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Fundamental Analysis

Gold price has 50% chance of being in the range of 2,600-2,900At the beginning of the trading session on December 26 (US time), the world gold price increased slightly after the US announced that the number of weekly unemployment benefit applications reached 219,000, a slight increase compared to the forecast of 218,000 applications. This further strengthens the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will delay monetary policy next year. The world gold market is still under pressure in the context of the Fed's reversal of monetary policy. Accordingly, in the context of "persistent" inflation, the US Central Bank's interest rate cut roadmap may slow down next year. While the interest rate stance is boosting the dollar and bond yields, experts say that won’t deter investors from owning gold in their portfolios. Tom Bruce, macro strategist at Tanglewood Total Wealth Management, forecasts the precious metal will rise about 10% next year and stay below $3,000 an ounce. He said the biggest short-term challenge for gold in 2025 is the expected strong growth in the U.S. economy. However, gold prices will remain supported as central bank purchases create new momentum in the market.
TVC:GOLDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
$OM Shines Bright in 2024's Crypto Renaissance2024 is gearing up to be a monumental year for crypto! ❇️Trump wins → Bitcoin hits ATH ❇️Spot Bitcoin & Ethereum ETFs approved ❇️Memecoin crazy supercycle ❇️Rise of AI Agents ❇️RWA tokenization becoming the next big narrative And let’s not forget about NASDAQ:OM - MANTRA Chain is leading the charge in RWA tokenization. With over 15,000%+ gains in 2024, NASDAQ:OM is on track to deliver next-level returns. #RWA #Crypto #MANTRA #Tokenization #Blockchain #DeFi
Long
by awaiszs231
World gold prices have not changed muchIn its Commodity Outlook 2025 report, TD Securities analysts noted that the Fed's rate-cutting cycle, geopolitical uncertainty and strong central bank demand for gold have pushed gold prices to record highs this year, but capital flows have not provided strong support. "There is no shortage of compelling macro stories that have fueled gold's rally in recent months ahead of the US election. However, the gold rally has not been supported by capital flows. Modules have maintained a 'maximum buy' status since August, confirmed by the largely unchanged COT report. In Shanghai, traders have sold nearly 35 tonnes of nominal gold in recent weeks as domestic investment opportunities have become more attractive. Gold buying has been driven largely by traditional ETFs and China. Fund managers have largely eliminated short positions. At the same time, rising US dollar and US interest rates have reduced the attractiveness of gold to Western capital inflows in the short term."
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
ETH/USD AnalysisETH/USD is forming a bearish setup as price breaks down from a rising trendline near the resistance zone. The SL (stop-loss) is placed above the resistance area ($3,440), while the target aligns with the support zone near $3,061. Fundamentals indicate increasing selling pressure, aligning with the technical bearish divergence. Manage risk accordingly Note: This analysis is for educational purposes and not trading advice. Consider market conditions and strategies. Please do not forget the like button, Share it with your friends,thanks, and Trade safe
BINANCE:ETHUSDShort
by David_Josh_Trader
6
XAU/USD 4H Chart AnalysisOur Preferance Gold shows bearish momentum amid a stronger USD and potential shifts in Federal Reserve policy. After rejecting the resistance at $2,662, price has formed a lower high. Key support levels are identified at $2,605 (TP1) and $2,595 (TP2). SL placed above resistance for risk management. Monitor macroeconomic events and USD strength for confirmation of the setup Note: This analysis is for educational purposes and not trading advice. Consider market conditions and strategies. Please do not forget the like button, Share it with your friends,thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by David_Josh_Trader
NAS100USD AnalysisOur Perferance NAS100USD Fundamental Analysis: The Nasdaq 100 is under pressure amid concerns over rising interest rates and weaker economic data from the U.S. Recent hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve have dampened investor sentiment, increasing the likelihood of further rate hikes. Additionally, fears of an economic slowdown are weighing on tech-heavy indices, contributing to a potential downside in the near term. Technical Analysis: The chart shows NAS100USD approaching a strong resistance level near 22,000, where previous price action has shown rejection (marked by the orange circles). The current setup indicates a potential reversal to the downside. A stop-loss is placed just above the resistance, while Target 1 (21,600) aligns with the next key support zone, and Target 2 (21,200) is near a previous low. Indicators and price action suggest bearish momentum, but traders should wait for confirmation before entering a position. Trade Plan: Entry: Below the resistance at 21,900 Stop-Loss: Above 22,000 Targets: 21,600 (Target 1), 21,200 (Target 2) Focus on risk management and monitor fundamental developments for further confirmation of the bearish bias. Note: This analysis is for educational purposes and not trading advice. Consider market conditions and strategies. Please do not forget the like button, Share it with your friends,thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by David_Josh_Trader
1
BTC/USD AnalysisBTC/USD Bearish Setup in Play The BTC/USD pair is showing a potential bearish movement on the 30-minute chart. The price has rejected the resistance zone around $97,500, indicating selling pressure. A short trade setup is identified, targeting the support zones at $94,000 and $92,500, with a stop loss placed above the resistance at $97,500 . The arrows highlight a downward trajectory, suggesting sellers' dominance in the current market phase. Fundamentally, Bitcoin is facing pressure amid tightening global monetary policies and cautious investor sentiment. Macroeconomic factors, including inflation data and regulatory updates, could add further volatility. Traders are advised to manage risk carefully. Note: This analysis is for educational purposes and not trading advice. Consider market conditions and strategies. Please do not forget the like button, Share it with your friends,thanks, and Trade safe.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by David_Josh_Trader
1
GBP/JPY Bullish Breakout: Ready for Strong Upside📢 GBP/JPY Bullish Outlook 🚀 🔹 Trade Details: Take Profit: 207.809 Stop Loss: 193.969 📈 Why This Trade? ✅ Strong UK Economic Data: Positive UK economic news is supporting GBP strength. ✅ JPY Weakness: The Bank of Japan’s dovish stance continues to put pressure on the Yen. ✅ Technical Breakout: GBP/JPY has broken key resistance levels, suggesting further upside potential. ✅ Bullish Indicators: MACD bullish crossover and higher lows indicate a strong uptrend. 📊 Analysis Summary: With GBP strength and JPY weakness in play, GBP/JPY is positioned for substantial upside. The pair has cleared major resistance, and technical indicators suggest a continuation of the bullish trend.
Long
by ValchevFinance
HolderStat | Memecoins are trending!1️⃣ PENGU: +47% 🚀 Capitalization $2.19B, rating 383. Classic memecoin without serious technology. Volatility is high - caution can't hurt. 2️⃣ BONK: +30% 🌟 Capitalization $2.52B, rating 183. Developing on Solana with a focus on integration. Prospects depend on realization of plans. 3️⃣ FLOKI: +17% 📈 Capitalization $1.72B, rating 69. Ambitions: payments, bank cards and philanthropy. Potential is high if plans are realized. _____________________ 🔥 Keep an eye on memecoins, but be aware of the risks! 🚀 Always DYOR! 🔬
by HolderStat
2
How Shiba Inu Could Achieve More Gain in 2025Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Shiba Inu , 📚🎇 The SHIB token has gained significant attention in recent years, especially during the peak of the bull market when its price surged dramatically. This rise was driven by a flood of investors and widespread media coverage, attracting substantial capital. As with most rapid growth phases, uncertainty soon followed, leaving much of the capital stagnant and unproductive. Despite its current lull, SHIB still holds potential for significant growth if fresh investment flows in. From experience, I've learned that markets, like life, ebb and flow, and understanding when to cut losses is essential for navigating both. In summary, SHIB is in a consolidation phase, but with renewed capital, a strong rally is still possible. 🧨 Our team's main opinion is : 🧨 SHIB experienced rapid growth fueled by investor hype and media coverage, but uncertainty has led to stagnation. Despite this, it still holds significant growth potential, and a new wave of investment could reignite its upward momentum. Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Long
by MadWhale
Get Ready for More Gain: NOTCOIN Hits 0.0097 Fast!Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for NOTCOIN, 📚💡 NOTCOIN has recently broken through its downward trend and daily resistance levels, signaling a potential market shift. This breakout from its triangle pattern, combined with a surge in trading volume, suggests a growing bullish momentum. I anticipate further upward movement, targeting higher price levels as shown on the chart. 📚🎇 While a 47% short-term gain is expected, minor pullbacks or consolidation phases are possible, which are normal market behaviors during trend development. These fluctuations should be seen as part of the overall positive trend. 📚💡 🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨 NOTCOIN has broken its downward trend and resistance levels, signaling potential bullish momentum with a 47% short-term gain. While upward movement is expected, minor pullbacks or consolidation phases may occur as part of the trend development. Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Long
by MadWhale
2
Nvidia or Broadcom? Who will be the winner ? How big is the custom chip market? By 2027, the custom chip market is expected to reach $90 billion. What does this mean for Nvidia? Nvidia vs. Custom Chips In the custom chip (ASIC) sector, two major players, Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) and Marvell ( NASDAQ:MRVL ), have overshadowed Nvidia. Since the end of Q2, they have outperformed the tech giant by approximately 30% and 50%, respectively. With tech giants like Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ), Google ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ), and Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) developing and accelerating the production of their own chips, the market has finally recognized the huge opportunities in custom chips. How big is the custom chip market? Based on comments from the two leading custom chip players, we estimate that by 2027, the custom chip market will grow to $90 billion, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 60%. Earlier this year, Marvell offered a more conservative forecast, predicting that the market will reach $75 billion by 2028, but with early customer growth suggesting further upside potential. Broadcom’s forecast is even more impressive, estimating the market could reach anywhere from $60 billion to $90 billion by 2027. Both companies have strong platforms. Marvell’s biggest customers are Amazon and Microsoft, and after gaining deeper insight into their growth, they suggest Marvell’s market prediction might be conservative. Broadcom’s top clients include Google, Meta, and ByteDance, all of whom plan to shift to clusters of one million XPU units by FY2027. Reports also suggest that Broadcom has secured two additional customers (potentially Apple and OpenAI). What does this mean for Nvidia? Nvidia’s stock price is currently consolidating, and even when using enterprise value (EV)/EBITDA as a metric, its valuation is now below that of Marvell and Broadcom. Source: Bloomberg,Spear Invest Investors now expect Nvidia’s market share to significantly decline by 2027, leading to slower revenue growth. However, the market has underestimated two key factors: The strength of CUDA. The yearly product improvement cycle. I believe CUDA holds a powerful advantage that will reduce the pressure on cloud service providers (CSPs) to promote custom chips at scale. Given that the cloud market accounts for about 50% of the total market, I believe that capturing half of this market between 2027 and 2030 would be a major win for custom chip providers. Currently, the market assumes, based on comments from Broadcom’s CEO, that most CSP revenue will flow to custom chip vendors, but Broadcom’s assumption may be overly optimistic. Furthermore, whether custom chips can keep up with Nvidia’s yearly product launch cycle remains to be seen—Nvidia’s new products consistently show significant performance improvements with each generation. Our best estimate is that Nvidia’s competitors are still on an innovation cycle of about 1 to 2 years behind Nvidia. Source: Bloomberg,Spear Invest Nonetheless, the AI industry chain, especially in the medium to long term, will continue to benefit. For example, AI + Generative Content (AIGC) companies like Adobe ( NASDAQ:ADBE ) and Unity Software ( NYSE:U ), AI + Software companies like Palantir ( NASDAQ:PLTR ), AI + Insurance companies like AIX Inc. ( NASDAQ:AIFU ), and AI + Financial companies like Block ( NYSE:SQ ) will all benefit.
NASDAQ:AVGOLong
by xugina78
Bitcoin's Ultimate Pump: The Trap Before the CrashBitcoin continues its “hype” and is close to forming the next spurt. Globally, the picture looks like close to the distribution zone. We are approaching the biggest “cheat” in history. I expect a final spurt into the zone around 120k, from here a long trade will start where altcoins will shoot up and show incredible gains. The crowd will be experiencing FOMO, heads of state and big companies will start making noise that this is just a pro-trade level for Bitcoin before the next spurt. Only the majority will fall back into the trap and end up in a bear market with huge losses. The market is set up so that only 10% will make money and the other 90% will be cheated. After the distribution is completed, I expect the bitcoin price to fall below the 0.5 Fibonacci level. The RSI value will drop below 30 units on such a drop and we will enter a global fear phase. I would attribute the next bull market to the rise of the DeSci and AI sectors. My research on the cryptocurrency market sectors shows that large funds and corporations are starting to invest in projects in these areas. Horban Brothers.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by horbanbrothers
USD/JPY - Overbought, it is time for a little correction.Hi guys, moving on to our next opportunity USD/JPY , the pair has ben moving up quite a lot recently as we have seen by the Dollar Index that the dollar is siting in a very healthy strong corner. And on the other end the BoJ did not increase the Interest Rates in their last meeting that happened recently, so hence we have seen the weak JPY. Currently the pair went up a lot and i am looking into a short term correction. Entry: 157.753 Target: 156.879 As always my friends happy trading! P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
Short
by DG55Capital
#BTCUSDT Bitcoin Next Move ? High Probability Move 95.99%++ Welcome to "Trading School BD" here is our analysis of Bitcoin for coming hours. Bitcoin has high chance to give a upward move from this range. So We are taking a long entry in our entry zone, we also gave this signal in our VIP group. Entry, Targets and Stop loss marked on chart. Pair: BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P Trade type: Long Leverage: 20-40x Entry: 96400$ - 96000$ Target 1: 97,575$ Target 2: 98,415$ Target 3: 99,180$ Stop Loss: ~95,600$ (If a candle close in this range we will exit manually) Risk: 2-5% Target 1 has high chance to hit in coming hours. You can close some of your position on Tp1 then trail your position.
Long
by rayhanrafi7