FTSE will now Crash to 3650 - the trade of the YearHello all
DuncanForex here with a follow up on my trade idea that I've been watching since Feb 2020 - with no advertising about anything so the post will stay active.
With the power move during February 2020 (The AB Move) and then a slower retrace to the previous area of support which is now resistance.
The FTSE broke out of its downward consolidation long and is now progressing higher over the past few months to the 61.8 Fib retrace.
The Bullish move that occurred last month pushed the price into the middle of the 61.8% and 78.6% zone, after the bearish moves this past week and the "High" now printed, the CD move will be completed and the FTSE will ultimately go down to 3650
I had shorted the market as per my related ideas below, and i now have new entrys that you can see in the picture. (if you zoom in) - and also on other posts
I do expect this to drop fast - with EU issues and Covid vaccines driving it lower.
It will close on a bearish Pin Bar on the Weekly chart today.
In turn, I do expect GBP to get stronger and stronger - so don't short any GBP XXX pairs.
Stay safe and safe trading
Duncan
Ftse100
UK100 LONG BIAS Price in the short term is in a bearish decline, while the medium to long term trend is bullish. Price has declined to a key area of previous resistance and potentially support on the Daily timeframe. Based on price action I believe this could be a key area where price could reverse to test previous broken support. I don't expect price to hit this target till next week.
FTSE100Trade idea
Impulse move now corrected to the initial demand zone
IF unchanged / positive Economic data Look for potential Longs
19TH OF Feb (Multiple FTSE companies Earnings report ) A day to watch IF trade ongoing.
FTSE100 - UKX - WHERE TO NEXT?FTSE100 UKX - Range Bound - WHERE TO NEXT?
Technical View:
Resistance: 6782.5, 6823.0, 6900.5
Support: 6677.7, 6627.6, 6610.9, 6535.8 (200EMA)
Pattern: Multiple formation Bull Flag / Triangle Formation
How to approach this trade idea:
- Add alerts at key break out areas
- Wait for the break out and trade the pull back
- Check the key Fibs matching S&R Areas
- Don't forget to gain a good R/R
- Add limit orders to break out areas, bit more of risky approach as you don't want be part of fake break out!
Go with what you have written on your trade plan overall.
It's FRIDAY....! On a Friday - I take day trades, review my journal and get ready for the week ahead. It hasn't been bad week very choppy markets we are in range bound areas in most assets apart from Crypto's great momentum towards down side I always say in life and in the markets - What goes up, comes down eventually. Now it doesn't mean you're going to become profitable trader and come down - NO! What I mean is, your performance isn't going to be straight line there will be days up and down and let be honest with you - I don't always trade everyday because I know when I want to be part of the market, be disciplined! It does depends on way you mange your portfolio.
Have a great weekend.
Trade Journal
(Just a trade idea, not a recommendation)
FTSE testing at critical junstionBreak of the uptrend line was strong with a good impulsive candle. Now at critical support near 6600 level. 200SMA is also at support. An impulsive break lower could signal momentum to get us to 6500 target.
Risk-off this morning across the board. Some of it on news as China's surging COVID-19 cases trigger clampdowns.
Good Luck and Stay Healthy!
FTSE Has Completed RetraceThis has retraced as expected to previous resistance and 0.5 Fibonacci. I will be waiting to see how this develops before entering a long as this could drop further, watch for the EMA's to cross back over or come very close to. If the price does hold this level then a target TP can be 7031.
FTSE to rise or fall due to brexit?With in a 52wk range there has been a high of 4,993,89-7,585,98 on index value. with it on a negative slope, working out if it will fall below the index value of 6400,0 as of previous events brings me uncertainty. With the average constituent size of 15,010 and the highest being of 109,418. Buy or sell ???
GBPJPY ShortI have a sell bias on GBPJPY. Lower lows & lower highs. Price formed a double top M formation followed by an impulse move to the downside breaking the neckline. Looking for price to return to the neckline before the proper move to the downside. Wait for a pullback to get an exact entry on the lower timeframes.
FTSE100 looking good for usAfter a bit of a tumble in late October of last year (or a huge dive, depending on who you ask), we remain in impulse on the index. We are about to go into Wave 5 of this impulse and looking to meet a goal in the first half of 7k. Fib time gives some indication when this might happen roughly, although it is impossible to accurately time the market. Good luck, traders!
FTSE testing important levelA falling channel on a 4-hour timeframe is soon to approach the support zone. A potential retest of the uptrend line and 200SMA make it a strong level.
Can trade the bounce here looking for reverse patterns on a smaller timeframe. A break lower is possible but requires significant selling pressure and some 'more' bad news regarding the pandemic.
Please support the idea and share your thoughts on FTSE!
Good Luck and Stay Healthy!
FTSE100 - UKX - Potential short! FTSE100 (UKX) - Technical View:
Simple explanation today -
Pattern wise: Came out of a larger triangle formation towards downside support areas.
At this current moment of time - It is within the range of: Support: 6785 Resistance: 6830
Once broken out of the range below support levels which matches the 200 EMA as a great support area measuring the wedge range formed. If we break towards downside, I expect it to continue towards Fib Retracement area of: 1.618 which matches a nice support area as well as nice trend-line support too!
The way you could play this trade: WAIT for it to break out of the smaller formation of the wedge formed and take the pull back trade to the next support areas or simply feeling more confident add a limit order!
Remember: Follow your own trade plan and execute wisely.
Have a prosperous day ahead,
Trade Journal
(Just a trade idea, not a recommendation)
FTSE and all Stocks - Don't BUY!!!! - They will plummetHello all
DuncanForex here with a trade idea - with no advertising about anything so the post will stay active.
With the power move during February 2020 (The AB Move) and then a slower retrace to the previous area of support which is now resistance.
The FTSE broke out of its downward consolidation long and is now progressing higher over the past few months to the 61.8 Fib retrace.
Don't be fooled by this Bullish move that occurred this week, the price is right in the middle of the 61.8% and 78.6% zone, it will consolidate again and i still think based on my analysis, the CD move will be completed and the FTSE will ultimately go down to 3500 area.
Price is about to touch dynamic resistance shown by the blue diagonal line which shows the long term uptrend broken at the start of the year, price is now pulling back up to this zone to then head down again.
I had shorted the market as per my related ideas below, and i now have new entrys that you can see in the picture. (if you zoom in)
I do expect a bit of sideways movement, also some stop hunting, however my analysis for me suggests all stocks are going to plummet very soon. and this is my view for the next few years.
Stay safe and safe trading
Duncan
Golden Cross formed early in DecemberThings are looking good for the FTSE 100.
Not only has a Brexit deal been agreed, but 2 vaccines approved for use.
Early in December we saw a golden cross form on the daily chart.
For those who don't know, a golden cros is formed on the 50 and 200 MDA and is a good indicator ( along with the above ) as strong upword trend.
It seems a 7000 recovery is likely
FTSE 100 - Wave Revision - Topped In 2018In this Wave Revision video I explain how this market already topped back in 2018.
It is very interesting to note because next I will be revisiting the pound to see exactly what is going on there.
A break of 6242 should provide the first clue that Wave 2 is complete.
A break of 5511 will provide further confirmation that Wave 3 down is in progress.
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I am still bullish FTSE! It's a pair I've trading within the indices that I have had great return this yr - great momentum trend towards it and with Brexit drama going on too, it has has great volatility.
Fun fact: When the first lock down occurred earlier this year in UK...A family relative was intrigued about me being a young trader - I had advised a distant family member to watch out for the FTSE it's a great buy at the areas of 5850! Let's hope they did listen to advice and if not - there's always chances in this beautiful market we've had this year! Let's hope to make plenty of pips for the end of this year and start the next year with great optimism within ourselves!
Let's get onto the technicals:
Pattern - Bullish Flag target area: 1.618
Resistance: 6860 & 7035
Support: 6140 & 6040
My target - 6800-7100 Areas!
One of the major investment banks did even announced UK assets are undervalued within options check out Rolls Royce has been a great trade to take as well!
Fundamentals to keep in mind: Brexit and what the indices has a large portion of companies energy based. Although, my target for Crude is 55 area.
All the best,
Trade Journal
Remember: Just a trade idea, not a recommendation
FTSE100 - Full Breakdown + Future Trade OpportunityFirst time breaking down this market, I want to further illustrate what we are seeing in global markets.
I will link related ideas below.
In this video I explain this pattern in official AriasWave terms so you can see how we differ from other forms of analysis.
The move up since the Great Depression is a TYPE-2 ZIG-ZAG and we are seeing Wave v of an ending diagonal since 2009 unfold.
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