Heavy Short coming.Starting it will want to fill some orders at the fair value gap (purple rectangle) at the top before dropping, but since that level i so high i i am not sure at all it will go there first.
Then we see a huge fair value gap ranging from FWB:73K to $90K, massive lack of liquidity. And market can’t have that if the idea is for it to reach even bigger ATH’s.
Under that FVG you can se several Liquidity lines (4 to be exact) laying before another FVG and liquidity spot comes again.
So we see that market really needs to draw down there before acceding up.
Red circle marks an order block (Price range where orders where filled) so we see that liquidity has previously been filled at that level so that supports my theory even greater that market is looking to drop down to that area.
There are way to much liquidity missing there and liquidity to get under there again for market to go further up then were it is standing as off now.
Hope you understood my POV, would extremely appreciate just a thumbs up or down! New to this.
Fairvaluegap
Requested NQ Levels - NQ Bias chartJust one of my charts requested by the two people who read. On the 4h time frame they DO NOT, and I'll repeat, DO NOT leave fair value gaps untested. The only one theyve left is from the August 5 Yen unwind, which was quite artificial. Anyway, not super bearish or bullish, just cautious at the moment. Risk reward for me plays out in a question that sounds like, "Do you want to risk -30% for another +10%?" or would you rather forgo the 10% and find something a bit more better value? Think that's how a lot of NQ stocks are being looked at end of year. Again not calling for a rug, but quite possible NQ lags the IWM for this next leg. We will see, anyway feel free to ask any questions the chart is a bit messy, like my brain.
$LLY Long-Term BuyHealthcare could possibly be the next rotation coming out of this tech bull run. Using the Trade Jeanie (Jeanius Screener/Indicator), I was able to see the current technical buy signals happening on NYSE:LLY :
Inside a HTF fair value gap (3M timeframe)
Took out an untested low (liquidity)
The Jeanius Indicator shows green 'Combo' labels every time this same combination of signals happened
The Jeanius Screener lets me filter my favorite tickers to see which ones are currently taking out untested lows or liquidity
$MRK Long-Term BuyHealthcare could possibly be the next rotation coming out of this tech bull run. Using the Trade Jeanie (Jeanius Screener/Indicator), I was able to see the current technical buy signals happening on NYSE:MRK :
Inside a HTF fair value gap (12M timeframe)
Testing a HTF uptrend line (3M timeframe)
Larkuidity (Liquidity) Sweep
The Jeanius Indicator shows green 'Combo' labels every time this same combination of signals happened
The Jeanius Screener lets me filter my favorite tickers to see which ones are currently sweeping liquidity
XAUUSD Downtrend Based on SMC (Smart Money Concepts) analysis, it appears that gold on the 4-hour timeframe is likely to continue its downward movement after liquidity was swept from the previous high. Now, we are faced with two potential scenarios:
Scenario 1: A direct drop from the green box.
Scenario 2: A slight upward move into the FVG (Fair Value Gap), followed by a strong decline.
Let’s see which scenario gold decides to follow!
Nifty Outlook: Last Week of NovemberNifty is currently trading at 23,900.
It will come 500 points below to 23,400.
This level coincides with multiple things - previous support & 0.786 fib level of the last run.
Then it will reverse and go up till 24,700.
That is where it will take the liquidity of the previous swing highs.
NAS100USD: Bullish Setup with Key Support Zones in FocusGreetings Traders!
Current Outlook📊:
NAS100USD is displaying bullish institutional order flow, signaling a strong upward trend. Following this momentum, I am focusing on buying opportunities to target the liquidity pool at the swing high.
Key Confluences🔗:
Support Zone : Price has retraced into a significant area marked by the alignment of a mitigation block and a Fair Value Gap (FVG).
Scalping Potential : This zone serves as an institutional support area, offering confidence to seek confirmation entries for bullish setups.
Feel free to share your analysis, discuss insights, or ask questions below in the comments. Let’s learn and grow together!
Best Regards,
The_Architect
DXY analysis based on ICT concepts and candle scienceHello, greatest community Since this is my first post, I sincerely hope you find it useful.
I am going to start with a top-down analysis.
First, based on the monthly chart.
Currently, we are in the monthly SIBI, a reversal area.
What are we supposed to look for next?
A drop in momentum to the annual bisi target during the following months
Weekly Chart
It's Friday, the last day of the week. What can I see in this area right now?
1. It looks like we are about to create a weekly fair value gap, which we will trade from the following week in order to reach the next weekly SIBI shown on the chart.
2. On the other hand, we might make a BAG and search for the entry on the daily chart.
NB: I will post more information this weekend if I find someone who is interested.
DXY sellUS dollar had a blasting week this time now as we have traded its upward rally now its moving towards its resistance level where from it will be moving downward rally👇 from its resistance level on H1 we can see a Fair value gap under the price rallied so we will be bearish until it fills its GAP now if we talk about H4 and Daily price is bearish from Daily Time frame so we are bearish this time until fair value gap
The Fair Value Gap (FVG)The term "fair value gap" is known by various names among price action traders, including imbalance, inefficiency, and liquidity void. But what do these imbalances mean? They arise when the forces of buying and selling exert considerable pressure, resulting in sharp and rapid price movements.
On a chart, a Fair Value Gap appears as a three-candlestick pattern. In a bullish context, an FVG forms when the top wick of the first candlestick does not connect with the bottom wick of the third candlestick. Conversely, in a bearish scenario, the FVG is created when the bottom wick of the first candlestick fails to connect with the top wick of the third candlestick. The gap on the middle candlestick, created by the wicks of the first and third candlesticks, represents the Fair Value Gap.
The concept of FVG trading is based on the idea that the market has a natural tendency to self-correct. These price discrepancies or inefficiencies are generally not sustainable over time, and the market often returns to these gaps before continuing in the same direction as the original impulsive move.
What are the Types of Fair Value Gaps?
1. Bearish Fair Value Gap
A bearish Fair Value Gap occurs when there is a space between the bottom wick of the first candlestick and the top wick of the third candlestick. This gap typically appears on the body of the middle candlestick, and the individual characteristics of each candlestick are not particularly important. What’s crucial in a bearish scenario is that the gap on the middle candlestick results from the wicks of the surrounding candlesticks not connecting.
2. Bullish Fair Value Gap
A bullish Fair Value Gap occurs when the top wick of the first candlestick does not connect with the bottom wick of the third candlestick. In this case, the specific direction of each candlestick is not as important. What really matters is that there is a gap in the middle candlestick, where the wicks of the first and third candlesticks have not linked.
3. Inverse Fair Value Gap
An Inverse Fair Value Gap is an FVG that has lost its validity in one direction but remains significant enough to influence price movement in the opposite direction. For example, a bullish FVG is deemed invalid if it fails to act as a demand zone. However, it then transforms into an inverse bearish FVG, which may serve as a supply zone capable of holding the price.
4. Implied Fair Value Gap
The Implied Fair Value Gap is also a three-candlestick pattern, but it does not feature a gap on the middle candlestick, which is why it’s called an “implied FVG.” Instead, it consists of a larger middle candle flanked by two relatively long wicks from the first and third candles.
The “gap” is defined by marking the midpoint of the wick of the first candlestick that touches the middle candle and the midpoint of the wick of the third candle that also touches the middle candle. These two midpoints create the gap.
Here are some factors that can lead to the formation of fair value gaps:
1. Economic Data Releases
Key economic data releases, such as changes in interest rates or unemployment statistics, can similarly create imbalances. If the data surprises the market, it can trigger a swift price movement in one direction, resulting in a gap.
2. Sudden News Events
Unexpected news that significantly affects market sentiment can lead to a rapid increase in buying or selling activity, resulting in a gap as prices adjust to the new information. For instance, if a company unexpectedly reports strong earnings, its stock price may surge, creating a gap on the chart.
3. Market Openings or Closings
Gaps may form during periods of low liquidity, such as at market openings or closings. With fewer market participants, even a small amount of buying or selling can cause a noticeable price jump that isn’t quickly countered.
4. Large Institutional Trades
Significant trades by institutional investors can also lead to fair value gaps (FVGs). When a hedge fund or financial institution executes a large buy or sell order, it can overwhelm the existing order book, causing a rapid price shift and leaving a gap behind.
5. Weekend Gaps
FVG's are often observed between the close on Friday and the open on Monday, reflecting news or events that occurred over the weekend.
KEY POINTS TO KNOW
- Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are powerful tools traders use to identify market imbalances and inefficiencies.
- FVGs occur when buying or selling pressure leads to significant price movements, leaving behind gaps on price charts.
- FVGs can be identified through technical analysis involving the analysis of candlestick patterns and price chart patterns.
- Traders can categorize FVGs into two types: Undervalued FVGs, where prices are lower than fair value, and Overrated FVGs, where prices are higher.
BANKNIFTY can be bearish from 51466-51647 51466-51647 Levels are very important for BankNifty to sustain. If it break above these levels, then a new all time high can be seen in Sep month. Mostly likely, BankNifty could fall from here to be bearish again and break 49,815 levels. This level is a pure selling level above the fair value gap that was created on 5th Aug.
TITAGARH could get a rebound from 1154-1219 levelsTITAGARH is a stock that is known to never fall much. But in the current scenario, a lot of long term investors are trapped and a lot of panic selling is seen in this stock. In my view, it may get a rebound from 1154-1219 levels once again. This level is the place where last heavy buying was observed last which created a big fair value gap in the price.
ADA shortThe price faced a rejection at the 4H fair value gap, which I saw as a prime opportunity to enter a short position. My plan is to target the sell stops for profits, but I'm also mindful of the potential for further decline. Given Bitcoin's current momentum and the risk of a sharp drop, altcoins like Cardano could experience significant losses. I'm staying cautious and ready to adjust my strategy accordingly. BINANCE:ADAUSDT
Fair Value for S&P 500, Price Targets for the next 12 monthsGoing into next week I calculate fair value for the S&P 500 to be between 5,400 and 4,800 with an average target of 5,100 over the next 12 months. The low end of the range factors in any chance that we see the economy creep to a stagnant point over the next 12 months.
If by some miracle the economy should continue to experience above average GDP growth, the S&P 500 could go as high as 6,300 in the year ahead
Investors should be cautious about making any large stock purchases if we continue to see unemployment rise and GDP growth slow.
Holding off for better buying opportunities is for the best with the S&P 500 above the 5,400 level. The market is likely to continue to see downward pressure. Right now, earnings growth projections are lofty and likely to be revised downward over the next 6 months.
What is Your Comment on this Gold Set up1H Time frame Break liquidity
And then also Broke Internal Liquidity
Which Create a Fair Value Gap and also a Breaker
Now price have retrace back to FVG
I think a nice place to short position
With a Risk/Reward Ratio 3.84
Cons: AGAINST TREND
Tell me what do you think about this set up
Did i miss anything