Flag
BTC 100k trajectory As stated before, BTC is a rising star and its bull patterns are speaking for itself.
The flag pattern has an approximate success rate of 70%. This shows that in about 60-65% of cases the price moves in the expected direction after the pattern has completed. The bullish flag pattern success rate of 67.13% appears similar to a horizontal parallel channel paired with a strong bullish vertical rise.
Happy trading.
Halliburton’s Potential Bearish FlagEnergy stocks continue to lag as the market anticipates greater supply and weaker demand from China. The backdrop may be creating downside risk in Halliburton, a key provider of oilfield services.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the January low just below $33. Prices bounced there in June and July. They slid below in August, which may be viewed as a breakdown.
A small rising channel has developed since then. Some traders may view that as a bearish flag. (Notice a similar formation in May, followed by a drop.)
Third, the gap lower on July 19 after revenue missed could reflect weakening fundamentals.
Next, our 2 MA Ratio custom script in the lower study shows the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) staying below the 21-day EMA. That may reflect a bearish short-term trend.
The longer-term trajectory could additionally be negative: HAL made a lower quarterly high in April versus October. The 50-day simple moving average (SMA) also had a “death cross” below the 200-day SMA in June.
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Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
US30 possible breakout to ATHWaiting to see if US30 is able to break this trend line, if it will there is a high chance that we will see a break of all time high. A perfect scenario would be price breaking that trend line, getting good news compared to forecast before NY session, and high volume after NY session open. If all these happen, price is most likely to break ATH after that. This is simple technical analysis. Once you see all these happen, try going to lower timeframes, 15m or maybe 5m to get your perfect entry. Good luck and lets see how it will play out. And remember, the simpler you keep your charts, the better the trader you will become
GBPJPY - SHORT: Trade Recap, 27/08/2024Bias Analysis: Daily minor swing at equilibrium and 4H trading out of Order Block. 1H range was bearish with price at a 1H Order Block well within Optimal Trade Entry.
Entry Criteria: 15M protracted counter to my bias, swept upside liquidity and traded deep within the 1H Order Block before an engulfing candle printed.
Grade: High Quality Valid
What I did well or could do better:
- Exercised patience after the first 15M TBL sweep and reversal print as we had a shallow mitigation of the order block with a 1-sided fair value gap resting below.
- Observed the full picture and made a process based decision to enter, full accepting the risk.
- I could've been more mindful of inputting the correct data into my position size calculator as the position was too small.
NZDUSD: Very Bullish Pattern 🇳🇿🇺🇸
NZDUSD formed a bullish flag pattern on an hourly time frame
after a recent strong bullish movement.
The breakout of the resistance of the flag is a strong bullish signal.
It signifies a highly probable bullish trend continuation.
The price may reach 0.6235 / 0.6245 levels soon.
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WIF Looking Good — Can We Get 2.25?WIF was one of the biggest gainers last week, adding almost 40%. Based on the chart, it is likely we'll see a continuation of the uptrend.
Here's why:
• WIF faced resistance at the psychological $2 mark. Actually, it's not surprising after the intense climb.
• Afterward, WIF entered a descending channel you could interpret as a bull flag.
• Typically, a descending channel after a pump is considered a continuation pattern. Accordingly, we should see a breakout to the top at some point.
If this breakout happens, the price should quickly rise toward the level of 2.25 (calculated based on the previous pole flag).
Therefore, you should pay close attention to the upper trendline.
$140K USD for Bitcoin in 2025!!! It appears as though Bitcoin is trading in a descending channel, with a potential breakout happen in the near term.
BTC has tested the downward sloping resistance of a descending channel pattern multiple times, each time BTC is creating a lower high & a lower low, which is inherently bearish.
The williams alligator is also displaying a bullish cross & the bands are widening in an upward direction, which is a bullish indicator.
Bullish cross on the KST as well. I have placed upward arrows at each bullish cross in the recent past showing a direct correlation to upward price swings.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Movement to All Time High
Gold closed in a very strong bullish mood this week.
The price retested a recently broken horizontal resistance,
bounced and violated a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern on a 4H time frame.
Probabilities are high that the market will continue growing next week.
Next goal for buyers will be the resistance based on a current All Time High.
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BTC - FINALLY - Bullish BREAKOUT? For the last few months, I've been preaching patience as we saw a multi-month correction play out, all as a part of the bigger-picture Elliot Wave playout.
The charts are looking positive after some bullish action started showing up from yesterday.
I'd be ready to say the corrective phase is finally over and we're starting the new impulse wave up IF Bitcoin can keep above this support level highlighted on the chart, around $63k.
This would validate a successful Flag-Breakout / Pennant breakout pattern.
However, if we close a daily UNDER this key support zone - it's likely that we're not there just yet. I'm still of the opinion we'll be on our way towards a new ATH close to December, as BTC loves Decembers historically.
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bear Flag in Tesla?Tesla has been climbing recently, but some traders may see a bigger downtrend.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of higher lows since August 5. The EV maker fell yesterday to close at its lowest level in over a week. That may be viewed as a breakdown from a bearish flag.
Second, Tuesday’s high occurred near a 50 percent retracement of the move between the peak of July and the trough of this month.
Third, July’s high occurred near the high from December. Could that be viewed as a double-top reversal pattern?
Stochastics are also dipping from an overbought condition.
Next, prices are struggling at the 50-day simple moving average. The 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) also failed to move above the 21-day EMA. Those signals may reflect bearishness over the intermediate and short terms.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
MU: This is a decisive moment! |1H & D charts|1-Hour Chart (Left Side)
On the 1-hour chart, the price formed a strong uptrend followed by a consolidation pattern, identified as a flag. This pattern typically indicates a continuation of the previous trend, meaning that a breakout above the flag's resistance could lead to further gains. However, the price is currently testing the lower boundary of the flag, which is aligned with the 21-period EMA. If the price breaks below this level, it may invalidate the bullish flag, leading to potential downside pressure.
Daily Chart (Right Side)
On the daily chart, the price is approaching resistance around $127.24, which aligns with an open gap. The gap closure often acts as a resistance level, and the price action around this area could determine the next move. If MU's price loses the lower support of its flag pattern seen on the 1h chart, its price could seek its next Fibonacci's Retracements, which are now our next support levels.
Only a clear bullish reaction, breaking (and closing) above the 109.47 would trigger tthis bullish flag upwards, starting a new bullish rally to its gap. For now, MU's price looks weak.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: $109.47 is the immediate resistance, with a potential breakout indicating further upside.
Support: The $104.77 level.
Summary
MU is at a crossroads where the resolution of the flag pattern on the 1-hour chart will likely dictate the next significant move on the daily chart. A breakout could lead to continued upward momentum, while a failure might result in a retracement towards lower support levels.
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Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.