Euro Price analysis 19 May 2024Weekly: In the weekly chart the price is forming W-MSS+. So we could anticipate that the price will go up towards the level 1.09812.
Weekly Bias: Bulish
Daily: The price has formed D-MSS+ with D-FVG+. & the price has been Rejected form the D-FVG+. So the nearest target the price will go towards the D-BSL 1.08951 level.
Daily Bias: Bullish
H1: The price has been formed a H1-MSS+ from a D-FVG+ level. so its a clear sign of bullish movement of the price.
there are 2 Points that is good for opening a long position,
1. If the price touches the H1-FVG then a m15 Bullish Mss formed in this level then we can go for the long.
2. If the price touches the H4-BPR, then a m15 bullish mss formed then we can go for a long.
Eurusdbuy
Euro's Path Ahead: Short-Term Struggles, Long-Term Triumphs**Current Momentum and Market Sentiment:**
The EUR/USD pair is currently experiencing a challenging period, struggling to maintain bullish momentum. Despite a significant rally in recent months, the pair has recently faced resistance and corrective movements. The European Central Bank's (ECB) actions, including recent interest rate hikes and upward revisions to inflation forecasts, have supported the Euro, but market skepticism remains due to varying global economic conditions and the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on future rate hikes.
**Technical Analysis and Key Levels:**
The Euro is trading above its 20-year cycle support line, a critical historical level that previously led to a five-year rally after being broken in January 2003. The current price action, characterized by consistent volume buildup, suggests underlying strength. However, the momentum observed from January 2017 to late 2021 has been less stable, influenced heavily by the COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent economic measures.
For the short term, the EUR/USD is anticipated to continue facing volatility. The immediate resistance is noted around 1.1050, with support around 1.0800. A potential target by the end of 2024 is 1.169941, assuming stabilization in interest rates and continued economic recover.
### Long-Term Forecast (Next 2-5 Years)
**Macroeconomic Factors:**
Long-term prospects for the Euro will largely depend on several macroeconomic factors, including the ECB's monetary policy, inflation trends, and economic growth in the Eurozone. The structural reforms and fiscal policies adopted by member countries will also play a crucial role in shaping the currency's trajectory.
**Historical Context and Future Projections:**
Reflecting on the historical context, the Euro's previous rally post-2003 lasted five years until the 2008 financial crisis. Given the current economic landscape, a similar prolonged uptrend could emerge if global economic conditions stabilize and Eurozone economies demonstrate robust growth.
Over the next 2-5 years, the Euro might target higher levels, potentially reaching or exceeding the 1.2000 mark, driven by economic resilience and a balanced approach to monetary tightening by the ECB. However, this projection is contingent on the absence of significant geopolitical disruptions and a steady recovery from the pandemic-induced economic downturn.
### Conclusion
In summary, while the Euro shows potential for both short-term gains and long-term growth, it remains subject to market volatility and economic uncertainties. Investors should closely monitor ECB policies, global economic indicators, and geopolitical developments to make informed decisions. The anticipated stabilization of interest rates by the end of the year provides a cautiously optimistic outlook for the Euro, aiming for a target of 1.169941 by year-end and further growth in the following years.
EUR/USD +100 Pips 0 Drawdown , New Entry Valid After D Closure !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
🌟 EUR/USD Channel breakout ..BUY for further upside move🔥👉🏻EUR/USD has continued the bounce from 1.0725 that started last Thursday, and the pair is now re-testing the 200-day moving average.
👉🏻EUR/USD had previously tested the 200-dma as resistance on NFP Friday, which led to a pullback. But bulls held a higher-low at prior resistance of 1.0725 and that’s allowed for another re-test of the moving average.
👉🏻The big question now is how the USD and related pairs, especially EUR/USD, perform around the Wednesday release of CPI.
EUR/USD Gave 2 Hours Ago , +50 Pips 0 Drawdown , New Entry ValidThis Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
EUR/USD Giving Amazing Bullish P.A , Time To Get +200 Pips !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
💡 EURUSD: Analysis May 8After continuously creating bearish signals on the daily frame, around the upper border of the falling channel, the price began to fall again in the past session, the downward momentum is still continuing to be maintained this morning. The short positions are profitable, you continue to hold the position, the target will be around the 1.06xx threshold, keeping the SL above 1.08xxx.
EUR/USD Longs from 1.07400 up towards 1.08200EU shares a similar bias with GU, as they exhibit comparable movements. Therefore, I'll be focusing on potential buying opportunities this week, particularly from either the 6hr demand zone or the one just below it. Given the presence of an equal low beneath the initial demand, it wouldn't be surprising if this level is breached to reach the subsequent demand zone.
In the event that price doesn't reach these levels, I'll be monitoring for a wyckoff accumulation pattern to emerge. This would signal a buying opportunity, aiming for an upward move towards the major supply zone, mirroring GU's position. I anticipate this scenario unfolding around midweek, so we'll have to wait and see.
Confluences for EU Buys are as follow:
- Price has been bullish in the recent price action as you can see via the market structure.
- Two 6hr demand zones in close proximity has caused a break of structure to the upside.
- lots of liquidity in the form of equal highs above to target as liquidity.
- Unmitigated 2day supply that price needs to go towards.
- Dollar is also dropping so it makes sense with this bias. as they move opposite.
P.S. If price continues its upward movement, I'll identify a new demand area for potential buy positions. Alternatively, I'll wait for price to reach the supply zone to initiate sell trades from that point.
Lets catch these pips!
Technical Analysis: EURUSD potential Double Bottom EURUSD is looking quite bearish right now. Many of our Indicators are showing signs the price may continue to drop for a few days.
Our Sell Momentum has yet to end and our Momentum and Fear & Greed Index oscillators are only showing Bearish sell pressure on this current bar. This means that the price could pull back out of this dump and continue upwards; only time will tell. However, it’s not looking good in the short term.
EURUSD’s overall trend is downwards and it looks like it may test its current bottom quite soon. This could be a great thing for bullish price movement if it only touches the bottom pivot and doesn’t crash through; as it would signify a double bottom.
We will conclude with, EURUSD is looking quite bearish in the short term with strong bullish potential if the double bottom occurs.
EURUSD | MT Long H4 |Overly OversoldPair: FX:EURUSD
Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT)
Direction: Long
Technical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Oversold Conditions on D1, H4 and H1 time-frames
- Price action has some support trend-line holding it
- Horizontal trendline looks like a demand zone across the years
- Horizontal trendline (Red) is at the 1% Fib Extension Level
- Aiming for the 32.8% Fibo Retracement with 23.6% as the TP 1 level
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- EUR weakness has been mostly been pricing in the expectation that ECB will cut in June and diverge from the FED. Currently, priced in.
- Risk is further war escalation from the Israel-Iran tension
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 1.0620 - 1.0650
SL @ 1.0589
TP 1 @ 1.0698 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 1.0758
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.44 (Depending on Entry Level)
May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D
*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
EURUSD UPDATE LOOKING FOR BUY LONG
Hey team Hope you are Enjoying our ideas and Analysis. Today in Running Session we are Monitoring EURUSD For a Buying Opportunity Around 1.07068 , Once more Best Buying Area Around 1.06921. So Previous There is also a Breakout That we have Clearly Mentioned in Chart pattern . When we will Receive any Bullish Conformation the Trade Will be Excuted
Good Luck Guys 🤞👍
EURUSD TRADING SetupHello trader this is my eurusd trading setup
1/3 Risk reward
Strategy ; Intituional tactics
Rember Diligence patience emotional control is really important in this market
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wish you good luck and good trading
The eurozone sees lower inflation expectations for next yearThe ultra-modern patron expectancies survey from the European Central Bank (ECB) suggests that euro area purchasers have revised their inflation expectancies downward for the following twelve months due to the fact March. However , they expect that inflation will continue to be above the ECB`s goal over the lengthy time period.
According to survey consequences launched on Friday, purchasers now see inflation at 3.0% subsequent year, down barely from the 3.1% they expected a month ago. This marks the bottom expectancies due to the fact December 2021. Despite the decline, the anticipated inflation fee stays above the ECB's 2% goal.
In contrast, the survey confirmed the outlook for inflation over the following 3 years remained unchanged at 2.5% for the fourth instantly month. This stabilization took place withinside the context of a speedy decline in inflation during the last year.
The ECB, that is carefully tracking patron expectancies, is getting ready to reduce hobby prices in June. However, the longer-time period financial image is much less clear, with elements which includes growing electricity costs, consistently excessive offerings inflation and ongoing geopolitical tensions that might disrupt exchange contributing into uncertainty.
EURUSD BUY SCENARIOas of today I'm expecting to buy Eurusd,
if you go to your chart, weekly time frame is bullish, Daily time frame is bullish, so what i did is going to the lower time frame that is 1 hour, expecting to see it retracing before going high as the higher time frame suggests.
&
do not forget, Dollar index is bearish
eurusd day planGood morning! We continue to be in a short context on all timeframes. The aggressive Frankfurt opening also hints at the context, with all timeframes synchronized. It's also important not to forget that the current short movement has been going on for several days without any correctional moves. The scenario will be invalidated by a price close above 1.062
EUR/USD imminent Longs up towards 1.07000
This week's bias closely resembles that of GU, where I'm seeking buying opportunities towards a subsequent selling position. With price melting down and breaking structure to the downside, it has created numerous imbalances that need filling, prompting this bullish outlook.
I'll be patient, waiting for the accumulation phase to complete along with a confirmation of change of character (CHOCH) to enter buy positions aiming for the newly established 10-hour supply zone. Subsequently, I'll look to initiate sells to continue the bearish trend downward.
Confluences for EU Buys are as follows:
- Price left so many imbalances above that need to be filled.
- In order for price to continue the bearish trend price must pull back up.
- Price is currently inside a 18-hour demand zone with a good initial reaction.
- DXY is also near a good supply zone so could expect the dollar to drop a bit this week.
P.S. Given the Asian low within my zone, I wouldn't be surprised if price dips further to test a deeper demand area below. Nonetheless, these long positions are merely a temporary move to realign with the prevailing bearish trend.
Have a great trading week guys!