7 Dimension analysis for EURUSD🕛 TOPDOWN - Bearish Momentum in a Multi-Month Downtrend
Overview: The monthly and weekly analyses indicate a multi-month downtrend with the initiation of a current impulsive bearish move. The focus is on the daily timeframe for a detailed perspective.
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: Daily
1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bearish
🟢 Structure Behavior: Break of Structure (BoS)
🟢 Swing Move: Bearish impulsive move in progress, marked by a proper high.
🟢 Inducement: Completed.
🟢 Pull Back 1st: Deep pullback with a reversal and bearish momentum.
🟢 Internal Structure: Choch (Contraction) observed.
Ext OB mitigated, indicating a potential reversal.
🟢 Resistance/Supply/Distribution/Premier: Multiple indicators, including trendlines, suggest further downward movement.
2️⃣ Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS
Raising Wedge breakout signals bearish continuation.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS
ey Considerations:
Record session count with a Change in Guard (engulfing) candle, a strong reversal sign.
Momentum signals, including strict engulfing and a last bullish FOMO candle.
3️⃣ Volume: Pivot points of fixed range volume show volatile reversal signals. Average volume during correction move reinforces the bearish bias.
4️⃣ Momentum RSI:
🟢 Momentum State: Sideways zone.
🟢 Range Shift: From bullish to sideways with a loud move.
🟢 Loud Moves: Bearish loud move observed.
🟢 Overbought/Oversold Rejections: Count of 3.
5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands:
🟢 Middle band provides support, but momentum suggests potential breakage.
🟢 Formation of a W pattern at the top of the move.
6️⃣ Strength: USD is stronger than EUR, adding to the bearish bias.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: Daily
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bearish
☑️ Current Move: Impulsive
✔ Support/Resistance Base: Supply area and extreme Order Block.
☑️ Candles Behavior: RSC, Momentum - both patterns are bearish.
☑️ Trend Line Breakout: Confirmed.
☑️ Final Comments: Sell right now.
💡 Decision: SELL.
🚀 Entry: 1.08450
✋ Stop Loss: 1.1030
🎯 Take Profit: 1.0143
2nd Exit if Internal Structure Changes, 3rd Trendline Breakout, FOMO.
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:3.75
🕛 Expected Duration: 30 days
SUMMARY: The analysis strongly supports a bearish momentum, aligning with the ongoing multi-month downtrend. Key indicators such as candle patterns, volume considerations, and momentum signals reinforce the sell decision. The strategy involves clear risk management and exit criteria.
Eurusdtrade
EUR/USD Holds Steady Above 1.1000 Amidst US GDP Data and..EUR/USD Holds Steady Above 1.1000 Amidst US GDP Data and Upcoming Core PCE Report
The EUR/USD pair maintains its positive stance, firmly holding ground above the psychological mark of 1.1000 as it reaches its highest level in four months during the early Asian trading hours on Friday. The pair's trajectory aligns with our previous forecast, where the price successfully reached the initial take profit at 1.10100.
Key Market Movements:
EUR/USD is currently trading around 1.1008, marking a modest 0.05% gain for the day.
The pair continues to follow a bullish uptrend, supported by positive momentum and favorable technical signals.
US GDP Growth Data:
The US GDP growth number for Q3 expanded by 4.9%, slightly below the market's estimation of 5.2%. This data influenced the market dynamics but did not deter the EUR/USD's upward trajectory.
Upcoming Focus on US Core PCE Report:
Investors are eagerly anticipating the release of November’s US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (Core PCE) on Friday.
Projections suggest a 0.2% month-on-month (MoM) rise and a 3.3% year-on-year (YoY) increase. This data is expected to impact the pair's movements as traders assess the inflationary landscape.
ECB Statements and Market Sentiment:
European Central Bank (ECB) Vice President Luis de Guindos emphasized that it is premature for monetary policy to ease, expressing confidence in avoiding a technical recession in the Eurozone.
ECB Governing Council member Martins Kazaks indicated that the central bank intends to maintain current interest rates for an extended period, potentially pushing back the expected rate cut to mid-2024.
Technical Outlook and Targets:
The EUR/USD pair's bullish trend is evident in higher timeframes, presenting potential for a further uptrend.
Our second take profit target remains at 1.11500, providing an optimistic outlook for continued bullish momentum.
As the EUR/USD pair navigates key economic data releases and central bank statements, traders are advised to monitor developments closely, considering potential shifts in market sentiment and the impact on the pair's trajectory.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.08600 with targets at 1.10650 & 1.1150 in extension.
EURUSD trading ideas todayThe EURUSD lost momentum on Wednesday as concerns about the eurozone's economic outlook intensified. However, the intraday bias remains neutral and more consolidation is likely below 1.1008. A further rebound is expected as long as the 1.0722 support level is held. On the upside, a break above 1.1016 would resume the overall uptrend starting from 1.0450 and retest the high of 1.1274.
From a broader perspective, the EURUSD is still hovering within a consolidation zone in 2023 with strong resistance at 1.1275 (a 17-month high) and support at 1.0450 (a 10-month low).
If it breaks above the 200-week EMA, then it could touch the 200-week EMA at 1.1150 ahead of 1.1275. a move higher could shift the bias to bullish. However, any move below the 50-week and 100-week SMAs will cause it to fall to 1.0450, below which the psychological barrier of 1.0200 will be closely watched to prevent further declines.
In the near term, the EURUSD could break below 1.0880 and the 4-hour 100 SMA at 1.0870 to add bearish pressure and turn bears' attention to 1.0825 until the December low at 1.0715. It is recommended to go short at the highs.
💡 EURUSD: Forecast December 19After falling sharply from the 1.10 resistance area and creating a bearish signal (rail pattern) on the daily, EURUSD had little fluctuation in the past session, with no significant changes. As mentioned, short-term rallies will give bearish bettors more advantageous entry points, you can wait to buy at the resistance zone.
EURUSD tends to decrease when it encounters resistanceThe EURUSD appeared to be on firm footing on Monday after falling below the psychological barrier of 1.10 on Friday. However, the recovery is unlikely to last long as much weaker-than-expected German Ifo data and rising bearish momentum in the 1D timeframe are keeping the near-term trend under pressure.
Additionally, last week's (1W timeframe) long upper shadow and the repeated failure of the weekly close to break above the 1.1000 threshold exacerbated the negative signals of the momentum.
Currently, the price is holding above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.0900 of the 1.0723 - 1.1009 uptrend line, which is expected to show a slight bullish bias, but more work on the upside (e.g., a close above 1.0950) would be needed to remove the downside threat; otherwise, a continuation of the bearish structure would be expected.
It fell below the threshold of 1.0900 and the 20-day SMA (1.0875), which will likely lead to further declines after the completion of the reversal pattern and the double top. It is recommended to go short at the highs.
EURUSD: The dollar is weakening amid rising expectations for a r
The dollar is currently volatile against most major currencies as market sentiment has been hit by expectations that the US Federal Reserve could start cutting interest rates. The exception remains the Japanese yen, which maintains its position against the dollar even after the Bank of Japan's decision to continue its expansionary monetary policy.
Fed officials sought to manage market expectations after last week's Federal Open Market Committee meeting hinted at the possibility of a rate cut in 2024. This outlook has led to a rally in financial markets, with current expectations based on the CME FedWatch tool putting the probability of a rate cut at the March Fed meeting at 67.5%.
Kyle Rodda, Senior Financial Markets Analyst at Capital.com, said the Fed now has to decide on countermeasures that could be consistent with market expectations or lead to market instability. said it is necessary to do so. Atlanta Fed President Rafael Bostic reiterated Tuesday that he expects two rate cuts in the second half of this year, but stressed there is no need to take immediate action. At the same time, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin noted that the central bank's ability to lower interest rates depends on economic development.
The dollar index, which compares the greenback against a basket of other currencies, was little changed at 102.20, after earlier falling more than 0.3%. The index hit a four-month low of 101.76 last week. Rodda also said that upcoming economic data will be important in determining the dollar's direction, indicating whether the expected rate cuts next year are justified. Investors are currently awaiting the release of the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, which could provide insight into whether inflation has slowed enough to warrant easing. may be provided. Will politics start next year?
EUR/USD approaches minor support level, what now?Hello traders, hope you had a great weekend. Last Friday, we made some
good profits of 100+ pips by selling EUR/USD at the 1.10 resistance level.
Now, at the moment, the price is approaching a minor support. Whether the support
level holds is another question. Price action tomorrow will be the determining
factor. Although, as we approach the end of the year, volumes will continue to
reduce as most of the big institutional traders will be on holiday.
Of course, I would not open any new sells at the current price levels. However,
in case EUR/USD spikes up to the resistance again, I will consider putting in
new sell trades.
#EURUSD: DXY will be dominate! this weekEURUSD will likely to drop due to strong sellers presence price bounced up on after FED decision led DXY to drop heavily. Due to a sudden price increase due to economic data, price left massive gaps in the market. It is very likely that before any further big move we can pick this intraday trade idea.
💡 EURUSD: Predicted December 18After approaching the target price range around the 1.1000 barrier, the price fell sharply in the past session, losing most of the previous session's gains and creating a rail pattern on the daily. This behavior shows that the price may peak at 1.1000. Expect the price to soon test the lower boundary of the down channel. However, those who want to reverse should wait after small rallies for a better entry if want to sell now.
EURUSD H1 / Looking for a SHORT Trade, see why ... 📊Hello Traders!
This is my perspective for EURUSD H1. At the moment, the Liquidity level was taken, next, we have a very important resistance level at the price of 1.09600, and also at the same level we can see an Order Block. In case of confirmation, I expect a bearish dominance until the price of 1.08100.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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EURUSD possible drop to support levelThe downward trend for EURUSD is anticipated to persist, having peaked at 1.10 last week before a rapid retreat.
The failure to breach this resistance level for the second time signals robust downward pressure against bullish movements. Although short-term corrections may occur in the upcoming week, the overall outlook favors a decline. The potential liquidity and turning point for EURUSD are projected to be around the 1.78 mark.
EURUSD Long Term Sell Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart EURUSD DAILY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURUSD analysis 👆
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This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Sold EUR/USD@1.0908, Possibility of 1.08. Anyone with me?Hello fellow traders! Similar to my trade ideas on GBP/USD and XAU/USD that
I published an hour ago, I have also sold EUR/USD because there is a lack
of a follow-through in EURUSD.
I believe EUR/USD will go the 1.08 level again. Selling EUR/USD@1.0910 with a
Stop loss above the resistance box and TP at 1.08 is potential sell trade.
EURUSD - Long after filling the imbalance ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for long. I wait price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block + institutional big figure 1.08000.
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