TradeCityPro | USDCAD : Divergence Signals and Key Levels👋Welcome to TradeCityPro!
In this analysis, I will examine the USDCAD pair from the forex market. The analysis is conducted on the daily timeframe.
⏳ Daily Timeframe: Resistance and Potential Reversal
In the daily timeframe, we observe a range (box) between 1.32179 (support) and 1.38632 (resistance) that was recently broken. Currently, the price has reached the 1.40777 resistance level.
✨ A noticeable divergence is present in the RSI oscillator, with a trigger for this divergence being the break below the 55.94 level on the RSI. If this trigger is activated, the price could enter a correction phase.
📈 At the moment, after breaking out of the 1.38632 level and retesting it as support, the price is consolidating below the 1.40777 resistance. If this resistance is broken, the next target will be 1.43824.
🔽 However, if the RSI divergence is activated, a deeper correction may occur. In that case, the price could re-enter the range, with the first support at 1.36023 and the second support at the range's bottom, 1.32179.
💼 Considering the weakening momentum seen in the candles and the divergence signals, the likelihood of a correction is increasing. However, I personally prefer to wait for confirmation from the price to better identify future trends.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Forex-usdcad
USDCAD SellUSDCAD looks like a sell on the H4 and has been moving steadily down from my last entry in UC. I believe that there will be a potential double top move looking to move towards the 1.37800s and since we are within that range it is clearly looking for prior price action to do a pullback or continue the reversal pattern of a downtrend. I am looking for this mainly to be a day trade, however, I will also be placing a swing trade for my other trading accounts to bare in mind to also use PROPER risk management.
RSI also indicates that we are long overdue a major short and will see it within the next few candles how far USDCAD can go. I also have spotted trend patterns go back to July 25th of this year and it extending all the way down for a month straight crashing USDCAD all the way down till the very bottom of the RSI.
ENTRY: 1.37951
TP 1 (Day Trade): 1.1.36230
TP 2 (Swing Trade): 1.35434
TP 3: (extended swing trade) 1.34396
SL: 30 Pips from entry
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USDCADUSDCAD price is in the support zone. 1.36460-1.36058 If the price can stand above 1.36058, it is expected that there is a chance that the price will rebound. Consider buying a red zone.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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*Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management
USD/CAD Threatens a Big BreakoutThe North American cross of the US and Canadian dollars has been on quite a run of late.
The pair has rallied for 11 of the last 12 days to test its April high near 1.3845 as of writing. Interestingly, the pair formed a potential double bottom pattern in the interim, hinting at the potential for a more extended rally from here if that resistance level gives way.
For now, the key question will be whether we see a weekly close above the April high, or whether a near-term pullback (which traders would likely see as a buying opportunity) is more likely.
-MW
USDCAD 1D Analysis: Anticipating a Breakout📅 Let's dive into today's analysis. We'll be focusing on the USDCAD pair in the 1D time frame.
⌛️ Long-term Range Box
In the 1D time frame, we observe a large, long-term range box that spans 664 days. This box has experienced a complete High Wave Cycle (HWC) range, which is confirmed by the flat SMA99, indicating minimal slope and nearly flat movement over a long period.
♟ Key Levels
Range Box Bottom: 1.31434
Range Box Top: 1.38725
Breaking either of these lines will likely initiate a new trend for the HWC.
Medium Wave Cycle (MWC) Support: 1.35973
MWC Resistance: 1.37805
🪤 Momentum Indicators
As discussed in yesterday’s analysis, momentum oscillators like RSI are less effective in range-bound markets. In this case, although the RSI broke the 43.14 support, the market did not gain bearish momentum because of the ranging condition. This exemplifies why RSI should not be heavily relied upon in such scenarios.
📉 Bearish Scenario
If a candle closes below the 1.35973 area, we can expect the price to move towards the bottom of the range box at 1.31434. This support is crucial and could push the price back to the top of the range.
📈 Bullish Scenario
Conversely, if the price breaks above 1.37805, it may move towards the top of the box at 1.38725. However, this move is less likely due to the weakness observed in the green candles, indicating weaker buyer strength.
🔍 Candle Analysis
Examining the candles shows that reaching the top of the range box takes significant time, with small green candles. Conversely, reaching the bottom of the box from the top happens quickly with strong red candles. Given the weak green candles in the latest upward move that didn't even reach the top of the box, the likelihood of a downward breakout is higher.
🎯 Target Levels
In case of a downward breakout, switching to the weekly time frame helps identify important levels:
First Target: 1.30183 (0.5 Fibonacci level)
Second Target: 1.27624
Third Target: 1.22926 (a very significant support for this pair)
📝 Conclusion
The USDCAD pair is currently trading within a long-term range, showing weak buyer momentum and stronger bearish tendencies. A breakout from this range, particularly to the downside, seems more probable given the current market conditions. Traders should watch key levels closely for confirmation and be ready to act accordingly once a breakout occurs.
🧠💼 Always remember that trading futures involves inherent risks, and improper risk management can lead to margin calls. Stick to your capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, aiming for an initial risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please like and share this analysis. Feel free to leave your comments or suggest a pair you'd like me to analyze next.
USDCADUSDCAD daily chart is in a correction period. The price is currently near the support zones 1.36655 and 1.36167. If the price can remain above the level of 1.36167, it is expected that there is a chance that the price will rebound. Consider buying a red zone.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
*Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management
UCAD Correction to 1.3300 Levels!!Here I have USDCAD on the Daily Chart!
Since its High in April @ 1.38461, we have made multiple attempts at breaking this Support Zone @ ( 1.3627 - 1.3615 )
Acting as a Roof, we have a Falling Resistance where Price tested a couple times then brought False Breaks the past 2 weeks with Price dipping down to this Support!!
Based off the High of April and the Failed Attempt at a Higher High @ 1.37434, we are potentially looking at a Correction Wave!!
Now, for this idea to play out, we need price to make a VALID Break Down below this Support Zone! To then find Lower Support making a LOWER LOW confirming price to continue DOWN!!
Upon which we should see price come up to the ( 1.3627 - 1.3615 ) Support Zone to test as RESISTANCE!! Which then will give us our Selling Opportunities!
Based on the Fib-Ext Tool, we could see price Plummet to the ( 1.33278 - 1.32295 ) Range Target!
USDCAD: Bullish Continuation & Long Signal
USDCAD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long USDCAD
Entry - 1.3625
Sl - 1.3598
Tp - 1.3671
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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USDCAD Bullish Trading IdeaDisclaimer, these ideas are for my records of what I see in the market after taking a trade. It will help me document the reason of why I took the trade so I can have a track record. And as such, this is not a financial advice.
I've noticed that at the monthly timeframe the pair is doing a wyckoff distribution schematic.
Then at the weekly timeframe, the pair once more is doing a wyckoff distribution schematic.
At the daily timeframe, I've identified a potential area of interest delimited by the fibonacci levels 1, 0.5, and 0 (orange lines). I believe the price is trying to reach that area of interest to get right of the liquidity delimited with the lines that have the $$$ above them.
At the 4 hour timeframe, the price appears to want to go higher, potentially giving strenght to my trade idea.
Given these findings, I'll be entering a buy position until it reaches the fibonacci levels, then I'll start looking for sells.
Strifor || NZDUSD-31/05/2024Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: The situation with the New Zealand dollar, as well as with the Australian dollar, forces us to freeze all purchases for now and consider more sales. We are targeting the support level of 0.60713 , which is where the approach is likely to come in the near future.
A more likely setup is a maximum drop from current prices, especially at the beginning of the American session (scenario №1). Less likely scenario №2 involves growth at the moment to 0.61670 , which may just happen against the backdrop of the publication of today's data. The target for the fall is level 0.60713 .
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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STRONG "HEADED" REVERSAL COOKING UP?? - UCADHere I have USD/CAD on the 1 Hr Chart!!
Price attempted a BULLISH BREAK of the Falling Resistance but was quickly halted and retuned to the Low created before the MASSIVE PUMP!
Now on closer examination, price seems to have a underlaying Reversal Pattern beginning to take "Face".
A HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN!!
Now with our "Neckline" @ 1.36567 being confirmed after the formation of the First Shoulder and Head, we can expect to see 1 last attempt at a HIGH!!
This HIGH I believe will be at the Same level as the First Shoulder, forming the Second, which will be CONFIRMATION OF PATTERN!! Then, upon arrival back at the Neckline, we will be looking for SELLING OPPORTUNITIES!!
**IF Price BREAKS & CLOSES ABOVE the First Shoulder @ 1.36984, Pattern is INVALIDATED!!
First Profit Target Zone will be at the SUPPORT ZONE @ ( 1.3627 - 1.3600 ) Range
3rd Times The Ticket! - UCADHere I have USD/CAD on the Daily Chart!
Price on UCAD has been Ranging between the Resistance Zone @ ( 1.3880 - 1.3804 ) & Support Zone @ ( 1.3223 - 1.3116 ) since Sept. 2022!!!
Price revisited the Resistance Zone on Apr. 16th-17th and since has created a LOWER LOW with price finding a Minor Support Level @ ( 1.3647 - 1.3616 )
Suspecting Price may be creating a Descending Triangle, I am waiting for price to attempt 1 more High that will be the 3rd Test of the Falling Resistance in which I will be looking for Selling Opportunities down to the Support Zone @ ( 1.3223 - 1.3116 )!
*I have suspected a 2nd Scenario where given the current Bullishness of Price Action since its visit at the Support Zone in late Dec. 2023, if price is unable to Break Below the Minor Support Level, we could see this Falling Resistance turned into Support to then move Higher!
USDCAD: Trading Signal From Our Team
USDCAD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short USDCAD
Entry Point - 1.3745
Stop Loss - 1.3786
Take Profit - 1.3679
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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⭐️ EUR/USD - Euro-Dollar Trend Watch (READ THE CAPTION)By checking the #Euro_Dollar chart in the 2-hour time frame, we can see that the price closed at 1.0652 last week and is currently in a neutral range, And to determine the next trend, we have to wait for the price to penetrate to one of the two levels of 1.069 or 1.06020! But I give 60% probability that the price will be supported again in the demand range of 1.064 and move towards higher targets! This analysis will be updated!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USDCAD: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: USDCAD
Pattern – Heavy Resistance
Support – 1.3514, 1.3454
Resistance – 1.3602
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at USDCAD daily.
What are we discussing and asking today after looking at USDCAD?
Will current heavy resistance contnue to block buyers? Does price have enough momentum in its current bull channel? Will this week's data and news be enough of an influence to set off a new break lower or higher?
Key news, US CPI, PPI, Fed meeting minutes. Canadian interest rate decision.
Good trading.
Rising Wedge Break! - UCADHere I have USD/CAD!
On the Daily Chart, we have Higher Highs into Higher Lows forming what looks to be a Rising Wedge!
Now on the 4Hr Chart I have an underlying Support Zone that I suspect price to test and bounce up from to test the Bearish Break of the Rising Wedge and if it holds, could continue lower!!!
Strengthening my Bearish Bias is the Daily RSI High's are flat where Price on the chart has been making Higher Highs showing a Divergence in the mix!! Along with the RSI heading back down below 50!
Fundamentally this week we had CAD HOLD their Rates @ 5% giving CAD considerable strength!
USD has had a rough week, showing SLOWING services and employment growth.
USD - Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Employment Change & Unemployment (Fri)
CAD - Employment Change & Unemployment Rate (Fri)
USDCADHello everyone,
New week ahead. Looking forward to it!
Last week we had red folder news. BTC is pumping, gold is following.
I did my TA last night for my point of interset.
If you look back at the charts, you can see why I am not putting limits.
If I see a big candle pushing in my zone of interest, I am more than happy to watch how it goes and step in after liq crap or the next demand zone.
When the entrée come, a 3RR is target, but you can also follow the price to the next interest zone.
I try to update when I am taking a position.
Middle Road for UCADHere we have USD/CAD on the Daily Chart!
Down on the 4Hr Chart, Price is Bouncing-Up off of the Rising Trendline I have on the chart but with each bounce, buyers seem to be losing strength!
Zoom out to the Daily Chart, it looks like UCAD is in a bigger scale Consolidation with price right in the Middle Road!
My bias on this pair is Bearish given that we are seeing a Slight Divergence in the RSI with our Peaks falling lower and our Dips dropping further pushing a Bearish Narrative.
Oil has been on the rise and that also has me siding with CAD seeing as how Canada is the 4th Largest Producer of oil globally and if prices of Oil keep rising, we can expect UCAD to keep moving lower!
If we can get a Valid Break and Close of this Rising Trendline, I believe we will see price break down through the Local Support to test the Lower Support Level.
Fundamentally this week:
USD - CPI (Tue) Retail Sales, Unemployment, Empire State Manu. Index (Thu), PPI (Fri)
CAD - Clear
🇺🇸 USDCAD 🇨🇦 - Growth of the pair along with the dollar indeUSDCAD may continue the growth phase within the local uptrend. The favorable background for the currency pair is the strong dollar, which is strengthening after last week's news. The pair may test the resistance and after a small correction continue the growth to the far target.
Reasons for further gains:
1) A strong dollar that continues to rise
2) Against this background, the Canadian dollar is weakening.
3) Uptrend
4) Som local resistance structure
USDCADUSDCAD price is in a correction period. and is an upward trend The current price is near the support zone. 1.34293-1.34645 If the price cannot break through the level of 1.34293, it is expected that there is a chance that the price will rebound. Consider buying a red zone.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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