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Is the EUR/USD Recovery a Pullback Before a Bearish Move?The EUR/USD pair rebounded following the release of the weaker-than-expected US JOLTS Job Openings data, prompting questions about whether this is a potential opportunity to enter short positions. After an initial rebound from the Supply area, the EUR/USD pair recovered some ground on Wednesday, likely driven by the US labor data. However, this recovery could present a pullback, offering investors a chance to add to their positions in anticipation of a possible bearish scenario. Investors are now eagerly awaiting the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for August, scheduled for release on Friday. This official labor market data will be critical in shaping the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) path for interest rate cuts in September. While many investors believe that the Fed will begin reducing its key borrowing rates this month, there is still uncertainty regarding the size of the potential rate cut. From a Commitment of Traders (COT) perspective, we can observe that retail traders are heavily positioned on the long side of the EUR/USD, which often serves as a contrarian indicator. Additionally, seasonality data points to a likely drop in the EUR in the near term. Given this COT scenario and the broader market sentiment, we are maintaining our bearish outlook on the EUR/USD and see this pullback as an opportunity to consider short positions. With key data releases on the horizon, such as the NFP, traders should remain cautious but be prepared for further downside in the EUR/USD pair as market conditions evolve. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
5
EURO - Price can bounce down from pennant to $1.0950Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently price entered to pennant, where it at once bounced from support line to resistance line, breaking $1.0800 level. In this pattern, price made a gap, and later it bounced from resistance line and fell to support area, exiting from pennant. Next, EUR entered another pennant, where it at once started to grow to $1.1035 level, and exited from support area. When price reached this level, it broke it and rose to resistance line of pennant, but recently turned around and fell. Euro declined to resistance area, where continues to trades near support line of pennant, so, I think it can little grow. Then price can bounce down to $1.0950, exiting from pennant and breaking support level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
1
EUR/USD Faces Renewed Pressure as USD StrengthensThe EUR/USD pair has recently faced renewed downward pressure after reaching year-to-date (YTD) peaks beyond the 1.1200 level. This shift in momentum comes amid a resurgence in buying interest for the US Dollar (USD), which has dampened the pair's ability to sustain its upward trajectory. Several factors have contributed to the recent rebound in the US Dollar. Mixed data from advanced Purchasing Managers' Indexes (PMIs) in the euro area have weighed against the continuation of the EUR/USD pair's march northward. This economic data suggested that the eurozone's recovery may not be as robust as previously anticipated, adding to the uncertainty surrounding the EUR. Additionally, the European Central Bank (ECB) recently released its Accounts, revealing that policymakers saw no immediate need to lower interest rates last month. However, they warned that a new discussion on the matter could take place in September as high rates continue to impact economic growth in the region. From a technical perspective, the Euro has reached a strong supply area, as indicated by the EUR futures chart. This zone has acted as a significant barrier to further gains, and the pair’s inability to break above this level suggests the presence of substantial selling pressure. You can observe this technical resistance in the EUR futures chart on TradingView EUR Futures Chart Should the price manage to break through this supply zone, the next potential area for a reversal could be around the 1.3800 mark. However, this is contingent on several factors, including the broader economic landscape and the relative strength of the US Dollar. Looking ahead, the US economy is expected to outperform Europe in the long term, suggesting that any prolonged weakness in the Dollar might be temporary. The stronger economic fundamentals in the US, coupled with potential policy adjustments from the Federal Reserve, could provide additional support for the USD, thereby exerting further pressure on the EUR/USD pair. In conclusion, while the EUR/USD pair has shown some bullish tendencies in recent weeks, the combination of mixed economic data, technical resistance, and the potential for a stronger US Dollar suggests that the path forward could be challenging. Traders should keep a close eye on upcoming economic releases and central bank communications for further clues on the pair's direction. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
3
Euro can bounce of support level, leave wedge and rise to 1.1130Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. By observing the chart, we can see that the price rebounded down from the buyer zone and dropped, but soon turned around and started to grow inside the upward channel. In the channel, the price reached the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and broke it, and then it continued o to move up. When EUR reached the resistance line of the channel, which coincided with the resistance level and seller zone, the price turned around and started to decline. Euro exited from the channel and later entered to wedge, where it rebounded from the support line and rose higher than the 1.1160 level, breaking it. Price some time traded near and after reaching the resistance line started to decline. In a short time, the EUR broke the 1.1160 level one more time and fell to the 1.1050 support level. But recently it bounced up and now trades very close to the resistance line of the wedge. In my opinion, the Euro can rebound up from the support level and exit from the wedge, breaking the resistance line. Then it will continue to move up, therefore I set my TP at 1.1130 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
3
EURGBP Will the Support hold?Great signal out of the EURGBP pair last time we analyzed it (June 25, see chart below), as the price hit and even surpassed our 0.8550 Target: Following that High, the pair collapsed and is about to test Support 1, which technically is Lower Lows region for the long-term Channel Down. As long as the 1D RSI Higher Lows trend-line holds, we will look for a buy on Support 1 and target the 0.618 Fibonacci extension at 0.8530. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
EURUSD Long-term Sell Signal confirmed.The EURUSD pair confirmed with last week's closing the start of a new bearish sequence as it closed the 1W candle in deep red below even the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). This established not only the previous High as the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 11-month Channel Up but also posted an identical long-term Top sequence as the July 17 2023 weekly candle. As you can see on both tops a long-term series of red weeks was initiated, both of then stopping on the Higher Lows trend-line of the Channel Up. As a result, our 1.0900 medium-term bearish Target appears to be a modest one as it is where we anticipate the first wave of buyers (Support) on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) 1W MA100 (green trend-line) cluster. This may provide a bounce similar to February 12 2024. As a side-note, notice how the 1W RSI posted a similar rejection - reversal top on the 70.00 overbought barrier, same as July 10 2023. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
1
EURO - Price can exit from pennant and then start to move upHi guys, this is my update on a different timeframe for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some days ago price entered to falling channel, where it at once made a gap and then reached resistance line. Next, price fell to support line, breaking $1.0880 level, but soon EUR made upward impulse from this line. Price broke $1.0880 level and exited from falling channel, and continued to move up inside pennant. In pennant, price later reached $1.1075 level, broke it, and even rose a little higher than resistance area. But a not long time ago EUR fell to support line, breaking $1.10750 level again, and now continues trades close. In my mind, Euro can exit from pennant and then bounce up to $1.1150, breaking resistance level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
3
DXY - Looking to Big PictureWhen we look back, when Trump first came, Dxy showed a 5.5% increase, Dxy goes to 103.5. And Trump Dxy is too expensive, the dollar is too expensive, it should fall, the statements started. Then Dxy's 14% decrease went to 88.5. Now Dxy is around 102. I bought it directly as a fractal from August 15, 2016. If Dxy comes to around 104 until the election, the rapid increase with Trump's arrival corresponds to 110s. It has been an expected area for a long time and when Trump Dxy is at 110s, similarly, if the decrease starts with him saying the dollar is too expensive, it goes to 94s, fractal. Here, my hopes begin and I say that it is still expensive at those levels, we will go down to 86s. This means a 4-year never-ending mega bull. I applied the same fractal to the euro, and the much-anticipated 1.02s are here again. If I can get a fund, I will look for swing shorts at 1.12s. The fractal and events looked pretty good to me. It also fit the channel nicely. FX:EURUSD
TVC:DXY
by mooniron
EURO - Price can leave wedge and fall to support levelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently price rose higher than $1.1000 level but soon declined back, after which turned around and started to grow in channel. Inside channel, price broke $1.1000 level and reached later $1.1105 level, which broke soon too. After this, price reached resistance line of channel and then corrected $1.1105 level, exiting from rising channel. Next Euro bounced up to $1.12015 points and started to decline inside wedge, where it in a short time fell. Also, price broke $1.1105 level one more time and a not long time ago it EUR started to grow near support line. So, I think that Euro can reach resistance level and then bounce down to $1.1000 level, exiting from wedge. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
2
HelenP. I Euro will continue to decline, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Some time ago price declined to support 2, which coincided with the support zone, and some time traded near until it broke this level and fell to the trend line. Then EUR started to trades inside a wedge, where it rebounded from the trend line, which is the support line of this pattern, and rose to the resistance line, breaking support 2 one more time. Next, the price corrected the trend line, after which rose to the resistance line and then repeated this movement. Later Euro made an impulse up from the trend line and exited from the wedge pattern, broke support 1, and even rose a little higher than the resistance zone, but soon backed up. A not long time ago price rose from the resistance zone, after which at once turned around and dropped back. Now, I expect that EURUSD will make a small movement up and then continue to decline, breaking the trend line with the support level. Therefore I set my goal at 1.1015 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Short
by FirstNameHelen
1
EUR/USD on the Move - Eyes on the 1.17 Target!💶📈 EUR/USD on the Move - Eyes on the 1.17 Target! 🚀💥 Hey traders, it's time to look at one of the most traded pairs in the forex world: EUR/USD. This pair has been a fascinating ride, and now we are entering a pivotal moment once again. Since I shifted focus towards crypto and volatility, my forex trading has become more selective. Trading fewer times but with more patience has brought great results, and this approach has worked exceptionally well in recent months. 🔍 Key Insights: We had a perfect short at 1.232, riding it all the way down to parity. Not many believed we’d see EUR/USD drop to 1.00 or lower, but we anticipated it, and it played out as expected. The next major move was the reversal at parity, and we've been long since. With EUR/USD now reclaiming the 1.11 level, the charts are pointing towards a possible further move upwards. While there is a 35% chance of EUR/USD retesting 1.10, the majority of the indicators suggest continued support, and I’m looking at a target of 1.17. I had great success focusing on USD/JPY shorts, but now it’s time to re-enter EUR/USD, which has been a phenomenal trade from 0.97 to 1.12. I’m considering increasing my positions, with eyes on that 1.17 target. Don’t forget to check my recent DXY (Dollar Index) post, as these markets are closely connected and tell a similar story. Also, keep an eye on Bitcoin—I believe it’s going to make headline news soon! One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Long
by FX_Professor
1
Euro can drop to 1.1100 points, thereby exiting from wedgeHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see that the price a few moments ago entered to range and dropped from the support level, which coincided with the support area to the buyer zone. When the EUR fell to this area, it some time traded very close to the bottom part of the range and later rebounded up to the support level. Also, inside the range, the price formed three gaps, and on the third gap, the Euro exited from range, entered to wedge, and dropped to support line of this pattern. Later price turned around and started to grow, after which in a short time rose higher than the 1.0900 level, breaking it finally and then made a retest. After this price rebounded from the support line of the wedge and rose to the resistance line, but a not long time ago EUR rolled down from this line. At the moment, I think that the price can rise almost to the resistance line of the wedge and then drop, thereby exiting from the wedge. For this case, I set my TP at 1.1100 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
EURO - Price can little fall and then continue rise in channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some days ago price broke $1.0785 level and entered a flat, where it soon made a gap and reached the top part. Next, price turned around and declined to $1.0785 level, after which bounced and started to grow in rising channel. Also, EUR left flat, and in channel, it soon reached $1.0980 level, but at once made correction movement. Then price bounced up from support line of channel, breaking $1.0980 level, and rose almost to resistance line. But price made little correction and now continues to move up inside rising channel, so, I think it can little decline. After this, Euro can turn around and continue to move up to $1.1290 inside rising channel. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
3
EurUsd → so bullishhello guys. let's dive into eurusd Breaking the Channel: The price has broken out of a previous channel, which suggests a potential bullish momentum continuation. This breakout is marked as a significant event that has shifted the trend. The Last High Broken: The chart indicates that the last significant high around the $1.1169 level was broken. This breakout above the previous high is a strong bullish signal, suggesting further upward potential. Internal Trendline: There’s an internal trendline within the broader trend that could act as support if the price pulls back. The price might retest this trendline before moving higher. Potential Bullish Move: After breaking the last high, the price may retrace slightly to retest the breakout level or the internal trendline, before continuing its upward move. The next potential target appears to be in the region of $1.1300, where the price may find the next significant resistance. Current Price Action: The price is currently hovering around $1.1166, slightly above the previous resistance, which now acts as support. This area will be critical in determining if the price continues its bullish trajectory or pulls back for a deeper retest. This analysis underscores a bullish outlook for the EUR/USD pair, emphasizing the importance of the broken resistance level and the potential for further gains if the trend continues. Traders should watch for a retest of the breakout level to confirm the strength of the move. ___________________________ ✓✓✓ Always do your research. ❒❒❒ If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below, and I will answer them. ❤︎ ❤︎ ❤︎And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comment
Long
by melikatrader94
1
EURUSD approaches mother of all Resistances from the 2008 crisisThe EURUSD pair broke through all major medium-term Resistance levels, with the latest being the 1W MA200, but is now facing perhaps the most important Resistance of all. That is the Lower Highs trend-line, that started during the height of the 2008 U.S. Housing Crisis on July 2008. As you can see on this 1M time-frame, this Resistance is technically the top of the 19-year Falling Wedge pattern, which encompasses different cycles of foreign exchange price action, such as the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line) turning from a multi-year Support to multi-year Resistance etc. The presence of the 1M MA100 (green trend-line) adds more selling pressure to the current Resistance cluster, which had the last major long-term rejection on July 2023 and before that on February 2018 (along with the 1M MA200 that time). Ideally, the sell signal will get strengthened if the 1M RSI gets rejected on its 15-year Resistance Zone. As a result, a rejection within the multi-year Falling Wedge, will most likely see EURUSD test the Symmetrical Support Zone (blue), which only broke once during the recent 2022 Inflation Crisis. If however the price closes a 1M candle above the Lower Highs of the Wedge, we will turn bullish long-term towards the 1M MA200, aiming at around 1.2000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
1
Euro H4 | Potential bullish bounceThe Euro (EUR/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 1.1149 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 1.1088 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 1.1221 which is a level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
HelenP. I Euro can make small movement up and then start fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Some days ago price reached the support zone, which coincided with support 2 inside the upward channel, and after a small correction, it broke this level. Also, the price made a gap, after which rose to the resistance line, making a second gap and later corrected to support 2. After this movement, the Euro turned around and rebounded up from the trend line to support 1, but at once fell back to the trend line, thereby exiting from the channel as well. Price some time traded near the trend line and then made impulse up from this line to 1.1200 points, thereby breaking support 1, which coincided with one more support zone. Now, I expect that EURUSD will make one more movement up and then drop to the trend line. That's why I set my goal at 1.1120 points, which coincides with the trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Short
by FirstNameHelen
1
Euro can rebound up from buyer zone to 1.1190 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Looking at the chart, we can see how the price hit the support level, broke through it, but then quickly turned around and dropped to the lower part of the range. After that, the EUR reversed and bounced back up to the 1.0960 level, broke it again, exiting the range, and then climbed to the resistance line. The price then reversed and made a correction move to the support line, after which it started to rise near this line to the current support level. When the Euro reached this level, it broke through and kept rising until it hit the resistance line, but not long ago it turned around and made a correction move to the buyer zone. Right now, the price is trading near this zone, and I think the EUR might drop to the buyer zone before rebounding up. So, that's why I set my TP at 1.1190 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
5