The Friday range is important. Breakout from the Friday range may lead to possible good entries as we buy and hold.
So check the range this Friday and next week see if it is worth buying the breakout or just holding if it holds and goes lower.
The beauty of stocks is you move the price. So you can trigger a confirmation. But so too can everyone else.
So note the order book.
Fundamental Analysis
GbpUsd- Where to sell?The GBP/USD currency pair has been in a downtrend for quite some time.
Recently, however, after dropping just below the important psychological level of 1.25, the pair started to reverse and show some upward movement.
While this rise is notable, it is important to recognize that it appears to be corrective in nature. The price is currently forming a rising wedge pattern, which typically signals that the uptrend may soon lose momentum. Based on this technical structure, I expect the downtrend to resume in the near future.
In my opinion, any rallies above the 1.28 level should be viewed as potential selling opportunities. A stop loss placed above the 1.29 level would ensure a risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3 could be achieved if we target the recent low.
Next Move For BTC RSI Over bought + Bearish DIV + Bearish Flag
i think new support needs to be checked before any more movement up .
104k was Bullish Fakeout.
Big players sold and waiting to re buy lower.
most alts gave 500% - 1000% - and even 1500% some of them.
trend was shifted with making Lower higher.
comment what you think <3
Ace out .
Sell EUR/USD Channel BrekoutThe EUR/USD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0482
2nd Support – 1.0445
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Thank you.
Will Joey help NU push on, or will they need even more Friends?NYSE:NU has had a good run rising 50% last 12 months, however since releasing positive earnings a month ago the share is down 25%. Among reasons for this is that the AR per customer has dropped from all-time-high of $11.40 to $11 in the last two quarters. Also, they are struggling to attract high(er)-income customers, having their fair share of customers in the low-income bracket. In their key market Brazil, a whooping 56% of the adult population has a credit card from Nubank ( NYSE:NU ’s brand), accomplished in just 10 years. However expansion into other markets is proving difficult, and the company is facing headwinds in Mexico. The somewhat known investor Warren Buffet is an investor, and he recently sold 20% of his share in the company. This could just be rebalancing after a good run but is worth mentioning.
Technically the stock is not looking its best at the moment. After a steady growth pretty much since January 2023, we have now seen a steeper correction than usual (on the daily chart). Price has dropped from an ATH of $16.15 to currently $11.99. This meant price dropped below the support of the rising baseline and is now in consolidation. This consolidation can be viewed as a bearish rectangle, indicating a potential break to the downside of the rectangle. Should this happen, there is some support around $10.50 with next support at $8.50. Should price however break to the upside, the mentioned baseline will serve as resistance. The stock is approaching oversold levels on the RSI, and we have seen bounces in such situations before, however the drop before has been steeper this time.
Fundamentally I believe the company might have hit if not a wall, then some serious obstacles in expanding their business, both at home in Brazil and internationally. Key numbers are rising, and this might be a sign to the upside potential, if they can be maintained and reached. Technically it looks bad in my view. I believe price will break to the downside of the rectangle and have my eyes on $8.50. On the 4H chart we saw a brief break to the upside of the rectangle, but price very quickly retreated down.
Questions Halving Promotors Never Want to Answer Many people here are eager to explain the bets people should make based on the halving but they're never willing to answer the obvious questions about the hypothesis.
Here's a collection of questions I must have asked here 100 times in replies to my posts that I've still not gotten an answer to:
Why the indices correlation?
When you run an analysis on SPX price moves and BTC price moves post halving, they have a coefficient of 0.85. This means all the statistical evidence points towards BTC moving in tandem with risk on/off cycles in equities.
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Why do people ignore this correlation when it is as reliable (or more) than the halving?
Why does the exact same moves in indices and BTC get treated totally differently?
When has the halving thesis ever deviated from simple SPX correlation?
If there are no deviations, why isn't it best to assume it's related to SPX tracking?
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Why would the entire market know an event to move price higher was coming and then wait an exact number of days to take action on that?
If you've been in the market any length of time you'll have surely heard the saying "Buy the rumour, sell the news". You may have also heard, "Markets prefer to travel than suddenly arrive". This has been a guiding principle of all markets for all time. Why is the halving a "Sell the known coming event, then ignore the news for x days and then buy the event after the fact?
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Given all halving dates are already known, why isn't this priced in now?
Why in the biggest FOMO market there is would there be this organised "Waiting period"?
Why has game theory and market dynamics not led to front running?
How do these supply/demand dynamics reflect anything about S/D known in markets?
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What are the failure conditions of the halving bet?
I have some of the dumbest convos on this. People insist I MUST BE LONG NOW to not miss out on the halving and then when I ask them what level price can not go under inside of the halving theory ... it gets real fuzzy. And when you dig into it, the answer generally ends up being "Up to 70% drawdown".... Okay - so trying a short here is fine inside of that, right?
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Why are people making all knowing statements about exactly what should happen and unable to give the most basic risk control?
What happens to people who listen to you if you're wrong?
Do you have plans to let them know if the theory fails?
If not, why are you not telling them the risk if wrong is 70% (Inside of accepted risk).
And I suppose the idea is to just entirely ignore the limitless risk if the whole thesis is wrong?
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When has the BTC halving idea ever overcome a SPX drop?
I've been told various times in 2020 there was a deviation from the halving cycle because there was a swan event. Fair enough ... but then this means that the halving forecast will only be right if nothing broadly bearish happens, right? In any instances where we've had halving theory vrs indices bear move - following the indices has won.
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Why is this not considered evidence against the thesis and for the correlation?
Why are you not caveating your forecasts with this known risk?
Is it far to say the BTC cycles thesis can easily fail if there's outside events?
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These things simply do not make sense. They're elephants in the room. People act like the cycles thing is some sort of esoteric knowledge that only a select few know. That's nonsense. I have a kid cousin who can't tie his shoelaces yet but can tell you what the halving forecast is.
He does not really understand everything he's saying. He's just repeating things he's heard ... but, that's kinda true for most of you to be honest. Because it takes about 5 mins to understand the halving thesis. Takes about another 1 min to come up with the obvious tests and objections and then maybe takes 10 mins to test those and highlight the flaws.
There are some people who've spent literally hours and hours on my posts berating me about why I should be blindly following the halving and in all of this time they've not answered the questions I think should be thought of in the first minute.
And I do ask them. Directly and repeatedly. They change the topic or go quiet. To be honest, most of the time they start to drop insults. It's wild, when you think about it.
"I am heralding in the future of finance and here to tell you about this halving cycle which I know everything about and expect to be infallible".
"Okay. Could you answer a few questions I have about this?"
"LMAO. Have fun staying poor".
===
Think about how disconnected the way BTC bulls act is relative to what they proport to be a part of.
Why are you not eager to answer these common sense questions?
PEPE Goes Sideways as Whales Devour ProfitsWith huge ocean waves swirling red, this week saw COINBASE:PEPEUSD primarily going either down or sideways, as celebrating Whales drove millions through PEPE’s money machine to create negative outflows in the tens of millions during a single 24hr period. We might need to wait till the Whales can’t eat anymore, until there is another breakout to higher levels. The market continues to be high volume on a daily basis, with an unknown number of Whales hiring on COINBASE:PEPEUSDC as a management consultant to point their BTC100 rewards in a positive direction. As the date of the American presidential inauguration grows nearer, our friend PEPE rides hand in hand with the unofficial vice president into a glorious future.
NZD/JPY 30-Minute Chart – Bearish FocusThis chart highlights a potential selling setup for the NZD/JPY pair on the 30-minute timeframe. Key insights include:
Supply Zone at 88.800:
Price recently tested a key supply zone near 88.800, where strong selling pressure is likely to emerge.
Bearish Ascending Wedge:
The current price action is forming a small ascending wedge pattern, a bearish reversal structure, indicating a potential breakdown.
Potential Sell Setup:
A break below the ascending trendline could confirm selling momentum.
The first target is the 87.600 level, with an extended move toward the demand zone around 87.200.
Risk Management:
Stop-loss placement above the supply zone near 88.800 is recommended to protect against invalidation.
This setup provides a bearish outlook, with sellers waiting for confirmation of a trendline break before entering short positions.
Solana's price remains in the support zone!Hello everyone, I invite you to review the SOL chart in pair with USDT on a one-day time frame. As we can see, the price of salt was moving in a downward trend channel, from which the price came up, and the increase itself, as is often the case in such a situation, is close to the height of the channel in which we were moving.
Next, we can see how the price increase to the upper limit of the resistance zone from $238 to $261 has been rejected, only breaking it can result in an increase to the strong resistance at $298.
However, here you can see how the price quickly returned to the lower range of the zone, from which the breakout resulted in a quick return to the support zone from $203 to $185. Currently, the upper limit of the zone is maintained by the cane, but if we see a rebound again and the zone is broken, the price may quickly return to around $165.
When we look at the MACD indicator, we will see that we are still in an upward trend, but the recent recovery has made a lot of room for possible further increases.
Total market cap follows 2016-2017 parabolic run!The market, which led parabolic waves despite being rejected in 2016-2017, is based on stronger foundations with the increase in corporate interest in 2020-2024 and the state-based adoption process that started in 2020.
We will witness the highest levels in history!
XRP/USD-Trading in a Buy Trend: Key Points for Successful EntryThe price is in a buy trend on the 1-hour time frame (TF) and has bounced off the zone. We can now wait for the price to return or get closer to the zone. After a bounce on a smaller time frame, we can look for an entry into a buy position. However, we need to be cautious of a potential false breakout, so it's important to wait for proper confirmation. If a false breakout triggers our stop loss, we can re-enter when the price moves back above the zone with confirmation for a buy position.
Apple & 5G n53 Satellite communicationGlobalstar, Inc. (GSAT) has been thrust into the spotlight following major announcements related to Apple collaborations, 5G technology developments, and a strong strategic push toward satellite-enabled connectivity. The stock has seen increased market interest due to a combination of technical and fundamental catalysts.
Key Fundamental Catalysts:
1. Apple Partnership Expansion:
• Apple has committed $1.7 billion to fund a new constellation supporting iPhone and Ultra Watch satellite features.
• Apple is expected to take a 20% equity stake in the constellation for $400 million.
• Applications include emergency SOS features, health-focused sensors, and connectivity for remote areas.
2. Band n53 Spectrum Utilization:
• Globalstar recently achieved its first 5G data call using Band n53, with download speeds of 100 Mbps.
• Applications: Mission-critical systems (robotics, AR), autonomous vehicles, and industrial IoT.
3. Financial Impact:
• Revenue is projected to double in 2025, driven by satellite service expansion and high-margin agreements.
• Apple’s additional funding of $232M will help refinance existing debt, improving GSAT’s balance sheet.
4. Nasdaq Uplisting:
• Globalstar plans a reverse stock split and uplisting to the Nasdaq Global Select Exchange in Q1 2025, which could attract institutional investors.
Technical Analysis:
Current Price Action:
• Last Closing Price: $2.03 (-8.78%)
• The stock has shown increased volatility, reflecting market reactions to major announcements.
Support and Resistance:
• Support Levels:
• $2.01 – Immediate support. A break below this level could see the stock test $1.63.
• Resistance Levels:
• $2.29 – Initial resistance. A breakout could target $2.73 and $3.57 in the medium term.
Indicators:
• MACD: Currently bearish (MACD↓), reflecting short-term selling pressure.
• Volume: Increased volume indicates heightened interest from traders and investors.
Price Pattern:
• The stock appears to be consolidating within a channel, with a potential reversal upon breaking key resistance levels.
Trading Strategy:
1. Short-term Approach:
• Entry: Consider entering near $2.01 with a tight stop-loss below $1.95.
• Profit Targets: $2.29 and $2.73.
• Use caution as the stock remains volatile due to high investor speculation.
2. Long-term Outlook:
• GSAT’s collaboration with Apple and its expansion in 5G services position the company as a growth stock.
• Potential for significant gains if the company successfully executes its strategic initiatives.
• Consider holding for long-term targets of $3.57 and $4.50.
Risks:
• Execution risk in deploying the new satellite constellation.
• Dependence on Apple for significant funding and technology collaboration.
• High stock volatility may lead to sharp corrections.
Conclusion:
Globalstar (GSAT) represents a high-potential growth stock backed by strong fundamentals, including 5G technology leadership and a transformative Apple partnership. While short-term volatility persists, the long-term outlook remains bullish for investors willing to weather short-term fluctuations.
Bitcoin Crash + Largest altcoin analysis requests! (ask me)Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response! Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas.
I start my analysis with Bitcoin. Currently, I expect a drop to 85k. We have a total of 3 unfilled FVGs (fair value gaps) below the current price, and this is a big deal. These gaps pretty much always tend to be filled. These are no gaps that occurred at the start of the uptrend (near 15k in 2022), but almost before the end of the uptrend (85k in 2024). This is a hugeeeee problem, and I assure you that bitcoin will go down sooner rather than later.
Today we also want to look at the RSI indicator. The RSI indicator is important mostly only on the 1m, 1H, 1D, 1W, and 1M charts. Do not use it on, for example, 15m or 2h charts. On the RSI indicator, we can see a bearish divergence because the price is making a higher high while the indicator is making a lower high. That's a huge sign of weakness.
Also, let's take a look at the moving averages. This is the daily chart, so let's use 50, 100, and 200. These periods are very popular among huge institutions and hedge funds. They mainly like to use 200 and 20. As we can see, the price is too far away from them, which is a sign that the market is overbought and we should wait for a correction. You want to buy at the support, not when the market has already made the move.
Currently I am bearish on Bitcoin. Profit target 1: 92,250, profit target 2: 85,350.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
$BOBUSDT: Strategic Entry into a Multi-Chain Stable TokenI spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more.
BOB Token ( KUCOIN:BOBUSDT ): Strategic Entry into a Multi-Chain Stable Token
BOB Token (BOB) is a cryptocurrency in the digital asset market. As of December 12, 2024, it is trading at $0.00003422, with an intraday high of $0.00003432 and a low of $0.00003344.
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: $0.000035524
- Stop-Loss: $0.000025460
- Take-Profit Targets:
- TP1: $0.000065603
- TP2: $0.000075555
Fundamental Analysis:
BOB is a multi-chain, multi-collateral stable token enhanced with optional privacy features. Developed by Alexei Zamyatin and Dominik Harz, BOB operates across platforms like Polygon, Optimism, and Ethereum, offering users flexible and private transactions.
Technical Analysis:
- Moving Averages:
- 50-Day SMA: $0.00003350
- 200-Day SMA: $0.00003200
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 58, indicating neutral momentum.
- Support and Resistance Levels:
- Support: $0.00003300
- Resistance: $0.00003550
Market Sentiment:
The recent launch of BOB's public testnet has showcased its potential to combine Bitcoin's security with Ethereum's flexibility, attracting attention from the crypto community.
Risk Management:
Implementing a stop-loss at $0.000025460 helps mitigate potential losses, while the take-profit targets at $0.000065603 and $0.000075555 offer favourable risk-reward ratios. Given the token's volatility, strict adherence to these levels is crucial.
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, Just Ride the Wave!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.
Swiss National Bank cuts by half-point, Swissy dipsThe Swiss franc is down on Thursday following the Swiss National Bank rate announcement. In the North American session, USD/CHF is trading at 0.8880, up 0.43% 80on the day at the time of writing.
Today's Swiss National Bank meeting was live, with the market uncertain as whether the SNB would cut rates by 25 or 50 basis points. In the end, the central bank opted for a jumbo 50-bp cut, bringing the cash rate to 0.50%.
The driver for the today's oversized cut was the November inflation report, which came in at -0.1% for a second straight month. Inflation hasn't posted a gain in six months and the SNB is concerned that inflation could fall below the 0%-2% target.
The 50-bp cut marks the SNB's biggest rate reduction in 10 years. In its statement, the Bank pointed to lower-than-expected inflation, risks over US economic policy and political uncertainty in Europe. The statement was somewhat dovish, noting that "the forecast for Switzerland, as for the global economy, is subject to significant uncertainty".
Today's rate cut marks the fourth reduction this year. The SNB has been aggressive in its easing cycle, with the twin goals of avoiding deflation and combating the Swiss franc's appreciation. The SNB does not want a highly-valued Swiss franc as this hurts the critical export sector. The central bank implemented a negative rate policy until mid-2022 and the SNB has not ruled out a return to negative rates. After the meeting, SNB President Martin Schlegel said that today's 50-bp cut had reduced the probability of negative rates.
The SNB also released its updated inflation forecast at today's meeting. The September inflation report was revised downwards, with a forecast of 1.1% in 2024 and 0.3% in 2025.
USD/CHF has pushed above resistance at 0.8860 and is testing resistance at 0.8879. Above, there is resistance at 0.8903
0.8836 and 0.8817 are the next support levels
US30 - Potential Short
Key Observations:
1. Fibonacci Levels:
- The chart displays a Fibonacci retracement with key levels:
- 0.5 (44,065) and 0.382 (43,828) are critical short-term support levels.
- The 0.618 level (44,302) appears to act as resistance.
2. Bollinger Bands:
- The price is near the lower Bollinger Band, which often suggests oversold conditions. However, this doesn't confirm a reversal unless supported by other indicators.
3. RSI:
-The RSI is approaching oversold levels (below 30), indicating potential buyer interest soon. However, the RSI has not yet diverged, suggesting momentum still favors the downside.
4. Trend:
-The overall trend is bearish, with lower highs and lower lows. The recent retracement to 44,302** and rejection indicates the continuation of selling pressure.
Recommendations:
Short-Selling Scenario (Preferred):
- Rationale: The trend remains bearish, and the rejection at 44,302 confirms resistance.
- Entry: Wait for price action near the 44,065level. If it breaks downward and retests, consider selling.
- Take Profit: Aim for the 0.382 level (43,828) or 0.236 level (43,534) as targets.
- Stop Loss: Set a stop above 44,302 to protect against a trend reversal.
Buying Scenario (Riskier):
- Rationale: If the price respects 43,828 or 43,534 and forms bullish candlestick patterns, you could consider a short-term buy for a retracement.
- Entry: Look for a reversal signal at these levels (e.g., hammer or bullish engulfing candle).
- Take Profit: Aim for a move toward 44,065 or 44,302.
- Stop Loss: Set a tight stop just below 43,534
Conclusion:
Currently, the trend is bearish, favoring a sell strategy unless strong reversal signals emerge at key support levels.
Please keep in mind, do not risk more than 1% of your account.
Please comment, like and share this idea. it will help a lot.
GBPCAD - Long from bullish OB !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPCAD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill that huge imbalance and then to reject from bullish OB + institutional big figure 1.79000.
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Price target is $50The reason I have a $50 price target, this is the psychological level that makes SMCI a price it must break in order for us to even go higher. Its is as simple as that. From here at the current levels we are at, does not bring any certainty that we will move any higher than what I have predicted unless we see some movement on the upside.