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GOLD → Consolidation after the fall. Trading inside the rangeFX:XAUUSD is forming consolidation in a new bearish plane after a strong fall on Wednesday. The emphasis is on 2622 - 2581. The fundamental background is negative and technically the price is testing the lows. On Wednesday, the Fed adopted a more conservative approach to monetary policy, laying down only 2 rate cuts in 2025, which generally had a negative impact on the whole market except for the dollar, which is breaking through local highs. Today traders await the release of the PCE, which is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation. Any surprise in the PCE data or an escalation of political uncertainty could push metal prices up. From a technical point of view, the gold market remains in the previously mentioned consolidation, and prices fluctuate in wide ranges, which is generally logical for the end of the calendar year: reduced liquidity and increased volatility... Resistance levels: 2616, 2622 Support levels: 2589, 2581, 2560 Since the price is inside the consolidation, it is worth considering trading from the boundaries of this range. In the long term, I expect a retest of the key resistance 2616-2622 in the form of a false breakdown and a fall towards local lows Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
3
GBPUSD → One step away from breaking support and falling awayFX:GBPUSD is facing difficulties. Negative fundamental background, strong dollar and price entry into the selling zone gives a bunch of preconditions hinting at the continuation of the fall Yesterday the UK GDP came out, which remained at the same level, there is no driver for GBP at the moment, but there is for USD, which is growing after interest rate cuts, but the growth is not because of this, but because of hints of stopping the cycle of further rate cuts and the change of officials' mood to hawkish, which in general, against the background of Trump's policy indicates medium-term potential. Technically, the currency pair is testing the risk zone, a false breakout will form a rebound reaction and I think it will be a short-term reaction. Resistance levels: 1.257, 1.2597, 1.2665 Support levels: 1.2488, 1.245 After the false breakdown, the currency pair may test the local resistance. But retest of the support within 1-3 days will play an important role. Formation of a pre-breakout base at 1.2488 will strengthen the potential for further decline With Respect R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
GOLD - Price can start to decline, breaking support levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some days ago price fell inside falling channel, where it soon reached and broke at once $2720 level. Then price continued to decline and later fell to $2535 points, after which XAU started to grow. Price exited from falling channel and soon entered to flat, breaking $2620 level, where it soon reached top part. After this, price was corrected and some time traded near $2620 level, and then grew to top part one more time. But soon, Gold turned around and declined Below $2620 level, exiting from flat and recently rising back to this level. Now, I think that Gold can make a small move up and then start to decline to $2540 If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WalterMoon
3
GOLD → Interest rates are down, but why is gold falling?FX:XAUUSD falls to 2581. Yesterday's news had a negative impact on the market and it's not about rate cuts. Technically the price confirms the bearish nature of the market. The main reason for the decline in gold prices is the Federal Reserve's caution about lowering interest rates amid the latest economic data. The US central bank lowered the interest rate by 0.25% to the range of 4.25%-4.50% as expected, but for the next year it forecasts 2 rate cuts, which is much less than expected. The Fed's hawkishness has played its role: the dollar is rising, markets are falling. Today all eyes are on GDP and initial jobless claims. Technically, the price is out of the global channel, breaking the support, gold updates the low to 2581. Resistance levels: 2620, 2630, 2636 Support levels: 2616, 2612, 2603 After updating the low, a retest of the previously broken channel boundary and imbalance zones is formed. False breakdown of key resistance, for example 2620 or 2630 and subsequent consolidation of the price below these zones may lead to further decline. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
10
GOLD → Ahead is the Fed and the rate decision. What to do?FX:XAUUSD tested strong support on Tuesday at 2633 before traders moved into a buying phase, hoping a possible rate cut would support their intentions There is a 93% probability that the Fed may cut interest rates by 0.25%. But the thing to pay attention to here is the general backdrop - the Fed's stance. Hawkish hints about 2025 could have a much bigger impact than a rate cut, which is partially already factored in by the market. Any hint of fewer rate cuts next year could be a growth driver for the dollar. Powell's comments play an important role in assessing the situation for next year against the backdrop of Trump's policies Downside risks for gold are quite high due to the controversial situation in favor of the Fed's hawkish stance. Technically, the emphasis is on the local channel. A price exit beyond 2658 or 2633 will be accompanied by a strong impulse. Resistance levels: 2658, 2675 Support levels: 2645, 2633, 2620 The situation is very controversial and complicated, that's why several directions relative to the key zones are indicated on the chart. Everything depends not only on the actual rate numbers, but also on the Fed comments, namely we are interested in the tone and stance for next year. Recommendation - skip trading before the event and wait until volatility decreases to be able to adequately perceive the market position Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
11
GOLD → Manipulation ahead of a possible rate cutFX:XAUUSD is declining after a false breakout of 2658 (0.5 fibo). We can say that this is a manipulation before a possible growth. Technically gold has a neutral trend. The emphasis is on support. Markets continue to consider the possibility that the Fed will lower interest rate by 0.25% on Wednesday. This could spark a bearish rally in the dollar, which would be favorable for gold, which is heading for support. But here we should also take into account the comments of the Fed, which based on economic data is beginning to question its decisions and change into a hawk. The suspension of the rate cut cycle in January may put pressure on the markets, including gold, but this problem is postponed until 2025. Today all eyes are on retail sales. Technically, gold is flat and heading for strong support.... Resistance levels: 2646, 2658 Support levels: 2633, 2620, 2617 Price is heading towards support before the news. Manipulation before a possible rise? The probability is high :) We are waiting for support retest, false breakdown and possible growth to the mentioned targets Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
EURO - Price can break resistance level and continue to riseHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some days ago price traded inside flat, where it declined to resistance area and then rose to top part of flat. Also, when price rose to top part of flat, EUR made a first gap and then made downward impulse. Price exited from flat and continued to decline inside falling channel, where it broke $1.0760 level and continued to fall. Later price reached $1.0520 level, some time traded near, and then declined to $1.0335 points, exiting of falling channel. Euro started to grow inside rising channel, where it made a second gap and some time traded between $1.0520 level. Now price trying to break $1.0520 level, and I think it can break it and continue to grow to $1.0720 in channel. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
11
GOLD → False breakout and negative fundamental backgroundFX:XAUUSD is correcting after a false breakout of resistance. This is also supported by negative fundamentals. Will there be a pullback or will the decline continue? Optimism over China's economic stimulus is waning amid growing fears of a trade war between the US and China. Expectations of a hawkish Fed interest rate next week helped boost the US dollar, leading to a corrective decline in the gold price.Markets now believe the Fed may send a hawkish signal by signaling a pause in January after PPI came in higher than expected Technically gold is still inside the channel, consolidation continues. Focus on 2658-2660 support, below which there is a huge pool of liquidity that may not let the price down on the first try Resistance levels: 2675, 2682, 2699 Support levels: 2658, 2636 From the support 2658 may form a correction from which will depend on the further development of events: if the correction will be small and the price will quickly return to 2658, it will increase the chances of support breakout and further fall, for example, to 2636. But, if gold can consolidate above 2682 and consolidate above the local high, the price may head for a retest of the high Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
1
GOLD → False breakout of resistance. Is a correction coming?FX:XAUUSD on the background of CPI on Thursday passes into a rally and realization of consolidation. The price is testing the resistance of 2721 and forms a false breakout. Traders in anticipation of PPI After the release of CPI, there is a 90% chance that the Fed will cut rates by 0.25% next week. Gold hit a two-week high due to the Middle East, optimism over China's economic stimulus, CPI news. PPI and weekly jobless claims data also remain in focus, which could provide new hints on further Fed policy easing and the direction of the US dollar ahead of next week's Fed meeting. Sentiment around the Fed and risk trends will continue to play a decisive role in gold price dynamics. Technically, the price is in a global wide flat. A false breakdown of resistance is forming and a correction may form. Resistance levels: 2721 Support levels: 2700, 2682 The retest did not allow the bulls to pass through the resistance. In the near future the price may test the nearest support and form a bullish correction from which further growth or fall will be initiated. We should also take into account today's news Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
11
BITCOIN → Trend reversal? The end of growth? Or ...BINANCE:BTCUSD still maintains a bullish market structure as evidenced by the local upward channel within the broader consolidation channel. After a strong rally, the price is moving into consolidation. several possible scenarios regarding current levels and the current situation Consolidation is the accumulation of a position. Accordingly, there can be different situations inside such a figure: traps, traps, false breakdowns, unpredictable impulses and so on. And it all has one goal - accumulation. Technically, the bullish market structure is not broken. Globally - flat. Locally - an ascending channel. The risk of breaking the bullish structure will be if the price starts to approach 91K - 85K. Then the question about deeper correction or even reversal will become more serious, but not now. The bulls are actively defending the boundaries of the local ascending channel and it may lead the price to retest 99-102K, but at the moment there are no preconditions for strong growth. The market will need a few days to recover its strength. Just during this period of time, the asset may show further intentions. Resistance levels: 99K, 101.3K, 104K Support levels: 95.9K, 91.6K If the bears hold the defense below 99K and the price starts to fall down, then pay attention to 95.9K. Further fall or consolidation inside the channel will depend on this level. If the bulls will be able to keep the defense inside the channel (above the support), then in the medium term we can count on the continuation of growth Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
GOLD → Breaking through channel resistance. Growth attemptGOLD is coming out of the channel. Bulls are trying to take the situation into their own hands and keep the defense above 2665. The metal has a chance for local return and growth to 2690 - 2720. Growing geopolitical tension in the Middle East (Syrian government collapse) compensates local growth of the dollar, which is generally favorable for the metal. But, risks of dollar growth remain on the background of inflation growth in the U.S., which in general can strengthen the hawkish position of the Fed policy makers on the interest rate. At the moment all attention is focused on CPI / PPI. Profit-taking is possible due to high risks. Gold is coming out of the local channel, but is still trapped inside the global channel. Price may test the zone of interest before important economic data. Support levels: 2660, 2655, 2636 Resistance levels: 2673, 2688, 2721 The breakout took place and the metal is trying to go up. The target is 2688. But we should be careful, because geopolitical tensions, upcoming economic data may cause corrections and profit taking Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
10
EURO - Price can enter to resistance area and then start to fallHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently price declined inside falling channel, where it bounced from $1.0580 level and fell to $1.0460 level. Then price broke this level and fell to $1.0330 points, thereby exiting from channel, but then it made upward impulse. Also, Euro made a first gap, after which started to trades inside flat, where it at once made retest and started to grow. Price rose to $1.0580 level, some time traded near, and then dropped to support level, making a second gap. Next, price in a short time rose back to resistance level, made a fake breakout, and now trades below in flat. Possibly, Euro can enter to resistance area again and then start to decline to $1.0500 If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
2
ETHFI → A door has been opened to the bulls. Resistance retest BINANCE:ETHFIUSDT is forming a bottom. The coin continues to accumulate potential giving signs that the price is preparing to go up. The fundamental background is changing to favorable The U.S. presidential election and Trump's victory have a favorable impact on the cryptocurrency market in the medium and long term. This will be especially visible after the inauguration of the new (old) president :). Fundamentally, the market opened another door.... Technically, there is a clear bottom at 1.092 with no attempts to renew the low, and a basic cascading support is formed, indicating the buyer's strength. The focus is on consolidation of 1.798 - 1.092. The price exit from this channel will be accompanied by a strong distribution (most likely upward) Resistance levels: 1.798, 2.761 3.240 Support levels: 1.302, 1.092 There is a conglomerate of resistances ahead (descending line and channel boundary at 1.798). In the near future the market may continue to test this area with a breakout target. If the bulls can keep the defense above these areas, the rally will not be long in coming. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:ETHFIUSDT.P ;) Regards R. Linda!
by RLinda
2
BITCOIN → The market is getting ready to pass 100K. New targets?BINANCE:BTCUSD after a strong rally is consolidating without the possibility to form a deep correction, which indicates that the coin is ready to update the highs and go higher, for example, to 100-105-110K. Despite the fact that bitcoin is losing its dominance in the market and it is possible to say that the alt season is open, the flagship of the cryptocurrency market has a huge potential to continue the rally. At the very least, the market is interested in reaching 100K, from which we are one step away. Fundamentally: whales continue to accumulate the asset, buying up at every opportunity. Trump with his policies on cryptocurrencies is still a strong driver for the flagship and the cryptocurrency market as a whole... Technically: The recent local correction is just a trap to gather liquidity before further growth. Pullbacks are now attracting large institutional buyers Resistance levels: 99K, 100K Support levels: 94.7K, 91.25K, 89.2K An ascending triangle can be seen on the chart, which can be interpreted as a buyer's interest in breaking the resistance. The bulls continue to put pressure on the market. Trigger 99K. If this zone is broken, bitcoin could go to 105K Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by RLinda
43
EURO - Price can bounce down from resistance area to $1.0385Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A few days ago price bounced from $1.1000 level and rose to $1.1205 points, after which turned around. Then price started to decline inside falling channel, where it at once reached and broke $1.1000 level. After this, EUR fell to support line of falling channel, and then bounced and rose to resisatnce line, making a first gap. Price made downward impulse, thereby exiting from channel and starting to trades inside flat, breaking $1.0585 level too. In flat, Euro fell to bottom part but then turned around, made a second gap, and now trades close to $1.0585 level. In my mind, Euro can enter to resistance area and then start to decline to $1.0385, which coincides with bottom part of flat. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
10
GOLD → Consolidation. Which way will the momentum go?FX:XAUUSD in consolidation phase. The market is nervous because of misunderstanding of further actions in anticipation of news. What to expect and what can happen? The US labor market is stronger than expected, but the dollar remained cold amid expectations of more important news. At the moment, there is a 75% chance of a 0.25% interest rate cut. But, the dollar is still in demand due to the unstable geopolitical background. At the moment gold depends on the US employment data, ADP and Powell's speech Bad employment data may increase the probability of further Fed rate cuts in 2025. And vice versa. But, this background is unlikely to create a medium-term potential for gold..... Also, in the perspective of NFP... Technically, gold is in consolidation and the price exit from the flag boundaries may be accompanied by a strong impulse. The probability of a further fall is a little higher... Resistance levels: 2651, 2660 Support levels: 2636, 2618 Gold continues to test the support 2636, which only increases the probability of a breakdown and further fall. But on the background of the news, the price may test the resistance before a further fall Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
3
EURUSD → Consolidating before the news.... FX:EURUSD is in a current downtrend, but there is news ahead and traders are waiting for hints about the US monetary policy. The currency pair has not yet reached the local target... On D1, the struggle for space continues after the false breakdown of support. Also, the market is still yet to test 1.061 - 1.065 - the key liquidity zone. Ahead of ADP Nonfarm, PMI and Powell's speech, where, according to analysts, the issue of rates, US monetary policy may come up. Any hints of an aggressive rate cut could reinforce buying in the Euro and selling in the Dollar. However, we can't know this ahead of time, so the market may remain in consolidation until the news. Resistance levels: 1.0606, 1.0654, 1.076. Support levels: 1.0448, 1.033 Technically, the currency pair can form an upward momentum to key resistance areas, from which the decline can resume. But, if the price breaks the support and consolidates below 1.044, the decline may start earlier. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
GOLD → Consolidation. One step away from distribution...FX:XAUUSD is faltering a bit due to high risks before the news. In the moment a strong impulse can be formed. The price is consolidating in the local range. Earlier, the price broke the local upward support.... Traders are consolidating in anticipation of economic data. Volatility is decreasing, speculators are not ready to take risks yet, all attention is focused on PMI, Powell's speech on Thursday and NFP on Friday... A rebound in US dollar demand early Tuesday kept gold buyers on the back foot. China's ongoing economic problems and the threat of global tariffs from Trump, geopolitical tensions in eastern Europe and escalating conflict in the Middle East continue to weigh on investor sentiment. The future direction of the gold price is likely to depend on upcoming employment data and its impact on expectations of a Fed rate cut Resistance levels: 2660, 2655 Support levels: 2634, 2618, 2605 Since there is no even direction on the market and the price is inside the channel, we will consider trading from its borders. Therefore, a false break of the key resistance may provoke a fall to the support of the range. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
18
AEVOUSDT → One step away from a 200-400% RALLYBINANCE:AEVOUSDT is forming a market bottom. Against the backdrop of bitcoin's declining dominance, altcoins have a great chance of realization. And AEVO has an opportunity for a 200-400% rally Relative to the bottom, the coin is forming a consolidation of 0.269 - 0.534. Consolidation is big enough and if the realization starts, the impulse can be formed quite aggressive, especially on the background of excitement. Technically, the emphasis is on 0.534 - 0.594. If the price breaks this resistance area and the bulls are able to keep the defense above this zone, the coin will open the way to 0.8, 1.12, 1.34, which is a 200-400% move. Resistance levels: 0.534, 0.594 Support levels: 0.455, 0.269 A breakthrough of the first line of defense is being formed. The bulls have quite positive chances. Realization can start any minute. Medium-term target is 1.127, long-term target is 1.34 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:AEVOUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
13
GBPUSD → Counter-trend correction before further declineFX:GBPUSD within the correction reaches a zone of interest and resistance from which the decline may resume as the dollar returns to a northbound rut ... Traders continue to fight for the 1.267 area, an area that is a strong enough support. Buyers don't have much of a chance as the dollar looks quite strong on the back of Trump's policies and is putting quite a lot of pressure on the forex market. Technically, the downtrend is the priority and we will be pulling back from it. Key zones: 0.5 Fibo and the boundary of the downtrend. False breakout may provoke further decline. Resistance levels: 1.275, 1.284 Support levels: 1.267, 1.264 False breakout of resistance will indicate the bears' domning and may provoke further selling. It is also worth emphasizing 1.267-1.264. A breakdown and consolidation of the price below this zone will also confirm the bears' intention Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
19