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Fundamental-analysis

Sell NZDJPY Triangle BreakoutA bearish triangle pattern has emerged on the NZD/JPY 30-minute chart, signaling a potential decline in the pair's value. Key Points: 1. Triangle Breakout Pattern: The pair has been consolidating within a triangle formation, characterized by converging support and resistance lines. This often indicates indecision before a decisive move. 2. Sell Entry Opportunity: A break below the lower support line of the triangle, around 90.10, could signal a bearish breakout and offer a potential sell entry. 3. Bearish Targets: If the breakout materializes, initial bearish targets could be found at the support levels of 89.56 and 89.20. 4. Resistance Level: The resistance level at 90.40 may act as a barrier to further upward movement, reinforcing the potential for a downside breakout. 5. Risk Management: A stop-loss order could be placed above the upper resistance line of the triangle to manage risk in case the breakout fails. Fundamental Updates : Weaker New Zealand Trade Data: New Zealand's trade deficit widened in December, potentially weakening the Kiwi Dollar against the Yen. Risk Aversion: Recent geopolitical tensions and concerns about global economic growth could trigger risk aversion, pushing investors towards safe-haven currencies like the Japanese Yen. Thank you
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
1
Tesla Faces Headwinds: EV Fleet Sale and Intense Price WarTesla experienced a notable setback, with its stock falling as much as 4.2% during Friday's trading session. This decline marks the 11th drop in 12 sessions. The dip follows Hertz Global Holdings Inc.'s announcement of plans to sell off a third of its U.S. electric-vehicle fleet, contributing to the downward pressure on Tesla's shares. Adding to the challenges, Tesla has been navigating a complex landscape in China. Since late 2022, the company has engaged in a series of price cuts, triggering responses from other manufacturers and putting pressure on profit margins across the industry. Domestic players like Xpeng Inc. and BYD Co., as well as global giants like Volkswagen AG, have joined the price-cutting competition to defend their market share Technically we have a good opportunity to position, but as I always advise in my posts don't take full size position before the move is already happening. 0.5 Risk now with another addition of 0.5 to the full risk which as a Risk Management should not be more than 1-2% of the total portfolio. BOOST THE IDEA AND COMMENT YOUR OPINION . . .
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Elite_Forex
BTC/USDT 4HInterval ChartHello everyone, I invite you to check the current situation on BTC in pair with USDT, taking into account the four-hour interval. As you can see, the upward trend line marked in yellow has been broken, and currently we can designate a local downward trend channel using blue lines. Going further, using the fib retracement tool, we will determine the supports that we should take into account when the price starts falling again. And here you can see how the support at the level of $39,024 kept the price from falling further, but if the support is broken, the next level is $36,280, and then around $32,831. Looking the other way, we can also use Fib Retracement to determine the resistances that should be taken into account. And here you can see that first we have resistance at the level of $45,469, then the level around $45,000 is significant, and then the price must overcome the strong resistance zone from $46,726 to $49,000. Now please look at the RSI indicator because you can see that a small price increase was reflected in the indicator, which still has room for growth. However, the STOCH indicator shows that we are approaching the downward trend line, which may potentially cause the price to decline and drop again.
by cryptodailyuk
GBPUSD | H1 | Trade IdeaLooking into GBPUSD from an overall structural perspective we can see that we’re currently trading within a consolidation forming on our higher timeframes so currently our trading is focused more around the key areas within the consolidation while we wait for the market to choose an overall direction on a larger scale. Now taking from the above statement we can see that as we further breakdown GBPUSD going into smaller timeframes we can see that the market has broken out of our rising wedge formed on our H1/H4 timeframes and also through our minor 1D uptrend, now given that breakout we can further take note of the potential QML forming on our H1 which would further add as confirming our potential sell order. I’ll be looking to sell GBPUSD from 1.27273 upon the retest of our diagonal Support from the breakout of our lower timeframe rising wedge which will also be the completion of our “Right Shoulder” on our potential QML formation. Stops will be placed at 1.27677 (-40 pips) and my final Take Profit level being 1.25361(+191 pips) giving us a potential 1 : 4.7 risk reward ratio. We should also take note of the potential Fundamental announcements that will be released throughout the course of this week which will have an impact on the overall USD value and also those that’ll be impacting the overall GBP value as there are some important announcements that’ll be made I.e interest rates. NB: This analysis is comprised solely of my own personal opinions and my own person outlook/overview of the market and should not be taken as direct advice to either enter a buy/sell position within the outlined market, please confirm with your own analysis prior to taking any trading decisions based on the outlined analysis.
Short
by mosa_moshka
ETH/USDT 4HIntervalHello everyone, please look at the ETH chart on a four-hour time frame. As you can see, the price remains below the local downtrend line. After unfolding the Fib Retracement grid, you can see how the support at $2,212 held the price, and then there is strong support at $2,074. Looking the other way, we have significant resistance at $2,375, followed by a strong zone from $2,599 to $2,715. The RSI indicator shows a fight against the downward trend line, while the STOCH indicator still has room to try to raise the price.
by cryptodailyuk
Why Now is the Time to Go Long on USD/JPYThe trade idea capitalizes on the economic strengths of the US and the challenges faced by Japan, making a long position on USD/JPY appealing. Amidst the contrasting economic landscapes of the US and Japan, a long position on USD/JPY appears favorable. The robust and resilient US economy, marked by strong retail sales, positive jobless claims, and optimistic consumer sentiment, positions the USD on solid ground. In contrast, Japan faces challenges with contracting Manufacturing PMI, easing CPI, and external factors like weakened Chinese data impacting its economic outlook. US Economic Strength: Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates reflects a strong and resilient economy. December retail sales surged, indicating consumer confidence. Positive jobless claims and robust performance in ISM Manufacturing PMI and Retail Sales further strengthen the USD. JPY Economic Challenges: BOJ maintains expected monetary policy; Governor Ueda expresses openness to easing. Stable Unemployment Rate, but Manufacturing PMI contracts while Services PMI shows resilience. Japanese wage data falls below expectations, impacting BOJ's policy decisions. Weakening Chinese data adds complexities to Japan's economic scenario. Trade Strategy: Long Position on USD/JPY: Consider initiating a long position on the USD/JPY currency pair. Entry Point: Look for technical signals indicating potential upward momentum. Stop-Loss: Place below recent significant support to manage downside risks. Take-Profit: Target the next resistance level, considering the positive momentum in the US economy.
Long
by Elite_Forex
2
XBI Long-term Buy SignalsAMEX:XBI is giving long term buy signals as the chart displays. Super trend signals a buy, also MACD and KST crossovers confirm trend direction. XBI is a somewhat volatile bio-tech ETF. This ETF is also great for selling options on when volatility is high, as the premium you receive is often much higher than employing the strategy on SPY. Here are the most current Top 10 holdings: 1 CYTK Cytokinetics, Incorporated 2.79% 2,308,666 2 KRTX Karuna Therapeutics, Inc. 1.80% 383,056 3 ARWR Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 1.61% 3,201,386 4 BHVN Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Company Ltd. 1.57% 2,381,294 5 SRPT Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. 1.56% 904,544 6 ACAD ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. 1.53% 3,752,269 7 ARDX Ardelyx, Inc. 1.49% 12,061,271 8 VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated 1.46% 224,792 9 MRNA Moderna, Inc. 1.46% 980,210 10 KRYS Krystal Biotech, Inc. 1.41% 736,663
AMEX:XBI
by DontSlamTheDoor
1
Long BRFSBRF S.A. (NYSE: BRFS), a prominent company in the food production sector , has shown some interesting developments and financial activities recently. Here's a summary of what's going on with BRF S.A.: 1. Stock Performance and Financials: As of January 19, 2024, BRF SA's stock closed at 2.65 USD, which is 14.10% below its 52-week high of 3.09 USD, set on November 29, 2023. The 52-week range of the stock has been between 1.06 USD and 3.09 USD. The company's market capitalization stands at 4.44 billion USD 2. Recent Stock Movements: The company has experienced some fluctuations in its stock price. For instance, on January 17, 2024, the stock price moved over -2.29% to 2.56 USD, and on January 19, 2024, it rose above the 15-day moving average to 2.63 USD 3. Earnings and Revenue: In one of its recent financial reports, BRF S.A. reported GAAP EPS (Earnings Per Share) of -R$1.58 with a revenue of R$12.04B. However, specific details about the latest quarter's earnings weren't available in the sources reviewed 4. Analyst Perspectives: There have been mixed opinions from analysts regarding BRF S.A.'s stock. Some have pointed out the company's significant potential in the food sector, while others have shown concerns related to market volatility and other challenges. 5. Industry Trends: BRF S.A. operates in a dynamic sector where factors like consumer demand, global meat market trends, and food industry developments play a crucial role in shaping the company's performance.
NYSE:BRFSLong
by olimchik
Growth and High Short-FloatKey Positive Aspects and Company Growth 1. Stable Dividends: SL Green Realty Corp, the largest owner of office real estate in Manhattan, continues to pay monthly dividends, which is a positive signal for investors. 2. Strong Market Position: The company maintains a leading position in the Manhattan real estate market, as confirmed by the latest financial reports that exceeded analysts' expectations. 3. Active Development: SL Green is actively involved in development and investment projects, contributing to the strengthening of its portfolio and growth potential. Risks and Cautions 1. High Short-Float: An important factor is the high level of short float (over 20%), which may indicate a significant number of investors expecting a drop in stock price. This can lead to increased volatility and potential risks for long-term investors. 2. Market Volatility: Like any real estate market stocks, SL Green's stocks are subject to market volatility and may be sensitive to economic changes. 3. Mixed Analytical Ratings: Some analysts express caution regarding investing in SL Green, which requires additional analysis and assessment by investors.
NYSE:SLGLong
by olimchik
Investment Perspective: Customers Bancorp - Time to BuyInvestment Perspective: Customers Bancorp (NYSE:CUBI) - Time to Buy Customers Bancorp (NYSE:CUBI), a bank based in West Reading, Pennsylvania, shows promising signs that make it an attractive candidate for investment. Based on data from the third quarter of 2023 and recent news, there are several key aspects that make CUBI interesting for investors: 1. Improvement in Financial Indicators: In the third quarter of 2023, the company reported a net income of $83 million, which amounts to $2.58 per share. This was accompanied by an increase in net interest margin to 3.7% and a growth in deposits by $244.9 million. 2. Positive Dynamics in the Sector: Customers Bancorp demonstrated an increase in net interest income to $200 million, a result of the impact of the variable rate both in the loan portfolio and in the securities portfolio. This distinguishes it from many other regional banks, where the "bottom" is expected to be reached only in the next quarter or in the first quarter of 2024. 3. Stability and Security: In terms of insured deposits relative to total deposits, Customers Bancorp is in the top quartile with a ratio of 78%. Additionally, the bank ranks second among its peers in terms of available liquidity to unsecured deposits, which is 239%. 4. Capital and Risk Management: The third quarter of 2023 saw a significant improvement in capital indicators compared to the previous quarter. In particular, the CET1 ratio improved by 100 basis points, and its further increase to 11.50% is planned in subsequent quarters. 5. Strategic Initiatives: The bank employs advanced approaches in managing its portfolio and attracting deposits, making it a unique hybrid bank. This highlights their ability to adapt and evolve in accordance with changing market conditions. Of course, as with any investment, there are risks. For example, the situation with CUBI and cryptocurrencies, despite assurances from management about the absence of direct risk, requires careful consideration. It is also necessary to consider that CUBI has not yet been tested in crisis conditions.
NYSE:CUBILong
by olimchik
USD/JPY Economic InsightsHello traders, Just a quick insight on the Yen pair. The USD/JPY pair has breached the 146.00 level, driven by the strengthening US dollar. AT the moment, investor attention is focused on the imminent release of the New York Empire State Manufacturing Business Conditions Index. It is important to note that there is an uptick in Japan's Producer Price Index (PPI) data. We are expecting the following data to be released today: 1. Release of the New York Empire State Manufacturing Business Conditions Index. 2. Producer Price Index in Japan exhibits a 0.3% increase. However, the prevailing market conditions suggest a preference for initiating a short-term buy position, which is in line with my Wlliott wave outlook on the pair (), but I prefer to watch. Cheers and happy Trading!
Long
by Samuel124
Sell USDJPY Triangle PatternUSD/JPY M30 Triangle Breakout Signals Potential Downtrend A bearish triangle pattern has emerged on the USD/JPY pair's M30 chart, hinting at a potential breakdown and further downward movement. Key Points: Pattern: The pair has been consolidating within a triangle formation, characterized by converging support and resistance lines. This often indicates a period of indecision before a decisive move. Sell Entry: A break below the lower support line of the triangle, around 148.10, could signal a bearish breakout and offer a potential sell entry. Targets: Potential bearish targets are located at the support levels of 147.16 and 146.60. Stop Loss: A stop loss can be placed above the upper resistance line of the triangle, around 148.50, to manage risk. Additional Considerations: Market Sentiment: The overall market sentiment and fundamental factors influencing both the USD and JPY will also impact the pair's price action. Economic Data: Keep an eye on upcoming economic data releases from both the US and Japan, as they could influence the currencies' relative strength. Risk Management: Employ proper risk management strategies, including appropriate trade sizing and stop-loss orders, to protect your capital. Fundamental Factors : 1. Mixed US Housing Data Dampens USD Strength: Earlier on Friday, mixed US housing data, including weaker-than-expected housing starts but a surprising rise in building permits, cast doubt on the strength of the US economy and capped gains for the dollar. This could put downward pressure on USD/JPY. 2. Weak Japanese Machinery Orders Add to Downside Risks: Japan's core machinery orders, a key indicator of future capital spending, unexpectedly declined in November, raising concerns about the health of the Japanese economy. This could lead to increased safe-haven demand for the Japanese yen, weakening USD/JPY further. 3. Rising Global Risk Aversion Favors JPY: Heightened geopolitical tensions and ongoing recession fears in some economies are prompting investors to seek safe-haven currencies like the yen. This could contribute to a decline in USD/JPY. Thank you
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
8
w1 Demand zone | GBPJPY Short-term pull back (risky)GBPJPY is at demand zone(nested daily in weekly demand zone) there is a possibility for a short-term pull back, since GBPJPY is at extreme holding long is risky. upon confirmation on the demand zone the possible target is 185.805 - 185.038 supply zone. W1 and w2 zone are the two demand zone in control. W1 and w2 zone are the last two imbalances remaining for a potential long term sell if eliminated since GBPJPY is at extreme.
Long
by ExtraOrdy
Buy AUDJPY Channel BreakoutBoJ not changing policy, intensified interest rate differential game: Comments from the country's monetary authorities suggest a new wave of pressure on the yen after three months of easing or ‘recharging’. With the Bank of Japan not changing policy, the yen is potentially under pressure from an intensified interest rate differential game. And this game promises to be more aggressive now than a year ago, as yield spreads between Japan and the US have widened for both short and long-term yields. The current higher interest rate environment is an opportunity for Japan to competitively devalue its currency to support national exporters, which it failed to do in the last decade in the era of zero interest rates. Price breaks the channel now, its good chance to buy now. Thank you
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
6
ELLIOTT WAVE Forecast: Euro and Pound Under PressureHello Traders, From my previous short call on GBPUSD on the 13th of December (), I noted some economic indices that favours US dollar over GBP. The analysis is unfolding pretty well. The British pound (GBP) continues to face strong pressure from the U.S. dollar, causing it to lose its position after the impulsive breakout of the ending diagonal at 1.27035. This was expected, but we haven't reached the predicted target yet. With the Euro (euro) also expected to decline, it's unlikely the pound will recover. Looking at the currency pair, it seems the pound is about to drop more. This is due to a complex correction in the market trend. So, it's a good idea to stick with selling the pound (GBP). If the price drops below 1.2610 and stays there, I will consider selling more towards the final leg wave (Y). I will keep selling GBPUSD at 1.2610, and if the price goes below, I will sell more. My stop loss is set at 1.2635 and I aim to take profit at 1.2470 or lower. I will keep an eye on the market for any changes. Cheers and happy trading.
Short
by Samuel124
AUDCHF: Safe-Heaven Time After last week's joint military actions by the USA and UK against Houthi Rebels in the Red Sea, markets are exercising heightened caution amidst the potential for new conflicts to emerge. In such uncertain scenarios, safe-haven currencies like the Swiss Franc stand to benefit. Another pivotal factor supporting this notion is the recent elections in Taiwan, where the USA-backed candidate emerged victorious, indicating that the island may seek support from Washington against China's territorial claims, as hinted by President Xi in his New Year speech. Adding to the rationale is China's slower-than-expected recovery, underscored by last week's discouraging economic data on inflation. This suggests that the world's second-largest economy continues to grapple with challenges in its recovery process. From a technical analysis perspective: Entry is positioned at the previous support, now functioning as resistance. Stop Loss is set at 1 ATR (Average True Range) above the entry point. Take Profit is targeted at the next support level, maintaining a 1:2 Risk-Reward ratio. Stay tuned for more trades and analyses like this, and feel free to share your opinions in the comments below! 📈🤔
Short
by Elite_Forex