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Fundamental Analysis

GBPJPY TREND BULLISHThe green demand zone indicates a strong area where buyers are expected to step in. If the price retraces to this zone, it could provide a high-probability buy opportunity. The projection assumes a continuation of the bullish trend, suggesting that if the demand zone holds, the price may rally back toward the supply zone. However, if the price breaks below the demand zone, it could invalidate the bullish bias, making proper stop-loss placement essential to manage risk effectively.
Long
by debo4samuel
2
USD Expected to Strengthen: A Structured Economic Analysis.The coming week is anticipated to witness the strengthening of the USD, driven by a combination of robust US economic fundamentals and global uncertainties that shift investor attention toward safe-haven assets. Below is a comprehensive analysis of why the USD's strengthening trend is becoming increasingly evident. 1. Strength of the US Economy: The US economy continues to demonstrate impressive performance. Strong retail sales and stable consumer spending reflect high consumer confidence. In the upcoming week, reports on durable goods orders and personal income are expected to show positive growth, signaling that the US economy remains resilient despite a high-interest-rate environment. Moreover, controlled inflation provides room for the Federal Reserve to maintain elevated interest rates. This approach enhances the appeal of US bonds and assets, thereby supporting demand for the USD. 2. Hawkish Stance of the Federal Reserve: The Federal Reserve has reaffirmed its hawkish stance in recent meetings, committing to maintaining high interest rates until inflation returns to the 2% target. This approach has triggered increased capital inflows into US markets as high-interest rates improve investment returns denominated in USD. Global investors view the USD as the currency of choice in a tight monetary environment. 3. Global Uncertainty Favors Safe-Haven Assets: Amid a market climate overshadowed by geopolitical and global economic instability, investors are gravitating toward safe-haven currencies like the USD. Factors such as economic slowdowns in the UK and the eurozone, global trade tensions, and domestic political risks in major economies further bolster the USD's position as a top choice for investors. 4. Weakness of Competing Currencies: The GBP and EUR are expected to remain under pressure in the coming week. UK economic data reveal weaknesses in the labor market, burdensome inflation on consumers, and sluggish growth. Similarly, the eurozone faces challenges with persistent inflation and a slowdown in the manufacturing sector. These uncertainties create opportunities for the USD to dominate currency pairs such as GBP/USD and EUR/USD. CONCLUSION The USD is projected to maintain its strengthening trend next week, supported by robust US economic fundamentals, the Federal Reserve's consistent monetary policy approach, and global risk sentiment favoring safe-haven currencies. For investors, strategies that capitalize on the USD's strengthening could present opportunities to leverage current trends in the global financial markets. This scenario confirms that the USD is not only a protective asset during global uncertainties but also a symbol of the resilience of the United States economy. TIME KEY TRADE: Monday's Critical Opportunity. Next Monday presents a critical trading opportunity for EUR/USD and GBP/USD, as both pairs are expected to form peaks before declining to new lows.
Short
by design77
3
GOLD → Short to medium term perspectiveFX:XAUUSD after breaking through the support and updating the local minimum is returning to the area of 2620-2625, fueling the hopes of the bulls for possible growth. But, the medium-term picture for gold is not stable. Let's understand The strong dollar, which soared to local highs is a threat to gold going forward, as the Fed's hints of halting the rate cut course and adopting a hawkish stance on monetary policy has affected the market quite aggressively. There are 2 rate cuts pledged for 2025. Not to forget Trump's policies in general - the impact on rising inflation.... There are two interesting charts online that should not be overlooked: Statistics play an important role in shaping prices, but it is worthwhile to base this on actual fundamental and technical data. You should not use these statistical charts as primary data, but you can take them into account. We will analyze the dollar in terms of cycles and possible reversal in the second half of January and further as Trump acts.... As for gold, technically, in the short and medium term, I expect the decline to continue for the following reasons: - the bearish structure is confirmed - a localized retest of the zone of interest and imbalance is forming before a further fall. - The bearish trend has not broken within the framework of the December 10-13 movement. - price updates local lows We continue to follow the zones: 2631-2636 and 2650 Regards R. Linda!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
14
USDCHF let's wait for longs guys The dollar headed for its best weekly performance in a month on Friday, as investors priced in the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting rates more slowly next year, while sterling fell after a surprise contraction in UK economic activity. The U.S. currency held firm against the euro and Swiss franc following rate cuts by those central banks a day earlier, and rose against the yen after reports that the Bank of Japan could forgo a rate hike at its meeting next week. The dollar index, which measures the currency against six others, was flat at 106.94, but still set for a weekly gain of nearly 1%, its biggest in a month.
by admiretira
EURUSD analysis week 51🌐Fundamental Analysis The outlook for the US dollar remains firm after the Fed's rate cut. ECB's Patsalides postponed the prospect of a larger rate cut and advocated gradual policy easing. The US dollar (USD) maintained its strength on Thursday after outperforming its hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) dot-matrix rivals on Wednesday. Upbeat macroeconomic data from the US continued to support the currency. However, EUR/USD maintained its position. 🕯Technical Analysis EURUSD is recovering to the resistance level of 1.045. This is the confluence of EMA and strong selling pressure to break the old resistance. And now this is the immediate resistance level that the pair needs to overcome if it wants to resume the uptrend. The main resistance for next week is seen around 1.053 as a break of this zone confirms the uptrend. On the other side, after breaking last week's bottom at 1.034, the area that will help EURUSD price to survive a long slide is the support zone at 1.029. 📈📉Trading Signals BUY EURUSD 1.029-1.027 Stoploss 1.025 SELL EURUSD 1.052-1.054 Stoploss 1.056
by TVS-Trader
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Dec 22 - Dec 27]This week, OANDA:XAUUSD fell quite sharply from 2,664 USD/oz to 2,582 USD/oz, then recovered to 2,631 USD/oz and closed the week at 2,622 USD/oz. The reason gold prices dropped sharply this week is because the FED cut interest rates by another 0.25% as predicted. However, what caused disappointed investors to sell off gold was because the Fed chairman said he would only cut interest rates two more times in 2025. Previously, in September 2024, the FED predicted four more cuts. interest rate next year. In the same context, the US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) index in November increased by 2.8% over the same period last year, unchanged compared to October, but still much higher than the target. of the Fed is 2%. This also strengthens the possibility that the FED will reduce the current monetary easing cycle. Furthermore, Donald Trump is about to take office as US President for his second term. If Mr. Trump implements a fiscal expansion policy and sharply increases tariffs with America's trading partners, it will significantly reduce the country's trade deficit, meaning the supply of USD will decrease sharply, pushing the currency This increases, thereby negatively affecting gold prices. Furthermore, Mr. Trump's tax policy also increases inflation, forcing the Fed to delay cutting interest rates, or even raise interest rates again if inflation skyrockets. Next week's gold price is likely to be torn between FED's monetary policy and geopolitical instability. However, next week, most international investors will be on holiday for Christmas and New Year 2025, so gold trading volume will decrease sharply, causing gold prices next week to only fluctuate within a narrow range. 📌From a technical perspective, next week's gold price will likely continue to adjust and accumulate. Accordingly, if next week's gold price still trades above the threshold of 2,582 USD/oz, it will continue to move sideways within the range of 2,585 - 2,665 USD/oz before the holiday. On the contrary, if next week's gold price is pushed below 2,582 USD/oz, there is a risk of falling to 2,530 USD/oz. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,591 – 2,552 – 2,538USD Resistance: 2,623 – 2,634 – 2,656USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2666 - 2664⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2670 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2529 - 2531⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2525
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Roblox | Where Kids Thrive, Stocks Pump and Gamers High FiveRoblox Economics: Teaching 13 Year Olds How to Out Monetize Wall Street RBLX surges 50% since our first signal so let’s explore its potential upside From PlayStation to Paychecks: How Roblox Gamified the Economy From hosting virtual concerts with millions of participants to offering user generated games rivaling major studios, Roblox has evolved into a cultural phenomenon nearly 20 years after its PC debut. It is reshaping the social gaming and entertainment landscape. CEO Baszucki Says Roblox Saves Lives; Haters Say It Destroys Wallets! Founder CEO David Baszucki shared: “Our mission is to connect 1 billion people with optimism and civility. This resonates deeply with me, as several parents have told me their children’s lives were saved through connections made on Roblox” Roblox was already a standout in last year’s Future 50 ranking for its unique value. Currently, over 3 million creators develop games and experiences using Roblox Studio, its proprietary development tool. The platform’s economy thrives on its in-game currency, Robux, rewarding creators based on user spending. For instance, Uplift Games, a Roblox-exclusive studio, supports a 60 person team. Two core growth drivers -Content loop:High quality content attracts users, who then inspire the creation of even more content. - Social loop:Increased participation enhances the platform's appeal to new users. Exploring Roblox’s Expanding Universe -User Generated Content (UGC):Like YouTube, Roblox empowers creators of all skill levels to share their visions. - A Growing Metaverse:Beyond gaming, it hosts virtual events and educational activities, positioning itself as a hub for social interaction. -Broadening Demographics: Once dominated by young users, Roblox now attracts older audiences. In Q3 2024, users aged 13+ made up 60% of its user base, up from 57% the previous year. Roblox by the Numbers -Daily Active Users (DAUs):89 million, up 27% YoY, with strong growth in APAC (+37%) and a 59% rise in Japan. -User Engagement:20.7 billion hours logged, growing 29% YoY. -Q3 Bookings:$1.1 billion (+34% YoY), reflecting robust user spending. -Regional Bookings:North America (62%) and Europe (19%) dominate. The October 2023 PlayStation launch doubled Roblox’s console presence, boosting both users and bookings. To attract console studios, Roblox announced a 70% revenue share for items priced $49.99 or higher, aiming to encourage premium content. Challenges and Opportunities -Short Seller Allegations: In October, Hindenburg Research accused Roblox of inflating metrics and neglecting child safety, highlighting its ongoing unprofitability. Despite initial concerns, the claims lacked substantial evidence. -Profitability Issues: Operating margins remain negative (-30%), with high infrastructure, safety, and AI costs. Expense management is critical for turning a profit. - Advertising Growth: Partnerships with DoubleVerify and Shopify pave the way for in-platform ads and merchandise. With users averaging over two hours daily, this represents untapped potential. -Virtual Economy Improvements: Enhanced discovery features increased payers by 30% to 19 million, with a 6% rise in bookings per DAU. - Cash Flow Strength: Free cash flow hit a record $218 million (+266% YoY), driven by efficient cost management. - Stock-Based Compensation (SBC): SBC equals 29% of revenue, diluting shares (~3% annually). While common in tech, this high level raises concerns for long-term investors. Future Outlook Roblox raised its FY bookings guidance to $4.36 billion (+24% YoY). Achieving sustainable growth while tackling profitability challenges, content moderation, and investor dilution will determine its long-term success. The company’s ability to navigate these issues will shape its legacy in gaming and beyond.
NYSE:RBLXLong
by moonypto
Bitcoin to $84,000? Altcoins Christmas Dump Incoming?🚀 Bitcoin to $84,000? Altcoins Christmas Dump Incoming? 🎄📉 💡 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Analysis: The market is heating up! Could Bitcoin skyrocket to $84,000 and break new all-time highs? 📈 Recent price movements suggest strong bullish momentum, sparking optimism among investors. But what does this mean for altcoins? 🤔 🎄 Christmas Dump for Altcoins? Historically, the holiday season has seen market corrections, and this year might be no different. Here’s why: 1️⃣ Rising Bitcoin Dominance: As Bitcoin captures attention, funds may shift from altcoins to BTC for short-term gains. 2️⃣ Altcoin Selling Pressure: Traders reallocating to Bitcoin could drive altcoin prices down. 3️⃣ 2024 Opportunities: If Bitcoin consolidates after its run, altcoins could regain momentum in the new year. 🔥 My Take: This could be an ideal time to re-evaluate your strategy. Are you: Holding strong with altcoins, waiting for their next breakout? 🛡️ Riding the Bitcoin wave to potential new highs? 🌊 📢 Let’s discuss! What’s your play as we approach the holiday season? Share your strategy below! ⬇️
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by AlphaBull-Trading
PNUTUSDT → Double bottom. One step away from a rally BINANCE:PNUTUSDT.P accumulates good potential for possible growth by 30-50%. After a strong fall (Dump), a reversal pattern appears on the chart. Against the background of bitcoin standing still, pnut forms a double bottom and enters the rally phase. There is resistance at 0.75 ahead. If the coin can break this zone and keep the defense above the level, the coin can fly to 1.0 in the short to medium term. Resistance levels: 0.75, 1.0 Support levels: 0.6 If the bulls can overcome the strong resistance of 0.75 and can consolidate above this area, we have a great coin with good upside potential. Primary target is 1.0, next targets are 1.15, 1.35. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
XRP: Ripple’s Rocky Road🚨 XRP: Ripple’s Rocky Road – Can It Bounce Back? 🚨 💎 CRYPTOCAP:XRP is navigating choppy waters after recent market turmoil. The big question: Can XRP recover, or are we looking at a prolonged slump? 🔍 What’s Dragging XRP Down? ⚖️ Regulatory Challenges: Ripple’s ongoing legal battle with the SEC is a dark cloud over its future. 📉 Shifting Sentiment: Market confidence in XRP has wavered. What does this mean for its price trajectory? ⚔️ Altcoin Competition: Is XRP losing ground to rival projects, or does it still hold untapped potential? 🌟 What Lies Ahead for XRP? 🚀 Signs of Recovery?: Could Ripple turn the tide with new partnerships, groundbreaking tech, or legal wins? 💰 Opportunities for Investors: Is this dip a golden chance for long-term players, or should caution prevail? 💬 We want to hear from you! What’s your take on XRP’s future? Will Ripple rise again, or is it time to explore other options? Drop your thoughts and predictions in the comments! ✨ Let’s spark the conversation. Your insights matter!
Short
by AlphaBull-Trading
NQ Weekly and Longer term Bias (We were fire last week, check)hey guys just my weekly chart and levels going into the week. everyone expecting a santa rally, not so positive... i could see it mooning from here, don't get me wrong. im much more bullish this week than last now that we got some sort of correction (check last weeks analysis for real, read the chart and play the thing for the week, we cooked, hope you all did too, all 3). anyway a lot on there, i think it's downward, people buying the wrong dip in my opinion, much more liquidation to come. good luck
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by ajx1124
1
Bears showing up !? 🚨 Bitcoin Bears Tighten Their Grip: What’s Next for the King of Crypto? 🚨 CRYPTOCAP:BTC The bears are back in full force, and Bitcoin is under pressure. Recent price drops have rattled the market, leaving traders wondering: what lies ahead for the world’s leading cryptocurrency? 🔍 Key Observations: Bearish Momentum: Bitcoin's recent performance signals a growing bearish sentiment among traders. Market Dynamics: Global economic uncertainty, interest rate speculation, and ongoing regulatory debates are adding weight to BTC's shoulders. Support Levels: Bitcoin is teetering on key support zones—will it hold firm, or are deeper corrections imminent? 💡 How to Navigate This Market: 1️⃣ Stay Informed: Keep a close eye on critical price levels and market updates. 2️⃣ Risk Management: Diversify your portfolio and set stop-loss orders to safeguard your investments. 3️⃣ Long-Term Perspective: Remember, Bitcoin has endured—and bounced back from—similar downturns in the past. The crypto market thrives on resilience. Is this dip a golden buying opportunity, or will the bears take full control? 💬 Drop your predictions and strategies in the comments below!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by AlphaBull-Trading
NDX positive move for the next two days.Riding the Nasdaq Wave: Navigating Market Swells and Dips Let’s dive into the Nasdaq 100 Index. Flashback to a year ago, and you'll remember a 4.05% dip from December 28, 2023, to January 4, 2024. Technology stocks took a hit, shaken by rising interest rates. The market trembled under hawkish whispers from Federal Reserve officials, who hinted that rates might stay elevated to tame inflation. This stirred up volatility, causing a sell-off in high-growth tech stocks — notoriously sensitive to interest rate ripples. Fast forward to today, and we’re staring down a similar barrel: fewer interest rate cuts in 2025 and pesky inflation hanging around. Technically, the NDX boasts solid support at around 21,000. It would take some seriously bad macro-news to dip below the 50-day moving average. Expect some range trading between 21,000 and 22,000 this week. For traders, the game plan mirrors that of the S&P 500 Index. Pocket some profits during market highs and keep some cash handy for snagging better deals in 2025. Stay sharp, and ride the wave!
NASDAQ:NDX
by IrinaTK