THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In Last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the price tap into the lower support region marked as bullish above and for the long trade to present itself, which worked a treat. We then said we would be looking into the order region resistance level for the short trade to carry the price back down, which also worked well but although we achieved a huge return on the trades, price used that same 2320 level to hold and give the push up, which we updated traders with. We managed to capture the short and the long before we update the plans and continued to trade upside until NFP.
The NFP report gave 3 levels we were looking to either buy from or sell from, the lower level we suggested we’d get a RIP from tapped and bounced perfectly taking price into the region we had suggested for the long trade. Again, both those who were long and short got the near pip perfect entry and exits on their trades before the market closed.
A blinding week in Camelot not only on Gold but all the other pairs we trade, analyse and Excalibur tracks.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
Another jam packed week on the news front but we should start with clean gradual movement. We have some key levels this week 2405-10 being a major hurdle and 2370-75 being a key level for support. We would like to see price attempt that high in the coming session, and if achieved and rejected we feel the move downside into the support region 2380 and below 2370 in extension are on the cards. It’s these support levels that need to hold price up for us to continue the bullish move, if broken below we’ll again be seeing 2350-55 which is where the move started from.
On the flip, if we do start the week with a move downside, we’ll be looking at those support levels to reject, give us the RIP for the trade upside to clear that liquidity before then assessing the PA above 2400 to establish whether we can see higher or not. It’s a simple one with two plans, up first and we’ll look to short it, down first, and unless broken we’ll look to long it. If we get that long from below and break above that 2310 region, we would suggest traders hold long trades for further advances looking at least towards the 2450-55 region.
Our view still remains with caution on the upside movement, so please play this carefully, we’re still within this sideways movement and accumulating on a large scale, that’s all. It needs to confirm the move to go at target the all time highs and at the moment it could just be another range high before a big swoop towards the range low. We’ll trade it how we see it, level to level and continue to stay the right side of it. Monthly however, suggesting higher at the moment, so lets see.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Forexanalysis
Comprehensive GBPUSD Analysis Ahead of UK General ElectionThis is a comprehensive analysis of the GBPUSD ahead of the UK General Election scheduled for Thursday, 4th July 2024. The chart has been marked to highlight key levels (Decision-Making Points) on the weekly, daily, and H4 timeframes. Below is a summary based on the price analysis:
Weekly: Strong Bearish
The wave structure on the weekly chart indicates a bearish expectation.
Daily: Bearish Wave Structure
The daily chart shows a second bearish wave structure with a lower low.
H4: Bearish Wave Structure with Pullback
The H4 chart has completed a bearish wave structure and shows a valid pullback.
H1: Bearish Momentum
This morning, a momentum low was made, and the current pullback aligns with the second bearish wave structure.
EURUSD Analysis===>>RR=2.41EURUSD managed to break the Resistance line and Resistance zone($1.0734_$1.0716) with the help of the Breakaway Gap . ( Of course, now the resistance zone has turned into a support zone ).
According to the Elliott wave theory , EURUSD has successfully completed wave 3 and is currently completing wave 4 .
I expect the EURUSD to rise to at least the Resistance zone($1.0806_$1.0780) .
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Intraday Trend Analysis - CADJPY, GBPUSD & AUDUSDToday, we're analysing CADJPY, GBPUSD, and AUDUSD.
Key Note: Price is the leading indicator and reflects trader perception. We use price structures/wave structures to determine high probability price directions in the short, medium, and long term.
CADJPY:
Bullish trend continuation after a structural reversal.
Look to buy after every pullback above 117.50.
GBPUSD:
Intraday downtrend.
Strong momentum high yesterday.
Sharp rejection during the New York session.
Expect price to trade below 1.2620 after a correction.
AUDUSD:
Strong downtrend.
Directional bearish wave structure.
Look for a correction to break above wave structure 4 before shorting.
High probability of a new momentum low below today's current low.
EURUSD is Ready to Go Up!!!EURUSD is moving in the Support zone($1.070-$1.062) and near the Support line .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between two Consecutive Valleys .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , EURUSD seems to have completed its 5 downward waves and we should expect upward corrective waves .
I expect EURUSD to trend higher in the coming hours.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 4-hour Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Forex Price analysis - GU, AU, UC, UJ and CJWelcome to this week's Forex Price Analysis for the week starting June 30, 2024. We're analysing GBPUSD, AUDUSD, USDCAD, USDJPY, and CADJPY.
GBPUSD:
The bullish wave structure is broken.
High probability sell at 1.2654 targeting 1.2612.
AUDUSD:
A bearish wave suggests a buy at the low.
A strong rally on Friday.
Prefer buying after a correction to the 0.6640 buy zone.
USDCAD:
A bearish move on Friday indicates a revisit to 1.3734.
Expect lower prices to 1.3627 before buying.
USDJPY:
Strong uptrend last week.
Bullish wave failed; trend change pattern with a corrective wave in Fibonacci sell-zone.
Trade below 160.70 suggests further decline.
A break above 160.96 negates selling.
CADJPY:
Similar to USDJPY.
Potential downside after Thursday's high.
A strong break of the high on Friday suggests an uptrend continuation.
A break below 117.43 indicates a selling opportunity after a pullback.
weekly timeframe inverse head and shoulder in #CADCHFWe are probably dealing with an accumulation phase in the CAD/CHF chart.
The appearance of an inverse head and shoulders pattern in this phase would likely increase the probability of a long-term bullish move in this pair.
Let me know if you would like me to publish an analysis in a lower timeframe on this chart to take advantage of this rally.
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we highlighted the significance of that 2320 level and said that it needed to be broken forcefully, otherwise if supported, we would be looking to long back up into the higher levels as well as Excalibur targets and price will attempt to take liquidity from that 2370-75 region. During the first half of the week, we continued to long into those higher resistance levels giving us a fantastic trade(s), tapping into that 2370-75 region where we got a RIP from our level and the short trade presented itself not only completing KOG’s bullish bias levels but also the first target region for the bearish target.
A phenomenal week in Camelot, not only on Gold and Silver, but all the other pairs we trade as well.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
After the move on Friday, we would say caution on shorting the market down here, instead, we’ll look for bounces in the early part of the week to take the price up to correct at least some of this move. Unless we have gaps on opening due to the geopolitical news over the weekend, it’s very possible we will establish a small range here again. For that reason, we will be looking for confirmation at the below levels 2310-12, which if held during the early session could represent an opportunity to long the market back up to the 2325-27 region which for us is the level to watch, with extension of the move into the 2335-40 region. These levels are of importance as that’s where we again will want to be looking for the swing short into the lower support regions, in attempt to break below that 2300 level!
We’ll stick with the bias level bearish below for now and look for lower pricing unless broken above, in which case its likely we will again, target the top of the range and correct the whole move.
On the flip, a push up straight off market open, we’ll look at those 2325-7 and 2330-35 regions to attempt the short, as long as we have a clean set up.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bearish below 2335 with targets below 2310 and below that 2295
Bullish on break of 2335 with target above 2370!!
It’s a frustrating sideways chop for traders, so please be careful, every time they look to take it down, they swing up and every time they look like they’re going to break up, they swing it down. Traders need to make sure their risk models are up to scratch and they’re playing the range the way it should be. There is a post on trading the range, please check it out.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
EURUSD is Ready to Fall===>>RR=2.20EURUSD is moving in the Resistance zone($1.092-$1.087) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , EURUSD seems to have succeeded in completing the main wave 5 with the Expanding Ending Diagonal .
I expect EURUSD to at least fall to the Support zone($1.0806-$1.0781) .
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
NZDCAD: Bearish scenarios...! (Details on caption) By checking the hourly NZDCAD chart we can figure out that the bearish scenario is high probability.
the price cleared the liquidity above the daily candle and then shifted the market structure and also had a bearish reaction to the bearish order block.
Now, we can see the sell side liquidity which formed as equal lows, trend line liquidity, and daily FVG which can be our last target.
For seeing this bearish move I can expect two scenarios that you can see on the chart.
First, the price can move down from here.
second, because of the clean buy-side liquidity we can expect the price to sweep the liquidity first and then move down. (I prefer to follow this scenario)
As always we need LTF confirmation for entry.
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
🔎 DYOR
🗓️07/06/2024
💡Wait for the update!
EurUsd - Lower, 1.000 pips lowerHello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at EurUsd .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
EurUsd has been trading in a descending channel formation for a very long period of time. At the moment EurUsd is once again retesting the upper resistance in confluence with a horizontal structure so there is simply a higher chance that we will see a continuation lower from here. This means that as stock traders - especially from Europe - we can continue to trade our U.S. stock position without worries.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
USD/JPY Market Analysis: Downside CorrectionThe USD/JPY has been a tricky customer in the past few weeks.
We have attempted a few shorts which did not work out, the price persisted to the upside eventually breaking key structures that hold the downside.
The Bullish breaks confirm the Longer-term trend (Bullish) has resumed, however, the current rally is losing steam and we can capture a strong reversal to reset the trend.
Overview and breakdown
Current Trend: UP-Trend
Next Expectation: Downside Correction (Secondary Trend) to discount the rally for a reset of the Up-trend and to offer a lower price discount.
Area of target: Target 1: 156.28 & Target 2: 155.23 These areas represent the key structural points. The second target is the most technical point that represents the last untested structure. This point is the safety point for the buyers that enter the bullish trend at a later date. In most cases, the price correction (Secondary trend) will get here.
Another important thing to note with the 2nd Target is that; it corresponds nicely with the Fibonacci Buy-Zone measured from the Low of the entire rise to the High.
Risk and Stop Loss: Price 157.25; Technical Stop above the Momentum High.
USDJPY can go UP by Symmetrical Triangle➡️RR=3.68🏃♂️ USDJPY is moving in an Ascending Channel (in the Daily time frame ).
📈Regarding Classical Technical Analysis , USDJPY has succeeded in breaking the upper line of the Symmetrical Triangle Pattern .
🔔I expect USDJPY to continue its uptrend due to the breakout of the Symmetrical Triangle Pattern .
👑 Position :
USDJPY
Position: Long
Entry Point: 156.340 JPY (Stop Limit Order)
Stop Loss: 155.620 JPY
Take Profits: 158.987 JPY// 157.871JPY(RR=2.13)
Risk-To-Reward: 3.68
Please don't forget to follow capital management ⚠️
Please pay attention to the style of opening the position.⚠️
U.S.Dollar/Japanese Yen Analyze ( USDJPY ), 4-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.