Long Signal for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT)📈 Long Signal for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT)
✅ Suggestion: I’ve opened a buy position from the marked zone and anticipate growth for Bitcoin.
🎯 Key Insight: This is Bitcoin’s final support level, and despite the high risk, I’m willing to take the chance. 🚀
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Fundamental Analysis
USDJPY | Hidden Bearish Divergence | 1HCurrently, the USDJPY chart shows the formation of a hidden bearish divergence and a double top pattern, both indicating that the uptrend is shifting into a downtrend. Additionally, new lower lows (LL) and lower highs (LH) are forming, confirming the change in market structure. These factors suggest the presence of a potential reversal zone (PRZ), where the price is likely to continue its downward movement.
Explanation:
1: Hidden Bearish Divergence:
The price is formed higher highs (HH), while the RSI is showing lower highs, signaling weakness in the uptrend and a potential reversal.
2: Double Top Formation:
A double top is a strong reversal pattern, indicating that the price has struggled to break through a resistance level and is now likely to move downward.
3: Market Structure Shift:
The formation of lower lows (LL) and lower highs (LH) indicates a transition from an uptrend to a downtrend, confirming bearish sentiment.
4: Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ):
The confluence of divergence, the double top, and the structural change points to a PRZ where sellers are likely to dominate, pushing the price further down.
This setup suggests a bearish bias, and traders could look for sell opportunities after proper confirmation, such as a retest of the PRZ or a bearish candlestick pattern.
GBPCHF Ahead of the BOE Interest Rate DecisionGBPCHF Ahead of the BOE Interest Rate Decision
Today, the Bank of England (BOE) is expected to release its rate decision. The BOE is anticipated to keep rates unchanged at 4.75%. If this happens, the GBP could see slight bullish momentum, but nothing significant.
However, considering the improving UK data over the past month, we could see a weaker GBP , if the BOE cuts rates.
The price has already broken out from a bearish pattern.
This movement is very risky, as it is mainly based on the BOE Interest Rate Decision.
These events can easily invalidate patterns, so it is advisable to be cautious.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Fundamental Market Analysis for December 20, 2024 GBPUSDThe Bank of England kept its key rate at 4.75%, which was in line with market expectations. However, three members voted for a rate cut, which came as a surprise and emphasized the regulator's softer stance. This reinforced expectations of significant monetary policy easing in 2025 - the BoE is projected to cut the rate up to four times at 0.25%. In comparison, the Fed is planning less aggressive cuts another 1-2 times, which strengthens the US Dollar's position and puts pressure on the Pound.
The economic situation in the UK remains unstable. The Bank of England lowered its GDP growth forecasts for 2024, pointing to weak economic dynamics. Despite the high growth of wages (5.2%), inflation remains above the target level, which requires the preservation of tight monetary policy. At the same time, the regulator noted that its easing will begin only after a steady decline in inflation to 2%.
The fundamental background for the British currency remains negative. Investors will follow further statements of the Bank of England and economic data, but in the near future the pound is likely to continue a gradual decline.
Trading recommendation: Trading mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Gold Analysis December 20⭐️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices maintained a buying bias in the first half of the European session on Friday amid prevailing risk-off sentiment. Amid persistent geopolitical risks and trade war concerns, the threat of a US government shutdown prompted some safe-haven flows into bullion. C
The Federal Reserve's hawkish signal that it will slow the pace of rate cuts in 2025 acted as a driver for US bond yields and favored USD bulls. Traders now look to the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, which could influence the USD price dynamics and act as a driver for gold prices in the US session.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold rebounded from 2587. This zone became a resistance zone but is no longer too strong if the selling pressure is strong. The important zone at the moment is around 2607. When this zone breaks before the middle of the European session, the target of 2622 will be where SELL signals can be considered. If the US session breaks this zone, we have two possible resistance zones, the first SEL around 2633-2635 and when this zone breaks, we must aim for 2658-2660. If it fails to break 2607, set SELL to 2555.
⭐️Trading signals
SELL GOLD zone 2622-2624 Stoloss 2627
SELL GOLD zone 2633-2635 Stoploss 2638
BUY GOLD zone 2656-2654 Stoploss 2651
BUY Scalp 2692-2690 Stoploss 2687
After the US pivoted monetary policy : ??At the beginning of the trading session on December 19 (US time), the world gold price continued to decrease after the US announced the number of unemployment benefit applications was 220,000, down from the forecast of 230,000 applications. This prompted the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to slow down the process of cutting interest rates in the future.
Previously, gold investors were disappointed when the Fed sent out an unfavorable signal right after the monetary policy meeting on December 18. The US Central Bank issued a new forecast, showing that there will be 2 rounds of 25 basis point interest rate cuts next year.
According to independent metal trader Tai Wong, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell revealed that he will slow down the process of cutting interest rates in the context of persistent inflation.
This message from the Fed will make the gold price trend worse in the long term.
According to analysts, the gold market has been volatile at times after the US pivoted its monetary policy. Specifically, the FED is expected to cut interest rates by a total of 0.5 percentage points only twice in 2025. This is a big change compared to the FED's announcement in September 2024 that there would be 4 interest rate cuts next year. This move has stimulated a very strong increase in the price of the USD and US bond interest rates.
Because gold is priced in USD, when the "health" of this currency is stronger, it will put pressure on the price of this precious metal. Higher US bond interest rates have attracted investors to put capital into bonds, reducing demand for gold.
Gold Market Update: Response to Weekly Demand at $2640sGold is responding to weekly and subduing demands at the $2640s, setting the stage for a potential sweep toward the $2660–$2675 range. This movement aligns with bullish attempts to capitalize on supply zones for continuation or reversal opportunities. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea
Gold Market Update: Imbalance Liquidation Targets $2620–$2580Gold continues to align with the imbalance liquidation between $2620 and $2580. The recent prominent support at $2605 is under pressure; if it fails to hold, further sweeps around $2619 could occur. The bearish momentum remains intact, aiming to secure weekly demands below the $2600 level.
yall should stay cautious, hedge along with AK , and prepare for potential volatility as the market seeks equilibrium .follow for more insights , comment and boost idea
Gold is still in a long term uptrend.At the beginning of the trading session on December 19 (US time), the world gold price continued to decrease after the US announced the number of unemployment benefit applications was 220,000, down from the forecast of 230,000 applications. This prompted the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to slow down the process of cutting interest rates in the future.
Previously, gold investors were disappointed when the Fed sent out an unfavorable signal right after the monetary policy meeting on December 18. The US Central Bank issued a new forecast, showing that there will be 2 rounds of 25 basis point interest rate cuts next year.
According to independent metal trader Tai Wong, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell revealed that he will slow down the process of cutting interest rates in the context of persistent inflation.
This message from the Fed will make the gold price trend worse in the long term.
Multinational investment bank Goldman Sachs predicts that demand for gold will remain strong as central banks seek to diversify their reserves, especially after Russia's assets are frozen in 2022.
🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2607 - 2609🔥
💵 TP1: 2600
💵 TP2: 2590
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2615
D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) Analysis Company Overview:
D-Wave Quantum NYSE:QBTS is a pioneer in commercial quantum computing, leveraging its annealing-based quantum technology to address complex computational challenges. Its first-mover advantage in quantum solutions positions it as a key player in this emerging industry.
Key Catalysts:
Differentiated Technology:
D-Wave’s annealing-based quantum model sets it apart from competitors focused on gate-based systems, enabling practical, near-term solutions for optimization problems across industries.
Government and Defense Partnerships:
Increasing traction with key clients like the U.S. Department of Defense and other government agencies validates D-Wave’s credibility and enhances its potential for lucrative long-term contracts.
Strong Revenue Projections:
Wall Street forecasts a nearly 70% revenue growth to $14.8 million by 2025, reflecting rising demand for D-Wave’s quantum solutions and marking progress toward scalability and profitability.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on QBTS above the $3.75-$3.80 range, supported by its competitive technology, increasing adoption, and strategic partnerships.
Upside Potential: Our upside target for QBTS is $9.00-$10.00, driven by expanding commercial applications, strong revenue growth, and continued government traction.
🚀 QBTS—Harnessing Quantum Power to Solve Tomorrow’s Challenges Today. #QuantumComputing #Innovation #TechGrowth
Gold vs. Silver: Is the Ratio Signaling a Major ShiftIntroduction:
Precious metals are displaying promising price action, warranting a closer look at the gold AMEX:GLD to silver AMEX:SLV ratio. This ratio provides valuable insights during bull markets:
Bullish Silver: In a strong bull market, silver typically outperforms gold, causing the ratio to decline.
Gold Leading: Recently, gold has taken the lead, advancing in a corrective rally, but there are signs this could change.
Analysis:
Inverted Saucer Formation: On the gold-to-silver ratio chart, a large inverted saucer formation is emerging. This bearish pattern indicates a potential breakdown below key support levels, signaling silver’s outperformance in the months ahead.
What to Watch:
A confirmed breakdown of support in this ratio could signal a major shift in favor of silver.
If silver outperforms, prices could surge to retest its 2011 highs of $48-$50 next year.
Gold Outlook: Despite the shift in favor of silver, gold remains bullish. A breakout could target significant upside, with price projections of $3,300-$3,400.
Trade Setup:
Silver Bullish Setup:
Trigger: A breakdown in the gold-to-silver ratio, confirming silver’s relative strength.
Target: SLV retesting $48-$50.
Stop Loss: Manage risk by placing stops near recent support levels in silver.
Gold Bullish Setup:
Gold continues to show strength, targeting $3,300-$3,400. Monitor for breakouts in gold prices alongside silver’s potential surge.
Conclusion:
The precious metals setup looks increasingly bullish. The gold-to-silver ratio is hinting at a shift toward silver outperformance, a hallmark of true bull markets. If this scenario plays out, silver could retest its 2011 highs, while gold targets new all-time highs. This is a chart and setup worth keeping a close eye on in the coming months. Which metal do you think will lead the charge? Share your thoughts below!
Charts:
(Include charts showing the gold-to-silver ratio with the inverted saucer formation, key support levels, and projected breakdown targets. Add gold and silver price charts highlighting bullish setups.)
Tags: #Gold #Silver #PreciousMetals #GLD #SLV #BullMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingIdeas
CYCLE 4 | CME GAP: Bull Cycle Period First Major Pull Back?Quick post to address BTCs expected potential first major pull back into this bull run period...
BULL MARKET PULL BACKS
Historically, BTC during its bull market enjoys pull back which ranged from 15% to as much as 30%-40% in prior markets. This is essential for trader participants in the market to take profits, allow BTC to retest low levels and prove new heights are sustainable before ranging to new higher price levels.
The first pull back historically for BTC post the start of the 'Bull Run' phase of BTCs 4 year cycle is traditionally the largest pull back opportunity and historically been the best short term buying opportunity in the Bull Run (NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE).
We can expect a 30-40% correction for this pull back based on historic bull market period examples (Let me know in the comments below if you would like me to detail consistent price behaviour during BTC bull run periods in a future post).
ARE WE AT THIS POINT NOW OF THE CYCLE? WHAT ARE THE INDICATORS SAYING?
As highlighted by the RED arrow on the chart, a number of the indicators like to monitor on the weekly chat are suggesting bearish divergences and fading momentum exists with the current price action. This is calling for a cooling off period of the market.
CME GAP
Historically, BTC has had a tendency to want to 'close' open gap, created by weekend trading of BTC that does not align with equities that follow the traditional 'No Trading' over the weekend policy of Traditional Financial instruments. Hence crypto ETFs which align with these policies (such as the CME Futures chart as seen in this chart) can create 'GAP' between the open (Monday) and close (Friday) candles.
To understand CME gaps, please take the time to review the details discussion in the earlier post.
The orange BOX shows the below CME gap target that BTC price may range towards to close.
NOTE: this box has been listed as Partially Closed as the open Monday candle of the gap did go below before rising during the weekly candle but did no dip past the close of the previous weekly candle.
21W EMA & 20W SMA
Historically, a fully developed healthy bull market for BTC has required periodic retesting and holding of these moving averages. A close of the CME gap at this point of the market would also satisfy this historic trend for BTC.
ORANGE TREND LINE
Bears if eager to continue the 'close the CME gap' trend will need to convince the market by first exceeding the orange trend line. Currently this allows BTC to complete a 10 to 12% correction while also taking the price below the key psychological 100K price level, without phasing the bulls conviction to charger higher.
* Holding the Orange Trend Line Scenario: we want to see price bounce and conviction from the bulls to push BTC to higher highs. The goal for Bears would be to achieve the measured move up to 180K. This would most potentially shorted the bull run (time prospective) and potentially cap our ATH for this cycle early; creating a distribution zone similar to the 2021 cycle top.
* Breaking below the Orange Trend Line Scenario: If we break the Orange Trend Line then Bulls will concede ground to the MA levels (allowing the CME gap to also close). Bulls will write this off as a market reset and holding support at these levels will entice Traders to take positions needed to drive BTC up sustainably to the next higher level(s).
Losing the MAs would ask serious questions to the intent of BULLs and the sustainability of the market moving forward this bull run.....
GALAUSDT: Bullish Trend (AB=CD Pattern)GALA is moving in down trend on short time frame, but on the 4hr time frame its making correction and forming AB=CD Pattern. If GALA is maintain on C point and making bullish divergence on any short time frame so its must be touch the D point, So we will wait and observe the Bullish Divergence on any short time frame with break of the LHs to confirmation of the bullish trend and take a long trade with proper Risk Management.
GBP/USD: Bearish Momentum Holds Below 1.2500GBP/USD trades around 1.2490, showing weakness for the third consecutive day, with the daily chart indicating a bearish bias within a descending channel. The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, projecting a 2025 rate of 3.9% (up from 3.4% in September). Powell emphasized caution and a slower path for future rate cuts, while the BoE kept rates steady at 4.75%. The strengthening of the US Dollar has been supported by rising Treasury yields, although improving global risk sentiment might limit further gains. A break below the 1.2450 support could push the price towards 1.2400, while a move above 1.2530 might open the door to a potential test of 1.2600, though this remains unlikely without favorable catalysts.
GBP/CAD - H4 - Strong BreakoutThe GBP/CAD pair on the H4 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.7761
2nd Support – 1.7570
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Is MNTUSDT Gearing Up for a Rally or a Major Breakdown?Yello, Paradisers! Is MNTUSDT preparing for an explosive breakout, or are we staring at the possibility of a deep pullback? The chart is at a critical decision point, and what happens next could define the trend for the coming weeks. Let’s break it down.
💎#MNTUSDT recently tested a significant resistance zone around $1.2651, marked by heavy seller activity in the past. The rejection from this level suggests that buyers need more momentum to push through and sustain higher levels.
💎The price is now raising the probability of a bullish continuation from a demand zone near $1.00, which previously acted as a springboard for the last rally. This zone aligns with the 100 EMA, providing additional technical confluence for potential support.
💎Below the demand zone lies a crucial support level at $0.8775–$0.9227. If the price loses this level, it could open the floodgates for a significant decline.
💎If #MNTUSDT holds above $1.00 and buyers regain control, we could see a rebound toward the resistance zone at $1.2651. A breakout above $1.2651 could trigger a strong rally, with upside targets at $1.50 and potentially as high as $1.80 in the coming weeks.
💎A breakdown below $0.8775 would signal weakness, invalidating the current demand zone. This could result in a sharp drop, with potential downside targets at $0.70 and even $0.60, suggesting a bearish reversal in market structure.
💎The MACD is showing signs of slowing momentum, hinting at the possibility of consolidation or further downside unless buyers step in strongly. The 100 EMA remains a key dynamic support level that bulls must defend to maintain the bullish bias.
Stay disciplined, Paradisers. Let the market confirm its direction before making any commitments. Whether it’s a rally or a correction, being prepared and patient will always set you apart from the majority. Play it smart, stay focused, and always prioritize capital preservation.
MyCryptoParadise
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