EUR/JPY looks ready to ripThe ECB are expected to cut their benchmark rate for the first time in 8 years in a few hours. Yet as it has been so well telegraphed and they seem unlikely to provide promise of further cuts just yet, we suspect upside potential for euro pairs once the dust has settled. And with Wall Street at new highs and appetite for risk on the rise, EUR/JPY looks good for long setups.
A bullish inside day formed on Wednesday, and whilst it met resistance at the 2008 high it has since found support at the 20-day EMA. The daily chart shows prices holding above the daily pivot point, and a bullish engulfing candle has formed with a bullish RSI divergence. A bullish flag also appears to be forming.
The bias remains bullish above 169, although the 20-day EMA or cycle lows can be used to aid with risk management if momentum turns higher. A break above 170 brings the daily R2 / 61.8% projection into focus, and the flag suggests a target just above the 170.72 highs.
Flag
Bitcoin Bull-Flag Breaking OutIn my most recent BTC analysis I talked about a pending break out of a bull-flag pattern. My previous design was not the one the market agreed upon, so had to redraw the bottom support.
As expected, the price is breaking out through the top resistance as we speak. Wait for the candle to close for confirmation.
My view is quite bullish, so I'm expecting this break out to lead to a new ATH in the coming weeks.
Bullish Flag / Elliot / Fibonacci / LiquidationAfter the first Elliott impulse wave, a correction of the second wave in the form of an ABC pattern was completed, forming a flag. According to the flag formation, there is potential for growth within the third wave towards the large liquidity pool zone and the 1.618 Fibonacci level. From there, a correction within the fourth wave is expected, followed by the formation of the fifth wave. Successful trading!
Reef - Bull flag - 200%On the above 1 day chart price action has corrected 60% since early April. A number of reasons now invite a long position. They include:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Price action confirms support on past resistance. Once the horizontal 2nd the diagonal.
3) The flag. The breakout is clear to see with the flagpole extension measuring a 200% target area. Remember targets do not equal market tops.
Is it possible price action continues to correct? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: Trade
Risk: <= 3%
Timeframe for long: days
Return: 200%
SPY levels update - Still waiting First of all, I would like to note that the price found support roughly at the zone noted earlier : flag bottom + 21EMA. Yes, we got a shakeout, but it was not followed by high volume and was aggressively bought back.
We are still inside the flag, with support around 523, where I see the Inv H&Sh pattern on the lower timeframe, as well as the 21EMA. If this level is broken, price may try the 50SMA (and the flag bottom).
As long as the price is above these lvls - that is pretty positive!
DXY Flagging Down 103 Soon?!Here I have DXY on the 4Hr Chart!
Price has been in quite a Downtrend since the High @ 106.517 and now with the appearance of what seems to be a BEARISH BREAK of an ASCENDING CHANNEL which if we get a VALID BREAK and CLOSE out of this Channel .. This is signs of a Strong Continuation pattern, the BEAR FLAG!
The Big Push behind this weakness comes in with the disappointing ISM Manufacturing PMI's showing quite a bit of Contraction!
Final ISM Manufacturing PMI - 51.3 Actual v 50.9 Forecast
ISM Manufacturing PMI - 48.7 Actual v 49.8 Forecast
ISM Manufacturing Prices - 57 Actual v 60 Forecast
*To Validate this Pattern, we need to see a STRONG CLOSE outside with a SOFT RETEST of the Break!
EURUSD: Bullish Continuation?! 🇪🇺🇺🇸
I see a classic bullish pattern on EURUSD:
a bullish flag.
After a completion of a bullish impulse, the price started
a correctional movement within.
With a yesterday's bullish movement, the market managed
to break and close above the resistance of the flag and
set a new higher high higher close.
For us, it is an important bullish signal.
I think that the market may keep growing to 1.0921 level soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
BTC in Elliot Waves Pattern. Bullish flag breakout soon?Hello guyzzz!
New week, new market update!
We are still in the same 3-month bullish flag. Adding Elliott Waves and a red rectangle here, if we reach it, will be the best option to open long positions.
Also, it seems like we're trying to retest the resistance line of the flag for the second time. If we don't reach the box, I think I will open a position around $66,000-$67,000 because, according to seasonal analysis, we are really close to the middle of the month, and the breakout can happen soon.
For sure, I suppose the movement will not be very active due to low volumes and the summer season, so be careful, use SL, and follow RM strategy!
Share your market vision in the comments 👇👀
GBPUSD: One More Bearish Setup For TodayI noticed another bearish signal on the GBPUSD chart. The price was respecting a rising trend line until it hit a significant horizontal resistance level.
This led to a bearish breakout and the support of the flag pattern was breached. As a result, the pair is likely to decline further.
The target levels to watch for are 1.2685 and 1.2648.
Bitcoin - 10% crash is coming, buy at 62k (here's why)Bitcoin is preparing for a pretty significant crash (in June). Why do I think so? We need to look at the previous price action because in May, Bitcoin pumped by 25%. If we take a look at May's price action, we can see that the uptrend created a FVGAP at 62k, and these gaps tend to be filled sooner rather than later. This is, of course, not the only reason why I am bearish.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin finished the first impulse wave (1) and after such move we can expect a corrective ABC pattern because markets always move in waves. In general, a typical retracement for waves (1) is 0.618 FIB and also 0.382 FIB in strong bull markets. The 0.618 FIB overlays perfectly with the mentioned FVGAP, which gives us a pretty solid buying opportunity if the price reaches this level. The next good opportunity is to short Bitcoin on the futures market.
The next reason why I am bearish is this small red trendline. As you can see, the trendline is breaking down, which is, of course, a sign of weakness. This trendline is part of the rising wedge pattern, so it adds to the overall bearishness. Currently, I am bearish, so be careful during the summer as the price action is not the most volatile for Bitcoin during this season.
Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.