💱USDCHF - Triangle. Why Should We Expect a Decline USDCHF after the retest of the resistance of the global range forms a symmetrical triangle. A breakout of one of the boundaries will form a distribution
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Price in 0.91200 - 0.88600 range
2) Resistance was tested earlier. Within the range, price moves from one boundary to the other
3) In our case liquidity from 0.89000 to 0.8600 has not been tested.
TA on a low timeframe:
1) Since the market is most likely aiming to continue its move down to the liquidity area, the priority is to expect a support breakout
2) Price may consolidate in a triangle for a few more days and then test the limits of the pattern for a breakout
3) I expect a breakout of support and a decline to 0.88600. But if the price breaks 0.9000, it will go up to 0.91190
Key support📉: 0.89430
Key resistance📈: 0.9000
Falling Wedge
GOLD → The limit level of 1920 pushes the price up OANDA:XAUUSD strengthens to 1931 and reaches its local target. The resulting pullback forms a strong limit area formed by buyers 1920. What could this lead to?
Locally, I expect the price to rise to the local targets and liquidity zones, as the price cannot fall all the time. Such zones are: 1933, 1935, 1939
The daily technical analysis points us to a break of the uptrend and the formation of a correction. The trend correction can confirm the break and after the retest of one of the key resistance levels, which is 1935-1939, the market can activate the volume bears and the price will continue the implementation of the trend breakout.
At the moment we are interested in the resistance area of the range. The price may reach it in the near future and then we will follow the price reaction to this area. Here is a likely scenario:
Support levels: 1920, 1912
Resistance levels: 1933, 1935, 1939
I am expecting growth this week, but in the long term I will consider a fall, as TA on D1 is pointing this way
Regards R. Linda!
C98USDT → Realization of accumulated potential BINANCE:C98USDT enters the phase of realization of the accumulated potential. A prolonged trend may change its direction, but in order to do that the bulls will have to take the priority in their hands.
Global and local wedge are marked on the chart. The resistance boundaries of the figures coincide and the price breaks the area, consolidation is formed in the green zone and C98 starts to form a bullish momentum.
For the buyers, the resistance at 0.1751 is important at the moment. If the price breaks through and fixes above this area, the cryptocurrency pair can form a bullish momentum. Resistance at 0.3258 will be the priority target in this case.
Lately bitcoin is strengthening and forming consolidation of 30000-31000. A breakout of resistance will also give momentum to altcoins.
Support levels: MA-50, 0.1540, 1.1209
Resistance levels: 0.1751
I expect the retest to 0.1751, which might end up with a breakout of resistance and in this case the price will continue growing. I am interested in the target of 0.3258 and 0.5750.
Regards R.Linda!
Bitcoin - Huge crash soon! Retest is required (wedge)
The price of Bitcoin recently pumped from the falling wedge pattern with a very strong impulse wave. But the problem is that because of that, we have an unfilled FV GAP on a previous breakout point, and the price tends to go back and retest it. Usually, when patterns break, the price tends to go back and retest them!
In this case, we can completely retest the wedge at the trendline (which will be a deep retracement) or retest the breakout point of the wedge and fill the FB GAP. In the confluence, we have the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the impulse wave, giving us a pretty good long trade with a solid risk-to-reward ratio.
We are going to go down sooner or later; the probability of it is actually very high. But there is also a chance of going higher to 32399 first to take the liquidity above the previous swing high from 2022 before retesting the wedge!
It was a huge pump, and buying or speculating on price increases is very risky. I would not do that at all, so rather prepare your shorts at higher prices or at confirmation of the downtrend!
From the Elliott Wave perspective, I can already see a completed impulse wave that screams for a retracement. The trendline of the impulse wave is broken, and we could definitely go down next week!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
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🥇GOLD - Breakthrough Wedge. Price could strengthen Gold breaks the wedge resistance and forms momentum to retest 0.382 Fibo. Buyers are able to strengthen the price from 1910 to 1932, it all depends on whether the price can form a consolidation above the support.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) A bounce from 1893 is forming. In terms of technical analysis the price makes a test of 1938. On the background of a bearish trend, the price can bounce from 1938.
2) The liquidity area, which may be of interest to the whales, is around 1938.
3) Before a further decline, a correction could lead price to strong resistance
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Retest of 1910 support (Fibo 0.236) will show further price direction.
1.1) Consolidation above 1910 will form an entry point to buy
1.2) Breakout and consolidation of the price below the level (within the wedge) will form an entry point to sell)
2) The bulls are trying to take control of the situation.
3) An attempt to change the local trend is formed on the chart. This situation may lead to an increase to 1932
Key support📉: 1910
Key resistance📈: 1921
GOLD → Breaking the trend on Friday, BUT...OANDA:XAUUSD market is still bearish. Breaking through the resistance of the descending channel may not play a key role. The price is in a global wedge and we see a bounce forming from support.
On Friday, we saw a strong rally that many did not expect. The price was bullish on the inflation related news. Looking at the technical picture some things might become clear.
Pay attention to the D1 chart below. A global wedge is forming. At the moment the market is still in a consolidation phase in a downtrend format.
The retest of the wedge resistance is forming. At the moment, there are no prerequisites for the price to break the resistance of the wedge in the area of 1935-1939.
Breaking through this area will form a strong momentum that will start to strengthen the price.
At the moment there is a high probability of price fall from resistance. Consolidation may continue.
The Fed is not going to cut rates, therefore, the strengthening of the dollar after a small correction may continue, and gold may fall in the medium term.
Support levels: 1912
Resistance levels: 1920, 1938
I expect a correction to the support and possible strengthening of the price to the resistance. If the price breaks through 1912, it will head towards the area of 1902.
Regards to R.Linda!
XLMUSDT - Breaking through bearish trend resistanceBINANCE:XLMUSDT forms the bottom, relative to which the price develops positive dynamics. After testing 0.0758, a rally is formed and the price makes a retest of the trend resistance.
As we can see, a three-day accumulation is formed in relation to the resistance. The market is obviously ready to continue rising, but in order to do that the price needs to overcome the resistance.
The resistance at 0.1035 is worth mentioning. The bulls may fight hard for this level and if they manage to hold this area, the coin will show a good result in the middle term, because the level of 0.1035 is the range support, whereas the resistance and the target for the price may be the upper boundary at 0.1305.
Support levels: 0.0959 and 0.0987.
Resistance levels: upper trendline, 0.1035, 0.1130
I expect a confident bullish position above the level of 0.1035. An indicator for this will be consolidation above the level. Medium-term perspective - growth up to 0.1305.
Regards R. Linda!
Bullish Reversal Potential on $FIL: Falling Wedge PatternGreetings, Traders! Today, I'm thrilled to share an intriguing technical analysis discovery on the stock of Filecoin ( TSX:FIL ). A falling wedge pattern has emerged, indicating the potential for a bullish reversal in the near future. Let's dive into the details!
📈 Ticker: TSX:FIL
📅 Timeframe: Daily Chart
📊 Pattern: Falling Wedge
📉 Understanding the Falling Wedge Pattern:
A falling wedge is a bullish chart pattern characterized by converging trendlines that slope downward. Typically formed during a downtrend, it suggests diminishing selling pressure and the potential for a reversal. This pattern indicates the possibility of an upward price movement.
🔍 Identifying the Falling Wedge on TSX:FIL :
Upon analyzing the daily chart of TSX:FIL , the following observations come to light:
1️⃣ Recent downtrend: TSX:FIL has experienced a decline in price over the past weeks.
2️⃣ Converging trendlines: The upper trendline connects the lower highs, while the lower trendline connects the lower lows.
3️⃣ Decreasing trading volume: As the falling wedge pattern forms, the trading volume has been declining, indicating a potential reduction in selling pressure.
📈 Price Targets and Trading Strategy:
If the falling wedge pattern on TSX:FIL plays out as expected, a potential bullish breakout above the upper trendline might occur, signaling a reversal and potential price appreciation. Consider the following price targets:
1️⃣ Target 1: Resistance level near $80.00
2️⃣ Target 2: Psychological resistance near $100.00
🛡️ Risk Management:
Implement the following risk management techniques to protect your capital and manage risk effectively:
1️⃣ Set a stop-loss order below the lower trendline to safeguard against unexpected price reversals.
2️⃣ Adjust position size based on your risk tolerance and overall portfolio management strategy.
🔔 Conclusion:
Stay watchful as Filecoin ( TSX:FIL ) continues to develop this falling wedge pattern. The formation suggests the potential for a bullish reversal in the near future. However, please remember that technical analysis has limitations, and market conditions can change. Consider incorporating additional analysis and fundamental factors before making any trading decisions.
Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Happy Trading! 📈💰
#TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #FallingWedge #BullishReversal #FIL #StockAnalysis #ChartPatterns #TradingStrategies #Investing #Finance #MarketAnalysis
DXY Dollar strenght ahead?Fundamentals:
The US #10year #yield is aiming for 4% whilst the US 2 year yield is aiming its previous hight.
This is most probably on the back of higher sticky inflation which will require higher rates from the FED. This development is positive for the relative strenth of the #dollar in the #dxy
Technicals:
On a weekly graph, the DXY (inspite of a short spike) has traded inside a falling wedge. We are now trading at the top of the falling wedge.
Within the falling wedge, we currently have a right shoulder as part of an inverse head & shoulders pattern.
Potential Upside:
If we see both the falling wedge and inverse head & shoulders breaking to the top, the wedge's projected move is marked in yellow and the inverse head & shoulders projected moves are marked in white.
GOLD → The bears are quite strong in the market. Falling furtherOANDA:XAUUSD forms another bearish range of 1912-1985. The price is descending in steps in the channel, which indicates a strong dominance of sellers in the market. What do you want to see next?
After the false breakdown of the support 1895, the market tries to buyback the fall and it succeeds. The price makes a retest of the resistance 1912. Another false breakdown is formed, but this time it is resistance.
On the schedule is clearly seen a bearish trend, which coincides on H1, D1 and W1.
The fundamental background is negative. The Fed is discussing a further rate hike, which may strengthen the dollar and weaken gold.
The price is again testing the local support at 1902. If the level is broken through, the price will head towards 1895 and then maybe towards 1890.
Resistance levels: 1910, 1912 and 1924.
Support levels: 1902, 1895
I expect the price will continue falling down against the bearish trend after breaking through 1902 or 1895. Resistance levels are strong enough and will not let the price through.
Regards to R.Linda!
USDCAD → Realization of a symmetric triangle on W1FX:USDCAD on W1 demonstrates exiting a symmetrical triangle downwards. A correction or rebound from downtrend support is forming. What to expect from the price in the near term?
The price forms a bearish price channel and after another retest of the trend support the currency pair forms a rebound to the resistance area 1.32697-1.33171. There is a high probability that the price will not break this area and after consolidation and a break of the limit support level 1.32400 will continue its fall to 1.31214.
The market is controlled by the bears, the medium-term potential is 1.28000
The 200-hour moving average acts as resistance and supports the upper boundary of the channel; the 50-hour is support, but probably not for long.
Resistance levels: 1.32697, 1.33171, MA-200
Support levels: 1.32400, MA-50
I expect the fall from the resistance area will continue. Realization of the global pattern, which is able to send the price to 1.28000, is forming.
Regards R.Linda!
$LCID Wedge Setup - Potential Breakout Ahead! 📉📈Hello traders! 🌟📊 I want to bring your attention to an interesting technical pattern I've spotted on $LCID. It appears to be forming a wedge pattern, suggesting a potential breakout opportunity. Let's take a closer look at the details! 💡📉📈
🔍 Symbol: NASDAQ:LCID
📅 Timeframe: Weekly
📌 Wedge Formation:
NASDAQ:LCID has been consolidating within a narrowing range, forming a wedge pattern. This pattern is characterized by converging trend lines, with the upper trend line sloping downward and the lower trend line sloping upward. The tightening price action indicates diminishing volatility, typically preceding a significant breakout move.
📈 Breakout Confirmation:
To validate the wedge pattern, we'll need to see a clear breakout above the upper trend line. This breakout should ideally be accompanied by an increase in volume, indicating strong buying interest. Keep a close eye on as a potential breakout point. A decisive move above this level could signal a bullish breakout.
🎯 Price Targets:
If the breakout occurs, we can project potential price targets based on the height of the wedge pattern. Measure the distance from the starting point of the wedge to the upper trend line and add it to the breakout level. Consider as potential price objectives to keep an eye on.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Remember to implement appropriate risk management strategies. Placing a stop-loss order below the lower trend line or at a level that aligns with your risk tolerance can help protect your capital in case the breakout fails and price reverses.
As always, conduct thorough research and consider additional factors such as market conditions, news events, and overall trend analysis before making any trading decisions.
📊 Hashtags: #LCID #WedgePattern #BreakoutOpportunity #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
Please note that this analysis is based on technical analysis principles and should be used as a starting point for your own research. Market conditions can change rapidly, so stay vigilant and adapt your trading strategy accordingly.
Happy trading! 🚀💰
Disclaimer: This content is not financial advice. Trading carries risks, and it's important to only trade with funds you can afford to lose. Seek advice from a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
The Bullish Case for Bitcoin! A Comprehensive Analysis!!!Chart is speaking it self!!!
🌟The Bitcoin is in a Bullish phase by ⤵️⤵️
➡️the BTCUSD has finished It's first five waves of Elliot wave principle movement (12345 Impulse wave) and also (ABC) wave. The possibility of starting a impulse 5th waves!!!
➡️falling wedge pattern it means that the price would increase and the price has already broken the pattern!
➡️the price now is making a pullback to the bottom of the descending triangle (which is shown in the picture) if the price breaks that important level we shall see a lot of increase in the price!
➡️A inverse head and shoulders pattern means a great bullish trend on the horizon (AB=CD).
➡️also Broadening Wedge it is another bullish sign.
🌟 Bullish signals are:
-Head&Shoulder.
-Broadening Wedge.
- falling Wegde.
-This is Longterm Analysis!!!
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⏮️Previous Analysis:
The Bullish Case for Bitcoin! A Comprehensive AnalysisIf price manage to break the falling Wedge . the price can easily reach the target after a little correction.
🌟 Bullish signals in the PRZ area are:
- Support zone
- Pivot yearly
- Bullish Channel
- falling Wegde
- bollinger band
- 5th Waves
⭐ and the bullish signals of market momentum are:
- Regular divergence in MACD
➡️ Note if the PRZ is broken downwards with the strength of Bearish candles or Wedge broken from the bottom , this analysis of ours will be failed.
✅If this post was useful for you, like it ❤️ and if you think it is useful for your friends, be sure to send it to them.
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
🌍Thank you for seeing idea .
Have a nice day and Good luck.
USD/CHF many reasons to increaseHi every one
U.S. DOLLAR / SWISS FRANC
chart is speaking it self!!
the USD/CHF has finished It's first five waves of Elliot wave principle movement (12345 Impulse wave) and now It must begin the ABC correction wave!
there is also a falling wedge pattern which means that the price would increase and the price has already broken the pattern!
the price now is making a pull back to the descending triangle (which is shown in the picture) if the price breaks that triangle we shall see a lot of increase in the price!
and also there is a regular bullish divergence as well (+RD) which means the price would increase!
Traders, if you liked this idea or have your opinion on it, write in the comments, We will be glad.
Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Thank you for seeing idea .
Have a nice day and Good luck
GOLD → Price is testing 1912 support for a breakout OANDA:XAUUSD is preparing for further declines. Bears on the basis of negative fundamentals are not going to give up. Another retest of support is forming, which increases the probability of further downside
Closing of the daily candlestick on Tuesday is very close to the indicated level of 1912.5. The retest is formed - the market checks the support area. Price starts to consolidate below the local bearish resistance and near the level of 1912.5.
Based on the technical analysis we see a very high probability to break through the support (a deep false breakout is possible). But we consider support at 1895 as a medium-term target. But again, if today's news affect the gold prices and if the resistance is broken through, we might see an increase to the upper boundary of the range.
The moving averages are pointing to a global stop and an attempt to change the bullish trend.
Support levels: 1912.5, 1895.5
Resistance levels: 1917, 1920.
The retest gives a strong signal. For this reason, on the background of the falling market, I expect a breakout of the key support with a further decline to 1895.
Regards to R. Linda!
EURGBP → Formation of a pre-breakout consolidationFX:EURGBP a week earlier forms a break of the resistance of the descending price channel. A consolidation of 0.86000-0.85400 is forming. We see consolidation at the resistance. What to expect from the price?
Most likely, the price will continue to test resistance 0.86067. Pre-break consolidation is forming, which can be interpreted as another attempt of price exit from the range, followed by the strengthening of the currency pair.
Moving averages are beginning to narrow and if the conditions are favorable, they may soon form a signal that confirms the intention of the market to change the trend.
A breakout at 0.8606767 will send the price to 0.86722, but if the breakout does not happen, correction to the trend support will be formed.
Resistance levels: 0.86067, 0.86345, 0.86722
Support levels: 0.85725, trend support
The market is showing good dynamics and consolidation confirms the intention of the buyers. I am waiting for breakthrough of resistance with the subsequent growth.
Regards R. Linda!
ETHUSD → implementation of distribution. Target 2300BITSTAMP:ETHUSD has been showing a swell in the last few days. The price is out of the key range. The bullish set-up is working 100% and price is breaking resistance. What to expect from ethereum next?
For a long time, the coin formed a wedge pattern, which ended with the price forming a rally after a false break of global trend support and the SMA-200 and breaking not only the wedge resistance, but the trend line and the 1846.5 level.
A consolidation above this support area will consolidate the bulls' position and continue to shape the move.
Within the price channel, we have an implied target - the resistance area of 2300. Most likely, in the medium term, we should expect growth towards this mark.
Support levels: rising support line, previously broken wedge boundary, 1846.5 level
Resistance levels: 1920, 2021
Consolidation lasted about 45 days, the distributive phase after consolidation may last for 15 days. I expect that in the mid-term we might see a breakthrough of the local resistances and strengthening of the price to 2300
Regards to R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Profit target for the next bull run + 32% crash soon!
Of course, I am still bearish on Bitcoin, and we are going to hit 20,500 or 17,000 this year. But before it happens, we can go as high as 33,000 because there is a lot of liquidity to be taken.
I started to be bearish around 30k a few months ago, and nothing changed in my outlook. But I think 6k and 10k are not possible anymore because Bitcoin proved its strength and the uptrend transformed from a corrective wave into an impulse wave, which is definitely something we cannot ignore in our next trades.
A 32% or 40% crash later this year, most likely in September or October, is very possible, and I am expecting this scenario to happen. I prefer a bearish scenario over a bullish one this year, and I do not see any crazy pumps to 35k, 40k, or even higher.
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Now the question is, How far can Bitcoin go in the next bullish cycle? My technical analysis shows around 100,000 USD. We have a huge ascending parallel channel on the LOG weekly scale that you can see on this chart. It has already had five touches, and it started in 2017. What's more, if we take the Fibonacci extension from the start of the previous bull market to the end of the previous bull market and to the end of the previous bear market, the 0.618 FIB extension is right at 104,000 USD.
Seriously, please do not expect Bitcoin to hit 300k or 1 million in the next few years; the market cap would be insane if this happened.
In the short term, I am pretty neutral because Bitcoin could reach 33K or also start a big crash. At this point, we need more confirmation, so I prefer to trade altcoins at this moment and wait for BTC. I trade over 200 futures pairs, and I have a lot of opportunities everywhere.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
GOLD → Symmetrical triangle on a falling trend OANDA:XAUUSD continues to form a sideways range of 1938 - 1912. But if you look closely, we see a symmetrical triangle on the downtrend. What can happen to the price?
The triangle can affect price both bearishly and bullishly. If sellers hold resistance, price will move to the lower boundary of the pattern - the chance of further declines will increase. But if the price breaks the resistance of the triangle, it will go to 1938, the chance that the price will break 1938 is not high enough.
We have a strong bearish trend and resistance levels play a key role.
In the medium term I expect price to fall to 1912-1900.
Resistance levels: upper limit of triangle, 1933, SMA200, 1938
Support levels: 1928, 1922, lower boundary of the triangle
I expect a resistance retest, but since the bears are quite strong at the moment and the fundamentals are not so good, I expect a fall to 1912 - 1900
Regards R. Linda!
NEARUSDT → Double bottom and range breaking BINANCE:NEARUSDT forms several key setups which are quite strong prerequisites for further growth. What to expect from the price?
A double bottom is forming at the level of 1.229. The formation period is 7 months. Price is accumulating a huge amount of energy during this period while a range (consolidation) of 1.229-2.596 is forming.
At the same time the price breaks the resistance of the descending wedge. In that case, if the bulls hold their positions above the previously broken line, we will see a rise to the upper boundary of the range in the medium term. A breakout of 2.596 will take the price to 3.361.
The moving averages are still as resistance, but MA-50 has been tested and may be broken soon.
Support levels: the previously broken range boundary, the level of 1.229
Resistance levels: MA-50, 1.800, MA-200
I expect predictable reaction from the bulls. A consolidation above the previously broken line will form an entry point to long positions, and after that I will wait for an increase to resistances.
Regards R.Linda!
Bitcoin Falling WedgeBitcoin, which ran from $16300 levels to $25000 at the beginning of 2023, made the same run from $20200 to $30900 in March 2023.
The landscape that emerges after two runs is seen as a descending wedge.
It has confirmed that there is a new descending wedge formation when it returns from the $25000 level.
If the wedge is broken up, if it repeats its old patterns, we can see at least $36000 levels.
GOLD → Consolidation is formed after a trend breakThe market stops OANDA:XAUUSD fall at the local support level of 1912. On Friday, we saw a redemption of the fall, but the price could not overcome the resistance. The retest sent the price down.
There is a sideways formation of the range between 1938 and 1912. The price might test one of the key resistances, but there is not much of a potential for the buyers at the moment.
Yesterday we analyzed the situation in the high D1 time frame and mentioned that the price broke the uptrend, and if the gold crosses below 1910, it will move under the red zone.
The MA50 acts as a local support and the MA-200 keeps pushing the price as resistance.
Most likely high volatility may not happen and the price will stay in the above range for some time.
Support levels: 1924, MA-50 1918, 1912
Resistance levels: 1928, 1938, MA-200
I expect continuation of the consolidation formation, but in the medium term I expect a fall from the resistance, a possible retest of the support of 1912 and further fall after a breakthrough.
Regards R. Linda!