eurusd toward the downside read the caption the eurusd has just made a new 6-week low, but may have found some support, even if it is short term, at $1.0773.
I think the outlook is bearish due to the bearish technical and the resilience in the US Dollar which continues as Fed Chair Powell continues to talk down the prospect of an early rate cut.
I think the best opportunity today in this currency pair will likely be on the short side: either a breakdown once the price gets established below the lower trend line of the descending price channel or following a retracement to the resistance level at $1.0817 followed by a rejection of that level. The logical profit target is $1.0724.
Forextrader
EUR/CAD Short and WTICO/USD ShortEUR/CAD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down on the one hour chart followed by a tight two touch fifteen minute flag and then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
WTICO/USD Short
• If price corrects and a three touch larger one hour structure forms, then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with a risk entry within it.
• If price corrects and a two touch larger one hour structure forms with a three touch structural approach, then I'll filter them both on the fifteen minute chart and I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry within them.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USDJPY: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: USDJPY
Pattern – Consolidation Watch
Support – 146.20
Resistance – 148.50, 151.70
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at the USDJPY.
After US employment data shocked on Friday and lifted the USD, we are wondering if we will see trend continuations on the USDJPY. So far, the price continues to travel on its uptrend after breaking the last downtrend in December.
The key for buyers now is a break of 148.50 resistance. If we see that break, we will be waiting to see if buyers can retest 151.70 resistance. A close below 146.20 would be a worry for buyer momentum.
Good trading.
nzdusd bearish and bullish for More read the caption nzdusd session highs, the price has moved down to test its key 100-day moving average at 0.60624. The price is also testing a swing area at the same level. As a result, there is some stall in the fall today as risk-focused traders buy against the level in hopes of a corrective move back to the upside, even if it is in the short-term. On a break, however, I would expect more selling when sell done then go buy only no more sell
Usdjpy weekly chart more info read the caption USD/JPY is a big beneficiary, up 180 pips to 148.31 today. The pair had fallen every day this week until today but with the big gain, it's now higher than it was at Monday's open.
It's a similar story across the board with the dollar up 70-180 pips.
The Fed blackout ends today so the next thing the market will be looking for is commentary from Fed officials on what the strong jobs report means to them or if they're more focused on (potentially?) falling inflation.
s&p going to all time high read the caption s&p is on fire with a gain of 1.55%. That index is now up 0.94% on the week. Meta leads the way with a gain of 21.44%. Nvidia shares are up 4.76%. Amazon shares are up 7.91%. The high close back to January 2022 is at 15638.04 (January 29 close). The high price today just reached 15603.53 so far. That high close is the next target.
us dollar trade idea read the caption US Dollar is the official currency of the United States of America, and the ‘de facto’ currency of a significant number of other countries where it is found in circulation alongside local notes. It is the most heavily traded currency in the world, accounting for over 87% of all global foreign exchange turnover, or an average of $6.6 trillion in transactions per day, according to we expected high
usdjpy buy trade setup (READ THE CAPTION)The USDJPY has raced higher on the back of the stronger US jobs report this morning, and in the process took out technical levels including a downslope trendline at 147.827 and swing highs for the week including the Monday high at 148.42
The price rise has moved to another swing area between 148.459 and 148.49 and is finding some cause for pause ahead of the 2024 high at 148.70 That level is not only a high in 2024 but was a swing level going back in time as well usdjpy surely buy
Today gbpusd big dip I expect it Sell (read the caption)Gbpusd gathered bearish momentum and closed in positive territory on Thursday after dipping below 1.2650 with the immediate reaction to the Bank of England's (BoE) policy announcements. The pair holds its ground in the European session on Friday and trades modestly lower on the day low 1.2740.
xauusd still sell setup read the caption Xauusd aims for a strong weekly gain as investors choose the early rate-cut narrative in the US, shrugging off recent doubts over its timing. In the monetary policy statement, the Federal Reserve (Fed) didn’t explicitly refer to upcoming rate cuts amid the absence of enough evidence that underlying inflation will sustainably return to the 2% target. However, policymakers already signaled bearish analysis
Eurusd sell expect more 200 PIPS read the caption The eurusd pair has displayed a bearish trend since the beginning of the year, characterized by a structured decline on lower timeframes and navigating within a downward trend channel. Notably, the currency pair breached the 45-day exponential moving average (EMA) channel on the daily chart and is now nearing the 200-day EMA support level. A critical juncture for the Euro lies ahead as it approaches the $1.0760 to $1.0710 support zone, marked by the December low and the 200-day EMA channel.
Usdcad big sell read the caption USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, firm break of 1.3342 support will argue that rebound from 1.3176 has completed at 1.3530, and target this low for resuming whole fall from 1.3887. On the upside, however, break of 1.3530 will resume the rebound from 1.3166 instead.
EUR/USD Short, AUD/JPY Long and AUD/CAD LongEUR/USD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down on the one hour chart followed by a tight two touch fifteen minute flag and then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/JPY Long
• If price corrects and a subsequent two touch tight fifteen minute flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/CAD Long
• If price corrects and a subsequent two touch tight fifteen minute flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
Eth buy setup read the caption Ethereum ETF would be a strong bullish signal, mirroring the impact of the ETF. An Ethereum ETF would pave the way for institutional investment, providing a regulated and accessible means for traditional investors to gain exposure to ETH. This could secure Ethereum's future as a mainstream financial asset and provide a stable foundation for long-term growth.eth will go up
Gbpjpy big sell dip read the caption GBP/JPY’s break of 186.14 minor support confirms short term topping at 188.80. Intraday bias is back on the downside for deeper pull back to 55 D EMA (now at 184.79) and possibly below. On the upside, break of 187.10 minor resistance will argue that the pull back has completed, and bring retest of 188.90 instead.
Eurusd buy setup read the caption EUR/USD is back on the downside with breach of 1.0785 temporary low. Fall from 1.1148 is trying to resume to 1.0732 structural support. Decisive break there will argue that whole rise from 1.0457 has completed, and target this low. On the upside, however, break of 1.0941 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound instead.
Us oil big spike up read the caption Oil prices are finding a floor near $75, backed by the OPEC statement being released after the only meeting earlier this Thursday. A panel of OPEC+ members said no policy changes are foreseen for now, while the US has reportedly hit a six-month high in November on production. Add the stockpile buildup number from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) overnight with a surprise build of 1.233 million barrels, and quick breach above $70 looks doubtfull.
Us dollar buy setup read the caption Dxy buying area chart
It’s been a phenomenal start to 2024 for the US dollar, which has already risen more than 2% against a basket of major currencies as a streak of encouraging economic data reinstilled confidence in the US economy, forcing traders to dial back bets of immediate Fed rate cuts.
Economic growth has been faster than expected, empowered by strong consumption trends and heavy government spending. With the labor market also in good shape, it is becoming clearer that there’s no urgency to slash interest rates. , but is still far too high for the Fed to declare victory.
Usdcad buy setup read the caption Usdcad showed some resilience below the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart and the subsequent recovery favours bullish traders. Moreover, oscillators on the said chart have started gaining positive traction and holding in the bullish territory on the daily chart. This further validates a constructive outlook and suggests that the path of least resistance for the USD/CAD pair is to the upside. Any further move up, however, is likely to confront stiff resistance ahead of the 1.3530 psychological mark. This is followed by the 1.3535- 1.3640 double-top barrier, which if cleared decisively will set the stage for a move towards reclaiming the 1.3610 mark for the first time since December.
Gbpusd sell target 1.25500 read the caption After closing the second consecutive day in negative territory on Wednesday, GBP/USD continued to edge lower early Thursday and was last seen trading at around 1.2650 Although the technical outlook points to a bearish tilt in the near term, the pair faces a two-way risk heading into the Bank of England's (BoE) policy announcements.
Gold surely dip because nfp coming read the caption Gold On the daily chart, we can see that has recently broke through the key trend that was defining the downtrend and it has opened the door for a rally into the 2060 resistance zone. The buyers will now look for dip-buying opportunities on the lower timeframes while the sellers will need some key breakouts to the downside to gain back control.but we see the sell
Usdjpy sell setup read the caption Usdjpy On the 1 hour chart, we can see more closely the price action inside the channel with the price now close to a level where we got rejections from in the past few days. More aggressive traders might want to trade either a rejection from the level or a breakout to the upside, but ultimately the best levels, from a risk to reward perspective, are the trendlines of the channel usdjpy more bearish trend