Investors wait for the consumer price index in JuneThe market is expecting the first interest rate cut to take place in September. In general, the market believes that Powell's statements do not contain any new hawkish information. Maybe Mr. Powell will not offer any surprises in his comments.
Meanwhile, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Tuesday (July 9) echoed Mr. Powell's comments by saying that the US labor market is no longer driving inflation in the country. Traders and investors are now awaiting the June US consumer price index and producer price index reports released this week.
Elsewhere, in the Middle East, Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah said that if Hamas reaches a ceasefire agreement in Gaza with Israel, Hezbollah will stop its activities without separate negotiations. Previously, the group began shooting at Israeli targets on the border in support of the Palestinians after their ally Hamas launched an attack on Israel on October 7, leading to the war in Gaza.
Forexmarket
World gold prices increased sharply thanks to demand from centraChina's failure to update gold reserves on the PBOC website does not mean the country has stopped buying. Some analysts suspect that China is keeping its gold purchases secret in the context of recent gold price escalation.
Head of Futures & Forex at Tastylive - Christopher Vecchio said that some data shows China buying gold at the end of June.
Many experts believe that PBOC will continue to buy gold to diversify foreign exchange reserves and prevent the domestic currency from depreciating.
According to a report by the World Gold Council (WGC), about 20 central banks still expect to increase their gold holdings next year, due to rising financial and geopolitical risks.
XAU rebounded after USD weakenedThe second shock from a major player in the market caused profit-taking pressure to skyrocket.
World gold pressure dropped from the July 8 session after news that the Central Bank of China (PBOC) stopped buying gold for the second consecutive month in June. According to PBOC's announcement, the amount of gold bars held by the bank As of the end of June, this was unchanged at 72.8 million ounces.
This information is contrary to some sources saying that China returned to buying gold in June.
World gold prices increased rapidly after US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell made less hawkish statements on monetary policy. Investors bet on the possibility that the Fed will lower interest rates at its September meeting.
The USD is forecast to decrease following the Fed's trend of cutting interest rates, thereby positively affecting gold prices.
US inflation data is the ideal catalyst for gold to reach new hiAlthough fees have dropped sharply, investors` techniques endorse that gold will upward push better withinside the close to destiny primarily based totally on marketplace predictions approximately hobby price cuts via way of means of americaA Federal Reserve (Fed). The CME Fedwatch device indicates hobby costs will fall in September and will fall in addition in November and December, which might gain gold.
According to a record posted final Friday, the unemployment price reached its maximum degree in 2.five years. Data indicates that americaA hard work marketplace is weakening. According to the CME Fedwatch device, the marketplace is looking ahead to a 78% hazard that the Fed will start its coverage easing cycle at its September meeting. Additionally, an increasing number of investors agree with there could be some other price cut. some other price in December.
Elsewhere, the Central Bank of China, the world's main gold consumer, has bogged down the addition of gold reserves for the second one consecutive month in February. However, Simpson stated that China may also have briefly stopped shopping for gold, however usual call for remains there. And that would reason gold to preserve to upward push in charge and inspire shopping for while fees fall.
Gold decreased to a strong increaseAfter last week's US jobs report, market forecasters said the Fed would cut interest rates in September from 50% to 70%.
World gold prices fell sharply due to profit-taking pressure from investors. Analysts say that this is normal activity when gold prices are at high levels in recent sessions.
According to experts, in the long term, gold prices still tend to increase. Precious metals are being supported by last week's statements by US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell about loosening monetary policy. It is likely that the Fed will cut interest rates in September and will likely cut again in December.
After the gold price increased sharply to 2,391 USD/oz, many investors quickly took profits, especially in May and June 2024, China had 2 consecutive months of not buying gold. This week, the market's attention will be focused on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's statement in testimony before Congress and US inflation data scheduled for release on July 11.
Precious metals are in an uptrendMany forecasts say that China will hold to shop for gold due to the fact the share of gold withinside the country`s forex reserves remains very low, handiest 4.9%. Meanwhile, Beijing desires to lessen its dependence at the USD.
According to specialists, treasured steel expenses have simply received momentum after the speech of the Chairman of the United States Federal Reserve (Fed). Mr. Jerome Powell stated that US inflation has cooled down. Experts and traders are growing expectancies that the Fed will quickly loosen economic coverage.
After the monetary and employment information had been released, many specialists stated that the opportunity that the Fed might begin slicing hobby prices in September extended from 65% to 68%. In addition, the marketplace additionally expects some other hobby fee reduce through the Fed in December.
Currently, traders look ahead to the mins of the United States Central Bank's contemporary coverage assembly and the non-farm payroll file to recognize greater approximately hobby fee cuts.
World gold spot price stands around 2,363World gold prices almost went sideways, due to investors' profit-taking mentality after the precious metal saw a sudden increase in the previous session.
According to experts, precious metal prices have just gained momentum after the speech of the Chairman of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Mr. Jerome Powell said that US inflation has cooled down. Experts and investors are increasing expectations that the Fed will soon loosen monetary policy.
After the economic and employment data were released, many experts said that the possibility that the Fed would start cutting interest rates in September increased from 65% to 68%. In addition, the market also expects another interest rate cut by the Fed in December.
Currently, investors wait for the minutes of the US Central Bank's latest policy meeting and the non-farm payroll report to know more about interest rate cuts.
World gold prices soared as the USD cooledWorld gold prices soared as the USD cooled after US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell made less hawkish statements on monetary policy.
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell expressed satisfaction with the pace of cooling in US inflation over the past year. This is a less hawkish signal about monetary policy.
The DXY index - measuring the greenback's fluctuations against six major currencies - fell from 106 points to 105.4 points on the US market. Gold prices immediately increased.
Investors are betting on the possibility that the Fed will have to consider the possibility that cutting interest rates too late could affect the recovery and growth of the US economy.
Trading strategy when gold increasesThe awareness now turns to nonfarm payrolls launched on Friday (US time), so one can be critical in assessing whether or not americaA hard work marketplace stays resilient amid multi-12 months excessive hobby rates. decade or not.
Gold expenses are down 5% from a report excessive of $2,449.89 an oz reached on May 20, a rally pushed with the aid of using safe-haven call for fueled with the aid of using geopolitical and monetary uncertainty. financial system in addition to the continuing shopping sports of principal banks, an critical call for group.
Gold expenses fell barely nowadays as Treasury yields remained unchanged, at the same time as buyers digested remarks from US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and awaited US jobs data. The US can be introduced later this week for similarly alerts on US hobby charge cuts.
Strategy to sell XAU when price increasesThe focus now turns to nonfarm payrolls released on Friday (US time), which will be important in assessing whether the US labor market remains resilient amid multi-year high interest rates. decade or not.
Gold prices are down 5% from a record high of $2,449.89 an ounce reached on May 20, a rally driven by safe-haven demand fueled by geopolitical and economic uncertainty. economy as well as the ongoing purchasing activities of central banks, an important demand group.
“Physical demand remains weak in major markets such as India and Türkiye but there are signs of recovery there as consumers want to protect themselves against other factors such as Local inflation remains high."
GBPUSD - Strong Rally Above 1.2675The GBPUSD has traded above the Weekly Key Price of 1.2675, establishing an uptrend in the 15-minute timeframe. Although the weekly, daily, 4-hour, and 1-hour timeframes are bearish, we focus on trading what we observe in the current timeframe. With the price trading above 1.2675 and a bullish wave structure, our action is to either buy or remain on the sidelines as long as the price stays above this key level.
Buy Entry: 1.2385
Technical Stop Loss: 1.2665
Key Level Stop: Below 1.2675
Always think in probabilities.
Comprehensive GBPUSD Analysis Ahead of UK General ElectionThis is a comprehensive analysis of the GBPUSD ahead of the UK General Election scheduled for Thursday, 4th July 2024. The chart has been marked to highlight key levels (Decision-Making Points) on the weekly, daily, and H4 timeframes. Below is a summary based on the price analysis:
Weekly: Strong Bearish
The wave structure on the weekly chart indicates a bearish expectation.
Daily: Bearish Wave Structure
The daily chart shows a second bearish wave structure with a lower low.
H4: Bearish Wave Structure with Pullback
The H4 chart has completed a bearish wave structure and shows a valid pullback.
H1: Bearish Momentum
This morning, a momentum low was made, and the current pullback aligns with the second bearish wave structure.
XAU suddenly increased sharply todayWorld gold spot price stands around 2,321.6 USD/ounce
World gold prices suddenly increased sharply after being "hurt" by a statement from a US Federal Reserve (Fed) leader that caused the USD to increase in price, taking away XAU's significant strength.
The Fed keeping interest rates unchanged for a longer period of time may be enough to control inflation, and the Fed may even raise interest rates further if inflation continues to rise.
Currently, investors are paying attention to the US May inflation report published later this month. They expect that after the report, the direction of gold will be clearer.
USDJPYUSDJPY analysis
Daily and weekly time frame
The trend of this currency is still upward in the weekly time frame, but it has decreased in the daily time frame. If the ceiling of the daily supply area is touched, the daily trend of this currency will be upward and we can still have higher goals for this currency pair. Support and resistance areas are marked on the chart.
JPY Index next week outlookThe Japanese currency continuesly doping down From march of 2020. Now in 4H timeframe already Rebound from 704.1 level. But still not tread breakout confirmation.
Within next week I expect all JPY pairs will fall down to retest the above support area. However still have FVG Between 718 - 120 levels.
NASDAQ Next week expectation #NAS100 Next week..!
The price reaches the highest level. And this should be retested. Because 13th of June reaches this price and falls down to 19,479 level.
But in a low time frame still running between the Accending channels. But the movement is bearish Because 2 times it is tested with treeline.
However once the market opens if the current 4H candle end below 19670 can go for sell to 19352 level. And the buy area located at 18753 - 18933 according to 4H timeframe
*My trading plan. Trade at your own risk good luck