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T. Rowe Price Analysis 9/10Disclosure: As of 09/10/2024 I am long T. Rowe Price shares ticker NASDAQ:TROW T. Rowe Price is an investment management company operating in the mutual funds, retirement plans, and investment management business areas. Management Effectiveness: T. Rowe Price has been around for many years and management has consistently managed to grow assets under management, and provide good returns for the firm as well as their clients. The company's return on assets is very good, never dropping below 10% even in the financial crisis of 2008. The company has minimal debt, and an excellent balance sheet. With a business like this the concern is valuation, all the fundamentals and the trend of growing assets as workers contribute to retirement plans will continue well into the future. With a company like this a very long holding period should be expected. As a holding in a retirement, or tax advantaged account T. Rowe Price is very attractive at the right valuations. The idea is to let the earnings compound over a period of decades. Please keep this in mind if you decide to add this company to your portfolio. Looking at the current valuations the combined earnings and dividend yield is nearly 13%. With stable revenue growth, asset growth, and very little downside in the way of tail risks this business is a buy for me at anything below $110 per share. My personal expected return on this is between 15%-17% annually with a holding period of 20-50 years to allow the returns to compound internally with the business.
NASDAQ:TROWLong
by sihen999
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 10, 2024 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is turning positive for the second consecutive day after declining early in the Asian session to the 142.850 area, although it lacks bullish confidence. Spot prices are currently trading with a slight positive bias just below the mid-143.000s and remain within striking distance of the one-month low reached last Friday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to be threatened by data released on Monday that showed the economy grew slightly slower in the second quarter than originally reported. This could complicate the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) plan to raise interest rates further in the coming months. In addition, the overall positive sentiment in equity markets is reducing demand for the safe-haven Yen and serving as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair amid some buying interest from the US Dollar (USD). Investors may also prefer to stand back and wait for the release of US consumer inflation data on Wednesday before making new directional bets. Thus, strong follow-through buying is needed to confirm that the USD/JPY pair has formed a short-term bottom and is positioned for significant gains amid the lack of meaningful macroeconomic data from the US on Tuesday. That said, speeches by influential FOMC members may provide some impetus later in the US session. Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 143.000, if consolidated below consider Sell position, if rebounding positions on Buy.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Buy EURNZD Bullish ChannelThe EUR/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent formation of well-defined channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 1.7975, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.8084 2nd Support – 1.8145 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
3
Sell Gold (Xau/Usd) H4 ChannelThe XAU/USD pair on the H4 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a Formation of well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Days. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 2500, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2440 2nd Support – 2400 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
15
What does the future hold for Crypto Mining?I have chosen RIOT as the chart, but I am looking at MARA and also BITF. But as a whole, looking at the WGMI (Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF), BTC mining companies as a whole is taking a hit. Crypto itself is taking a huge hit and of course, this affects Crypto Mining. It did seem that Crypto was going to push higher as the expectations for the BTC ETF release was going to be the first part of pushing BTC to the "moon" and with the BTC halving, money would just start stacking for holders. But that didn't happen. There is a decent amount of geo political turmoil going on. Governments selling BTC. SEC doing what it can to get Crypto labeled as securities in order to bring the coins to its realm of oversight. The Yen carry trade unwinding. The potential of a recession. But there is the other side, where there is good news going on for BTC. The possibility of BTC becoming a reserve asset. The upcoming elections, with a a lot of fingers pointing at former President Donald Trump being very pro Crypto. But even if Kamala Harris (pointed in ALTCOIN daily), says that she is in support of crypto, then that will be a good push for Crypto to move higher. There is also the FED reducing rates towards the end of September; with the recent NFP coming out lower than expected and pushing the chances for a reduction in rates for 50 basis points to 50%. So if the self fulling prophecy for BTC hitting $100k - $150k do come true, then Crypto Miners are going to be cooking. Projects are already underway and the Crypto Market has been very resilent. There are those that thought Crypto was going to collapse during the silk road incident. Then after the cash in 2017 when BTC hit $20k. Then the Terra Luna incident. FTX collapse. Mt. Gox incident. And many others. Yet Crypto is still here. The main issue I think is where all the money is pilling into, and during 2017, crypto was starting to hit the mainstream and a lot of coverage was on it. Institutions finally starting trading BTC and others, as well a lot of retail traders and investors were pilling in. In 2021, people were staying home, receiving check after check of stimulus, wondering were to put it. Then when things started opening up, businesses were offering sign up bonuses. Afterwards, during both these events, once Crypto hit a certain lvl, a ton of people cashed out and instantly became very rich. This money flowed into other products, such as wants and/or other ventures/markets. Now money is flowing into different meme coins, AI, FAANG-M stocks, among other things. If BTC is able to push higher and hit the around $120k, then MARA, holding around 13,677 BTC will be worth around $1.65 billion, RIOT with a holding of around 7,250, will be around $870 million, and BITF, with holdings of around $1,016, would be around $121 million (which RIOT is attempting a takeover of BITF, offering a buyout of BITF, which BITF did not accept. If this does happen, RIOT would become a very strong competitor to MARA, pushing its exahash production from 12.6 to 19.6. MARA has an exahash of 29.9). For the price targets, if things go accordingly, MARA will likely be able to break out of the $20 resistance, avoiding the completion of the inverse cup and handle pattern. If this pattern forms, price will likely keep pushing lower, potentially to around the $8 lvl (at least breaking the $10). For RIOT and BITF, they have the same pattern as MARA, and WGMI price is in a monthly rising channel, so there is a strong possibility that price will drop, but if things go accordingly, then prices on these companies will also avoid the acceptance of the inverse cup and handle pattern. The psychological lvls for these two companies are $10 and $2, which could be hit depending on how things go these next few months. I am in a position on RIOT and a few on BITF, my positions are at a small loss, but I am selling covered calls and cash secured puts to offset the loss, which, when factored in, puts me at a net positive. Additionally, I am participating in the stock lending program, which is further offsetting my losses. I am on the side that price will push higher and I am willing to see it through. Protect your inventory (your capital), and have some great trading out there.
NASDAQ:RIOTLong
by DollarSaenz
14
GOLD 4h Chart analysis 100%Hello Traders! Follow the instructions. If the price consolidates between $2498 and $2497, gold may touch the $2487 level before bouncing back to $2528. A break above the strong resistance level could potentially send gold to new all-time highs (ATH). Possibility: waiting for geopolitical situation as it getting worsting. I'll Update as it needs to be updated. Use proper risk management Or money management and follow my instructions properly. Don't forgot to support by liking or following!!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by sabellaFX
Sell AUD/USD Bearish Flag The AUD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 0.6733, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.6662 2nd Support – 0.6626 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.6760. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
14
BTCUSD ShortWe've been in this flag for a while. I am looking to capitalize on a retrace to past previous support zones on the weekly timeframes, 50-52k. The last weekly candle had a strong engulfing close. The current weekly candle started pushing upwards which brings me to the overall play, a short once the weekly candle flips on itself and breaks the current low. The current H4 chart is starting to align with the overall vision, same engulfing candle driving price down to the entry point zone. I usually expect the same "movement conditions" as the last time we were in a determined zone and from 57,000 to 54500 we should have a somewhat similar clean move down. My goal is to clear my risk once we go down to 54500. I am expecting the US rate cuts to drive the price further down to retest the 50-52 thousand range. The overall idea in the rate cuts is rather simple. A rate cut implies that more investment opportunities will then be "profitable" when compared to other investment vehicles, therefore a lot of people/banks that are holding to BTC for hedging purposes, will now be tempted to resume with other investments and thus driving down the price of BTCUSD. Other major economies are expected to lower their marginal lending rates as well, so this can easily play out for a while. Interest Rate Cut dates: EUR / 12 Sept 2024 CAD / 4 Sept 2024 USD / 18 Sept 2024 If the first target is hit, then partials are to be taken out and a residual position will be left as a runner with a trailing stop.
Short
by TradingAdventures
Supply/Demand Analytics on 2024 Oil: IEA-EIA Demand ProjectionDear Esteemed Members, There are several fundamental factors that could support the oil price reaching $76.09 per barrel, which is the highest level since November 2014. As the global economy rebounds from the pandemic, the demand for oil is expected to increase, especially in the second half of 2024. The International Energy Agency (IEA) projects that global oil demand will grow by 5.4 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2024, reaching 99.6 million bpd by the end of the year. The OPEC+ group of oil producers, led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, has been maintaining a cautious approach to increasing output, in order to balance the market and avoid oversupply. The group agreed in April to gradually raise production by 2.1 million bpd between May and July, but this is still below the pre-pandemic levels of output. Moreover, Saudi Arabia has voluntarily cut an extra 1 million bpd from its production since February, which it plans to phase out by July. The US shale industry, which was hit hard by the price collapse in 2020, has been showing signs of discipline and prudence, focusing on improving cash flow and shareholder returns rather than expanding production. The US oil rig count, a proxy for drilling activity, has increased by about 100 rigs since the start of the year, but it is still more than 300 rigs lower than a year ago. The EIA estimates that US crude oil production will average 11.2 million bpd in 2024, which is 0.3 million bpd lower than in 2020. The oil market is always susceptible to geopolitical tensions and conflicts that could disrupt supply or create uncertainty. Some of the current hotspots include Iran, Libya, Nigeria, and Venezuela. Iran, which has been under US sanctions that limit its oil exports, is engaged in indirect talks with the US to revive the 2015 nuclear deal, which could lead to a lifting of sanctions and a return of Iranian oil to the market. However, the outcome of the negotiations is uncertain and could face opposition from hardliners in both countries. Libya, which has been plagued by civil war and instability, has seen its oil production fluctuate due to frequent attacks and blockades on its oil facilities. The country is currently producing around 1.2 million bpd, but it faces challenges in maintaining and increasing its output amid political and security risks. Nigeria, Africa’s largest oil producer, is facing social unrest and militant attacks that could affect its oil infrastructure and exports. The country is also struggling to implement a long-awaited reform of its oil sector, which could improve its governance and attract investment. Venezuela, which has the world’s largest proven oil reserves, has seen its oil industry collapse due to mismanagement, corruption, and US sanctions. The country’s oil production has fallen from over 3 million bpd in the late 1990s to less than 0.5 million bpd in 2020. Kind Regards, Ely
TVC:USOILLong
by Elysian_Mind
Sell AUD/CAD Triangle BreakoutThe AUD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 0.9086 Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.9045 2nd Support – 0.9025 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.9115. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
2
USDCAD - Make CAD Great AgainWith the world reopening, Canada will keep bringing in those black gold profits thus strengthening the CAD relative to the USD, which gaining power due to being the financial "central" currency. A second wave of Covid-19 seems to be less likely day after day and this will help a lot to boost consumer confidence which goes hand in hand with consumer spending. So, we can expect a good recovery in general businesses overall, pushing up the major indexes like US30, NAS100 , GER30 etc which are usually correlated, positively, to pairs of the type XXX/USD, this mean, if one major index goes up, so are the other major indexes and so are the major pairs! This being said, if XXX/USD goes up with a overall economic recovery, pairs like USD/XXX should go down and this brings me to USDCAD . USDCAD used to roam the area between 1.24 and 1.36. As of right now we are on a descending triangle of the major timeframes. A break from this triangle to the downside, could push us towards 1.36 area over the next few weeks / months. I am personally looking for this break to the downside, I have intentions to hold a position for quite some time on this one.
Short
by TradingAdventures
1
Buy GBP/CAD Triangle PatternThe GBP/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.7740 Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.7794 2nd Resistance – 1.7820 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 1.7705. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
7
Awaited Dollar Rebound, Too Expensive FrancCHF - Market Internals - SNB doesn't like it high USD - Strong GDP data. Claims were released slightly below the cons.; ISM PMI positive expectations - Oversold dollar due to exaggerated cut expectations - Bullish CFTC Technical & Other Setup: TR(B) Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 1h Medium-term: Down Long-term: Down Min target: Local mirror level, 3R Risk: 0.22%; 1R * 1st entry 0.5R near the down band of the local range (buy limit); 2nd 0.5R when 1h closed above DMA(10)
Long
by Cherry94
Buy GBP/NZD Descending TriangleThe GBP/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Descending Triangle pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 2.1057, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2.1167 2nd Support – 2.1231 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 2.0973. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
16
Buy Gold (Xau/Usd) ChannelThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Descending Triangle pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 2497, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2522 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 2489. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
7
Sell EURUSD Bearish FlagThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.1060, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.1015 2nd Support – 1.0988 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.1100 This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
1