Eurusdbuy
EUR - LONG - Swing Trading*This is a risky trade since if it breaks support it can take us to very low levels, which is why an appropriate stop loss must be used.
We are in a support between 1.042 and 1.045 that is holding up very well until now. Now that time has passed, it seems we are close to breaking 1.05 and will remain there in the following days. It is necessary to give the trade time of around 6 to 14 days to reach the targets.
Targets:
T1: 1.059 - 1.060 (protect or take partial)
T2: 1.065 (close - 6 days)
T3: 1.080 (close - 14 days)
Bullish Catalysts for EUR/USDTechnical Analysis
Monthly Chart:
The weakening of the U.S. Dollar (DXY) creates a favorable environment for bullish movements in EUR/USD. On the monthly chart, the euro is positioned near a significant support zone that aligns with a strong buying area. With the dollar's liquidity grab above 107.348 signaling further downside potential, EUR/USD is well-positioned for upward momentum.
Daily Chart:
The daily chart confirms a strong bullish structure, with higher highs and higher lows indicating sustained upward pressure. The recent weakness in the DXY aligns with this bullish trend, reinforcing the potential for continued euro strength. This week's price action suggests buyers remain firmly in control, and the technical setup supports a move toward higher targets.
Fundamental Analysis
Impact of the U.S. Dollar Weakness:
The euro stands to benefit significantly from the current bearish outlook on the DXY. With the Federal Reserve showing hesitancy toward further rate cuts due to inflation concerns and strong labor market conditions, short-term volatility is likely. However, any signs of labor market weakening or inflation stability could lead to aggressive rate cuts, further weakening the dollar and supporting EUR/USD upside.
Key Catalysts:
This upcoming week, Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and unemployment rate data are expected to provide critical directional cues:
Expected Increase in Unemployment: If the unemployment rate increases as forecasted, this would add downward pressure on the DXY, fueling strong upside potential for EUR/USD.
Nonfarm Payroll Volatility: Regardless of the outcome, NFP data typically injects significant volatility into the market. Even in scenarios where unemployment data does not meet expectations, the euro could still reach key targets due to the strong technical bullish structure and high demand at monthly zones.
Summary and Outlook
Technical and Fundamental Alignment:
EUR/USD is in a prime position for further upside given:
The bearish outlook on the DXY, signaling continued weakness in the U.S. Dollar.
The bullish structure on the EUR/USD daily chart, which supports continued buying pressure.
Key catalysts this week, including unemployment and NFP data, which are likely to favor euro strength under expected scenarios.
Key Factors to Monitor:
The actual results of unemployment and payroll data.
Fed commentary and market sentiment on potential rate adjustments.
Any unexpected geopolitical or macroeconomic developments affecting the eurozone or the U.S.
Price Expectations:
Short-Term Target: The bullish structure supports a move toward a significant monthly resistance zone where strong buy-side liquidity resides.
Medium-to-Long-Term Target: If dollar weakness persists and unemployment increases, EUR/USD could see a strong bullish move extending beyond this resistance, possibly forming new highs.
With the DXY weakening and structural alignment in favor of the euro, buying EUR/USD remains a favorable strategy this week, supported by both technical and fundamental factors.
eurusd next move. fvgEUR/USD has taken out the monthly low liquidity. Now, we wait for the FVG to be hit. As you can see, there has already been a break of structure. The expectation is that EUR/USD will rise again toward 1.800. If you take this trade, it offers an easy 7.5 risk-to-reward (RR) ratio.
EURUSD Bullish ? Monthly FVG Reversal Setup to the UpsideBreaking down the EUR/USD setup:
Sell-Side Liquidity Raided:
Price has effectively taken out the sell-side liquidity (SSL) levels at 1.060 and 1.04482, creating the conditions for a reversal.
Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG):
Price has tapped into the monthly FVG and, more importantly, closed above it, signaling a possible bullish reversal.
Higher Timeframe Bias:
The monthly FVG holds strong as a bullish PD array. With price rejecting this range, there’s potential for a move toward the weekly buy-side liquidity (BSL) at 1.09387.
Obstacles to Watch:
Price is approaching two high-probability bearish FVGs on the weekly timeframe. These zones could cause re tracements back into the higher timeframe monthly FVG range.
Monitor these areas closely for signs of price respecting or disregarding these bearish zones.
Projection:
If price continues to disrespect the bearish FVGs and maintains bullish displacement, a continuation toward 1.09387 is likely.
Keep in mind retracements into the FVG range as healthy pullbacks during the move higher.
Conclusion:
This setup highlights a high-probability reversal scenario based on ICT concepts. However, as always, patience and confirmation are key—watch how price reacts to the bearish FVGs along the way.
Disclaimer: Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and trade responsibly.
Time to buy EURUSDThe EUR/USD pair is approaching daily range support, suggesting the potential for a bounce. A bullish RSI divergence on the daily chart strengthens the likelihood of an upward move.
Target 1 (TP1): 1.06645
Target 2 (TP2): 1.07686
Stop Loss: 1.04000
This setup highlights a favorable opportunity for long positions.
EURUSD trade setup battle:-Today Euro made 3 months low with also break previous low and holding side . There we can setup a loss free trade setup ::-
Euro have strong support levels @ 1.06000 .
So we have to build buy and sell both position at this time :-
First we have to buy and sell on same strike price with same quantity and hold for target 1.06000 $ than we exit from sell side we get our target and hold buy position for target 🎯 1.08000 level.
Stay tuned with me for more updates and follow me.
EURUSD 1.07813 -0.19% MULTI TF INTRADAY SET-UPHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at The EURUSD At the close of ASIA INTO THE LONDON, TO NY PM SESSION
- As we draw to the close of the week, looking for EU to close bullish In correlation with GU.
* on the 4H looking for a bearish open with the close of ASIAN SESSION.
* PO3
* Push LOWER before going for HIGHER structures LQ pull.
1 HOUR TF
* Looking for the mitigation of the bullish OB+.
* FVG below has already been mitigated.
* if this structure holds, looking for long entries to close the week.
* DXY 4H
* BASED on the price action served next session...
* We will see what does the market dish.
🤷♂️😉🐻📉🐮📈
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
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SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
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Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
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LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
Is a Trend Reversal Coming?OANDA:EURUSD
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
Current Price: 1.07962
Potential for a Bullish Reversal:
EUR/USD is showing strong signs of a possible bullish reversal across multiple timeframes, marked by key technical indicators:
• Breakout of Descending Channel Upper Trendline
• Weekly Major Support Zone
• Potential Double Bottom Formation
• Emerging Bullish Divergence
Descending Channel Breakout:
The price has broken above the descending channel’s upper trendline (highlighted in the red circle on the chart), turning this line into a weaker resistance zone.
Weekly Major Support Zone:
We anticipate that price may retest the major weekly support level at 1.07421. This zone could serve as a solid foundation for a double bottom formation, combined with a bullish divergence. If this occurs, it could present an optimal entry point for buyers.
Top of Trading Range:
Should price rally, the next significant resistance lies at the top of the trading range, around 1.08635. Given the strength of this resistance, we might see a pullback at this level before further movement upward.
Price Target:
Based on technical indicators and chart patterns, the final target stands around the psychological level of 1.10000.
Key Levels to Watch:
• Support: 1.07421
• Resistance: 1.08635
• Target: 1.10000
Stay tuned and happy trading!
Euro at the bottom of the channelOn the daily time frame, EURUSD reached the bottom of its ascending channel and we saw a temporary positive reaction from it. This reaction point, in addition to being the bottom of the ascending channel, was also an important order block in my daily time frame, which caused the price reaction. The medium-term target is the middle line of the channel.
EURUSD Reversal in Sight: Is a Bounce to 1.095 Next Or 1.05?In my last EURUSD trade post from August, we anticipated a strong sell-off from the 1.12 level (see related post). Price action has unfolded just as expected, with a sharp decline in recent weeks.
So, what’s next? Looking at the charts, a short-term correction toward 1.09500 could be on the horizon. Let’s break down the charts.
Starting with the Monthly charts, we can clearly see that EURUSD has been range-bound for nearly two years, fluctuating between 1.12 and 1.055.
Zooming into the weekly charts, the recent sell-off has driven the price deep into this range, reaching two key support levels: diagonal support and the August low, both highlighted in the image below.
However, we can’t start buying at these levels just yet. The next step is to zoom into the daily charts to check for any signs of momentum shifting.
On the daily charts, the downward move is clearly overextended, and the market is extremely oversold—my first clue that a potential buying opportunity may be approaching.
To confirm this analysis, I’ve zoomed into the 4-hour chart, and here I’m seeing divergence on the MACD, suggesting that sellers may be running out of steam.
My strategy for this setup is to wait for a break of the 4-hour trendline, then watch for the next correction downward. Once that happens, I’ll use my TRFX indicator and enter on the first 4-hour signal.
The target for this trade will be the 1.095 resistance level, as I expect buyers to re-enter here, potentially pushing the market back down to the bottom of the range.
Let me know your thoughts below!
Mon 21st Oct 2024 EUR/USD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a EUR/USD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
EUR/USD Pauses After Four-Day Slide as USD Rally EasesThe EUR/USD pair takes a breather on Friday, following a prolonged four-day losing streak, as the US Dollar's (USD) strong rally shows signs of slowing. The Euro attempts to stabilize after a tough week, with the pair hovering slightly higher, supported by a momentary pause in the USD’s upward momentum. Despite this pause, the outlook for the Greenback remains positive, particularly after Thursday’s encouraging US economic data, which continues to reinforce the idea of a resilient American economy.
USD Momentum Eases After Strong Economic Data
The US Dollar has experienced a robust run in recent weeks, driven by a strong economy and expectations of higher interest rates from the Federal Reserve. However, the rally took a pause on Friday, despite the release of better-than-expected US economic data. September’s Retail Sales increased by 0.4%, surpassing market forecasts, while the Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending October 11 came in lower than anticipated at 241,000, compared to an expected 260,000. These figures underscored the strength of the US labor market and consumer spending, further bolstering the Federal Reserve’s stance on maintaining elevated interest rates.
Even though the positive data continues to favor the USD, the currency’s upward trajectory has temporarily slowed, allowing the EUR/USD pair to consolidate after a sharp decline earlier in the week. This pause in the Greenback's rally offers the Euro some relief, though the broader trend remains USD-favorable in the near term.
Technical Outlook: EUR/USD Prepares for a Potential Rebound
From a technical standpoint, the EUR/USD pair is showing early signs of a potential bullish rebound. The pair has bounced from a critical demand area, suggesting that buying interest is emerging at these lower price levels. Furthermore, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals a significant divergence between retail and institutional sentiment. While retail traders remain predominantly bearish, large institutional investors—commonly referred to as "smart money"—have begun to increase their long positions on the Euro. This discrepancy in positioning could signal a reversal in market direction, potentially favoring the Euro in the near term.
Seasonality patterns also support a possible recovery in the EUR/USD, as historical data suggests that the Euro tends to perform well during this period of the year. Taken together, the technical indicators and seasonal trends point toward a possible bullish setup, where traders might look to enter long positions, anticipating further upside movement.
Conclusion: EUR/USD Seeks Stability as USD Rally Temporarily Stalls
The EUR/USD pair has found some much-needed support after several days of losses, as the relentless USD rally slows down following strong US economic data. Despite the positive fundamentals supporting the Greenback, technical indicators hint that the Euro may be on the verge of a recovery. The rebound from key demand levels, coupled with institutional long positioning and supportive seasonality, suggests that the EUR/USD could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders should remain vigilant, as the pair’s next move will depend on evolving market conditions and the upcoming data releases that could further influence the direction of both currencies.
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BUY EURUSD. Not on interest rate holds but Indicator Signals.
EURO zone held their interest rates on hold yesterday despite expectations of a rate cut for the zone.
On the charts and there are 3; weekly, daily, 4hr.
Weekly is a 38.2 fib price retracement to a buy zone and the continuation of higher prices.
Daily chart is a recent bounce from a Buy order block triggering long bets for EURUSD.
The 4HR chart is getting bullish reversal oversold signals on Stochastic's and RSI, which tend to be very reliable on 4HR charts and higher.