Ethereum Value Slashes by 99%Though this episode of crypto winter is very soon due to be a thing of the past, just a regular seasons do, it will come around again! Considering the all-time structure of Ethereum's price chart, I believe the next crypto winter will be especially bad for Ethereum.
While many altcoins are due for very sizeable runs (100x - 500x and more) over the next couple of years, I think Ethereum will top out near the $6000 mark, giving it a 3.6X push from current price levels. Beyond this, there is great chance that the sloping formation begins to drastically slip. Despite completing 2 sizeable five-swing moves and a correction between the two, its unlikely that this equates to a truly impulsive formation being developed.
The tell-tale sign for me is the extreme shallow correction that we see in the boxed area. Some would classify this as Wave 2 but I'm more inclined to believe it to be a Wave B instead. While it is possible for Wave 2 to find support/terminate near the 0.38 fib level, it is quite rare and even when it does, generally it still makes a return to the previous sub-wave 4. In this case of Ethereum this has not manifested.
If not in an impulsive wave, as the price action suggests, there are 2 options as to how this could play out:
1 - it Luna bombs and eventually makes new all-time lows.
2 - it drops to 0.618 - 0.89 fib levels (compared to the size of Waves A and C combined) and finds support there before resuming upside.
With this in mind, support at/near $20 is the very best outlook for Ethereum's mid-term future. From $6K-$7K, this would equate to a massive 99% drop and this is a very perfect reason why its important to study and understand the science of price action. The last macro crypto pattern I've seen resemble this form was Luna. I thought it would find support at $1.50 but instead it dropped to $0.0000. My Luna prediction was shared well before the drop came. We will see in the years ahead if Ethereum follows suit or if bulls make a stand.
Until next time, stay safe and don't drown. Peace!
