Long Position Idea for GBP AUDUsing Fibonacci retracement. Risk Reward 1:3 ! Let's see what happens.
Fibonacci Confluence
Fibonacci Retracements: Finding Key Levels the Easy WayIn this video, I’ll walk you through how I use Fibonacci retracements to spot those key pullback levels where price might bounce and keep trending. It all comes from an old-school math genius named Leonardo of Pisa (aka Fibonacci), but don’t worry – no crazy math here, just practical trading tools.
The main levels I focus on? 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%. IF price holds at one of these levels, THEN it’s a good sign the trend could keep going. IF NOT, THEN I stay ready for a deeper pullback. Using this tool helps me stay ahead and manage trades with more confidence.
Your Turn:
Here’s a fun exercise – draw Fibonacci retracements on different timeframes, from the weekly all the way down to the 5-minute chart. Check how the levels overlap or line up. Those overlaps, or confluences, are where some of the best trades happen!
If this clicks with you, hit like, drop a comment, or follow – I’ll keep sharing more tips to help you crush the markets!
Mindbloome Trading
Trade What You See
BTC : Fibonacci Grid
Time and Space only exist between two points.
You can build an entire grid system using only two points, and multiples of the distances between those two points.
On a price and time scale, this can be useful in establishing critical levels used to assist us with trading.
Which two points you choose can unfold entirely different results.
In this example,
two relatively recent points were chosen to maximize accuracy and effectiveness of the grid in relation to the most current candles.
This idea is presented using the 2Day timeframe to allow the display of the entire history of Bitcoin.
Finding the two points used to build this particular grid structure
is as simple as locating the intersection of price level 0 and time level 0 (0,0),
and the intersection of price level 1 and time level 1 (1,1).
Multiples of the vertical distance between the two points are extended vertically on the price scale,
and multiples of the horizontal distance between the two points are extended horizontally on the time scale.
Within these unitary extensions, Fibonacci-numbered levels are specifically highlighted as vital extension levels based on the two chosen points.
Don't forget to also view the chart using the linear price scale for an alternate perspective.
Any two levels on the same scale can be further divided if needed to assist with action on smaller scale frames :
For more information on how Fibonacci levels can interconnect and overlap,
see this shadow-banned educational idea :
Finally, thank you to my followers and to those who enjoyed viewing these ideas.
Please feel free to give them a boost if you like them.
// Durbtrade
DAX (GER40) Is Still BrearishDax has taken a little different route. It has been consolidating but last week, it created a massive bearish engulfing candle. Which can push the price to the FCP zones below. If the first one fails we have an M pattern completion at the second FCP zone. Beware of a gap around 17200 level.
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Before:
EURNZD Trade PlanEURNZD has completed a W FCP pattern but did not reverse. It is now at a structure resistance level which can make it fall. Wait for sell confirmation. If that comes this can be a good short opportunity.
If the price breaks and confirms the previous high, we will go long based on the confirmation.
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EURCAD Can Fall Fall Further DownThe last standard W pattern had failed. EURCAD completed an extended W pattern. It showed some rejection from the top. We have a support level in there. If this support levels is broken and confirmed with a bearish signal, we can see a good short opportunity. Targets are on the screen:
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AUDCHF Possible BUY AreaAUDCHF completed a W FCP pattern. This made the price fall. It has fallen hard and could possible be going towards the area where we have confluence of an FCP zone and 2 trend lines. This can be a good Buy area for a possible bounce up.
As always wait for the confirmation on the smaller time frame.
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USDCHF Zone To Watch Out ForUSDCHF is at a resistance zone. If the market make it a support zone and gives a bullish confirmation above it, it can be a good buying opportunity.
At the moment it is at resistance level so if you want to go long, you must wait for a proper confirmation. Remember Buy at support and Sell at resistance :)
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NZDUSD Can Rise From The FCP Zone & M PatternNZDUSD Can Rise From The FCP Zone & M Pattern
As the chart indicates, we have an M pattern completion along with and FCP zone on the daily time frame. Wait for a confirmation based entry on smaller time frames. This can be a good day trade or swing trade opportunity depending on your trading plan.
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Potential Buy OrderSummary
The analysis reveals an upward trend in the exchange rate. The recent drop was expected due to overbought conditions, with prices now recovering towards the resistance level at 163.25. The Fibonacci analysis indicates significant support levels at 157.35, while resistance is identified at 162.00. Technical indicators suggest that it is too early to place safe buy orders.
Trend Determination
The direction of the exchange rate in recent times is depicted by the primary upward trend channel that has formed, with price movements occurring in the middle zone. The channel's range is approximately 1200 pips, with the price distance from the upper resistance limit being 600 pips and from the lower limit 600 pips.
In a shorter time frame, a secondary upward trend channel is observed. The price trajectory is upward, with movements recorded in the lower zone of the trend channel. The secondary channel's range is 525 pips, with the price distance from the upper resistance limit being 485 pips and from the lower limit 40 pips.
The recent drop in the exchange rate was expected as prices had reached overbought levels. This increases the likelihood of the price moving higher. The first resistance level is set at 163.25, and the support level is at 152.60.
Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels
Fibonacci Retracement
The Fibonacci Retracement analysis shows that the recent downtrend was a corrective move. Specifically, the exchange rate halted at 157.35 and is now moving upwards. This point is a significant support level, and its potential breach could start a downward trajectory. Additional support levels are observed at 156.20 and lower at 154.74.
Currently, there is no clear confirmation for future price rises, as movements between 157.35 and 158.96 make drawing conclusions difficult. Placing trades while the exchange rate moves within these prices carries very high risk. Safer trading positions appear to be above 159.96 for buy orders and below 156.20 for sell orders.
Fibonacci Expansion
Additional resistance levels, using Fibonacci Expansion, are identified at 159.96, 162.00, and 164.34 – 163.63. The latter, as shown in the chart, might be a significant resistance level, as two resistance levels from different Fibonacci Expansions converge.
Technical Indicator Analysis
Moving Averages
Currently, the exchange rate prices are between the moving averages. This indicates that it is still too early to place buy orders.
MACD
The MACD is moving positively in a downward direction. The divergence observed between the exchange rate prices and the MACD results was confirmed by the recent corrective downtrend. At present, the indicator's results do not support placing a buy order.
Future Movement Scenarios
Scenario A
The first scenario concerns the potential upward movement of prices. Confirmation of this scenario comes from two factors. The first is the upward breakout of the moving average from the price. The second is the exchange rate moving above 159.96. The first resistance level is at 163.25, followed by 164.34. The reversal point is placed relatively lower at 157.35.
Stance: Neutral | Outlook: BUY | Risk for placing orders: Moderate
Entry Point: > 160.00 | Target: 163.25 | Down Limit: 157.35
Scenario B
The possibility of a continued downtrend can occur if the exchange rate moves below 156.20. In this case, the trajectory needs to be reassessed.
AUDUSD W pattern completion - Can FallAUDUSD has reached an area where it has completed a complex W pattern. There are a few levels and zones (as on the chart) to be watched.
When W pattern completes, a correction comes. This idea is on the daily time frame, so wait for a confirmation on smaller time frame to execute trades.
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USDJPY Higher Time Frame AnalysisJapanese Yen collapse continues with its lowest closing price in 34 years. If it falls through 160, it will be the lowest level against the U.S. Dollar since the 1980s. It can get even worse. Let's look at some charts:
1. We are currently sitting at 160 resistance level where a W FCP pattern is completed which can give us a correction. This is the last level which is preventing the USDJPY from slingshotting upwards.
2. A CUP formation is happening at the moment (rounding bottom). So if the correction comes at the current levels, that can make this a Cup and Handle pattern.
3. If the correction does not occur or we get a shallow one, these current levels can become a new support which can push USDJPY higher once confirmed.
4. There are several gaps left in 1980s. I posted about these gaps in my previous post approximately 7 months ago, indicating that USDJPY would be bullish.
5. These are the levels where in the long run USDJPY can go to complete a big W pattern.
This can have a huge impact on the #dollar index (DXY) too.
I recently did a premium analysis report on USDJPY and DXY (dollar index) for a client which has a more in-depth analysis and potential target zones/levels. Get in touch with me via DM if you want to order a copy of that report.
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USOIL Higher Time Frame Possible Bullish ScenarioThis is higher time frame bullish scenario on USOIL (WTI). This is only applicable if a bullish breakout occurs.
1. The price is inside a triangle which is getting squeezed and reaching its apex. That means we are going to have a breakout very soon.
2. Recently the price completed and M pattern and jumped higher. When M pattern completes the market goes higher.
3. If we get a bullish breakout from this triangle and if this breakout confirms, we can have formation of a potential W pattern. This when completed will have the potential to make oil fall again.
4. After that if the price stays bullish or becomes bullish again, we have a gap available around 100 area which needs to be filled at subpoint.
5. That will also lead us into a bigger multiple month and possibly multi year bullish formation of a W pattern.
But first, we need to see how price breaks out of the triangle.
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GBPUSD - Watch 1.3 round number and LevelsGBPUSD had an explosive move last week. This was mainly due to a fall in USDJPY from a resistance level that I shared. See the attached chart. This made DXY fall and most of the USD based pairs felt the impact of that. Now GBP use is back in a possible resistance area. Watch out for a W pattern and these levels.
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From Leonardo to Trading: The Evolution of Fibonacci LevelsIn the labyrinthine landscape of financial markets, where volatility reigns supreme and uncertainty lurks around every corner, traders seek reliable navigational tools to steer through the tumultuous waters of price movements. Among the myriad techniques at their disposal, Fibonacci analysis emerges as a stalwart companion, offering a nuanced understanding of market dynamics rooted in mathematical precision. In this comprehensive exploration, we delve deep into the multifaceted realm of Fibonacci levels, unraveling their historical significance, evolutionary trajectory, practical applications, and the diverse perspectives that shape their interpretation.
Tracing the Roots:
To appreciate the profound impact of Fibonacci analysis on modern trading methodologies, a journey back in time to the 13th century is warranted. It was during this epoch that Leonardo of Pisa, known colloquially as Fibonacci, unveiled a numerical sequence that would transcend mathematical realms and find profound resonance in the domain of financial markets. Beginning with 0 and 1, each subsequent number in the sequence is the sum of the two preceding ones, laying the groundwork for a sophisticated understanding of market movements rooted in the natural order of mathematics.
Evolution in Financial Analysis:
While Fibonacci himself might not have envisaged the application of his sequence in financial markets, the 20th century witnessed a paradigm shift as visionaries such as Ralph Elliott and Robert Prechter pioneered its integration into trading methodologies. Elliott's Wave Theory, with its emphasis on repeating patterns and sequences, forged an intriguing connection with Fibonacci numbers, laying the groundwork for a symbiotic relationship between mathematical principles and market analysis. This union catalyzed a renaissance in technical analysis, ushering in an era where Fibonacci levels became indispensable tools in the arsenal of traders worldwide.
Unveiling Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
At the heart of Fibonacci analysis lies the concept of retracement levels, a cornerstone of technical analysis that echoes the natural order observed in the Fibonacci sequence. These levels, including 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%, serve as pivotal markers in identifying potential zones of price reversal, offering traders valuable insights into market sentiment and trend dynamics. By applying the Fibonacci retracement tool to significant highs and lows, traders gain a nuanced understanding of market psychology, discerning the underlying rhythm of price movements amidst the chaos of market fluctuations.
Venturing into Fibonacci Extension Levels:
Beyond retracement levels, Fibonacci extension levels offer a panoramic vista into the future trajectory of price movements, illuminating the path for traders seeking to navigate the complexities of trending markets. With extensions such as 161.8%, 261.8%, and 423.6%, traders can delineate potential targets for price continuation after a correction, harnessing the mathematical harmony inherent in the Golden Ratio to set profit targets and manage risk effectively. These extension levels, rooted in the timeless principles of Fibonacci analysis, serve as guiding beacons for traders navigating the ever-shifting tides of financial markets.
Practical Applications and Precautions:
While Fibonacci levels furnish traders with a potent framework for analysis, it is essential to exercise caution and supplement Fibonacci analysis with corroborating indicators and risk management strategies. By integrating tools such as Moving Averages, Relative Strength Index, and candlestick patterns, traders can enhance the robustness of their trading decisions, mitigating the inherent uncertainties of financial markets and maximizing the efficacy of Fibonacci analysis.
A Tapestry of Perspectives:
As we reflect on the journey of Fibonacci levels through the annals of financial history, we encounter a tapestry of perspectives that weave together to form a rich tapestry of knowledge and insight. From Larry Pesavento's exploration of harmonic price patterns to Philip Carret's pioneering work in long-term investing, the legacy of Fibonacci continues to inspire and guide traders in their quest for market mastery. These diverse perspectives underscore the enduring relevance of Fibonacci analysis in an ever-changing landscape, reaffirming its status as a timeless ally in the pursuit of profit and prosperity.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the comprehensive exploration of Fibonacci analysis reveals its enduring significance as a cornerstone of technical analysis in financial markets. From its humble origins in the mathematical treatises of Leonardo of Pisa to its integration into modern trading methodologies, Fibonacci analysis embodies the timeless principles of mathematical harmony and market psychology. As traders navigate the labyrinthine paths of price movements, they find solace in the elegant simplicity of Fibonacci analysis, a steadfast companion in their quest for success amidst the ever-shifting currents of financial markets.
Thank you for reading! I hope this article proves to be interesting for all of you!
BKNG may reverse SHORTBKNG is an expensive stock; it id not get that way being a slouch. Summer travel is sixty days
away. The 2H chart shows the highs of February followed by a paradoxical fall with good
earnings. Traders wanted better. Price fell past the Fibonacci support zone and into
the lower VWAP band lines.
Fundamentally German regulators are suing BKNG for some issues with deceptive advertising
and promotions with partners. In the past week price again rose this time to stall in that same
Fibonacci zone. The predictive algorithm of Lux Algo forecasts a rejection here with the price
moving down. I will short a single share of BKNG here. The stop loss will be set at 3675
while targeting 3440 above a support zone. I am expecting of $175 in realized profits in 5-10
days.
Bitcoin: Bull Run Targets through FibonacciLet me explain. These are all Fibonacci Extensions. The Market Maker is officially done imo so I am very comfortable posting these finished schematics. Many Extensions reach the exact ATH at 69k as you can clearly see...
The Schematics are numbered Chronologically.
#1-#8 are placed in the order they were created.
#3 are the SUPPORT Schematics that are highlighted in RED.
#1 and #2 are monthlies because they are considered longer term.
HOWEVER, every single schematic can affect any timeframe so there is zero bias.
--For anyone thinking, "well theres lines everywhere so whats the point?"
--All of these 'lines' are mathematically perfect so there is no arguing with them because they are all perfect and unique in placement.
The linked idea is my old one... so this new idea is the revamped one. (better)
How to Find a High Probability Trade in an Uptrend Hey Traders,
We'll show you how you can find an easy trade with a high risk-to-reward ratio using some basic concepts.
- Step One: Spot an uptrend where you have higher highs and higher lows.
- Step two: Spot the last break of structure.
- Step three: Use the Fibonacci tool and connect it from the recent lows to the recent highs.
- Step Four: Watch prices coming back to the broken structure that lines up with any Fibonacci level. ( Focus on the 50% - 61.8% - 78.6% Levels )
- Step Five: Wait for a clear bullish candle and then enter with stoploss structure
- Step Six: Take partial profits at the recent highs and the Fibonacci extensions ( - 0.27 & -0.618 )
Inventing the "Growth" Story of Inventure "Growth & Securities"Inventure - A leading provider of investment advisory service and distributes financial products like mutual funds, insurance products, etc.
The stock turned Multi-bagged when it multipled from 0.80 / Share to 6.75 / share in a matter of 22 months. Now - after a perfect 0.786 retracement on the Fibonacci scale - it is all set to beat its earlier bull run.
Here are the Technicals:
Fib 0.786 Retracement on Monthly
Perfectly following a Parallel Channel on monthly since 10 years
A beautiful Rounding Bottom pattern - about to BO above 3.15 for Target of 4.8
Resistances:
A Multi-year resistance from its IPO duration in 2011 is pushing the price down from 3.1 levels. Inventure is all set to make new highs only 3.15 is taken out decisively on WCB
Targets
Short Term: 3.9
Rounding Bottom: 4.8
Fib Extensions: 6.15, 11.05
A True Multi-bagger in the making
Disclaimer:
Stocks-n-Trends is NOT a SEBI registered company. We do not provide Buy / Sell recommendations - rather we provide detailed analysis of how to review a chart, explain multi--timeframe views purely for Educational Purposes. We strongly suggest our followers to "Learn to Ride the Tide" and consult your Financial Advisors before taking any positions.
If you like our detailed analysis, please do rate us with your Likes, Boost and share your comments
-Team Stocks-n-Trends
RBLBANK // Ready to Breakout
www.tradingview.com
RBLBANK: After a long consolidation, it has made a Cup & handle pattern which depicts the Bullish Breakout. The Fibonacci Extension as well as Fibonacci Retracement has superimposed and making a confluence to the prediction. If you could see the volume as well on the same Daily timeframe chart, it is continuously increasing everyday which suggest a huge interest in bulls.
The first target will be 280 and the next target will be 300.
Bitcoin: All Fibonacci Schematics-This concept overall is called Fibonacci Clustering , which is laying over many different Fib Schematics on each-other...
-I have combined 7 of my greatest Bitcoin Schematics into this one complete idea.
-These Fibonacci Clustered charts have been battle tested for months. I have linked the original ideas down below to show how I first created these (by myself).
- The first box is a monthly timeframe with the longest fib circles from each halving , so there are two circles .
--VERY IMPORTANT--
THE FIBONACCI EXTENSIONS ON #1 ARE HIGHLIGHTED AS WHITE HORIZONTAL LINES . WE FRONTAN 70K AND RETREATED BACK TO 15K . GIVEN THIS MONTHLY PATTERN OF A FRONTRUN AND RETURN TO THE MEAN WE CAN EXPECT TO FULLY TAKE 70K AND THEN SOME BASED SOLEY ON THE FRONTRUNNING OF 70K....
-There is also the longest/earliest Fibonacci Extension in the 1st box. This is why it is a Monthly.
-The second and third box are the 2 most prominent weekly schematics for Bitcoin . They are separate boxes but work together simultaneously.
-Since they are created after #1, it makes sense to make them weeklies. But if I were to place them all into Monthly timeframes or visa versa, it would work either way ...
If you click on "The Bitcoin Matrix" linked below, you'll notice that the Spikes in this idea are from #1 #2 and #3 in that one...
XRP Bull Breaker - Alternate View By Popular Request (5:1 Short)My most popular idea by far, with over 70 comments in half as many hours, is this one, which I've revised in order to show the Trend Exhaustion details w/in the AVWAP Array on the 1D chart. Again, if you are a long term Bull, you won’t like it, and yet since I operate by the Steel Man principle, I welcome your toughest questions and chart-based counter-arguments.
As I always, I strive to render my ideas so that I need no words to explain them, although I can (and do) write detailed paragraphs (elsewhere).
Anyways, in the medium term, I expect price to fall to the $0.3785 shown here, which also marks the Point-of-Control from the last major swing low. Price Action already tested the positive 3rd Standard Deviation of the AVWAP from the same reference point, as shown, and will, by degrees, retest the negative 2nd Standard deviation below (+/- $0.22 USD as of this writing).
The stop loss shown here is discretionary and conservative, and should be revised for current conditions if you are considering a short trade. Closer study on lower timeframes may reveal a better entry or stop loss as the chart unfolds over time.
Hopefully this version clarifies a few details for the confused.
In practice, the Trend Exhaustion Wedge reveals stop loss and profit targets for day traders on the lowest time frames (minutes, even seconds), which are, by nature, moving targets on any given day. The AWVAP Array, on the other hand, is dynamic, and prints according to the timeframe, unlike the trend lines.
I intend to start live-streaming soon, so feel free to ask questions if you have any. Critical thinkers only ... XRP-Trolls need not apply.
Until then, be liquid!
BTCUSDT - 17/09/2023The weekend for BTC is essentially a trap. People get bored, they get into trades, place their stop losses at the recent high/low and eventually get stopped out, most of the times on both sides, long and short.
A variant of the TR Pocket Fib consists of drawing it from the Saturday's high to its low, referring to UTC+0 timezone and after that I will then look at current market conditions to determine which entries are most likely to happen.
This Sunday I believe we can actually get a trade from all 4 levels or 2 at least because I think it's most probable for us to come to one of the lower levels to get liquidity and then go to the higher ones, possibly 27000 which has a Single Print or to 27190 which is a TPO POC. However, when and if we go to one of those higher levels, it is also very probable to come down to 23568 which has another Single Print right on top of a super ancient Breaker Block. This trap move usually happens around Sunday 16 to 19pm UTC+0.
So I think the most probable move would be to reach a lower level of the TR Pocket, bounce from there and then reject from 27000 (Single print), 27190 (TPO POC) or 27392 (Liquidation level).
However, if we go to one of the levels above first, it would then be probably best to cancel the longs since we have a considerable liquidity curve to grab and also a big vector to recover below us.
How I personally trade this is to enter on each of the levels, take TP1 at the 0.5 of the TR Pocket Fib, move the stop to breakeven and then try to let the rest ride because this can be the trade that lasts for 3 or 4 days until we get the Mid-Week-Reversal.
Also, although my bias is for more downside, we have to consider we are in a macro daily range, ever since we SFP'd 24778 (MEXC Value) so any of these long entries might be what takes BTC up if we are to do a full range rotation eventually.
