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Fibonacci

Bitcoin: Interconnectedness of Defining CyclesJust a followup analysis on scalable structure from "Natural Patterns & Fractal Geometry" ed idea. Additional Regularities: 2018 Downtrend Phase Fib Resonation: Fibonacci ratios are not just mathematical abstractions; they manifest in Bitcoin's market structure due to human behavior and market psychology. 2020 Uptrend Phase Fib Resonation: Unconventional use of Fibonacci ratios highlights areas where price has shown significant reactions. These levels act as dynamic support and resistance zones, underscoring the fractal and cyclical nature of Bitcoin's price movements. 2021 - Late 2022 Crash Metrics More detailed breakdown of emerging randomness: The repetitive alignment of market cycles with Fibonacci levels underscores Bitcoin's tendency to oscillate between predictable extremes, offering insights for timing entries and exits. Distinct cycles are clearly visible, separated by major tops (e.g., ATH in 2013, 2017, and 2021) and bottoms (e.g., the 84.12%, 72.26%, and 77.57% corrections). Each cycle adheres to Fibonacci retracement and extension levels, demonstrating a self-similar structure . Price expansions align with Fibonacci extensions (e.g., 1.618 and beyond), showing that Bitcoin’s growth phases are not random but rather guided by harmonic principles. The ascending channels mapped through Fibonacci ratios capture both the bullish and corrective phases, showcasing the market's bounded yet fractal rhythm . The percentage swings (+2484.44%, +12804.20%, +1692.21%, +600.07%) highlight the explosive nature of Bitcoin during expansion phases, followed by steep corrections. These as well align with Fibonacci proportions, providing a blueprint for market rhythm.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by fract
6
GOLD → Consolidation after the fall. Trading inside the rangeFX:XAUUSD is forming consolidation in a new bearish plane after a strong fall on Wednesday. The emphasis is on 2622 - 2581. The fundamental background is negative and technically the price is testing the lows. On Wednesday, the Fed adopted a more conservative approach to monetary policy, laying down only 2 rate cuts in 2025, which generally had a negative impact on the whole market except for the dollar, which is breaking through local highs. Today traders await the release of the PCE, which is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation. Any surprise in the PCE data or an escalation of political uncertainty could push metal prices up. From a technical point of view, the gold market remains in the previously mentioned consolidation, and prices fluctuate in wide ranges, which is generally logical for the end of the calendar year: reduced liquidity and increased volatility... Resistance levels: 2616, 2622 Support levels: 2589, 2581, 2560 Since the price is inside the consolidation, it is worth considering trading from the boundaries of this range. In the long term, I expect a retest of the key resistance 2616-2622 in the form of a false breakdown and a fall towards local lows Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
3
GBPUSD → One step away from breaking support and falling awayFX:GBPUSD is facing difficulties. Negative fundamental background, strong dollar and price entry into the selling zone gives a bunch of preconditions hinting at the continuation of the fall Yesterday the UK GDP came out, which remained at the same level, there is no driver for GBP at the moment, but there is for USD, which is growing after interest rate cuts, but the growth is not because of this, but because of hints of stopping the cycle of further rate cuts and the change of officials' mood to hawkish, which in general, against the background of Trump's policy indicates medium-term potential. Technically, the currency pair is testing the risk zone, a false breakout will form a rebound reaction and I think it will be a short-term reaction. Resistance levels: 1.257, 1.2597, 1.2665 Support levels: 1.2488, 1.245 After the false breakdown, the currency pair may test the local resistance. But retest of the support within 1-3 days will play an important role. Formation of a pre-breakout base at 1.2488 will strengthen the potential for further decline With Respect R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
X Empire price has done something incredible !)💰 Something phenomenal has happened that hasn't been remembered for many years: NYSE:X #Empire altcoin has made +1750% in a week Whether it was the exchange's promotional campaign, #Trump's election victory+ his colleague #muskempire and everything directly or indirectly related to him are now “in chocolate” or all together, but God grant most altcoins to grow like this. Then we will feel the real taste of the alt-season The #X #marketcap has grown from 20 million to the current 300 million. We have two questions for you: Where will the OKX:XUSDT price go next: 🐳 along the blue route by $0.0014 or 💔 along the red route by $0.00014 (the difference is only 0 or 10 times ;) What other low-cap altcoins do you think will pump like this? You write your options in the comments, and we will analyze some of them and publishing ideas here _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
6
GOLD → Interest rates are down, but why is gold falling?FX:XAUUSD falls to 2581. Yesterday's news had a negative impact on the market and it's not about rate cuts. Technically the price confirms the bearish nature of the market. The main reason for the decline in gold prices is the Federal Reserve's caution about lowering interest rates amid the latest economic data. The US central bank lowered the interest rate by 0.25% to the range of 4.25%-4.50% as expected, but for the next year it forecasts 2 rate cuts, which is much less than expected. The Fed's hawkishness has played its role: the dollar is rising, markets are falling. Today all eyes are on GDP and initial jobless claims. Technically, the price is out of the global channel, breaking the support, gold updates the low to 2581. Resistance levels: 2620, 2630, 2636 Support levels: 2616, 2612, 2603 After updating the low, a retest of the previously broken channel boundary and imbalance zones is formed. False breakdown of key resistance, for example 2620 or 2630 and subsequent consolidation of the price below these zones may lead to further decline. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
10
PEPEUSDT: Technical Insights and Trading Strategy Market Overview - PEPEUSDT is currently in a corrective phase after a sharp decline, with price approaching a key demand zone around 0.00001578 USDT. - The analysis suggests potential accumulation and a bullish recovery if the support holds. --- Technical Analysis 1. Support and Resistance Levels: - Support Zone: - 0.00001578: Key accumulation level identified for potential entries. - Below this level, price may test the next support near 0.00001450. - Resistance Levels: - 0.00001900: Initial resistance for price recovery. - 0.00002514: Target resistance zone aligned with the bullish breakout projection. 2. Fibonacci Retracement: - The price has retraced deeply, approaching the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, a common area for reversals in crypto markets. 3. Trendline Analysis: - A potential reversal pattern is visible as price consolidates near the demand zone. - A breakout above 0.00001900 confirms a short-term trend reversal. --- Momentum and Indicators 1. RSI (14): - RSI is approaching oversold conditions, signaling potential bullish divergence. - A rise above 40-50 would confirm increasing bullish momentum. 2. Volume Analysis: - Decreasing sell volume near support suggests diminishing bearish pressure. - A spike in buy volume at this level would reinforce the reversal signal. --- Trading Plan 1. Entry Points: - Accumulate positions near 0.00001578. - Add more positions on breakout confirmation above 0.00001900. 2. Stop-Loss: - Place stop-loss below 0.00001500 to manage downside risk. 3. Profit Targets: - Primary Target: 0.00002514 (aligned with the chart projection). - Stretch Target: 0.00002800, if bullish momentum persists. 4. Risk Management: - Risk no more than 2% of total capital on this trade. --- Scenarios 1. Bullish Scenario: - Price holds the 0.00001578 level and breaks above 0.00001900 with rising volume. - Targets 0.00002514, with possible extension to 0.00002800. 2. Bearish Scenario: - Failure to hold the 0.00001578 support may lead to further downside, targeting 0.00001450 or lower. --- Pro Summary PEPEUSDT is showing signs of accumulation at a critical support level. A breakout above 0.00001900 will confirm a reversal toward 0.00002514 and higher. Traders should exercise caution and set strict stop-loss levels to minimize risks. --- Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies carries significant risk, and you should conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Long
by Supachai-Taechapisit
BTCUSDT - Elliott Wave Analysis: Wave 5 Targeting $115,000 Market Overview - BTC is unfolding a classic Elliott Wave impulse, currently correcting in Wave 4. - This correction has established strong support near the $94,500-$96,000 zone, aligning with the 38.2%-50% Fibonacci retracement of Wave 3. - The Wave 5 target is projected at $115,000, based on Fibonacci extensions and historical price momentum. Technical Analysis 1. Wave Count Breakdown: - Wave 1: Initiation of bullish momentum with a strong breakout. - Wave 2: Healthy retracement establishing a higher low. - Wave 3: Extended bullish rally, peaked at $108,000, showing typical impulsive strength. - Wave 4: Ongoing corrective phase, respecting key Fibonacci retracement levels. - Wave 5 (Projected): Anticipated bullish rally toward $115,000, potentially extending to $118,000 under strong momentum. 2. Key Levels to Watch: - Support Zones: - $93,000-$94,000: Key demand zone where buying interest is evident. - Break below $92,000 invalidates the bullish Elliott Wave structure. - Resistance Levels: - $108,000: Wave 4 high, pivotal for confirming a bullish breakout. - $115,000: Projected Wave 5 target based on 1.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave 3. - $118,000: Secondary extension level if bullish momentum sustains. 3. Fibonacci Analysis: - Wave 4 Correction: - Aligns with the 38.2%-50% retracement of Wave 3, a standard correction zone. - Wave 5 Projection: - Targets 1.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave 3, landing near $115,000. 4. Trendline Analysis: - A rising trendline connecting Waves 1 and 3 provides structural support. - Parallel projection supports the expected upward movement toward Wave 5. Momentum and Indicators 1. RSI (14): - Wave 4 correction shows RSI consolidating in the 40-50 zone, indicative of oversold conditions. - A bullish crossover above 50-60 will confirm the start of Wave 5. 2. MACD (12, 26, 9): - MACD histogram flattening during Wave 4 indicates diminishing bearish pressure. - A bullish crossover on MACD lines will serve as a strong signal for Wave 5 initiation. 3. Volume Profile: - Accumulation in the $93,000-$94,000 zone reflects strong institutional interest. - Wave 5 should see a notable rise in volume as price approaches $108,000 and breaks out toward $115,000. Trading Plan 1. Entry Points: - Accumulate positions in the $94,500 - $96,000 support zone. - Add on breakout confirmation above $108,000 for conservative entries. 2. Stop-Loss: - Place below $92,000 to limit downside risk and invalidate the current wave structure. 3. Profit Targets: - Primary Target: $115,000 (Wave 5 Fibonacci extension). - Stretch Target: $118,000 if momentum sustains post-breakout. 4. Risk Management: - Risk no more than 1%-2% of capital per trade. Scenarios 1. Bullish Scenario: - Price holds the $94,000-$96,000 zone and breaks above $108,000 with volume confirmation. - Wave 5 achieves $115,000, with possible extensions to $118,000. 2. Bearish Scenario: - Failure to hold $92,000 invalidates the current Elliott Wave structure. - Price may retrace deeper, targeting the $88,000-$90,000 zone. Pro Summary BTC is setting up for an impulsive Wave 5 rally, with $115,000 as the primary target. A breakout above $108,000 will confirm the next leg of the bullish trend. Maintain a disciplined approach with stops below $92,000 and adjust positions as the price action unfolds. 🚀 Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk, and you should do your own research or consult with a professional before making any investment decisions.
Long
by Supachai-Taechapisit
META pullback to $586MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make. Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated. My trading plan is very simple. I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels. I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels. So... Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing. 2HR CHART (expect target to hit THIS WEEK) Price at or above top of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26) Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at overbought level VBSM is spiked positive Price at or near 3.618 Fibonacci level Target is $586 or channel bottom
NASDAQ:METAShort
by chancethepug
10
Short gold after hitting 2635-2645 areaBrothers, we went long on gold near 2591 yesterday and closed the long position near 2607 this morning, making a profit of 160 pips easily, which is a very good trading result. After closing the long position, I originally planned to wait for gold to fall back and continue to go long on gold in the 2595-2590 area, but after I closed the order, gold has been fluctuating in the 2607-2600 area, and did not give me the opportunity to go long on gold again. So it's a pity that I missed this time when gold continued to rebound. At present, gold has reached around 2628, and the increase has not exceeded my expectations. I think gold may even continue to rebound to the 2635-2645 area. However, if gold touches this area for the first time, I think there will be an opportunity for gold to fall back to build up momentum and extend its effect. So, if gold touches the 2635-2645 area as expected, I will choose to short gold once!Bros, will you choose to short gold like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
XAUUSDUpdate: Friday, December 20, 2024 There is a downtrend line in the form of resistance!!! We are monitoring the expected movement of the current price. The price may encounter resistance and continue the downward movement. If the downward sloping line is broken, and passes through the support level, the rise may be confirmed and the rise has begun. There are suggestions for two Fibonacci corrections indicating the formation of the beginning of the rise!!! In this case, the Fibonacci technique works when the price stabilizes above the 0.74 area for two Fibonacci corrections, indicating a local upward movement or a rising coordination. Conclusion: As long as the price is below the sloping line, or continues in the downward direction, the downward trend is preferred if it does not reverse to the upside. The next possible trading area is 2540, this price is considered a support area and the price may head towards it.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by chihaaymen