Ethereum price poised to skyrocket 41% to $1,800
Ethereum has broken above the hypotenuse of an ascending triangle, adding credibility to the upswing.
ETH/USD will validate the expected breakout to $1,800 on trading above the current yearly high at $1,800.
Ethereum is in the middle of a fresh rally to $1,800 after taking back several key levels including the 50 Simple Moving Average on the 4-hour chart and $1,200. The pioneer altcoin eyes a new all-time high at $1,800 after rising above $1,300. Trading above $1,350 (current 2021 high) will validate the anticipated uptrend to $1,800.
In the meantime, Ether is trading at $1,300 after breaking above the x-axis of an ascending triangle pattern. The flagship altcoin has endured a prolonged consolidation period that began the mid-last week. While its price has made a series of higher lows since then, the $1,300 resistance level continued to reject Bitcoin from advancing further.
Such market behavior led to the formation of the ascending triangle on Ethereum’s 4-hour chart. A horizontal line can be drawn along with the swing highs while a rising trendline created along with the higher lows.
A recent spike in the buying pressure behind the pioneer cryptocurrency has allowed it to break the overhead resistance. For now, it could shoot up by 41%% based on the ascending triangle formation. This target is determined by measuring the distance between the two highest points of the triangle and extrapolating the margin from the breakout point.
The Relative Strength Index seems to have validated uptrend after breaking out from the leveling motion around the midline line. The indicator is heading into the overbought area, as the sellers’ grip becomes stronger. Trading volume is also rising as investors increase their positions in Ethereum in anticipation of gains toward $1,800.
Ethereum intraday levels
Spot rate: $1,330
Relative change: 70
Percentage change: 5.6%
Trend: Bullish
Volatility: High
Ethereumlong
ETHEREUM - New ATH before shorting big on February 8th? Why?
Because CME Group to Launch Ether Futures on February 8, 2021
Will share more with you all before time. Maybe find the hint on this previous video about Bitcoin, the city of Chicago, the bears and bulls. (from 0:45 to 4:00 mins you will find the hint, it's loud and clear)
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/17Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me!
Also check out my daily post on Bitcoin!
MARKET OVERVIEW
Price Action: ETH rallied to a high of $1298 and has just now broken down below the 200MAs. Price needs to reclaim 200MAs in order to continue bullish momentum.
Chart Patterns: No Patterns
Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the 61.8Fib @ $1157 and the highs at $1298. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time.
TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES
2021/01/11: We had losing trade! We entered a long @ $1024.8, with Stop Loss @ $971, which was hit.
2021/01/10: We had winning trade! We entered a long @ $1283, with Stop Loss @ $1247, and price reached a high of $1325, giving a risk reward ratio of 1:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1BTC.
2021/ 01 /07: We had two winning trades! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC.
TRADE SETUPS
Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal.
Long Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (61.8Fib)
To open a long position, we are waiting for price to retrace down to test the 61.8Fib and then continue moving up.
Trade Entry Confirmation:
1. Price Action: Price needs to move back down to the 61.8Fib @ $1157 and bounce back up.
2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern
3. Volume: Above average volume on entry candle
4. MACD: MACD histogram bottoming out
Long Trade Setup #2: Breakout and Continuation
To open a long position, we are waiting for price to create a new high, move back down to test previous resistance as support and then bounce back up.
Trade Entry Confirmation:
1. Price Action: Price breaks above and falls back down below $1298 and bounce back up.
2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern
3. Volume: Above average volume signal candle
4. MACD: MACD bottoming out
Short Trade Setup #1: False Breakout
To open a short position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal resistance and then fall back down.
Trade Entry Confirmation:
1. Price Action: Price breaks above and then falls below the high of $1298, forming a bull trap
2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakout candlestick followed by a breakdown candlestick
3. Volume: Above average volume on both breakout candle and breakdown candle
4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out
ENTRY SIGNAL TYPES
Trade calls will be separated into two categories, official and unofficial. The reason for the distinction is that official entry calls are only for high probability trade setups whereas unofficial calls might have slightly lower probability of winning but positive net profitability due to high risk reward. As I see a lot of traders, do not practice proper risk management and position sizing, I want to protect them from the second type of trades. At the same time, I know there are more sophisticated traders who can take advantage of both types of calls. So this is the solution that I’ve come up with, which is to separate the two trade types into two types of entry calls. Official entry calls will come with detailed entry, stop loss and take profit levels, whereas unofficial trade entries might or might not and will rely a little bit more on the trader themselves to manage the trade. This is one way to distinguish the more experienced traders from the newer ones. If you are unable to enter an unofficial trade entry without those details, then it means that you shouldn’t be taking those trades and should stick only to the official trades.
1. Official entry calls will be posted using “trading active” post type.
2. Unofficial entry calls are potential good trading opportunities that will be posted using “comments” post type.
ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS
Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management.
TRADE MANAGEMENT
I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal.
Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks.
Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with.
RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING
Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk.
HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS
Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily:
1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself.
2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time.
DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR.
Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks!
Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together!
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/16Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me!
Also check out my daily post on Bitcoin!
MARKET OVERVIEW
Price Action: ETH rallied to a high of $1257 before having a flash crash to $1045, and is now trading in the middle of the range @ ~$1150.
Chart Patterns: No Patterns
Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the 61.8Fib @ $1045 and the highs at $1257. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time.
TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES
2021/01/11: We had losing trade! We entered a long @ $1024.8, with Stop Loss @ $971, which was hit.
2021/01/10: We had winning trade! We entered a long @ $1283, with Stop Loss @ $1247, and price reached a high of $1325, giving a risk reward ratio of 1:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1BTC.
2021/ 01 /07: We had two winning trades! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC.
TRADE SETUPS
Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal.
Long Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (61.8Fib)
To open a long position, we are waiting for price to retrace down to test the 61.8Fib and then continue moving up.
Trade Entry Confirmation:
1. Price Action: Price needs to move back down to the 61.8Fib @ $1045 and bounce back up.
2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern
3. Volume: Above average volume on entry candle
4. MACD: MACD histogram bottoming out
Long Trade Setup #2: Breakout and Continuation
To open a long position, we are waiting for price to create a new high, move back down to test previous resistance as support and then bounce back up.
Trade Entry Confirmation:
1. Price Action: Price breaks above and falls back down below $1257 and bounce back up.
2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern
3. Volume: Above average volume signal candle
4. MACD: MACD bottoming out
Short Trade Setup #1: False Breakout
To open a short position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal resistance and then fall back down.
Trade Entry Confirmation:
1. Price Action: Price breaks above and then falls below the high of $1257, forming a bull trap
2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakout candlestick followed by a breakdown candlestick
3. Volume: Above average volume on both breakout candle and breakdown candle
4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out
ENTRY SIGNAL TYPES
Trade calls will be separated into two categories, official and unofficial. The reason for the distinction is that official entry calls are only for high probability trade setups whereas unofficial calls might have slightly lower probability of winning but positive net profitability due to high risk reward. As I see a lot of traders, do not practice proper risk management and position sizing, I want to protect them from the second type of trades. At the same time, I know there are more sophisticated traders who can take advantage of both types of calls. So this is the solution that I’ve come up with, which is to separate the two trade types into two types of entry calls. Official entry calls will come with detailed entry, stop loss and take profit levels, whereas unofficial trade entries might or might not and will rely a little bit more on the trader themselves to manage the trade. This is one way to distinguish the more experienced traders from the newer ones. If you are unable to enter an unofficial trade entry without those details, then it means that you shouldn’t be taking those trades and should stick only to the official trades.
1. Official entry calls will be posted using “trading active” post type.
2. Unofficial entry calls are potential good trading opportunities that will be posted using “comments” post type.
ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS
Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management.
TRADE MANAGEMENT
I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal.
Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks.
Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with.
RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING
Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk.
HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS
Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily:
1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself.
2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time.
DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR.
Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks!
Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together!
ETH|USD may continue Bullish in this Ascending TriangleEthereum has been showing strength by strength, will the bullish momentum continue throughout this day as we form an ascending triangle. This pattern is a bullish pattern based on the higher lows we've been seeing.
Use risk management and trade safely, I am a strong believer in Ethereum and there is no reason for me to be bearish on a long term even if this doesn't play out bullish.
If bitcoin reaches 40k again I can expect this scenario to become more likely.
ETH completing another setup to turn more bullish in long termThe importance of SMA 7 and 25:
The previous rally of 2017 ended when on the weekly chart, the simple moving average 7 crossed down the SMA 25. This time sofar the price action is retesting, again and again, the SMA 7 and did not break down it sofar.
Critical resistance and Cup & Handle Formation:
On the long-term weekly chart, the price action is in a critical resistance zone which starts from $1200 and ends at $1600. Here the price action has found the resistance of Cup and Handle pattern at $1200. And retraced almost up to 0.382 Fibonacci level to complete the handle of Cup.
Attempting breakout resistance in the Bitcoin market:
On the Ethereum with Bitcoin pair’s weekly chart, the price action of Ethereum has formed a strong uptrend line support. And now trying to break out the 25 simple moving average resistance.
Conclusion:
If the price action will break out the 25 simple moving average resistance in the Bitcoin market. Then it can turn more bullish against Bitcoin and a very strong bull run can be seen in the US Dollar market as well.
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Is Ethereum going to start OUTPERFORMING Bitcoin?Ethereum is attempting to break out of descending trend vs. Bitcoin which started in 2018.
If successful, I can see Ethereum going to 10% of Bitcoin value in the Q1 of 2022, while at the same time I think that $100,000 BTC by the end of 2021 is very conservative view - IF bullish sentiment continues.
Then we could see ETH at least 10,000 - My personal opinion is that $ETH is going to be somewhere in-between $25,000 - $33,000.
Not a trading advice.
The Ethereum Dilemma.Prices trading near a horizontal level are always my favorite positions to discuss. Here, we can consider two great opportunities with good risk reward. Entering near a horizontal area ALWAYS gives great risk-reward, which is why you'll see me often talking about those.
The first and most obvious trade here is a long trade upon the breakout. However, we have already seen a breakout here with two wicks slightly above the resistance and the price did not manage to pull through.
The second trade idea would be a short trade on the reversal near the resistance, assuming it would hold. This would be a great idea too, yet risky as the price is in a clear uptrend and the entire market is in an uptrend right now.
That's why in this case I suggest waiting for confirmation before entering a position. If it clearly breaks out upwards go in with a long trade, if it clearly moves downards again go in with a short trade.
However, to make things complicated. I don't see the volume and volatility either to go all the way to the all time high right now or back to the $1000 level. That's I would suggest to keep this trade small for now and trade towards the smaller horizontal zones.
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Disclaimer!
This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only!
ETH Has Formed A Massive Cup & Handle - Possible $2K TargetSo after the ascending triangle breakdown we still have hope for a spectacular move up for ETH. If you zoom out to the weekly time frame you will notice that a GIANT cup and handle pattern has formed. We just experienced a classic 30% correction forming the handle portion.
Macro target for profit taking is just above $2K as this will be a quick move over the coming days, as I see a $450B-$470B market cap for Alts incoming. Of course we will have to monitor BTC just to make sure it doesn't spoil the fun; however I see BTC hitting $46-$47K over the next 4-5 days.
Remember this is only my formed analysis outlook. This is not an endorsement or recommendation to buy or sell.
ETH Right On Track For $2500ETH looks like its playing out a classic head and shoulders , my target would be close to the local top we put just under ATH .
ETH pullback was clear as when BTC approached its all time high we also pulled back and consolidated for a while. We are in a raging bull market but dont forget, nothing just keeps going up. Low leverage and you should be able to sleep through these drops.
BTC ATH pullback (-20%):
ETH ATH pullback (-33%)
Notice how ETH reacted with the major support after that large drop, can it drop more? Sure can, but I took some positions and I am ready for it to go lower and will add! When BTC broke its ATH in 2017 and just recently we did over 100% move. If ETH follows suit, I will be cashing out.... I mean we are in a bull market. This aint financial advice
ETH - Potential Cup & Handle FormingHope you enjoy my analysis.
I believe we are seeing a multi-week cup & handle forming on the weekly chart.
There's a chance for more downside (forming on the handle, to complete the continuation pattern), before moving upwards towards 1400 (previous All time High and resistance area).
Next area of interest would be ~1700$
"As a stock forming this pattern tests old highs, it is likely to incur selling pressure from investors who previously bought at those levels; selling pressure is likely to make price consolidate with a tendency toward a downtrend trend for a period of four days to four weeks, before advancing higher. A cup and handle is considered a bullish continuation pattern and is used to identify buying opportunities."
ETH price TARGET revision + where to GET INEthereum is going down like crazy. Yeah, it was overbought, and yes, the previous rise was massive, but I understand that many buyers just wanted to be IN. So if you bought it higher, and now you need to dilute your position, I can show you some levels to enter into ETH.
Despite this massive fall, we are still bullish, but... It does not mean that we can't go lower. If you are prepared to BUY, save some cash for lover levels.
Here you have levels for LONG positions:
$939
$905
$853
$831
$805