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FTSE UK100:FUNDAMENTAL+TECHNICAL ANALYSIS|LONG SETUP ⭐️FTSE 100 remains green but pegged back by Next disappointment, US markets open higher US stocks open higher but the positive US tech sentiment isn't global FTSE 100 up 11 points at 7,471 Sunak holds back £32bn 'war chest' claim P&O boss may accept bonuses despite mass and immoral sacking As expected, US stocks opened slightly higher, rebounding from some of the losses they have taken over the last few days. The Dow Jones was up 186 points, or 0.54% to 34,544, while the tech-laden Nasdaq gained 0.28%, climbing 38 points to 13,960. S&P 500 was inched 0.55%, rising 24 points to 4,480. The Nasdaq’s positive start has done little for the Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust, however, which continued to fall in afternoon trading. The trust was down 2.80%, changing hands at 997p, offsetting some of the gains made over the last week or so. Positive tech sentiment in the US isn’t echoed globally, with Hang Seng down 0.94% to 21,945 points, a 208 point decline. 2.19pm: One month since Russia invaded Ukraine A month on from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, stocks market globally are generally better off than just before the invasion, which shouldn’t come as a surprise according to Lee Wild, head of equity strategy at interactive investor. Footsie has regained most of its losses, and is only 20 points behind the close on 23 February, the night before the invasion began, having fallen as low as 6,959 in the week after war broke out. Over in America, the Dow Jones is up nearly 2.38% or roughly 2,600 points over the same period. “If anyone doubted the resilience of stock markets, the past month has demonstrated just how quickly they are able to overcome the impact of shocking events, and this can be uncomfortable for some.” “History proves this to be the case over the long term. Just look at stock markets over the past 100 years. World Wars, pandemics, terrorism, and financial crashes have been brushed aside. Why would massive economic sanctions and threat of nuclear war in 2022 be any different?” 1.51pm: Calls for crypto regulation The Bank of England urged for tighter cryptocurrency regulation on worries of the potential detrimental impact it could have on global financial markets. Its Financial Policy Committee insisted the regulators of the £1.3tn digital currency market must grow and become more coordinated. Deputy governor Sam Woods wrote to several lenders to flag up that crypto long-term regulation would need to be significantly altered to prevent threats to worldwide economic stability. It also said it will advise the Treasury on how best to oversee digital assets – something beyond the realms of the Financial Conduct Authority. 1.20pm: British Airways owner and Wizz Air retreat on Deutsche Bank downgrade International Consolidated Airlines Group (LSE:IAG) SA, owner of British Airways, fell 3.1% on Deutsche Bank’s downgrade of its stock from a ‘buy’ recommendation to ‘hold.’ Wizz Air Holdings PLC (AIM:WIZZ), which is not FTSE 100-listed but also received the same demotion, retreated 2.6% and had its price target slashed to 2,900p from 5,450p – still a 16% premium on Thursday afternoon’s share price though. The German-based investment bank also lowered easyJet PLC’s target to 570p from 680p, which caused a 1.1% drop in its share price. 12.47pm: FTSE remains stagnant The FTSE 100 remained relatively flat, up 10 points to 7,469, as the Budget reaction continued to flood in and Russia opened its stock market, for limited trading, for the first time since it invaded Ukraine. Mexican-based gold and silver miner, Fresnillo PLC (LSE:FRES), led the risers - up 3.3% - while global investment manager M&G PLC (LSE:MNG) was close behind with a 2.7% climb. Shell PLC (LSE:SHEL, NYSE:SHEL) and BP PLC (LSE:BP.) continued to advance, 0.6% and 0.8% respectively, following Rishi Sunak’s Wednesday announcement of a record 5p fuel duty slash to alleviate soaring prices. Meanwhile, British Airways owner International Consolidated Airlines fell 3.31% to 134p, with Schroders PLC (LSE:SDR) also down about 3%, with share changing hands at 3,125p in afternoon trading. 12.16pm: US preview US stocks look set to open higher on Thursday, rebounding from losses in recent days, though gains are likely to be capped amid ongoing worries over high oil and commodity prices and as investors look toward US weekly jobless figures and manufacturing data. Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average were up 0.5% on Thursday, while those for the S&P 500 added 0.6% and contracts for the tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 rose 0.7%. Among commodities, international benchmark Brent crude added 0.3% to $118.09 a barrel, while gold gained 0.4% to $1,945.30 a troy ounce. US major averages took a breather on Wednesday as concerns over the war in Ukraine and its impact on oil prices, and economic uncertainty at home continue to undermine investor sentiment. ‘’There is little sign the pedal is coming off the accelerator for energy prices amid a fresh round of volatility that has hit markets after Russia moved to retaliate in the economic war being waged,” said Susannah Streeter, senior investment and markets analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown. In a tit-for-tat move, Moscow announced yesterday that it will only accept payment for its exports in roubles after its foreign currency reserves were frozen. “This (Russia’s move) has sent European futures surging and the fear is that this move would deepen the energy crisis and clog agreements worth hundreds of millions of euros every day. In simple words, we are likely to see higher energy prices which means more inflation and gold traders are watching that closely,” said Naeem Aslam, chief market analyst at AvaTrade. Economic data due out later will keep investors sidelined, Aslam added, forecasting weekly jobless claims at around 210,000 and US durable goods orders down by 0.5%. “Investors are (also) keeping a close watch on the NATO's emergency meeting. President Joe Biden is traveling to Europe to increase pressure on Russia and provide support for a ceasefire,” he concluded. 11.45am: P&O boss may accept bonuses despite mass and immoral sacking P&O boss Peter Hebblethwaite admitted he receives a £325,000 base salary per year and is in contention for two bonus schemes, which he was undecided on whether to accept. When questioned on bonuses by MPs following the company’s mass sacking of 800 employees without any notice, Hebblethwaite commented "I can't tell you how far that is from my thoughts." "I don't know the answer to that. I don't know," he added, which brought uproar on the potential of his acceptance of possible bonuses. He also admitted that the company’s average hourly pay for new workers is £5.15 an hour, and when asked if he could survive on that, he failed to respond. Hebblethwaite said it did not consult unions as the company knew they would not approve the sackings. 11.10am: Barratt, Berkeley and Persimmon fall as they're urged to fund cladding repair Housebuilders Barratt Developments PLC (LSE:BDEV), Berkeley Group Holdings PLC (LSE:BKG) and Persimmon PLC (LSE:PSN) are all down today as one of the city’s largest investment firms call on them to fund the cladding repair. According to Sky News, a letter from abrdn to the Footsie listed companies said it wanted them to “carefully consider providing additional financing for all affected buildings built by in the last 30 years, regardless of their height or current ownership, in order to accelerate remediation work to remove the burden on leaseholders". Pressure from the investment company adds to comments made by Michael Gove earlier this year, who wanted the industry to pay £4bn to repair the properties across the country that required improved cladding. A paper commissioned by PwC earlier this month, however, estimated the bill to come in at less than £1bn which boosted the property developers at the time. The report also noted that the government and private companies would be expected to chip in, with the former to contribute because of regulatory failing that allowed the housebuilders to cut corners in the name of profits in the first place. Barratt is down 1.12% to 530p, Berkeley is down 0.58% to 3,960p and Persimmon is down 0.31% to 2,220p. 10.38am: Shell to invest in green energy Shell PLC (LSE:SHEL, NYSE:SHEL) rose 1% on news that it intends to plough £25bn into UK energy over the next decade, with 75% of that on low-carbon products including hydrogen and offshore wind. "These investments, subject to board approval, aim to propel the UK closer to net-zero and help to ensure security of supply whilst stimulating economic growth and jobs," David Bunch, Shell UK country chairperson, said. He added that it will need “stable political discourse” and urgency from the government to accelerate the shift away from non-renewable energy sources. This came following the company’s decision to sever ties with Russia, via its vows to stop buying the country’s oil, offload its Rosneft (LSE:ROSN) stake and end its Gazprom joint venture, following its invasion of Ukraine. 10.05am: UK sanctions 65 more elite Russian individuals and businesses The UK foreign secretary announced a further 65 sanctions on Russian individuals and businesses, targeting strategic industries, banks and business elites. According to a statement, the sanctions “target key industries supporting Russia’s illegal invasion, including Russian Railways and defence company Kronshtadt, the main producer of Russian drones.” “Six more banks are targeted, including Alfa Bank whose cofounders include previously sanctioned oligarchs Mikhail Fridman, Petr Aven and German Khan. The world’s largest diamond producer Alrosa is also sanctioned.” “Individuals sanctioned include the billionaire oil tycoon Eugene Shvidler, and Galina Danilchenko, who was installed by Russia as the ‘mayor’ of Melitopol is also sanctioned - the first time an individual has been sanctioned for collaboration with Russian forces currently in Ukraine.” Foreign secretary Liz Truss said “All those sanctioned today will have their assets in the UK frozen which means no UK citizen or company can do business with them, and individuals subject to travel bans are also prohibited from travelling to or from the UK.” “Today’s sanctions will bring the total global asset value of the banks the UK has sanctioned since the invasion to £500bn and the net worth of the oligarchs and family members in excess of £150bn.” 9.45am: Oil stocks lead Footsie Footsie continue to trade healthily led by oil stocks after the crude price headed up towards US$120 barrel overnight. Results were mixed though private equity firm Bridgepoint was an early riser on its results. Shares have been disappointing performers since its float but perked up 12% today as revenues rose by 41% and underlying profits by 72%. The group’s main private equity funds committed €1.9bn to new investments and returned €2.9bn to its fund investors. FTSE 100 up 21 at 7,482. 08:40:Footsie heads higher The FTSE 100 was nudged higher in early trade on Thursday, though it was being put in the shade by the stock market in Moscow, which leapt higher after being closed for a month. One month on from Russia's invasion of Ukraine the siege continues, with world leaders today convening for emergency summits of Nato, EU and European Council. Moscow marked the passing of the month with the reopening of its stock market, which fell 45% on the first day of the invasion before being shutters, and was up 10% in early trade today, with a ban on short-selling and Russian brokerages also banned from allowing foreign clients sell securities. Back in London, blue-chip shares had less support, but the Foosie was up 22 points or 0.3% to 7,483. Top of the leaderboard were precious metals miner Fresnillo PLC (LSE:FRES) and drinks bottler Coca-Cola HBC, which has larges exposure to Russia. Clothes retailer Next PLC (LSE:NXT) was down 3% after cutting it profits and sales forecasts for 2022/23 on the back of the war in Ukraine and slowing growth (read more). 6.32am: Slight rise expected The FTSE 100 was being called slightly higher before trading got underway with picking over Rishi Sunak’s Budget likely to be the main focus. Financial spread bet firms had the index up 11 points an hour before trading got underway, but that leaves a lot of time for the mood to change. BP and Unilever going ex-dividend will also be a drag on the early movements. The day after the Budget (read more) is often more instructive than the big headlines as economists pore over the detail, which is where the devil normally lies. Already the Telegraph has pointed out that the chancellor is raising £33bn through an effective stealth tax on students after freezing the level at which their loan repayments begin. This will help more than pay for the income tax cut planned for 2024 and the rise in national insurance thresholds, added the paper. Elsewhere, US markets weakened after the hawkish tone of recent statements from Fed chair Jerome Powell concerning interest rates. Asian markets were mixed towards the end of trading with Japan ahead but Hong Kong still overhung by the uncertainty over the Evergrande situation.
ULong
by INDEX_INSIDERS
FTSE100 Major Resistance Coming up ahead of CPI DATA SHORT I will be looking to take a short based on the following analysis . FTSE Approaching Major resistance with a HVN *High Volume Node up ahead as well as untapped Monthly and Daily levels . If this plays out I would expect PA to gravitate down to the 0.618 FIB for a strong level of support Housing the 9 , 30 , 50 and the 100EMAS all clustered in-between the 0.66 and the 0.618 FIB as well as a SPEED FAN 0.5 crossing through this range 7350. The Analysis does coincide with some Fundamental data released tomorrow for the UK "CPI DATA YoY " Consumer Price Index in which case the actual CPI numbers have been higher than forecast spanning the past 18+ months so this could be the precursor for the drop tomorrow with a continuation of that trend. Please like and follow for regular analysis . Much appreciation * Left out the EMAs too keep the chart looking clear
UShort
by SJTRADESFUTURES
FTSE 100 - Continuing the slide lowerThe UKX ran above Jan 19 2022 highs only to reject, breaking the Feb 4 2022 low, initiating a market structure shift on the daily timeframe. Price continued to decline with Feb 24 being an extreme down day due to the events transpiring in Ukraine. I am looking for a retrace to 7280 -7360 before price continues to the down-side with Target 1 reaching for 7100, Target 2 reaching for 7000-6950 and the third and final target at 6800.
TVC:UKXShort
by DenisRisticFX
FTSE 100 (UKX) | The best target for correction🎯Hello traders, FTSE 100 (UKX) in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe. It should be said that this symbol has entered a new phase and this is a descending phase. But in the definition of the previous trend, three waves are formed in a zigzag pattern, the last wave of which, the c wave, is explained. This c-wave formed its leading waves in the form of a channel and in the shape of a triangle, and we said that this structure is completed when the purple trend line and the bottom of our channels are broken down, and this happened. Now, based on our count, we have formed five waves, which we recognize as wave 1 or wave a, depending on the continuation of the process. We are now waiting for the correction of this wave, which is confirmed by breaking the trend line and the green circle, and then continues to make a wave as small as the current wave. 🙏If you have an idea that helps me provide a better analysis, I will be happy to write in the comments🙏 ❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
TVC:UKX
by mahdisoltaninjad
FTSE Down But At SupportLast week we witnessed a 6.78% decline in the FTSE 100 and just a few hours into this week, price has already declined 2.81%. The major support of the daily 200 simple moving average failed to hold price up last week so we must look at further levels of support. Since May 2021 a low was formed at 6823 and has held strong ever since. There was an attempt to break this level in July and September 2021, but they both failed. Price has hit this level this morning and appears to be holding for now. If there is strong buying at this point, it should be enough to push price back to the upside, but for now, we just need to stand aside and see which direction price heads next. See below for more information on our trading techniques. As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
TVC:UKX
by Sublime_Trading
UKX | FTSE 100 (Additional 15% Drop)- The falling wedge is broken. - Break below EMA50. CRITICAL SUPPORT at EMA100/MA200 or 6959-6984. If this support breaks, the 15% drop mapped on this chart becomes inevitable. These markets close on weekends which means that this week we will have the worst close in years. Nothing new here... It is the same as with the SPX (S&P 500 Index), DJI (Dow Jones Industrial Average), NDX (Nasdaq), etc. (Check Related Trade Ideas below this post.) It is all going to crash BUT, it will recover after the crash. Consider it a "financial detox". Namaste.
TVC:UKXShort
by AlanSantana
UK/FTSE 100 SHORT ZONE LIVE AnalysisHere we have our FTSE 100 Full Analysis, After global tensions increasing and the UK Putting sanctions on Russia we have seen a fall in the price of the FTSE followed by a rise on Good company earnings and Oil company profits with rising prices due to the threat of supply. As we return to former highs and some strong resistance we can look to get short on the FTSE. We can progressively Trade this move down to some comfortable support for an full exit before turning long. The current price rejection zone is being hit by impulsive upmoves. Use Arrows/Eclipse symbols as a guide.
OANDA:UK100GBPShort
by WillSebastian
3
FTSE 100 (UKX) | Best point for sell🎯Hello traders, FTSE 100 (UKX) in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe. All of these counts correspond to a larger wave that may have preceded a correction or triangle. Based on a count, we are in a zigzag motion, and from this zigzag, waves a and b are over, and now we are inside wave c. Wave c itself is formed inside a channel or a triangle, and from this pattern, waves 1, 2, 3, and 4 are completed, and now we are inside wave 5. Wave 5, like the other waves of wave c, was in the form of three waves, and of these three waves, the last wave did not end, and the end of this wave is confirmed when the red circle or trend line is broken. We do not know the amount of correction at the moment, but it is possible to correct up to around 6550. If the warning signal range is broken upwards, wave 5 is larger than wave 3, in which case we have to re-examine the waves. 🙏If you have an idea that helps me provide a better analysis, I will be happy to write in the comments🙏 ❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
TVC:UKXShort
by mahdisoltaninjad
FTSE 100 (UKX) | The best places to start a downtrend🔥Hello traders, FTSE 100 (UKX) in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe. All of these counts correspond to a larger wave that may have preceded a correction or triangle. Based on counting, we are in a zigzag motion, and from this zigzag, waves a and b are over, and now we are inside wave c. Wave c itself is formed inside a channel or a triangle, and from this pattern, waves 1, 2, 3, and 4 are completed, and now we are inside wave 5. Wave 5, like the other waves of wave c, is in the form of three waves, and of these three waves, the last wave does not end, and the end of this wave is confirmed when the red circle or trend line or the bottom of the channels is broken. We do not know the amount of correction at the moment, but it is possible to correct up to around 6550. If the warning signal range is broken upwards, wave 5 is larger than wave 3, in which case we have to re-examine the waves. 🙏If you have an idea that helps me provide a better analysis, I will be happy to write in the comments🙏 ❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
TVC:UKXShort
by mahdisoltaninjad