Ftse100
FTSE 100 - some relief comingFTSE100 has taken a further dive down towards historical price support.
Formed a steep bullish divergence on the 4hour. Would expect some relief here.
FTSE100 Turning Time?FTSE100 is not a growth index but value based. We debate inflation but entered in recession talk, for FTSE100 consumer stands strong is very important but UK Govt inject money again but it is not a solution. Index got a big part over 17% OIL shares but Oil can slip at some point.
UK100 13th JUNE 2022100 selected UK big companies that are components of the FTSE 100 index, only 9 stocks record gains, while 91 stocks losses and 1 stock traded unchanged. Bearish trend may end this week. I see a bullish potential, the price is in the weekly strong support area. With a tail tolerance of 4.3% below the support area. Price is possible to be bullish in the future.
Jamie Gun2Head - Buying FTSE 100Trade Idea: Buying FTSE 100
Reasoning: At daily support, looking for a correction higher
Entry Level: 7233
Take Profit Level: 7431
Stop Loss: 7152
Risk/Reward: 2.44:1
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FTSE - Strength to continue? UK100
Intraday - We look to Buy at 7500 (stop at 7445)
Previous support located at 7550. Previous resistance located at 7620. A lower correction is expected. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
Our profit targets will be 7620 and 7650
Resistance: 7620 / 7650 / 7700
Support: 7550 / 7500 / 7450
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FTSE 31st MAY 2022OANDA:UK100GBP have no power to breakout above the highest resistance area Aug 2019 - Jan 2020. Last month UK100 was bearish to the diagonal trendline support, and returned to the horizontal resistance area . However, at the end of 2021 there was a bearish divergence signal. where the price is bullish but the flat indicator value tends to bearish.
Bearish potential on the UK100 Weekly, Check this out :
UK100 Weekly
Timeframe. According to the stochastic 5 3 3, it seems to be back in the overbought area, it will be strengthened to bearish if the indicator crossover.
FTSE100 One of the best index buysThe FTSE100 index is approaching its 2022, a rare feat among the leading global stock indices, the majority of which are making Lower Lows. This strength is technically derived by the bullish dynamics of the Fibonacci Channel Up it has been trading in since 2021, which only broke during March's correction.
The price action since April 10 is similar to the sequence of August 11 - October 11 2021. The bottom on both pattern was made after the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) broke. The latter sequence went on to make a Higher High on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. That extension on the current pattern is around 7860 and that is our Target by July.
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BARCLAYS - Clear As Day - Buy @163p
REASONS TO BE BULLISH
Technical - Recently broke out of a 15 year pennant pattern and just retested for support.
Technical - Recently crossed and reclaimed the 50 MA.
Technical - MA 50 looking like it may cross the 100 and 200 in future months.
Technical - RSI is in the bull zone (bouncing off its base).
Technical - A 155p entry was triggered when reclaimed MA and RSI bull-zone on the same candle. We're now at almost the same level.
Technical - All-time high was back in 2007. This stock hasn't been touched in 15 years and is now winding-up to revisit the top of the upwards slanting trend-line.
Technical - Looks like wave 1 of a 5-wave move is complete/near completion.
Fundamentals - Price to earnings is just 4.7. Barclays is looking like incredible value right now. Net earnings up 275% for the year.
Fundamentals - Dividend yield is ~4% - not to be sniffed at all in this environment - they may even increase this given how profitable banking with current accounts may turn out to be if the BOE base rate continues to increase.
Fundamentals - Implied volatility in the options market is increasing, and it seems like some big players may be eyeing-up Barclays for a big position (likely long but perhaps short).
Fundamentals - Less exposed to the U.K. than some of its counterparts (like Lloyds). With U.S. and India appearing in their Top 4 countries in terms of investment.
Target 1 - First target would be reaching the underside of the purple channel once more at 260p or £2.60. A 60% move off todays prices.
Target 2 - Next profit target would be 750p or £7.50 (a 4.6x move). That could be attainable fairly quickly in the next decade on current trajectory. I don't normally like to post timescales but I am curious to see how this one plays out.
Target 3 - The white top line coincides with the 2.272 and 2.414 fib extension (from Mar20 to Mar22). This generates an ultimate price target of between £10.50 (1050p) and £17.30 (1730p). This matches with the extension from the height of the pennant (top to bottom) also.
REASONS TO BE BEARISH
Technical - Below the purple bear channel and not showing signs yet of being an 'exponential' candidate.
Technical - Stop loss will be 140p at the prior low - representing a 12.5% risk.
Technical - Only recently broke out of the pennant pattern. Could still reverse from here.
Fundamentals - Inflation is not usually too good for growth and banks, with costs increasing as well as profits from interest rates.
Fundamentals - With interest rates increasing you'd anticipate that defaults and leverage will unwind in other economies and wreak havoc. Perhaps Barclays have repaired their balance sheet in the last 15 years or perhaps the UK government will continue to backstop, but current market conditions don't make for pretty reading.
SUMMARY
Buying Barclays here seems like a no-brainer here. Significant dividends in a stagflationary environment cannot be ignored. Neither can we ignore a reasonably priced stock in 2022, as well as a successful backtest of multiple breakouts on our indicators/TA. Time to keep an eye on this one.
SSE - So Simple & Easy - BUY @£1,766REASONS TO BE BULLISH
Technical - Recently broke all-time high from 2007 - 15 yes FIFTEEN years ago!
Technical - Crossed the 50 MA some weeks back and just reclaimed the top of the purple channel. Holding there at support. A great time to reload.
Technical - 50, 100 and 200 MAs all the right way around now, after crossing back in October 2020.
Technical - Back in 2019, we had a double-threshold break. Crossing the 50 MA and entering the RSI bull zone on the same candle - my favourite type of entry. it has already back-tested that move.
Fundamental - Providing a dividend of 4.6% in a stagflationary environment, SSE is not to be sniffed at. 29 years of consistent dividends too!
Fundamental - Furthermore, demand from UK households is not receding from here. Same for sustainable energy & ESG investment.
Fundamental - Price to earnings is reasonable at ~7.6, unlike many other companies on the market.
Fundamental - SSE's standard mix has 55% renewables, with 40% from natural gas. The average UK provider offers 40% renewable, 38% gas and 16% nuclear. They're one of the best in a bad worldwide bunch.
Targets - Initial target would be a 200% move to £3,300. Should the energy really be 'cooking on gas', we may see it reach the £5-10k top channel (in green) after the coming 5 years.
Targets - Any pullback to the 50 EMA is to be bought (~£1,475 and rising).
WHAT COULD BE BEARISH
Fundamental - Sold off on news of a potential windfall tax on oil & gas producers. As of today, I would rate the chances of that passing or affecting SSE as unlikely, despite the political pressure. Even if implemented, it is perhaps more likely to stunt BP and Shell's progress than a "greener" company like SSE.
Fundamental - Businesses like SSE are needed to support households and also shift to a greener future - being one of the biggest investors in green energy in the country. Unless those in charge wish to undo all their promises in recent years, I'd rate the chances of this impacting SSE as low.
Technical - Down nearly 8% for the day and with other more risky assets selling-off, SSE may still stutter (even if downside limited from here).
Technical - Stop loss would be £1,285 which would create a new low and a 27% decline
SUMMARY
Overall, this seems like one of the biggest no-brainer investments out there. Relatively low-risk, relatively high-reward.
Dividend - Check. ESG - Check. Inflation-proof - Check. Value - Check. New ATH - Check.
Absolutely long-term bullish on SSE, although I expect a a few weeks of sideways action to settle on top of the prior all-time high to call it support. Today SSE is a solid purchase and I expect will remain a good time to begin a position, inspite of the market & political risks identified above. Let's keep an eye on this one in the years ahead. Thanks for reading!
UK inflation rise to 9% despite 4 rate hikesUK facing high inflation and it breaking 40 years record, BOE rises 4 rate hike in row but price not going down. Even UK economy is different from US but we see FTSE100 did same like US markets in 2020 -35%, 2008 -48%, 2001 -52%.
It's clearly not investment season and stocks like WMT, TGT also dropped badly other side bonds dropping. We can not say Cash is Trash in this season. I think now holding is cash is only best option and we can expect stocks will available more cheap (20% to 30%) in 2 to 3 months.
UK100 12th MAY 2022Bullish potential on the OANDA:UK100GBP Daily Timeframe , The price have no power to breakout below the support area Aug 2019 - Jan 2020.
Last month UK100 was bearish to the diagonal trendline support, and returned to the horizontal resistance area . However, at the end of 2021 there was a bearish divergence signal. where the price is bullish but the flat indicator value tends to bearish .
UK100 4th APRIL 2022
Nasdaq Analysis Hi Everyone.
We have been watching the recent market sink and for nasdaq this is not over yet. Im sure we will see further move down. Right now the market is in consolidation and we need a break of 12143 for the bears to continue. If we get a break of 12143 then nothing can stop it from reaching 11000 area. I feel like we will reach 11000 this month. For short term price can bounce of 12143 area and go back to the area of resistance at 12554 before pushing back down.
UKX Also In The Crosshair, Move To Crypto!The UKX, FTSE 100 Index, is also in the red.
This is the main index for the top 100 companies by capitalization in the UK.
We see prices going below EMA50 after a lower high. (Feb. vs Apr.)
Going below EMA50 is always bad news.
Since we have a lower high after the EMA300/100 bounce, this can lead to a lower low.
The next target on this drop should be around 6600 and 6250...
It can go lower but it will recover only after a long term after this low.
(Apr. 22) UKX Lower High
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
UK100 Index Intraday Analysis:UK100 loss all of its gains after the announcement of negative non farm productivity. UK100 took rejection form 7617. My target is support of 7461.
If you like this or if you think the opposite of this or if there is any other opinion, mention it in the comments. I am open to all kind of suggestions and critics
Why I shorted FTSE 1000 upon market openThis is the first time I traded FTSE. I used the same theory as trading FX and here is what I saw.
1) The high of last week was present at 7581
2) There was a nice harmonic pattern to sell
3) M15, M30 and H1 divergence in place.
The pair is now oversold. I have taken half the profit out after learning a tough lesson from the last 3 trades :). Switched to breakeven and hoping for a bigger drop.
04/05/22 DEAL FTSE 100 Cash (SD1) SD SD30.10
Funds: SD10,243.03
Major Indexes are resilient but may be due to selloffThe world is focused on the US indexes which have recently broken down out of the uptrend. The question is now whether there is more downside to come which could turn into a major selloff after such a big Fed Fueled pandemic rally. I take a look at the price action and major levels of the Key Indexes.
In the US - DOW, SP500 and Nasdaq
Europe - DAX, FTSE and Eurostoxx
ASIA - ASX200, Hang Seng and Nikkei
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