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Golden Horizons: Technical Precision Meets Fundamental PowerOANDA:XAUUSD - Daily Gold’s Bullish Breakout Shines Bright! Gold (XAU/USD) has confirmed a strong breakout from a Falling Wedge and Rounding Bottom, rebounding off the 50% Fibonacci level (2,533.75). With the next target at the 161.8% extension (3,107.09), this setup offers a potential 16.49% gain in just 77 days. Ideal for position traders seeking long-term growth and swing traders capitalising on interim moves. 🚀✨ 🌟 Technical Highlights: Gold’s Bullish Setup in Focus Gold (XAU/USD) is setting the stage for a remarkable upward journey, supported by two key bullish patterns that signal strong momentum ahead: 1. Falling Wedge The recent breakout from a falling wedge pattern is a textbook example of a bullish continuation. This move signals the end of a consolidation phase, where sellers lose control and buyers step in decisively. The breakout is accompanied by strong momentum, confirming that the bulls are in command and driving prices higher. 2. Rounding Bottom Formation Adding to the bullish case is a clear rounding bottom pattern, a powerful long-term reversal signal. This pattern reflects steady accumulation by buyers, often seen as the market transitions from bearish sentiment to a confident bullish trend. It provides a solid base for sustained upward movement. After retracing to the 50% Fibonacci level (2,533.75), the price rebounded strongly, breaking out with conviction. The next key target lies at the 161.8% Fibonacci extension (3,107.09), representing a potential 16.49% gain over the next 77 days. This setup combines technical precision with a clear path for growth, making it a compelling opportunity for traders to watch. Gold’s journey upward is gaining momentum—don’t miss the move! 🌍 Fundamental Insights: Gold’s Shining Role Gold continues to solidify its status as the ultimate safe-haven asset, thriving on a combination of global uncertainties and supportive monetary policies. The Federal Reserve’s dovish stance, characterised by steady interest rates, has reduced the appeal of fixed-income investments, making gold a preferred alternative for investors seeking stability in a low-yield environment. Simultaneously, persistent inflationary pressures and geopolitical tensions are driving investors toward gold as a hedge against declining purchasing power and economic instability. As crises in key regions escalate, gold’s reputation as a reliable store of value during turbulent times becomes even more pronounced. This blend of factors is propelling gold’s bullish momentum, appealing to both long-term investors and short-term traders eager to capitalise on its growing demand. Gold isn’t just performing; it’s standing out as a pillar of strength in today’s unpredictable financial landscape. 📆 Seasonal Boost: The Golden Demand Wave Gold traditionally enjoys heightened demand in the first quarter, driven by cyclical buying patterns in key markets like India and China. In India, the wedding season and festivals fuel a surge in gold purchases, while in China, the Lunar New Year celebrations see gold as a symbol of wealth and prosperity. These cultural and seasonal factors consistently create upward pressure on prices during this period. This seasonal demand perfectly aligns with gold’s current technical breakout and strong fundamental support. The convergence of these factors strengthens the bullish outlook, making the first quarter a historically proven and timely opportunity for traders and investors to capitalise on gold’s momentum. 🙏✨ Thank You for Reading! Wishing you incredible success on your trading journey! 🌟 Always remember, proper risk management is the cornerstone of sustainable growth in the markets. Stay disciplined, stay confident, and let the charts guide your path. 📈💼 Good luck with your trades—may profits be ever in your favor! 🚀💰
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SpicyPips
$AMGN observationThis is just my observation, not advice. Technical: 1. Price touched the 200 SMA. 2. Price is corrected to 50% correction and slightly pumped after reaching the supportive zone. 3. Price reached the volume price of FRVP around 270$. 4. The correction nature of the latest candles in the blue box is obvious. 5. In the daily and 4H charts, the stock is almost in the oversold zone. 6. A significant divergence is observable on the daily chart. Fundamental: 1. P/E ratio: 34.4x (Not undervalued) 2. In November 2024, Amgen's Phase 2 study of MariTide showed a 20% average weight loss over 52 weeks in obese patients without diabetes. While promising, it fell short of analysts' 23–25% expectations, raising concerns about its competitiveness against treatments like Eli Lilly's Zepbound and Novo Nordisk's Wegovy. 3. On November 26th, after MariTide phase 2 announcement, the price was mixed but could be considered to have moved up impulsively. 4. On 5th December, Amgen announced to invest 1B for expansion. 5. NASDAQ:AMGN launched Pavblu as a rival of NASDAQ:REGN 's Eylea. 6. On December 7th, NASDAQ:AMGN out significant result for Blinatumomab. 7. Based on reports, NASDAQ:AMGN raises quarterly dividend 5.8%. 8. Analyst sentiments: 14 buy, 15 hold, 3 sell. Scenarios: We are in the correction with two main scenarios: 1. ABC correction has been completed and impulsive waves have been started so we should look for entry. 2. A correction wave has been completed, and we are now in the B wave correction. In this case, we should see another price drop on wave C. After then, we can look for long on around 78% correction and trendline.
NASDAQ:AMGNLong
by jack_the_real_trader
Trading Timeframes: Measured Moves and ContextIn the previous post, we introduced the concept of measured moves, a structured framework for estimating future price behavior. This method is based on the observation that each swing move tends to be similar in size to the previous one, assuming average price volatility remains consistent. While not exact, this approach offers a practical way to approximate the potential extension of a swing move. A common question that arises is: which timeframe should you use for measured moves, and how do you choose the correct swing move? These questions open up a completely different and important topic. Imagine analyzing a chart across three timeframes: daily, weekly, and monthly. You’ve projected a viable measured move on each chart. Now, ask yourself: which projection is the correct one? Where is the move most likely to play out? Daily Weekly Monthly The reality is that there is no singular “correct” answer. The appropriate measurement depends entirely on your purpose as a trader, the timeframe you operate in, and trading style. The Fractal Nature of Price Action Price action is fractal by nature. Regardless of whether you’re observing a 30-minute chart, a daily chart, or a weekly chart, the price displayed is the same in real time. However, the purpose of charts is to provide context. Each timeframe offers a unique perspective on how price has developed. For example, a 5-minute chart may reveal details about intraday movements while a daily chart condenses those details into broader a broader structure and context. These perspectives may align or contradict one another, they can confirm or challenge your biases. The key takeaway is that charts and timeframes are tools to contextualize price, not definitive answers. Defining Your Trading Timeframe To navigate the apparent contradictions between timeframes, start by defining your trading timeframe. This is where you analyze price structure, execute trades and define holding periods. This will answer the opening question: measured moves and other tools should in preference align with your trading timeframe. In case one wants to consider context, for various reasons, then multiple timeframes can be utilized. These act as a complement, not replacement. Here’s how different timeframes can be used for context. Higher timeframe: Moving one timeframe up will compress the price data, providing a broader context, but at the expense of detail. Lower Timeframe: Moving one timeframe down will reveal intricate details, but can introduce excessive noise. The balance between these components should match your trading style. Without a clear and defined approach, there is a risk of confusion and contradictory biases. The Concept of "Moving in Twos" Another, more anecdotal observation in price movement is the idea of “moving in twos.” This concept suggests that price often moves in sequences of two swings: an impulse move, followed with a pullback, which then repeats. There tends to be some price disruption after this has played out, but does not always imply that trend movement must stop after two moves. However, measured moves tend to align more reliably with these sequences. While not a scientifically validated principle, this concept has been discussed by traders such as Al Brooks, Mack and more. It provides a practical heuristic for applying measured moves more consistently. Practical Application To apply these ideas, consider the following: Define your trading timeframe. Use it as the primary basis for your measured move projections. If needed, incorporate one higher or lower timeframe to balance context and detail. However, these additional perspectives should not overrule your primary focus. Think in terms of “moving in twos.” Use this concept to locate sequences. This post was about the relationship between timeframes and the fractal nature of price action. The focus is on our role as traders and how we decide to operate, rather than absolute answers. This might be clear to most, but if not, take some time to think about and define your trading style.
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by Trader-Shah
$REGN LongThis is just my observation, but not an advice. Technical: REGN touched its two strong trendline since 2020 and 2021. REGN reached the 50% correction since 2020. REGN is oversold daily and weekly. A significant divergence is observable on daily chart. Price touched SMA 200. Fundamental: P/E: 16.9x (moderate undervalue) Since last ATH NASDAQ:REGN has come up with wide ranges of successful clinical trial outcomes. Nonetheless, prices dropped due to competitive pressures on Eylea. Last week, after significant clinical trial results of Odronextamab and Poze-Cemdi, the market moved up. However, the price slid after the BoA's PT revision. Analyst sentiments: 17 buy, 7 buy, 1 sell (BoA) The long possibility is high from now on.
NASDAQ:REGNLong
by jack_the_real_trader
AAVE/USDT 4-Hour Chart Analysis- Trend Analysis: The AAVE/USDT pair is currently in an uptrend, as indicated by the series of higher highs and higher lows. The price has recently broken above several key resistance levels, now acting as support. - Support Levels: $344.42: Previous resistance turned support after the breakout. ~$332.81: Fibonacci retracement level at 0.236. ~$323.56: Fibonacci retracement level at 0.382, which has also acted as support in the past. - Resistance Levels: ~$389.06: Current price level, acting as immediate resistance. ~$397.51: Next psychological resistance, slightly above the current price. - Fibonacci Retracement Levels: The chart shows Fibonacci retracement levels drawn from the recent swing low at $246.10 to the swing high at $397.51. Key levels include: 0.236 at $332.81 0.382 at $323.56 0.5 at $315.06 0.618 at $306.23 0.786 at $293.42 - Volume: There's a noticeable increase in volume during the uptrend, indicating strong buying interest. Volume spikes are particularly evident at breakout points. - Moving Averages: The chart includes moving averages, which are not explicitly labeled but seem to be guiding the price action, with the price staying above these averages during the uptrend. - Strategy: -- For Buyers: Consider buying on pullbacks to the support levels, especially if the price holds above the $344.42 mark. Keep an eye on the volume for confirmation of buying interest. -- For Sellers: Wait for a clear break below the $344.42 support to target lower levels, possibly aiming for the Fibonacci retracement levels as potential targets. - Risk Management: Always use stop-loss orders below key support levels for long positions to manage risk. For short positions, set stop-losses above resistance levels to protect against unexpected breakouts. - Outlook: Bullish if the price maintains above $344.42, with potential targets at $397.51 and beyond. Bearish if the price breaks below $344.42, with initial support at $332.81 and further potential downside to $323.56. Note : This analysis is based on current market conditions and should not be considered as financial advice. Always do your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions. This text provides a detailed analysis of the AAVE/USDT chart, focusing on key technical levels, trends, and potential strategies for traders, which can be useful for those looking at this chart on TradingView or similar platforms.
by Alireza-Abedi
#XRP/USDT 12h / Elliott-Fibonacci-Financial ChannelAccording to Elliott Wave theory, the price rose during the impulsive first wave and corrected in the second wave as an ABC zigzag to the 0.382 Fibonacci level. This aligns with Elliott's rules, suggesting that the correction of the fourth wave will likely be at 0.5 - 0.618. Based on the impulse of the first wave, the target for the third wave is 4.25, followed by a correction within the fourth wave. Using Fibonacci projections by shifting the grid from the start of the first wave impulse to the end of the second wave, the target for the third wave aligns with Fibonacci 1.618 (5.82). Without shifting the Fibonacci grid, the target for the third wave at Fibonacci 1.618 is 4.40. To confirm this scenario, the price must break above the peak of the descending financial channel. Successful trades!
Long
by WoWAcEDuDe
Possible entry points for $NASDAQ:QUBT NASDAQ:QUBT appears to be going through some consolidation after a quick runup. I can see a couple of entry points. The first is to fill a gap in volume established above $5.15 support. My suggested entry target would be ~$5.45. This is the riskier of the two entry points, as you're buying as the stock is falling. See December 3rd as an example, where it retraced to the Fibonacci .5 The more conservative entry point is after the stock breaks out of consolidation. My criteria for that is that it closes ABOVE the recent highs accompanied by higher volume. I would set an alert closing above $7.90 to evaluate.
NASDAQ:QUBTLong
by dzygadlo
1
Is Solana Gearing Up for Another Rally?Since early October 2023, Solana has experienced an impressive 1,000% growth, reaching its peak on March 18, 2024. Following this significant rally, the price entered a corrective rectangle pattern, retracing 50% of the previous wave and preparing for the next upward move. After breaking out of the corrective pattern and achieving notable growth, Solana has now formed a zigzag corrective pattern. The price retraced from the 38.2% Fibonacci level, which aligns with the March 18, 2024 peak. Additionally, the price has shown a positive reaction to the midline of the ascending channel. Given this structure, it is expected that Solana will continue its upward trend and touch the upper boundary of the ascending channel. If you found this (SOL) analysis helpful, let us know by hitting the like button! 💙 Where do you think Solana is headed next? 🚀 Drop your predictions and insights in the comments section below! 👇
Long
by Market-Analyzer
AVAX/USD Fibonacci targets Avax has to hold the blue level to retest the previous local high. Breaking it will set us flying towards the red targets . The current chart shows the most important Fibonacci targets. Grey: Resistance/support, decisive prices. A dump/pump can happen at these levels, but is not a main target Red: Main target to take profits or potentially enter shorts Green: Buy or rebounce expected Red box: resitance are, mainly caused by the 1.618-1.65 fib level Green box: Support level, mainly 0.618-0.65 fib Breaking each target gets us to the next one.
BINANCE:AVAXUSD
by DCCryptoacademy
Moon bois, FOMO and gamblers will shit their pants!Middle term view of NVDA price action if correction continuous (based on fib levels) 1) Over all market is overvalued as well as NVDA stock; 2) everyhing priced in already; 3) Lot's of moonbois fomo and gamblers are in which is main bearish signal; 4) we have uncertainty about Trump, he's an as=hole and everybody knows it; 5) geopolitical problems and wars around the world; 6) Bearish divergence on weekly TM; 7) No volume, pure pump by MM's; 8) Fakeout previous ATH; Just a little food for thought, make decision yourself wish you lucky and all the best
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by besikmurjikneli
2
XAUUSD Forecast Dec 2024Hi all Traders! In the XAUUSD H4 chart, it is observed that after breaking the support zone, the price is currently in a correction phase and pulling back towards low level fibonacci or continue to above. Considering the price structure and hit fibo 50%, it is expected that after reaching the identified resistance area, the price will resume its downward movement and target lower levels or after rejection in fibo 61.8% will be uptrend and then continue to downtrend. Key Points: Forecast 1 : Sell Entry 1 : Consider entering a Short Limit position around Fibs 50% with price of 2663.27, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 2560.75 Sell Entry 2 : Consider entering a Short Limit position around Fibs -0.382% with price of 2765.78, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 2516.35 Buy Entry : Consider entering a Long Limit position around Fibs 1.382% with price of 2560.75, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 2765.78 Forecast 2 : Sell Entry 1 : Consider entering a Short Limit position around Fibs -0.382% with price of 2765.78, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 2516.35 Buy Entry : Consider entering a Long Limit position around Fibs 61.8% with price of 2649.55, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 2765.78 Forecast 3 : Sell Entry : Consider entering a Short Limit position around Fibs 50% with price of 2663.27, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 2516.35 like and share your thoughts in the comments thank you
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by traderkarbitan
Measured Moves: A Guide to Finding TargetsMeasured Moves: A Guide to Finding Targets Visualizing the boundaries of price movement helps anticipate potential swing points. The concept of measured moves offers a structured framework to estimate future price behavior, based on the observation that each swing move often mirrors the size of the previous one, assuming average price volatility remains consistent. While not exact, this approach provides a practical method to approximate the extension of a swing move. Background Determining profit targets across various methods and timeframes can be challenging. To address this, I reviewed the tactics of experienced traders and market research, noting key similarities and differences. Some traders relied more on discretion, while others used technical targets or predetermined risk-to-reward ratios. Levels of support and resistance (S/R) and the Fibonacci tool frequently appeared, though their application varied by trader. Based on current evidence, levels appear most relevant when tied to the highest and lowest swing points within the current price structure, for example in a range-bound market. In contrast, sporadic or subtle levels from historical movements seem no more significant than random points. The Fibonacci tool can provide value since measurements are based on actual price range; however, the related values have limited evidence to support them. To explore these ideas, I conducted measurements on over a thousand continuation setups to identify inherent or consistent patterns in swing moves. It’s important to emphasize that tools and indicators should never be used blindly. Trading requires self-leadership and critical thinking. The application of ideas without understanding their context or validity undermines the decision-making process and leads to inconsistent results. This concept formed the foundation for my analysis, ensuring that methods were tested rather than taken at face value. Definitions Trending price movement advances in steps, either upward or downward. This includes a stronger move followed by a weaker corrective move, also known as a retracement. When the corrective move is done and prices seem to resume the prevailing trend, we can use the prior move to estimate targets; this is known as a projection. For example, if a stock moves up by 10%, pauses, and subsequently makes another move, we can utilize that value to estimate the potential outcome. Well thats the idea.. Data Through manual measurements across various timeframes, price structures, and stock categories, I have gathered data on retracements and projections. However, this information should not be considered precise due to market randomness and inherent volatility. In fact, deviations—such as a notable failure to reach a target or overextensions—can indicate a potential structural change. As this study was conducted with a manual approach, there is a high risk of selection bias, which raises concerns about the methodology's reliability. However, it allows for a more discretionary perspective, enabling observations and discretion that might be overlooked in a purely automated analysis. To simplify the findings, the presented values below represent a combination of all the data. Retracement Tool In the context of price movements within a trend, specifically continuation setups, retracements typically fall between 20% and 50% of the prior move. While retracements beyond 50% are less common, this does not necessarily invalidate the setup. From my observations, two distinct patterns emerge. First, a shallow retracement where the stock consolidates within a narrow range, typically pulling back no more than 10% to 20% before continuing its trend. Second, a deeper retracement, often around 50%, followed by a nested move higher before a continuation. For those referencing commonly mentioned values (though not validated), levels such as 23.6%, 38.2%, 44.7%, and 50% align with this range. Additionally, 18% frequently appears as a notable breakout point. However, I strongly advise against relying on precise numbers with conviction due to the natural volatility and randomness inherent in the market. Instead, a more reliable approach is to maintain a broad perspective—for example, recognizing that retracements in the 20% to 50% range are common before a continuation. This approach allows flexibility and helps account for the variability in price action. Projection Tool When there is a swing move either upward or downward, we can utilize the preceding one of the same type for estimation. This approach can be used exclusively since it is applicable for retracements, projections, and range-bound markets as long as there has been a similar price event in recent time. In terms of projection, the most common range is between 60% and 120% of the prior move, with 70% to 100% being more prevalent. It is uncommon for a stock to exceed 130% of the preceding move. Frequently mentioned values in this context include 61.8% and 78.6% as one area, although these values are frequently surpassed. The next two commonly mentioned values are 88.6% and 100%, which are the most frequent and can be used effectively on their own. These values represent a complete measured move, as they closely mimic the magnitude of the prior move with some buffer. The last value, 127%, is also notable, but exceeding this level is less common. Application The simplest application of this information is to input the range of 80% to 100% into the projection tool. Then, measure a similar prior move to estimate the subsequent one. This is known as the measured move. There are no strict rules to follow—it’s more of an art. The key is to measure the most similar move in recent times. If the levels appear unclear or overly complicated, they likely are. The process should remain simple and combined with a discretionary perspective. Interestingly, using parallel channels follows the same principle, as they measure the range per swing and project average volatility. This can provide an alternative yet similar way to estimate price movement based on historical swings. The advantage of this method is its universal and adaptable nature for setting estimates. However, it requires a prior swing move and is most effective in continuation setups. Challenges arise when applying it to the start of a new move, exhaustion points, or structural changes, as these can distort short-term price action. For instance, referencing a prior uptrend to project a downtrend is unlikely to be effective due to the opposing asymmetry in swing moves. In some cases, measured moves from earlier periods can be referenced if the current range is similar. Additionally, higher timeframes take precedence over lower ones when determining projections. This is nothing more than a tool and should be used with a discretionary perspective, as with all indicators and drawing tools. The true edge lies elsewhere. Example Use 1. Structure: Identify an established trend or range and measure a clear swing move. 2. Measured Move: Apply the measurement to the subsequent move by duplicating the line to the next point or using a trend-based Fibonacci extension tool set to 100% of the prior swing. The first two points define the swing move. The third point is placed at the deepest part of the subsequent pullback or at the start of the new move. 3. Interpretation: While this is a simple tool, its effective use and contextual application require experience and practice. Remember, this process relies on approximation and discretionary judgment.
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by Trader-Shah
12