EURCHF Sell to 0.95000 (update)Technical Commentary:
Price has successfully rejected 0.98200 as forecasted and has create a new swing high and a new swing low at it breaks 0.97000.
Was able to enter a long term swing after initial rejections of 0.98200 with a generous stop loss at next break of structure.
Also able to enter a sale-in short position after intra-day bullish structure was broken via a break and retest set up.
All stops are now rolled to breakeven.
Will seek for more scale-in opportunities.
Fundamentals:
EUR: To continue facing energy crisis heading into winter, political instability, lack of market confidence on TPI
CHF: To act as a safe-haven currency in the Eurozone as they head into more difficulties, SNB starting to become more hawkish by the day bringing rates above negative
More fundamentals on weekly commentary paper for only $19 per month
What do you think of EURCHF? Where would you have entered?
Eurchfanalysis
EURCHF: No end in sight for bear run!EURCHF
Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 0.9759 (stop at 0.9781)
Daily signals are bearish. There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end. A break of the recent low at 0.9760 should result in a further move lower. Bespoke support is located at 0.9760.
Our profit targets will be 0.9703 and 0.9693
Resistance: 0.9800 / 0.9820 / 0.9840
Support: 0.9780 / 0.9760 / 0.9740
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
EURCHF Short (SWING)Fundamentals:
EUR - continue to have energy crisis & poor monetary policies in controlling inflation
CHF - starting to bring rates above negative territory, safe-haven currency capitalizing of eurozone weaknesses
*More fundamentals in weekly commentary paper for Ace Traders Club members
Technicals
Break and retest of 0.98 key area
Bearish trend still valid via lack of impulse upside moves (characteristics of a pullbacl)
*More fundamentals in weekly commentary paper for Ace Traders Club members
EURCHF is in sell area!!EURCHF has formed a double top with a strong bearish engulfing on an important level of resistance. The long-term trend is bearish and it is a high probability that the price will continue to drop from its pattern to resume its long-term downtrend.
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Is the EUR/CHF overbought or oversold?The EUR/CHF pair is currently in between the key levels around 0.97000–0.97900. We might see a bounce from here up to the next resistance of 0.99500 and even up to the 1.00500 level, in confluence with the 50 MA.
However, the overall trend for the EUR/CHF is seemingly bearish, and we could potentially see a revisit to the key resistances below 0.97000.
One strategy traders might consider is to try to catch the minor downside price action in the smaller timeframes rather than shorting the whole way down.
To implement this strategy, traders might want to look for overbought and oversold zones in the RSI and the CCI (Commodity Channel Index) which can indicate trend reversals.
The CCI is an oscillating indicator which measures the price difference between an instrument’s current price and its moving average (MA) and the standard deviation of the moving average. The CCI settings used in the above chart makes use of a 20-candlestick time period, which is a standard time frame for the CCI. The periods of 30 and 40 are also frequently employed in the CCI since they produce a less volatile indicator of price movements.
The CCI can be used to spot overbought and oversold conditions which is why it can be paired with the RSI for confirmation of this condition. Typically, the CCI is an ideal indicator for predicting the next swing as it registers faster than the RSI and divergences are more easily spotted. Initially, you would want to find divergences between the price action and the CCI, with the RSI used for the final confirmation.
At its current price, after knocking off the 0.97000 support level, the CCI is pointing to the EUR/CHF being in a highly overbought condition. This perspective is in the 4-hour time frame. The RSI is a little less adamant on this note, so entering a short position might be too early.
⁉️ EURCHF - Market AnalysisHello traders!
⁉️This is my analysis on EURCHF .
Here we are in a bearish market structure, so I am looking only for shorts. I expect a retracement to fill the imbalances above after the price reject exactly from institutional big figure 0.97000.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
EURCHF - Where are the sore spots of the SNB?The SNB delievered a real game changer in the last week and hiked its rate by 0,50%. The whole market got catched on the wrong foot and the EURCHF dropped immediatly by more than 200 Pips.
So whats next for the franc?
The SNB explained that they could intervene now from both sides.
So they could either slow a appreciating CHF (as they did many times) or they could also slow a depreciating CHF by selling their huge FX reserves (that was new and unexpected by the market)
My guess is that their 1st level on the downside would be the 1.0000 level (-> round number and psychological level)
Their level on the upside could be 1.05 as the EURCHF dropped strongly 2 times in the last weeks from this level without any news or data to support this rapid weakening.
Maybe it was the SNB already with their feet on the brakes? Again I'm just guessing here and I will have a close look on the SNB data in the next weeks to verify this thesis.
So a range in the EURCHF between 1.00 and 1.05 could be plausible.
What could be the points to break this range?
1. Inflation in Switzerland would need to drop significantly to give the SNB more room to breathe (upside pressure for the EURCHF)
2. ECB would need to become more dovish (downside pressure for the EURCHF)
3. sudden positive news from the Ukraine conflict (huge upside for EURCHF possible)
(4. Of course a further slowing in the world or european economy would also lead to downside pressure for the EURCHF)
Jamie Gun2Head Idea - Selling EURCHFTrade Idea: Selling EURCHF
Reasoning: Rejection wicks everywhere, lets get back down to 2015 lows.
Entry Level: 0.9784
Take Profit Level: 0.9651
Stop Loss: 0.9811
Risk/Reward: 4.93:1
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Best Place To Can Buy EUR/CHF , Very Strong Historical Place This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
EURCHF time for a long ⬆️EURCHF long trade in progress.
Reversal trade identified.
Working 30M chart.
Trade details can be found on the chart in green label.
Trade box is tracking the trade.
Let's see where this trade finishes up.
Thanks for looking
Fancy knowing how I identified this trade you know what to do.
Darren🙌
EUR/CHF Running In 40 Pips 0 Drawdown As Usual, Daily UpdateThis Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
EUR/CHF Full Analysis , The Best Areas To Can Buy After ConfirmThis Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
EURCHF stuck in range and may go higher Hi everyone in the TradingView community. I am Rana Sarmad I like to share and talk about trading strategies. If you are a member of my subscribers list and like my ideas, please don't hesitate to let me know by hitting that Like button and growing my notification count!
We are going to discuss about FX:EURCHF
We can see market is strugling near its previous resistance and currently standing near its a strong support in h1 Support level .
So we are expecting more rise near Trendline.
This is my opinion, I really hope this will be useful for you.
This is not a financial advice. Always take trade at your own risk,
Be ready and take care your money. Have a great profit !
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EURCHF:No end in sight for Euro-bashingEURCHF
Intraday - We look to Sell at 0.9909 (stop at 0.9931)
The weaker Euro has affected performance. There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end. Our short term bias remains negative. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Bespoke resistance is located at 0.9910.
Our profit targets will be 0.9854 and 0.9844
Resistance: 0.9880 / 0.9910 / 0.9950
Support: 0.9850 / 0.9830 / 0.9800
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’) . Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
LONG EURCHF - SWING TRADELONG EURCHF @ 0.9885
TP @ 1.0124
SL @ 0.98
EUR has been under extreme pressure in the last few weeks mainly due to dollar strength in the market. Instead of betting against the dollar I have decided to pivot into buying EURCHF at recent lows. I think we may start to see a FED slow down in their hiking cycle and ramp up in the ECB hawkishness. I do not expect CHF to strengthen much from here.
Good luck :)
EURCHF: Euro getting bashed!EURCHF
Intraday - We look to Sell at 0.9976 (stop at 0.9998)
The weaker Euro has affected performance. There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end. 50 1hour EMA is at 0.9976. Our outlook is bearish. We look for a temporary move higher.
Our profit targets will be 0.9922 and 0.9912
Resistance: 0.9945 / 0.9960 / 0.9980
Support: 0.9920 / 0.9900 / 0.9880
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
EURCHF key reversal bar probability accumulating for rising#euchchf, 30th June daily bar is key reversal bar, price need to hold 0.9950-30 support area for bullishness. initial resistance/target 1.0060 then 1.0110. Need patience for this trade, after key reversal price will take time to build energy for rising prices.
Swiss franc reaches parity with euro: 0.98 next? The euro-Swiss franc ( EUR/CHF ) exchange rate is in the spotlight today as the pair returned to hit parity for the second time since early March.
The eurozone's worsening economic outlook continues to push ( EUR/CHF ) lower, and the market appears to be giving more credit to the Swiss National Bank's (SNB) ability to continue rising rates to curb inflation.
Yesterday, GfK's consumer confidence index for Germany predicted a drop from -26.0 to -27.4 in July, a new series low, while today German inflation in June jumped to 7.6% year on year (y/y), albeit to a lesser extent than anticipated (8% y/y).
However, the beginning of the euro's bearish phase versus the franc was triggered by the SNB's unexpected half-percentage-point increase in interest rates on June 14, when the market expected rates to remain unchanged.
It was the SNB's first rate rise since 2007, after maintaining the rate at a record low of -0.75 percent since 2015, and it signalled a significant shift in monetary policy. It also communicated to the market that the SNB is ahead of the ECB in terms of rate hikes. SNB Chairman Thomas Jordan stated that more monetary policy tightening will be required to return inflation to the central bank's objective of 2%.
This made the franc the best-performing major currency in June, appreciating versus the greenback ( USD/CHF ) as well.
Technically speaking, the EUR/CHF pair entered oversold territory as the 14-day relative strength index (RSI) dropped below the 30 level mark. The MACD indicator is not signalling a bottoming out.
This fresh drop to parity level in EUR/CHF does neither reflect a bullish divergence, as the RSI is updating new lows simultaneously with prices, nor a bullish reversal after a double bottom, since the neckline technical figure is absent in the chart.
The next EUR/CHF support level is now at 0.98, which was reached at the end of January 2015.
Idea written by Piero Cingari, forex and commodities analyst at Capital.com
EURCHF: Sell rallies!EURCHF
Intraday - We look to Sell at 1.0169 (stop at 1.0192)
Daily signals are bearish. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. 50 4hour EMA is at 1.0172.
Our profit targets will be 1.0111 and 1.0101
Resistance: 1.0120 / 1.0150 / 1.0170
Support: 1.0100 / 1.0050 / 1.0000
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.