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Could there there be NO real ALT season this cycle ? Why ?Not many people Will like this idea, including me but as someone who will ALWAYS try and look to Both sides of possibilities that exist , technical and Macro, I am beginnign to think that the ALT seasons we have seen previously may become History. And in fact, some evidence of that already exists in the Way Some ALTS ran Hot right from the start, like INJ BUT, I hear some of you say, You ..YOU posted a chart, OTHERS.D chart that suggests ALT season may have begun... I refer you to yhr beginning of this post. It is ALWAYS best to see Both sides. And so..Why could an Alt season not really happen this time.? Let see Why an ALT season is definded by. If we look back over previous Cycles, ALT Seasons have begun just under a year from the Halving. At thsi poinrt, the BTC Dominacne seems to Fall and yet the BTC PA continues to Rise, to a New ATH The Crux is the BTC DOMINANCE needs to fall. The chart above is the BTC.D chart that could point towards an ALT Season beginning. See how PA here falls, ATH are created and ALTS run fast ~BUT in NONE of these previsou seasons have we had the Corporate uptake of Bitcoin and the use of Bitcoin in Trusts and ETF trading My question being, " Why will BTC.D Drop" if so many are Buying thr coins ? A decrease in BTC. D suggests that capital is rotating out of Bitcoin and into altcoins. This is where altseason potential lies. Strong altcoins with solid fundamentals and clear narratives often lead this phase with explosive gains. BUT Why would the Corporations Sell the BTC coins to invest in to a more volatile substitute and possibly have to rebuy the BTC at a higher price ? Just look how structured that Rise in BTC.D looks..NEVER happened before. And while it has just dropped off its line of support, it has landed on another Strong line. We need to pay very VERY Close attention this this right now. This is Not saying ALTS will not run but maybe, Not as explosively as once or twice before. Or maybe they will Att he end of the day, GREED can do increadable things to people. Trade safe and have a good one..and lets see how the next 12 months unfold
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D
by Orriginal
Solo Trading in a Frenzied Market: Avoiding the Crowd TrapIn the world of trading, the crowd effect is a serious psychological obstacle that often causes traders to lose their way. This phenomenon, where traders make decisions based on the majority's actions rather than their own analysis, can result in impulsive buying or selling. As many traders point out, such decisions often end in financial losses. 📍 Understanding the Crowd Effect The crowd effect is based on the tendency of people to obey the actions of the majority. In the trading arena, it can manifest itself when traders jump on the bandwagon and buy assets during an uptrend in the market or hastily sell them during a downtrend due to panic. While trend trading may be logical - after all, if most people are buying, it may seem unwise to resist the flow - there is a delicate balance to be struck here. Joining a long-term uptrend can lead to buying assets at their peak. This is especially evident in cryptocurrency markets, where FOMO can cause prices to rise artificially, allowing an experienced market maker to capitalize on these moments by selling off assets at peak levels. 📍 The Dangers of the Crowd Effect for Traders • Impulsive Decision-Making: Crowd-driven decisions are rarely based on careful analysis, increasing the risk of costly mistakes. • Ignoring Personal Strategy: Traders often abandon their trading plans in the heat of mass panic or excitement, forgetting the essential disciplines that guide their decisions. • Overestimating Risks: Following the herd can lead to overextended positions in the expectation of “guaranteed” profits, further increasing potential losses. • Market Bubbles and Crashes: Collective crowd behavior can lead to market bubbles and sharp declines, negatively affecting all participants. 📍 Examples of the Crowd Effect ▸ Bull Market and FOMO: During a strong uptrend, new traders may be attracted by the sight of other people buying assets. They often join the frenzy at the peak of prices and then take losses when the market corrects. ▸ Bear Market and Panic Selling: During a downturn, fear can prompt traders to sell off massively, minimizing their ability to recoup losses in a recovering market. ▸ Social Media Influence: In today's digital age, the opinions of self-proclaimed market “gurus” can prompt uncritical investment decisions. Traders may buy trending assets without proper analysis, leading to losses when prices inevitably fall. 📍 Why Traders Give in to Crowd Influence Several psychological factors underlie why traders may succumb to the crowd effect: ▪️ Fear of Being Wrong: Traders derive a sense of security by aligning with the majority, even when it contradicts their logic. ▪️ Desire for Social Approval: The inclination to conform can lead to decisions based on collective trends rather than independent analysis. ▪️ Emotional Traps: High volatility can spread feelings of euphoria or panic, swaying traders away from rational decision-making. ▪️ Cognitive Distortions: The phenomenon of groupthink reinforces the false belief that popular decisions are invariably correct. ▪️ Lack of Confidence: Inexperienced traders, particularly, may align themselves with the crowd out of insecurity in their own judgment. 📍 Steps to Mitigate the Crowd Effect 🔹 Develop a Clear Trading Strategy: Create and adhere to a trading plan that reflects your risk tolerance, and trust it even when market participants act differently. 🔹 Avoid Emotional Decision-Making: Base your trading on systematic analysis rather than fleeting market sentiment. Take a moment to pause and assess your emotions before making critical choices. 🔹 Limit External Influences: Steer clear of forums and social media during volatile periods; avoid following advice without verifiable research. 🔹 Employ Objective Analysis Tools: Lean on technical and fundamental analysis instead of crowd sentiment. Identify patterns and levels for entry and exit rather than moving with the trending tide. 🔹 Enhance Self-Confidence: Fortify your market knowledge and trading strategy to reduce reliance on crowd validation. Keep a trading journal to document your successes and the soundness of your decisions. 🔹 Manage Risks Wisely: Never invest more than you can afford to lose. Segment your capital to mitigate the impact of any sizable losses. 🔹 Assess Crowd Behavior: Use indicators, such as market sentiment and trading volume, to gauge the crowd's actions, but retain the independence of thought. Remember that crowds can often misjudge trend reversals. 📍 Conclusion The crowd effect poses a serious threat to rational decision-making in trading. However, through disciplined strategies, thorough analysis, and effective emotion management, traders can minimize adverse impacts. Remember that successful trading is rooted in objectivity and independent judgment rather than blind conformity. “The market favors traders who think independently instead of conforming to the crowd.” Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
13
IONQ Daily Chart: Technical Analysis (Long-Term View)1. Trend: * IONQ has been in an uptrend for the past few months, with higher highs and higher lows. * Currently showing a pullback but holding above the key EMA 9/21 levels, indicating potential continuation. 2. Support & Resistance: * Support: Around $30–$31, where it bounced recently. * Resistance: Near $38.45 (recent highs) and $40, a psychological level. 3. Volume: * Strong green volume on the recent bounce suggests buyers stepping in. * Sustained volume will be crucial for a move higher. 4. MACD: * Currently bearish, but showing signs of a reversal as the histogram flattens. A bullish crossover could confirm renewed upside momentum. Long-Term Perspective: * IONQ is showing strong technical strength but remains volatile. * Upside Potential: If the uptrend continues and it breaks above $38–$40, IONQ could see further growth. * Downside Risk: A break below $30 could signal weakness, so managing risk is essential. ---------------- Strengths for Long-Term Investment 1. Leader in Quantum Computing: * IONQ is at the forefront of a rapidly growing industry with strong innovation and technology leadership. * Quantum computing is expected to disrupt sectors like finance, pharmaceuticals, and AI, offering huge upside potential. 2. Strategic Partnerships: * Collaborations with major players like Amazon (AWS), Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud give credibility and scalability to their business. 3. Strong Revenue Growth: * While still in its early stages, IONQ has shown solid revenue growth year over year, reflecting increasing adoption. 4. Market Position: * As one of the first publicly traded quantum computing companies, IONQ holds an early-mover advantage. Risks to Consider 1. High Valuation and Volatility: * Like most early-stage tech companies, IONQ trades at a premium with significant price swings, which can be risky for conservative investors. 2. Unproven Commercialization: * Quantum computing is still an emerging technology, and widespread commercial adoption may take years to materialize. 3. Competition: * Tech giants like IBM, Google, and Intel are heavily investing in quantum computing, which could challenge IONQ's position over time. 4. Profitability Concerns: * IONQ is not yet profitable and requires continued investment in R&D, which could lead to cash burn concerns. Final Thoughts IONQ offers significant long-term potential as a pioneer in quantum computing, but it remains a speculative play. If you're a long-term investor with a higher risk tolerance, IONQ could be worth considering as part of a diversified portfolio. Key areas to watch include: * Revenue growth and financial stability. * Technological advancements and partnerships. * Market adoption of quantum computing solutions. For a cautious approach, consider starting with a small position and scaling in as the company's growth trajectory becomes clearer. 🚀 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Perform your own due diligence before trading.
NYSE:IONQLong
by BullBearInsights
Moon river ( MOVR)Movr usdt Daily analysis Time frame 4hours Risk rewards ratio >1.8 👈👌 Moon river is good asset for short time trading What is MOVR ? As a decentralized smart contract platform, Moonriver requires a utility token to function. The moonriver token uses include : Supporting the gas metering of smart contract execution Incentivizing collators and powering the mechanics around the creation of a decentralized node infrastructure on which the platform can run ...
Long
by Habib-Tafazoli
Rising Demand for ChainlinkThe team behind the World Liberty Financial (WLFI) crypto project has acquired Chainlink (LINK), which has piqued the interest of the crypto community. Currently, their portfolio includes 4 cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Chainlink (LINK), and Aave (AAVE). World Liberty Financial purchased LINK tokens at an average price of $24.2. You can use Etherscan or other services to check the composition of their portfolio. Their wallet address is 0x5be9a4959308a0d0c7bc0870e319314d8d957dbb. Bitwise Asset Management has filed an application with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to launch the "Bitwise 10 Crypto Index ETF", an exchange-traded fund that includes ten cryptocurrencies. Chainlink (LINK) is also part of this fund. Here’s the full list of cryptocurrencies in the ETF: Bitcoin (BTC) Ethereum (ETH) Ripple (XRP) Solana (SOL) Cardano (ADA) Avalanche (AVAX) Chainlink (LINK) Polkadot (DOT) Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Uniswap (UNI) There is no certainty that their application to launch an ETF will be approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). However, the fact that they have included Chainlink in their list of ten cryptocurrencies suggests that Bitwise Asset Management is optimistic about the prospects of this blockchain. That’s not to say that Chainlink is a useless project only used for Pump & Dump schemes. Yesterday, it was announced that the cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase is integrating Chainlink’s CCIP technology. CCIP is a protocol that allows different blockchain networks to communicate with each other, enabling the transfer of assets, data, and functionality between chains. Brazil’s central bank is working on creating a central bank digital currency (CBDC). In a press release on November 19, the central bank of Brazil announced that it has chosen Chainlink for this task. If Brazil achieves the desired results, it could lead to other countries’ central banks also choosing to use Chainlink. Technical Analysis The falling wedge pattern may cause the price of LINK to rise to $45.
by robofi
BITFARM - lowest against HUT+MARA+CLSKBitfarm was unable to maintain its long-standing relationship with its competitors: HUT 8; MARA; CLSK This relationship was maintained for a long time but was recently overtaken by the improvement of its rivals while Bitfarm continues to decline, in the background we see that its relationship against Bitcoin is not improving either, Bitfarm is at a great entry point if there is a change in the price of this stock! We will have to keep a close eye on it!
NASDAQ:BITFLong
by francopezzelatto
Ftx token ( FTT)Ftt usdt Daily analysis Time frame 4hours Risk rewards ratio >2.5 👈👌👈👈 First target 4.5 $ Second target 5.45 $ LS should have been chosen very close to the entry point (a little below the diagonal line), but in order not to be caught, I chose LS much lower, so that over time and as the price grows, I will also raise LS and make it risk-free. Good news has also been heard in cyberspace about the new management of the FTX exchange, which is paying off its debts, and this is a positive sign for the future this currency and it is likely to return to its original position, the price range before the problems it had with the Binance exchange. (20-25$)
Long
by Habib-Tafazoli
BITCOIN → Consolidation before the breakout. When do we go up?BINANCE:BTCUSD continues to consolidate, but within a strong bullish structure. The price is approaching the trigger, the breakout of which may provoke the formation of an upward impulse Globally, the coin is still in the phase of realizing a global " cup and handle ", which I reminded one of the first back in August: A good signal that hints that the growth is likely to continue is the fact that after a strong growth and testing 100K the price does not fall, but consolidates with gradually rising local lows, it is also worth paying attention to MA-50, which acts as a strong support. Within this consolidation we have clear zones, within which the price is trading and accumulating potential, and there is also a clear trigger, the breakout of which can provoke the continuation of growth (distribution). But next week is the Fed meeting on December 17-18, and there may be short-term market manipulative reactions. Be careful Resistance levels: 101.8K, 104.1K Support levels: 98.9K, 94.15K Technically, the focus is on 101.8 - 98.9. Consolidation is forming inside this channel. I do not exclude a chance of support retest in the format of a false breakdown before further growth. Another deep correction to the lower liquidity zone - 94.1K is also possible. But until the price breaks 101.8, bitcoin will not go up, and based on the chart, the event is close and the chance is high Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
33
Algorand ALGOUSD Periodic Analysis (Issue 52)The analyst believes that the price of { ALGOUSD } will increase in the next 24 days. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend. Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame. ------- Risk warning Investing in high-risk financial markets not only offers the potential for profit but also carries the possibility of losing a portion or even the entirety of your capital. Various factors, such as market fluctuations, economic and political events, and asset-specific risks, can impact the value of your investments. Prior to making any investment, carefully assess all associated risk factors.
BINANCE:ALGOUSDLong
by MoonriseTA
Playing Both Sides of the Upcoming USD Monetary Policy DecisionTwo trading opportunities for the price of one today as we look at difference scenarios that may play out from out upcoming US monetary policy announcement this Wednesday. The first trading opportunity on the NZDUSD is a bearish trend continuation/breakout trade that would take advantage of US Dollar strength in the market. The second trading opportunity on the AUDUSD is a bearish gartley pattern that would complete if the reaction to Wednesday's decision provided us with US Dollar weakness. I personally would not recommend trading through these news events, rather waiting for the outcome (confirmation) and making a decision afterwards, but it's your money and you can do whatever you want with it! lol If you have any questions, comments or want to share you views, please do so below as I love reading through them. Akil
Short
by Akil_Stokes
2
BULLISH NZDUSD PREPARING FOR FLASH PMI TOMMOROW From a technical standpoint, The NZDUSD remains firmly entrenched in a bearish trend. The pair is nearing critical support at the 0.5740 level which is seems ti have been breached and could possibly pave a further decline. The NZD/USD pair extended it's downward trajectory on Friday thereby retesting very interersting zones that helped me come up with this analysis. The sustained weakens in the NZDUSD reflects a combination of factors including a dovish stance by the Reserve bank of NZ persistant concerns over China's economuc recovery and robust USD supported by shifting federal reserve monetary policy expectations. This particular analysis I'm cutting corners looking for bullish sentiments based on tomorrows PMI DATA. The NZDUSD pair has been left at the mercy of a broader market sentiment and traders appear reluctant to take aggressive positions ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting this week. The meeting is expected to provide further insight into Fed's policy outlook and could potentially influence the pair's trajectory in the near term hence the bullish outlook I'm looking to get inside buy positions Trade recommendation BUY NZDUSD SL 0.575336 TP 1 - 0.577769 TP 2 - 0.578698 TP 3 - 0.579761
Long
by XAUSEER
USD/JPY Short term Buy read what below 1) Short Term (Maximum One Month) Rating: Buy Average Target Price: 153.00 - 155.00 Justification: Economic Data: Recent US economic data reports, including CPI and employment figures, have been strong, suggesting a resilient economy, which generally supports a stronger dollar. Interest Rates: The expectation of the Federal Reserve maintaining a hawkish stance with potential rate hikes creates upward pressure on the USD against the JPY, especially as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) shows reluctance to adjust its significantly lower rates. Market Sentiment: Analyst projections indicate a bullish trend for USD, with reports highlighting robust performance in USD over major currencies and a potential target nearing 155.00. Geopolitical Stability: The US dollar is considered a safe haven amidst geopolitical uncertainties, maintaining demand over the JPY. 2) Medium Term (6-12 Months) Rating: Hold Average Target Price: 150.00 - 152.00 Justification: Economic Outlook: While the USD looks strong in the near term, medium-term trends suggest some volatility as markets adjust to the Fed's policy changes. Exchange Rate Dynamics: Analysts indicate that USD/JPY may trade in a range as US economic growth faces headwinds from potential recession fears leading into the latter half of 2025. Inflation Impacts: If inflation remains stubbornly high, the Fed may need to adjust rates further, but this could lead to economic slowdowns in the US, impacting growth and therefore the USD. Bank of Japan Policy: Any shift in the BoJ’s policy, especially if it decides to hike rates, would impact the USD/JPY exchange rate and could stabilize the yen against the dollar. 3) Long Term (2-5 Years) Rating: Sell Average Target Price: 140.00 - 145.00 Justification: Economic Shifts: Over a horizon of 2-5 years, structural changes in the Japanese economy might lead to stronger growth outcomes compared to the US, encouraging a stronger yen. Demographic Trends: Japan’s demographic shifts may compel the government to adopt more aggressive fiscal policies, potentially strengthening the yen. Global Economic Position: As the global economy transitions, shifts in trade dynamics and investment flows could favor the JPY over the USD, especially if US economic dominance wanes. Long-Term Interest Rate Trends: If the BoJ is forced to raise rates while the Fed enters an easing cycle, the relative attractiveness of Japanese securities could enhance the yen’s strength against the dollar. Conclusion The USD/JPY pair is positioned for short-term gains due to robust US economic data and a hawkish Fed stance. However, the medium-term outlook reflects potential volatility and a need for cautious holding, while the long-term perspective suggests a potential depreciation of the USD against the JPY as structural factors evolve. Monitoring economic data, interest rate decisions, and geopolitical developments will be critical in refining these views.
by FreeAnas
1