times. The resistance level is gradually declining. Support: The lower trendline indicates strong support, where buyers have consistently entered the market, preventing further decline. Breakout Potential: The price appears to have tested the upper trendline of the channel. The arrow pointing upward suggests the possibility of a breakout above the descending resistance, which would indicate a bullish reversal. Indicators: Volume: A spike in volume supports the possibility of the breakout. A breakout with increased volume is generally a stronger confirmation of the trend change. VMC Cipher B: This momentum oscillator shows a shift from negative to positive momentum, implying that the buying pressure is gaining strength. RSI (14): The Relative Strength Index is around 58.66, indicating that momentum is neutral to slightly bullish. RSI above 50 usually signals increasing buying pressure. Stochastic RSI: The stochastic RSI is currently in the overbought zone (91.21), which might signal some short-term correction, but the overall momentum remains strong. HMA+ Hist: HMA (Hull Moving Average) shows that the histogram is close to zero but shifting upward, which could imply a possible change in trend direction soon. Support and Resistance Levels: Immediate Support: $0.0719 (marked by the horizontal blue line). Resistance Zone: Around $0.0753 (upper edge of the channel). Great Entry Point: The label indicates that a long entry is ideal around the breakout zone, with an upward arrow suggesting that this level ($0.0721) could offer a solid risk-reward ratio for buyers entering before a potential upward movement. Trading Plan Entry Point: Enter the trade at the breakout above $0.0721 (highlighted as the "Great Entry Point"). If the price closes above this level on the 4-hour timeframe with significant volume, it will confirm a bullish breakout. Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss slightly below the recent support of $0.0719, at approximately $0.0690, to minimize risk in case the breakout turns into a false breakout. Profit Targets: First Target: $0.0800 – This level aligns with a previous resistance zone and would be a conservative target for short-term traders. Second Target: $0.0850 – If momentum remains strong, the price may continue toward this higher level of resistance, providing a larger reward. Risk Management: Ensure a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 2:1. For example, if the stop-loss is set at $0.0690 (risk of approximately 3%), aim for the first target at $0.0800 (a reward of approximately 10%). Use position sizing techniques to risk only 1-2% of the portfolio per trade, to ensure long-term sustainability and avoid major losses in case of unexpected market moves. Monitoring & Adjustments: Watch for volume confirmation during the breakout. If the volume diminishes, consider closing the position early, as it may signal a weakening breakout. Adjust the stop-loss to breakeven once the price hits the first profit target, ensuring a risk-free trade for the remaining portion of the position. Conclusion: The technical analysis for NWC/USDT suggests a bullish breakout from the descending channel pattern, with indicators supporting a potential upward move. Entering at the breakout level of $0.0721 with proper risk management offers a promising opportunity, especially with a positive shift in momentum.
Long
by elfabiiani
1
Goatseus Maximus is meme NO.1 for this bull run! TA+TRADE PLAN🚀🚀🚀 MEMECOIN No.1 FOR THIS BULLRUN 🚀🚀🚀 Goatseus Maximus is primed to be the KING OF MEME COINS this season! With a powerful symmetrical triangle pattern, an incoming breakout, and massive hype potential, GOATSEUS MAXIMUS is set to dominate the market. This coin isn’t just riding the meme wave—it’s about to surf it to HUGE GAINS! 🌊💎 Get ready for the next big thing in crypto. With strong technicals, an upcoming bullish breakout, and a dedicated community, GOATSEUS MAXIMUS is about to hit the moon! Don’t miss the ride of a lifetime! 🌕✨ Goatseus Maximus is forming a symmetrical triangle pattern during an overall uptrend, a continuation pattern that often precedes a breakout in the direction of the prevailing trend. In this case, given the prior upward momentum, the odds are in favor of a bullish breakout. Key Technical Insights: Symmetrical Triangle: The price has been consolidating within the triangle, making higher lows and lower highs. This signals market indecision, but as the triangle narrows, an imminent breakout is expected. Volume Spike: The volume shows a notable increase (175.9K), a positive signal that a strong move may follow soon, potentially confirming the breakout direction. Indicators: RSI (Relative Strength Index): At 54.21, the RSI suggests the coin is in a neutral zone, with more room for an upside move before hitting overbought territory. Stochastic Oscillator: Sitting at 57.79, it shows momentum is gradually turning positive, which aligns with a potential breakout to the upside. Support and Resistance Zones: Support: The orange zone between $0.08 - $0.10 acts as a solid support area where buyers could step in. Resistance: The current resistance levels are projected near $0.16 and $0.20. A breakout from the triangle could push the price toward these levels. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Enter long on a confirmed breakout above the upper trendline of the triangle (above $0.14 - $0.15). Ensure that volume supports the breakout to avoid a false move. Consider setting a pending buy order slightly above the triangle resistance line at $0.1505 to catch the breakout early. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss just below the lower trendline of the triangle (around $0.105) to protect against invalidation of the pattern. Alternatively, if the price breaks below the support zone near $0.08, consider exiting, as this would signal bearish momentum. Profit Targets: First Target: $0.18, aligning with the next significant resistance zone. Second Target: $0.24, based on the measured move from the base of the triangle, offering a strong risk-to-reward ratio. Risk Management: Ensure that the position size adheres to a 2-3% risk of your total portfolio. Monitor volume and price action closely for any signs of reversal after a breakout.
Long
by elfabiiani
1
Bitcoin is going up, short consolidation phase TA+TRADE PLANBitcoin's price action against USDT on a 1-hour timeframe with several technical indicators and key levels. Here is my technical analysis + trade plan by Blaž Fabjan Ascending & Descending Trading Channels: The price is moving between ascending and descending channels. This can indicate phases of higher highs and higher lows (ascending) followed by lower highs and lower lows (descending), which often signals periods of short-term consolidation or corrections. Resistance Levels: Multiple resistances are clearly marked on the chart around the price of $68,556.87 and $67,000. The price has struggled to break above these levels multiple times, making it a critical zone to watch for future price action. Support Levels: Support is visible around $61,758.48 and $60,301.68, representing strong areas where the price previously rebounded. These levels are essential for managing downside risk. Consolidation Phase: The price appears to be consolidating after rejecting the upper resistance line. This phase suggests market indecision or preparation for a breakout. VMC Cipher_B Divergences: Divergences in this indicator show potential weakening of the bullish trend, which could signal a pullback. The green and red dots suggest possible points of reversal, important for catching trend changes. RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI is at 52.96, indicating the market is neutral but slightly leaning toward the bullish side. If RSI breaks above 70, this could signal overbought conditions, while a drop below 30 would indicate oversold. Stochastic Oscillator: Currently in the oversold region (18.22), indicating a possible upward reversal soon. This could hint at a short-term bullish move. HMA (Hull Moving Average) Histogram: The HMA is showing a mixed trend, but the upward slope hints at mild bullish momentum that needs confirmation from price action or volume spikes. Trading Plan Entry Points: Long Position: Look for a breakout above $67,000 or $68,556.87, especially with strong volume confirming the upward move. You could set a buy stop order slightly above these levels to capture the momentum. Short Position: If the price rejects resistance and breaks below $64,500 (the recent low), this could indicate a further decline toward support levels around $61,758.48 or lower. Stop-Loss: For long trades, place stop-losses just below $64,500 to minimize risk in case of a fake breakout or false bullish signal. For short trades, place stop-losses above $67,000, as a break above this could invalidate the bearish trend. Profit Targets: Upside Targets: First target is around $70,000 (a psychological round number and historical resistance), followed by $71,000. Downside Targets: The initial target for a short would be $61,758.48. A break below could see prices test $60,301.68, the lower boundary of this channel. Risk-Reward Ratio: Ensure that any trade maintains a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2. For instance, if you risk $1,000, you should aim for a reward of $2,000. Additional Confirmation: Wait for additional signals, such as volume spikes or confirmation from indicators like RSI or Stochastic, before entering a position. The market could continue to consolidate before choosing a direction. Time Horizon: Given that this is an hourly chart, these trades are more suited for short-term to medium-term traders. Ensure to adjust your stops and targets as the market evolves, and check for any upcoming fundamental events (like economic news or regulatory updates) that could impact Bitcoin's price. By following this plan, you can manage your trades effectively, balancing risk and reward while being prepared for both bullish and bearish scenarios.
Long
by elfabiiani
2
2024-10-14 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - In my weekly post yesterday I wrote “max bullish” a couple of times and I hope you did not short this today. Bulls are in absolute control and they have no reason to stop buying every small dip. You can not be a bear on the hope that this madness will stop eventually. It can go much further than you can imagine. Strong day, strong close, can only expect higher prices until bears print consecutive big bear bars on higher time frames. My best guess is still a blow-off top this week, which can mark the top before we see a bigger correction. Today felt like we are already in it. dax futures comment: Bulls got follow through and confirmed Friday’s bullishness. There is nothing bearish about this so don’t waste time looking for bear arguments. You never want to be the first in trading unless you are a big institution who needs to scale into positions because you literally move the market otherwise. 19700 is almost a given but buying high is not the way to go here. Wait for decent pullbacks. Today the 30m 20ema was perfect to buy on 3 occasions. current market cycle: bull trend key levels: 19500 - 20000 bull case: Bulls are close enough to 20000 and bears absent to enough to expect that we get there. We have formed a proper channel where the lower trend line is around 19600. If that holds, it’s max bullish again but we could also reach the bigger trend line around 19500 before going higher again. Since bulls literally bought every dip since Wednesday, expect for them to continue to do so. Invalidation is below 18500. bear case: Best they can hope for is sideways movement and maybe get down to the 1h 20ema. Anything below 19500 would surprise me. Their target is to test the 1h 20ema and the lower bull channel line around 19600ish. If they somehow break that, their next target would be the price area around 19550. Invalidation is above 18720. short term: Max bullish until bears come around. Look for longs. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-06: 3 Months left in 2024 and I do think the market is in a trading range where the upper area is around 19500 and the lower area is probably 17000 or 16000 if something bigger comes up. Since we are at the very top, I expect the market to go some sideways before trying to go down again. Not so sure about 19491 being the high, since liquidity could see a bigger increase and upside could be higher. We will likely have another 10%+ correction this year and a possible year end rally. Update 2024-10-13: Possibility of a blow-off top to 20000 is there. If we get there, it will be the short opportunity of the decade. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Close of last week held during Globex, EU opened could not even get down there, that was the last big hint bulls mean business and you should get long. Only real tricky thing today was to either hold through bar 32 - 34 or get long again on bar 49 or 54.
EUREX:FDXSZ2024Long
by priceactiontds
2024-10-14 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - In my weekly post yesterday I wrote “max bullish” a couple of times and I hope you did not short this today. Bulls are in absolute control and they have no reason to stop buying every small dip. You can not be a bear on the hope that this madness will stop eventually. It can go much further than you can imagine. Strong day, strong close, can only expect higher prices until bears print consecutive big bear bars on higher time frames. My best guess is still a blow-off top this week, which can mark the top before we see a bigger correction. Today felt like we are already in it. sp500 e-mini futures comment: Break above both bull wedges. Could this be a bull trap? I highly doubt that. 6000 will very likely be hit this year. current market cycle: max bullish key levels: 5860 - 6000 bull case: Bulls are in full control and we can only expect higher prices, given the strength of this follow through buying. We have a small channel which will likely break overnight and the next bull trend line is around 5890 already and aligns nicely with the 1h 20ema. Next obvious target is 6000. Invalidation is below 5880. bear case: Nothing really. Can they prevent 6000? Doubt it. Can they get a deeper pullback before we get there? Also doubt that. Anything below 5880 would surprise me. If they get it, 5850 is their next target and bigger support. Invalidation is above 6050. short term: Bullish af. Don’t look for shorts. Buy on pullbacks when bulls come around again. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-13 : Very rough guess for the remaining trading weeks in 2024. Spike up, decent correction (~10%), nasty (blow off top) year end rally if earnings hold in Q4. Don’t trade based on that guess. current swing trade : None trade of the day: Globex oscillated around last week’s close and after bar 10 it could not even touch the 15m 20ema again. Could have bought anywhere and made money except 15m before US close.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by priceactiontds
Options Blueprint Series [Intermediate]: Vega-Neutral Gold Play1. Introduction Gold is currently in an uptrend, presenting a potentially favorable environment for bullish traders. However, with implied volatility (IV) sitting around its mean, there’s uncertainty about whether IV will rise or fall in the near future. In such a scenario, traders may want to neutralize their vega exposure to avoid being negatively affected by changes in volatility. This article focuses on setting up a Call Ratio Spread, a bullish option strategy that provides positive delta while allowing for further adjustments that could keep vega neutral. This allows traders to capitalize on Gold’s potential uptrend while minimizing risk from changes in implied volatility. 2. Current Market Context The Gold futures market shows strong levels of support, which reinforces the bullish outlook. On the continuous Gold futures chart above GC1!, we observe key support levels at 2646.2 and 2627.2-2572.5. These levels could act as price floors, helping the uptrend continue if tested. Similarly, when examining the contract-specific below chart for GCQ2025, we identify supports at 2725.4 and 2729.5-2705.5. These levels provide solid ground for bullish trades on this specific contract, giving traders additional confidence in entering long positions. With implied volatility near its average (see the chart below), the market’s future volatility direction is unclear. Traders using options may choose adapt to this environment, ensuring that changes in volatility do not work against them. 3. Options Strategy: Call Ratio Spread To take advantage of Gold’s uptrend while neutralizing the risk from changes in volatility, we could employ a Call Ratio Spread. This strategy offers a bullish stance while maintaining vega neutrality, protecting the trader from swings in implied volatility. Setup: Buy 1x 2600 Call at 256.15 Sell 2x 3500 Calls at 23.32 Expiration: July 28, 2025 This configuration generates positive delta, meaning the strategy will benefit from upward price movement. At the same time, by selling two calls at a higher strike, we offset the vega exposure, ensuring that changes in volatility won’t dramatically affect the position. The strike prices and expiration selected help create a risk profile that works well in a bullish market. The maximum gain potential occurs if Gold continues to rise but stays below the higher 3500 strike, while the vega neutrality minimizes any volatility risks as the trade begins. Notice the breakeven point for this strategy is 2809.5, meaning the trade becomes profitable if Gold exceeds this level by expiration. 4. Why Use Micros? Traders looking for a more flexible approach can consider using Micro Gold Futures (symbol: MGC) instead of standard Gold futures contracts. Micro Gold Futures offer smaller contract sizes, which translate into lower margin requirements and a more precise way to control risk. This makes them an attractive alternative for traders with smaller accounts or those looking to scale into positions gradually. Additionally, Micro Gold Futures allow traders to fine-tune their exposure to Gold without the larger capital commitment required by standard contracts. For those implementing strategies like the Call Ratio Spread, Micros provide a cost-effective way to execute similar trades with a lower financial commitment. Contract Specs and Margin Requirements Gold Futures (symbol: GC) represent 100 troy ounces of gold, and their margin requirements can vary depending on market volatility and the broker. Typically, the initial margin requirement for a standard Gold futures contract is around $10,000 to $12,000, but this can fluctuate. For traders seeking more flexibility, Micro Gold Futures (symbol: MGC) offer a smaller contract size, representing 10 troy ounces of gold. The margin requirement for Micro Gold Futures is significantly lower, usually in the range of $1,000 to $1,200, making it a more accessible option for those with smaller accounts or those looking to fine-tune their exposure. 5. Risk Management As with any options trade, managing risk is essential. In the case of a Call Ratio Spread, the primary risk comes from the naked short calls at the 3500 strike price. If Gold rallies aggressively beyond 3500, the trader faces unlimited risk due to the uncovered nature of the short positions. To mitigate this risk, traders should consider using stop-loss orders or adjusting the trade if Gold's price approaches the 3500 level too quickly. Another way to eliminate the unlimited risk component to the upside would be to convert the Call Ratio Spread into a Call Butterfly by buying an additional call above the 3500 strike price, effectively capping the risk. This adjustment still allows for positive delta exposure while limiting potential losses if Gold moves sharply higher. Additionally, monitoring implied volatility is key. While the position starts with neutral vega exposure, this will change as the underlying asset price moves and time passes, especially as expiration approaches. The vega exposure can increase or decrease depending on these factors. If maintaining the vega-neutral characteristic is a priority, further adjustments—such as rolling options or modifying strike prices—could be made to keep the position aligned with the trader’s volatility outlook. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
COMEX:GC1!Education
by traddictiv
USDJPY has bullish technical conditionsThe latest economic data suggests the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates again next month, but a larger cut is being underestimated. Therefore, US bond yields remain stable and the wide spread between Japanese government bond yields and US bond yields continues to support the US Dollar. On the daily chart, OANDA:USDJPY The uptrend is noticed by the price channel and the nearest support level at 148.113 of the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement. Temporarily, USD/JPY's upside momentum is limited by the upper channel edge, once USD/JPY breaks above the channel it will continue to trend upward towards the 150.739 levels in the short term, more than 151,866. Even if the 0.382% Fibonacci level is not enough to support USD/JPY in the short term, it still has other support slightly lower at 147.113 – 146.424. As long as USD/JPY remains above EMA21 and within price channel, it still has a bullish technical outlook with notable technical points listed below. Support: 148.113 – 147.112 – 146.424 Resistance: 149,364 – 150,739 – 151,866
Long
by Xayah_trading
WTI affects the Middle East and storms in the USOil prices were volatile but posted a second straight weekly gain last week as investors weighed potential supply disruptions in the Middle East and the impact of Hurricane Milton on fuel demand in Florida. The price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil for November delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange decreased to 75.56 USD/barrel. Although US President Joe Biden has advised against attacking energy facilities in OPEC's third largest producer, the possibility of prolonging the conflict in the Middle East and there are increasing signs of this spreading will make the market nervous. Unrest in the Middle East has increased price volatility and prompted hedge funds to increase their net long positions. At the same time, a statement from the US Treasury Department said that in response to Iran launching ballistic missiles towards Israel on October 1, the US is expanding sanctions on the oil and chemical industry. Iranian oil. Hurricane Milton swept through Florida and into the Atlantic last Thursday, killing at least 10 people and leaving millions without power, putting pressure on prices. Nearly a quarter of Florida's 7,912 gas stations were without fuel as of last Wednesday morning, as drivers stocked up on gas earlier this past week ahead of the storm. Florida is the third largest gasoline consuming state in the US, but the state has no refineries and therefore must rely on imports. On the daily chart, TVC:USOIL slight correction after recovery and limited by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level. Up to now, WTI crude oil still has technical price increasing conditions with the main trend from the price channel, main support from EMA21. The confluence of the lower edge of the price channel and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level is the closest current support for WTI crude oil on the daily chart. If WTI crude oil breaks above the 0.50% Fibonacci level, it will have conditions to continue rising with the target level then being around 79.03USD. As long as WTI crude oil remains above the EMA21, it remains technically bullish in the short term, and the highlights are listed below. Support: 73.77 – 72.39USD Resistance: 76.40 – 76.84USD
TVC:USOILLong
by Xayah_trading
#202441 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr wti crude oil: Bulls bought the daily 20ema and now we had gigantic up and gigantic down, means gigantic confusion. I favor another sideways to down movement for the second leg of the two-legged correction before bulls can try 77 or higher again. 75-76 is a bad spot to trade imo. Downside target is 74 or 73 and everything below would be bad for bulls. Quote from last week: comment: Wild, wild market currently. New low below 66.9, just to reverse for 13.95% or 925 ticks. You won’t see that move too often per year. So now what? Tough. Friday’s bar has a big tail above and we broke above the bear trend line, which could very well be a bull trap. A look at the monthly and weekly chart never hurts. They are both showing the same continuation pattern of a contracting market, since we did not break the lows below 63. Next bigger high which will most likely hold is the July one at 80.71. As of now bulls turned the market neutral again, where the middle of the potential range could be 72 if we use the July high and the September low. comment : Bullish doji on the weekly with big tails above and below. 71.5 is a good low and likely to hold. I do expect another try by the bears though. Only question now is will we see 77+ before 74? I don’t know. So watch for momentum and hope along. I still favor the bulls for at least a retest of 77/78 but I do think we can hit 80 again. Given the strength of the move up, it is reasonable to expect a bigger second leg to 80 or higher. current market cycle : trading range (triangle on the weekly tf) key levels : 71 - 80 bull case: I continue to be bullish until bears can reject 77 or 78 again. Bulls now have formed a proper channel up and we are likely in W2 in a potential W5 series. Don’t trade based on that wave series because right now it’s a very rough guess. Invalidation is below 71.3. bear case: Bears had an amazing pullback last week and had to take profits on those 690 points. I don’t think we will see bigger bears coming around to fight for 75-76 they likely wait for 77/78 again. Otherwise I don’t have any arguments for the bears here. Invalidation is above 79. outlook last week: s hort term: Neutral. I would not short 74.38 right now but favoring the bears for a pullback but only on weakness. Will only turn more bullish above 76 or around 72/73 (if bulls buy it). Pullback could go as deep as 70. → Last Sunday we traded 74.38 and now we are at 75.56. Neutral was good. Big up, big down, big confusion. Likely to trade more in the middle of that range, which we are doing. short term: Neutral but expecting a retest of 77 and higher again. The closer to 74 you can long this, the better is what I think. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-06 : That bear trend is over and we are again in the big trading range 64 - 78/79. current swing trade: None chart update: Removed bearish two legged correction and added a potential 5-wave series.
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds