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Fibonacci Retracement

GOLD → Consolidation in correction phase ahead of news...FX:XAUUSD is in correction phase, but before important news a consolidation is formed due to fear and unpredictability factor. Analysts are expecting a decline in inflation, but what will happen in fact? A bull run or a dump? Markets are pricing in an 81% chance of a 0.25% interest rate cut in November. But yesterday's minutes showed that most officials supported an excessive 0.5% rate cut to balance inflation confidence and labor market concerns. Ahead of CPI, Initial Jobless Claims ... If CPI shows stronger data, the question among regulators will be in a different vein of “should we cut 0.25?” which will only reinforce the dollar's rally and markets will continue a solid correction. A larger decline in CPI could revive hopes of an excessive Fed rate cut in November, triggering a correction in the US dollar. Gold could experience a fresh influx of funds..... Resistance levels: 2623, 2627, 2637 Support levels: 2605, 2600, 2585 Technically gold is in correction and the pressure from bears continues. In the mid (short) term, I expect a retest of resistance at 2623 (a false breakdown is possible) followed by a decline to 2600-2585. It is not excluded that the news may have an opposite effect... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
30
USDCAD → Breakout. One step away from distribution...FX:USDCAD makes an attempt to break through the resistance of the “wedge” consolidation on the background of a growing dollar, the reasons for which are economic data from the USA. NonFarm Payrolls are ahead! On the weekly timeframe, the currency pair is bouncing off the support trendline and heading towards resistance, the pattern as a whole resembles an ascending triangle. But still it is a global sideways range. The movements in it are quite difficult and the price is dragging between the local levels. Ahead is the NFP report, which may become an engine for the price, and based on the assumptions from Wednesday and ADP NonFarm we can assume that on this background the growth of the dollar and the currency pair may continue. Technically, the bulls are trying to hold the defense above the previously broken resistance. The impulse is beginning to form... Resistance levels: 1.358, 1.364 Support levels: 1.353, 1.347 If the bulls keep the price in the new plane (buying zone), the price may reach the nearest targets quite quickly. If the news will be favorable, then in this case a rally to the distant targets may be formed. Unpredictable data will bring the currency pair back to the range and may bring the price down to 1.347 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:USDCAD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
8
ETHEREUM → Support breakdown? Zone of interest 1550 ↓BINANCE:ETHUSD continues to give up positions. Buyers do not believe in growth in the near future. Bears are increasing their pressure, which may lead to the breakout of the strong support zone... As seen on W1, the next potential target, in terms of liquidity, could be the 1550 support. Any attempt to buy back the asset on a retest of the support does not result in anything radically bullish. The market will not allow the price to approach the intermediate highs, which indicates the buyer's weakness. On H4 the price is squeezed by local ascending support (bottom of the triangle) and descending conglomerate of moving averages, which clearly dictate the location of strong resistance. In the mid-term, there may be a rebound to the local highs or SMAs before a further decline. Resistance levels: 2471, 2520, SMA Support levels: 2310, 2250, 2111 So far there are no technical or fundamental reasons in favor of the buyer. Seller's pressure may be intensified. The breakout trigger is 2325. The trigger for a pullback is 2475 - 2500. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:ETHUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
GOLD → Support breakdown. The beginning of correction...FX:XAUUSD is entering the correction phase. The price is coming out of the consolidation downwards, and what we have been preparing for for the last few days has happened. Bears are trying to keep the defense below 2623.... Posted on October 8: The pressure from above is building. New lows... Traders are waiting for the Fed meeting minutes to gauge the magnitude of the next interest rate cut, especially after Friday's strong US NFP data removed bets on a 0.5% rate cut. The FOMC meeting is likely to show a discussion on the outlook for the labor market and inflation, as well as further action on interest rates. Traders are still not turning their eyes away from the tense situation in the middle east, but one must realize that reacting to any action is a temporary action in the market... Technically, on D1 we can see the beginning of the correction phase. Break of the strong level and fixing of the price below 2623. The market has defined a temporary outlook for itself..... Resistance levels: 2623, 2627, 2631 Support levels: 2613, 2600, 2585 News can have an additional impact on the market, but it all depends on the context. At the moment I consider the price decline. The bears are holding 2623 and we can see how the price has consolidated below this area, which may provoke further selling.... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
15
EURUSD → The realization phase isn't over. Emphasis on 1.095 ↓FX:EURUSD breaks the uptrend and prepares to continue falling due to the change of fundamental background, the reasons for which were strong economic data in the US. The price is in the realization phase... The weekly timeframe clearly shows the forming sideways range (consolidation). The market failed to break the resistance of the channel, although a lot of effort was put on it (5 attempts on W1). At the moment the currency pair is testing last week's low, it is also worth noting the fact of weekly candle closing - almost at the low. This is a rather good and promising sign for the continuation of the downward movement. Emphasis on the support at 1.095. Breakdown and consolidation of the price below this area will strengthen the decline to the intermediate bottom... Support levels: 1.095, 1.0892 Resistance levels: 1.100, 1.1011, 1.1047 A pre-breakout consolidation is forming relative to support. Emphasis on the breakdown of the level and further decline to the zones of interest. As an unpredictable scenario we can have in mind a pullback to 1.100 and further decline... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
8
GOLD → The pressure from above is building. New lows...FX:XAUUSD stops testing local highs. Strong growth has stopped and the price is being squeezed between the boundaries of the narrowing consolidation. The exit of the price from the figure will be accompanied by an impulse... Last week changed the general fundamental background, gold traders are getting nervous and moving into a phase of profit taking on the back of strong economic data. Ahead is the FOMC meeting where further steps to regulate the US economy will be discussed. Technically, gold stops trying to update or test the highs, feeling pressure from above, but at the same time the price is probing the base from below, gradually updating the local lows. A gradually narrowing consolidation is forming on the chart and if there is a price exit from the figure, it will be accompanied by a strong impulse. Resistance levels: 2650, 2659 Support levels: 2632, 2623, 2613 I continue to hold that bears will continue to press the price, which will provoke the price exit downwards with further retest of 2623-2613-2600. But we need to keep an eye on the regulators' comments and the dollar's behavior... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
29
Dalmia Bharat Ready for a Bounce! Current Market Price: 1975 Stop Loss: 1880 Targets: 2040, 2141 Extended Target: 2262 (if it crosses 2141) Key Reasons: Small contraction breakout above the Fibonacci 38% level. Strong bounce from trendline support. Continuous lower lows followed by a breakout of the lower high pattern, indicating potential for more upside. 📉 Risk Management: As the market is volatile, it's crucial to manage risk effectively with appropriate position sizing. 📊 Disclaimer: As a non-SEBI registered analyst, I recommend conducting thorough research or seeking advice from financial professionals before making investment decisions. #DalmiaBharat #MarketAnalysis #TechnicalBreakout #RiskManagement #InvestmentOpportunities
NSE:DALBHARATLong
by satyam15
USDJPY Rebound Faces Pushback at Key ResistanceAfter the Fed’s jumbo pivot in September and aggressive easing path, Chair Powell adopted a more reserved approach at the start of the previous week. The cautious messaging was extrapolated at the end of that same week by the strong jobs report. Markets have now priced out bets for another outsized move, expecting 50 bps of cuts by the end of the year, in line with the Fed’s projections. At the same time, the Bank of Japan has shifted to a more patient approach to monetary tightening, after last month's hold, removing guidance for further hikes ahead. The August deceleration in wage growth adds a reason for caution, while the current political landscape does not favor aggressive tightening. With elections due later this month, the new Prime Minister does not see the need for more hikes. As a result of these developments, USD/JPY posted its best week of the year and extends its gains into the daily Ichimoku Cloud, testing the pivotal 38.2% Fibonacci. This creates scope for further recovery towards 151.90, but we are cautious about sustained advance as the upside is unfriendly technically and fundamentally. Inflation (ex-fresh food) in Japan has been rising for the past four months and remains above the 2% target for more than two years, wages are elevated and GDP posted strong growth in Q2. One more rate hike within the year is still reasonable and BoJ officials still see more tightening if the economy evolves as projected. Chair Powell may have struck a more cautious tone, but officials still expect another 150 bps of cuts by the end of next year, so the broader policy dynamics remains unfavorable for USD/JPY. The pair faces pushback at the 38.2% Fibonacci and rejection could send it back below the EMA200 (black line) and reaffirm the bearish bias. This would in turn create scope for new 2024 lows (139.57), although strong catalyst would be required. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”) (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
by FXCM
TONUSDT → Bulls dressing up as bears... ↓BINANCE:TONUSDT can't get out of the downtrend, facing a rather strong seller (or lack of buyers, amid fundamental problems). The coin is setting itself up for a further decline.... The trend change started to show back in July, with strong momentum being generated amid strong outflows due to the market crash following bitcoin manipulation. In Agusta, the coin faced another problem - Pavel Durov's court case, which had an extremely negative impact on the system. At the moment, buyers are turning around and have no fundamental and technical strength against the bear. The price is forming a pre-breakdown base relative to the key support at 5.16. A break of this area will open the way to 4.5. Resistance levels: 5.38, 5.44 Support levels: 5.16, 4.7, 4.5 Buyers are trying to hold 5.16, but the pressure of bears, increasing on the background of bitcoin correction, is increasing, the sellers' strength is growing, which provokes the first to leave the game, close or turn around. In the short term, I expect a breakdown of support and decline Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:TONUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
MKR/USDT 1W Long-TermHello everyone, let's look at the 1W MKR to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a downtrend channel, at its lower boundary. Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include: $2,063. $2,545. $2,767. $3,080 Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline: SL1 = 1250USD SL2 = $953 SL3 = 520USD Looking at the RSI indicator, we see as the indicator moves at the bottom of the range, which may translate into an attempt at price increases.
by cryptodailyuk
EURUSD Scalping-Day trading LONG1st Entry - 15min POI: I decided to open three trades using the OTE reversal strategy within the 0.705 to 0.79 zone, taking advantage of the range between the swing high and swing low. Entry timeframes: 1min Emotions: Calm and confident Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.58 Lot size: 0.5 2nd Entry: Entry Price: 1.0968 Risk/Reward Ratio: 4.53 Lot size: 0.8 Emotions: Calm and confident 3rd Entry: Entry Price: 1.0967 Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.45 Lot size: 0.3 Emotions: Calm, but I entered too quickly, as the price was nearly the same as my second entry. However, I'll close this trade earlier at the STR.
Long
by Jaytradermb
GOLD → Consolidation below the SMA. What was the impact of NFP?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating below previously crossed SMA50 & 200 after Friday's shakeout. A surprising NPF shook up the market. The dollar is rallying while gold is drawing downside resistance.... The main reason for a possible decline in gold prices is the weakening expectations of a 0.5% Fed interest rate cut in November. A very strong NFP report all but eliminated the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in November. The reading beat market expectations of 140K by a wide margin. Nevertheless, the price of gold managed to resist a corrective decline thanks to the ongoing geopolitical risks associated with the escalating conflict in the Middle East. Traders are now looking forward to the upcoming Fed speech. Gold is technically in the sideways range of 2685 - 2623. There is no actual direction, so you can trade between buy and sell levels.... Resistance levels: SMA, 2661, 2673 Support levels: 2639, 2631, 2623 Bears are likely to exert maximum strength in the resistance zone, the market may react by declining to the liquidity zones. There is a high enough probability of formation of a false breakout of resistance before further decline Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
12
BITCOIN → The flirtation with MA-200 ended in failure. To 52K?BINANCE:BTCUSD failed in its attempt to break the daily MA-200 and 64-65K resistance. A retest of the previously broken range boundary and strong liquidity zone amid a global descending channel is forming. The crowd was in the majority, but... On W1 the promising direction of the current trend is clearly visible. The price tested the upper boundary of the channel, but the bears pushed us down rather aggressively, making us realize that there is nothing to do in the zone above 65K yet. One of the reasons for the btc drop we caught earlier: 94% of all BTC holders are now in profit. Dealers noted high activity in buying call options on BTC with a strike of $75000. There were also high sales of puts. Trick question: How to make money if the crowd is buying? Resistance levels: 62745, 64955 Support levels: 60K, 59250, 57700 A correction after the impulse is forming and the price may test the imbalance and liquidation zone. Having broken 62342 area earlier, we entered the panic zone, where sellers managed to grab a piece before further failure at 60K. Before the further fall, the price may go after these lucky sellers before the asset goes after the buyers on the background of the general trend. This would be considered a retest after breaking the structure. I do not see any reasons for growth beyond 64-65K at the moment, I am interested in the zone of 60K, 57K, 55K, 52K. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
59
$AMZN, Bullish Towards $195Hey ya'll, The chart above highlights Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) on the daily timeframe. I've added #thestrat indicator, MACD, and RSI indicators. I've marked the Fibonacci price points from low (Aug 28) to high (Sep 24). Normally, I would've gotten in at the 0.618 fib retracement ($179.02) or the 0.5 fib ($182.15) but I would still take a 3+ week out options contract. If price goes above Fri, Oct 7th high of day (HOD) @ $187.60, but 1 strike out of the money. If price opens below Fri, Oct 7th's HOD, wait for it to either reversal at the previous low of day (LOD) or at whatever point. Entry: $187.61 (above prev daily high) Target: $190.86 (Fri, Sep 27 open price) SL: $185.13 (tight under 0.382 fib) R:R = 1:1.32 MACD = curling up RSI = curling up, low 50s Potential Contracts: $190c 11/15 @ $8.00 (ITM) $185c 11/15 @ $10.55 (1 OTM)
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by Brandonthrives
THETA/USDT 4HHello everyone, let's look at the 4H THETA to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price has approached the local downtrend line that it is currently facing. Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include: T1 = $1.33 T2 = $1.41 T3 = $1.47 T4 = $1.55 Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline: SL1 = USD 1.30 SL2 = USD 1.24 SL3 = USD 1.16 SL4 = $1.05 Looking at the RSI indicator, we see as we entered the upper part of the range again, which may still be an attempt to recover.
by cryptodailyuk
Alikze »» FTM | Wave 5 correction - 1H🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 5 correction - 1H - According to the analysis presented in the previous post , in the weekly time frame, the first target has been the neckline, which was the supply area. - Currently, in the 1H time frame, after breaking the zone, a correction pattern is being formed. - Wave 4 correction in the range of the green box has formed a continuing downward pattern. - This corrective wave is in the form of wave 4 in an ascending channel, which by breaking it to the specified areas, this corrective cycle can be extended. Therefore, this wave can meet the demand after touching the specified areas and form an upward corrective cycle, which should be reviewed and updated. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« BINANCE:FTMUSDT
Short
by alikze
GOLD → Ahead of NonFarm Payrolls. What to expect from gold?FX:XAUUSD is in consolidation with gradually narrowing local extrema. NonFarm Payrolls are ahead and traders are getting nervous about further movement. Up for renewal of highs or a long-awaited correction? Before NFP, traders resorted to adjusting positions, taking profits on the US dollar rally (reasons: strong employment and PMI data from ISM). The encouraging data weakened bets on an aggressive interest rate cut by the Fed. However, the decline in gold prices remains subdued due to heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The future direction of the gold price will be determined by the upcoming US employment data. Gold could move into a correction if NFP shows an upside surprise, which would impact the USD rally and strengthen bets for a 0.25% Fed rate cut in November. Conversely... Resistance levels: 2665, 2673, 2685 Support levels: 2653, SMA 200 & 50, 2640 The SMAs are narrowing, which could also be a hint of a possible correction (if there is a crossover). Technically gold is ready for a correction, but fundamentally, unpredictable news may affect further growth. Analysts are inclined to the beginning of correction on the background of strong economic data of the first half of the week Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
13
EURUSD → The triple top is in the 1.1200 zone. Falling?FX:EURUSD is facing strong resistance forming a reversal pattern relative to the 1.1200 sideways range boundary. The bulls are not yet able to continue the trend. The dollar is bouncing.... On the back of unpredictable economic data confirming the problems in the US economy (manufacturing, banking sector), the markets are rebounding. DXY strengthens after the market held 100.0 support. EURUSD reverses course amid sentiment changes. Price forms a triple top reversal pattern and faces a strong sell-off, within which breaks trend support. In the short-term, we may catch a correction to the imbalance zone (with the aim of retesting the previously broken channel boundary), after which the decline may continue to 1.100, 1.095, 1.089. Resistance levels: 1.11, 1.1125, 1.115 Support levels: 1.107, 1.104, 1.100 ADP NonFarm ahead and before the news, the market may quiet down and form a correction. In case of EURUSD, the zone of interest is 1.11 - 1.113. The fall may resume from these zones.... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
WIFUSDT → A reversal set-up. Breakdown 2.100BINANCE:WIFUSDT changes the market structure to bearish. Traders are moving into the phase of profit-taking after the rally. The market is not ready to go up yet. The rally stops at the strong resistance zone at 2.639. A local false breakdown is formed relative to the extreme upward movement, indicating that buyers are not ready yet and sellers have come to the market (profit-taking). At the moment the market is testing 2.100 and is ready to break this support. A pullback is possible before breaking down. BUT, if the buyers now enter this zone and consolidate below 2.100, the prospect of further decline will come very quickly. Resistance levels: 2.15, 2.2 Support levels: 2.100, 1.96. 1.95 A breakdown and consolidation below 2.100 will activate strong selling amid a general bear market. If the price further enters the flat channel, it may cause a decline to 1.45 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:WIFUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
CHFJPY in important resistance area; yen to strengthen?CHFJPY in important resistance area on daily chart; yen to strengthen? The Swiss franc and Japanese yen currency pair (CHFJPY) has maintained a steady uptrend on the daily chart since 2020, consistently trading above the 200-period Moving Average. However, in September, CHFJPY dipped below the SMA200 for the first time, signaling a potential increase in selling pressure and indicating a stronger appreciation of the yen against the franc. This yen appreciation aligns with Japan’s recent shift in monetary policy – the Bank of Japan had kept interest rates in negative territory since 2016. On July 31, Japan raised its key interest rate for the second time in 2024, bringing it to 0.25%. Meanwhile, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) has consecutively lowered interest rates during its last three meetings. Technical indicators point to potential downward pressure on CHFJPY From a technical perspective, after breaking below the SMA200 on the daily chart, CHFJPY retested it from below, suggesting that the SMA200 may now act as a level of resistance. The price also reached the 50% retracement level of the bearish Fibonacci on the daily chart, which could serve as potential resistance. A double top pattern is also forming in the same Fibonacci region. From a technical standpoint, a confluence of factors can be seen: 1. The SMA200 was broken, previously acting as support, and could now serve as resistance. 2. A retracement to the 50% level of the bearish Fibonacci, which could also act as resistance. 3. A double top forming on the daily chart. From a macroeconomic perspective, the following is affecting CHFJPY: 1. A shift in Japan’s monetary policy with two interest rate hikes this year. 2. Monetary easing in Switzerland – the SNB has cut the policy rate three times in 2024. It currently stands at 1% – the lowest level since early 2023. These factors create a context where a potential short opportunity could become more apparent if the price breaks below 171.30. If that occurs, CHFJPY could decline to the 167.10 level within a few days, where it may encounter some support. Disclaimer: 76.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Short
by Marketscom