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Fibonacci

USDCHF → Breakout of wedge resistance. CPI aheadFX:USDCHF is showing positive signs of willingness to continue the uptrend. The dollar is consolidating in the meantime in anticipation of CPI, which creates risks for us The currency pair is testing the support at 0.877 as part of the correction. A false breakdown and a reversal pattern is formed, which indicates the end of the correction. The price updates the local lows, and on the 4-hour timeframe it enters the realization phase after breaking the wedge resistance. The focus is on 0.882 - 0.8848. If the bulls keep the defense above this zone even after the news, the growth of the currency pair will continue in the future, as the key liquidity zones are still untested Resistance levels: 0.8848, 0.8887 Support levels: 0.882, 0.880 CPI is ahead and traders are not yet ready to take active action prematurely. The report may form a medium-term potential. A break of 0.8848 will be the trigger for continued upside. But, the structure will be broken if the market breaks 0.876 Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
BITCOIN - BTC/USD - 15 min. Technical analysis published 12/12My opinion Bullish above 98,537.51 USD My targets 102,534.81 USD (+1.07%) 103,995.11 USD (+2.51%) All elements being clearly bullish, it would be possible for traders to trade only long positions (at the time of purchase) on BITCOIN - BTC/USD as long as the price remains well above 98,537.51 USD. The buyers' bullish objective is set at 102,534.81 USD. A bullish break in this resistance would boost the bullish momentum. The buyers could then target the resistance located at 103,995.11 USD. However, beware of bullish excesses that could lead to a possible short-term correction; but this possible correction would not be tradeable.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by abouel
Bears Beware! Something lingers hidden called the Golden Ratio.Bears Beware! After about a 5% run up back above the 100k barrier, BTC finds itself falling 1% testing the barrier once more. Could this be an imminent win for the bears? It may look like it at the surface but there are many indicators pointing up. The Squeeze Momentum Indicator The squeeze momentum indicator finds squeezes where price action has ping-pong movement with little volatility. The histogram shows the direction of the momentum and the black dots show if there is a squeeze occuring with the white dots indicating that the squeeze has release. At this critical point we can see price regaining upward momentum. Hidden Bullish Momentum Typically, higher highs on the price chart with lower or even highs on the oscillator indicate bearish reversals. However, we can see a hidden bullish divergence occuring with higher price lows and lower oscillator lows. This typically indicates not a reversal but a continuation. The Golden Ratio If we draw a fibbonacci extension (starting from where the upward momentum starts locally, to where price action reverses downward, and finally to where it reverses upward) we can see critical fibb zones that can act as support and resistance. The one that the Bulls and the Bears are currently fighting over is one of the most vital fibb regions - The Inverse of the Golden Ratio (1/1.618 = 0.618) - which is conveniently around the 100k price level. What matters now is if BTC can continue to break through this level and turn it into support. BTC has shown the amount of upward momentum it has behind it seeing how after breaking through the 0.618 fibb level, it broke through the 0.768 fibb level reaching nearly 104k. If we are able to create support at the 0.618 level we may see enough momentum to reach the Golden Ratio, 1.618, fibb level of 117k. Always remember - Bears sound smart, Bulls make money. Don't forget - This is not financial advice.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by MisterEuclid
EURUSD → False breakout of resistance. DowntrendFX:EURUSD is testing resistance in the downtrend phase. The maneuver ends with a false breakout of resistance at 1.0607 On the daily timeframe the price is squeezed between the strong resistance at 1.06011 and the local support at 1.05. So, if the bears keep the defense below the key resistance, the currency pair will continue to fall in the short term. The target in this case may be the area of 1.05 - 1.044. But, technically, the retest of 1.0607 may provoke a local breakout of the level and the price movement to the channel resistance against which there will also be a high probability of formation of a false breakout. Resistance levels: 1.0607, 1.965, 1.076 Support levels: 1.0448, 1.0331 Emphasis on resistance. Confirmation of the nearest resistance in the form of price consolidation below the level, if retested, could be a good entry zone. But if resistance is broken, the focus will shift to 1.065 - 1.067 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
GOLD → False breakout of resistance. Is a correction coming?FX:XAUUSD on the background of CPI on Thursday passes into a rally and realization of consolidation. The price is testing the resistance of 2721 and forms a false breakout. Traders in anticipation of PPI After the release of CPI, there is a 90% chance that the Fed will cut rates by 0.25% next week. Gold hit a two-week high due to the Middle East, optimism over China's economic stimulus, CPI news. PPI and weekly jobless claims data also remain in focus, which could provide new hints on further Fed policy easing and the direction of the US dollar ahead of next week's Fed meeting. Sentiment around the Fed and risk trends will continue to play a decisive role in gold price dynamics. Technically, the price is in a global wide flat. A false breakdown of resistance is forming and a correction may form. Resistance levels: 2721 Support levels: 2700, 2682 The retest did not allow the bulls to pass through the resistance. In the near future the price may test the nearest support and form a bullish correction from which further growth or fall will be initiated. We should also take into account today's news Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
11
USDCHF - Looking for a weaker franc?!The USDCHF currency pair is above EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its upward channel. If the upward movement continues, we can see the midline of the channel and the supply zone and sell within that zone with the appropriate risk reward. A downward correction towards the demand zones will provide us with the next buying positions for this currency pair. 1. U.S. Budget Deficit: The U.S. Treasury Department reported that the federal budget deficit for November reached $367 billion, reflecting a 17% increase compared to the previous year. This rise is primarily attributed to calendar adjustments in benefit payments, which led to approximately $80 billion in additional government spending compared to November 2023. 2. BNP Paribas on Trump’s Tariff Policies: BNP Paribas believes market analysts have underestimated the implications of Trump’s tariff policies and need to take them more seriously. The bank predicts that Trump will implement a significant portion of his tariff threats, even if not entirely. BNP Paribas anticipates these policies will cause a permanent shock to consumer prices in the U.S. while having a temporary effect on inflation. Additionally, the bank expects the Federal Reserve’s target interest rate to remain at 4.5% in 2025, with the U.S. dollar likely to strengthen further, particularly against the Chinese yuan, Mexican peso, and Canadian dollar. 3. Swiss National Bank Cuts Interest Rates: On Thursday, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) unexpectedly cut its interest rate by 50 basis points, marking the largest rate reduction in a decade. This move was aimed at staying ahead of potential rate cuts by other central banks and curbing the rising value of the Swiss franc.Most economists had predicted a smaller rate cut of 25 basis points. This reduction represents the most significant decrease in borrowing costs since the SNB’s emergency rate cut in January 2015. With inflationary pressures subsiding, the SNB opted for further monetary easing. Inflation in Switzerland fell to 0.7% in November and has remained within the bank’s target range of 0–2% since May 2023. The 0.5% rate cut aims to further stimulate the economy and boost labor market activity. 4. Remarks by SNB President: Thomas Schlegel, president of the Swiss National Bank, stated that the bank considers all aspects of the franc’s value, not just its exchange rate against the euro. While acknowledging the effectiveness of negative interest rates, Schlegel emphasized that the SNB does not favor them but would resort to such measures again if necessary, as they have helped reduce the franc’s attractiveness. 5. Managing the Swiss Franc’s Value: The Swiss franc, known as a global safe-haven currency, often appreciates during periods of market volatility, prompting the SNB to invest significant effort in managing its value. However, UBS has noted that this issue is no longer a major concern: “While the franc has strengthened against the euro, it has weakened against the U.S. dollar, maintaining a relatively stable trade-weighted exchange rate.”
Long
by Ali_PSND
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/13/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024 - PR High: 21752.50 - PR Low: 21716.75 - NZ Spread: 79.75 No key scheduled economic events Strong session break gap up (details below) - Maintaining week range in ATHs - Index contract rollover week ahead Session Open Stats (As of 1:35 AM 12/13) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 12/13 +0.42% (open < 21640) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 269.29 - Volume: 31K - Open Int: 268K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -0.3% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22096 - Mid: 20954 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2024
by mv3trader5
NVIDIA Corp(Extended Hours) | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # NVIDIA Corp(Extended Hours) - Double Formation * 147.50 USD | Swing High | Subdivision 1 * Left, Head(Swing Low) & Right | Pattern Confirmation - Triple Formation * Retracement | Not Numbered | 50% At 123.00 USD * Flat ABC | Continuation Bias | Subdivision 2 * 345 Template Area | Depiction Range | Subdivision 3 Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Neutral
CAPITALCOM:NVDA
by TradePolitics
Paladin Energy Limited | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Paladin Energy Limited - Double Formation * 15.700 AUD | A+ Set Up | Subdivision 1 * Neckline Entry Area - Triple Formation * Flat ABC | Range & Continuation | Subdivision 2 * Retracement 0)) Area & 6750 AUD Depiction * Flag Structure Pattern | Behavioural Survey | Subdivision 3 Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Neutral
CAPITALCOM:PDN
by TradePolitics
Super Micro Computer (SMCI): Is This the Greatest Comeback?Could this truly be the greatest comeback of 2024 & 2025? The decision for NASDAQ:SMCI is imminent, and it’s crucial to remain open to all potential scenarios. Over the past month, NASDAQ:SMCI has risen by an impressive 83% and is now trading just below a significant resistance level. Flipping this resistance would mark the first shift from a bearish to a bullish structure since the beginning of the decline. Such a reclaim would also indicate a remarkable V-shaped correction, which holds substantial significance on the weekly chart. It’s likely that NASDAQ:SMCI may experience a slight pullback this week to accumulate more buying momentum before pushing above the $50 mark. However, the stock must not fall below $25, as this remains the Point of Control (POC) since 2022—a critical level that must be respected to maintain the bullish potential.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Alibaba (BABA): Stimulus Hopes Fade, Correction Ahead?We secured solid profits on NYSE:BABA , with a significant rejection at the breakout gap. The stock is now under pressure, facing potential headwinds due to Donald Trump’s presidency and his proposed tariffs. While Chinese stocks surged recently, driven by Beijing’s increased rhetoric around stimulus ahead of a key policymakers’ meeting, the lack of any immediate announcements until March’s National People’s Congress may dampen sentiment. Despite NYSE:BABA dropping pre-market and likely throughout the week, our strategy remains unchanged. With partial profits taken and the stop-loss at break-even, we are not exposed to unnecessary risk. As long as NYSE:BABA continues trading above $82, the position remains stable unless major news changes the outlook.
NYSE:BABALong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Bitcoin Crash + Largest altcoin analysis requests! (ask me)Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response! Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. I start my analysis with Bitcoin. Currently, I expect a drop to 85k. We have a total of 3 unfilled FVGs (fair value gaps) below the current price, and this is a big deal. These gaps pretty much always tend to be filled. These are no gaps that occurred at the start of the uptrend (near 15k in 2022), but almost before the end of the uptrend (85k in 2024). This is a hugeeeee problem, and I assure you that bitcoin will go down sooner rather than later.  Today we also want to look at the RSI indicator. The RSI indicator is important mostly only on the 1m, 1H, 1D, 1W, and 1M charts. Do not use it on, for example, 15m or 2h charts. On the RSI indicator, we can see a bearish divergence because the price is making a higher high while the indicator is making a lower high. That's a huge sign of weakness. Also, let's take a look at the moving averages. This is the daily chart, so let's use 50, 100, and 200. These periods are very popular among huge institutions and hedge funds. They mainly like to use 200 and 20. As we can see, the price is too far away from them, which is a sign that the market is overbought and we should wait for a correction. You want to buy at the support, not when the market has already made the move. Currently I am bearish on Bitcoin. Profit target 1: 92,250, profit target 2: 85,350. Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Xanrox
328
Bitcoin will make the New ATH!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving near the Support zone($99,600-$98,000) and has managed to break the Resistance lines . Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin completed a corrective wave as I expected . I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least Resistance zone($102,280-$101,000) and if the Resistance zone breaks , we can hope for a new All-Time High(ATH) soon . ⚠️Note: if BTC goes below the Support zone($99,600-$98,000), we can expect more dumps. ⚠️ 🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏 Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
24