ETHEREUM - Is Now In A Bear Market...This video serves as a lead-up to the next major Bitcoin update.
It’s designed to emphasize that the crypto market has generally been in a bear market since 2018. I say "generally" because the charts show some variation—Ethereum, for instance, only entered its bear market in 2022.
In this video, I’ll explain the "how" and "why" using AriasWave, a method I developed to address the shortcomings of Elliott Wave theory.
Unlike Elliott Wave, AriasWave provides a deeper understanding of the true nature of corrective patterns.
Ethereum (Cryptocurrency)
Etherium on high time frame
I would like to discuss Ethereum in the high timeframe. As you can see on my chart, the $4,200 level is a critical zone. Previously, the price has rejected this level three times, making it a mitigated level. When the price approaches this level again, I will closely observe the candle formations. If the price breaks through this level strongly, the next target could be $10,000.
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If you have any specific areas you want to improve or further questions, feel free to ask!
ETHUSD - Monthly RSI Ready to Extend Ethereum's Monthly RSI compared to BTC's shows a non extended state and I expect the RSI to move up towards the green circle.
I think a lot of money will flow from BTC's large current move into smaller coins, the largest of the smaller ones being ETHUSD.
ETH will lead the altcoin market run.
Bullish
Monthly chart
Alikze »» ETH | Supercycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1W🔍 Technical analysis: Supercycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1W
🟢 BINANCE:ETHUSDT Ethereum currency in the weekly time frame: As mentioned in the previous analysis , the supply area can have two movement paths.
🟢As mentioned: The first scenario, after completing the first wave in the supply area with a correction to the support area of the green box area, the range of $2,500 extended. Meanwhile, in the lower time frames, the details of the behavior of the Ethereum currency were also fully discussed.
🟢 However, in the 4-hour time frame, the ascending micro-waves of the first cycle were examined, as predicted, the ascending wave extended to the supply area of 3,200 to 3,500.
🟢 Therefore, the first cycle can end in the current range or slightly higher and form a zigzag correction to form a 3-of-3 ascending wave.
🟢 However, according to the movement path predicted in the previous analysis, this ascending cycle has the ability to grow at least to the 0.78 Fibo area of the previous wave.
🟢 Considering that this cycle is inside a triangle, it can continue as long as the triangle base.
🔴 Important:
Due to the application of the triangle base and the ability to grow to the supply area specified according to the Elliott scenario, this bullish cycle will be able to grow to the large supply area after breaking the 0.78 Fibo area.
Considering the current momentum and the bullish engulfing candle in the green box area, the following targets can be touched.
🎯Previous major ceiling,
🎯 Next target 6832
🎯 9357
🎯 Specified supply area (large red box)
⚠️ In addition, in the first step, considering the first bullish cycle, I expect no correction to extend to the Invalidation LVL area. ⚠️
After that, and after the previous major ceiling area is broken, the Invalidation LVL area will be updated.
In case of a change in behavior and structure, its details will be reviewed and updated.
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Ethereum (ETH) Set for a Breakout as Market Momentum BuildsEthereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) appears primed for a significant breakout to the $4,500 level, fueled by bullish momentum and recent groundbreaking developments. As Bitcoin (BTC) reaches a historic all-time high of $100,000, attention is shifting towards CRYPTOCAP:ETH , often dubbed the "silver to Bitcoin's gold," indicating that the much-anticipated altcoin season may be on the horizon.
Game-Changing Metamask Update
A pivotal catalyst for ETH's potential surge is the new feature from MetaMask, one of the most popular decentralized exchanges (DEXs) and crypto wallets. MetaMask now allows users to swap tokens on the Ethereum network without needing ETH for gas fees. This gas fee is incorporated directly into the exchanged tokens, significantly lowering barriers to entry for traders.
Previously, users needed CRYPTOCAP:ETH to pay for gas fees when swapping tokens, often hindering smaller traders and leaving profits predominantly in the hands of wealthy investors. This system discouraged many from engaging in trading on the Ethereum network, contributing to Solana's recent dominance in the memecoin landscape due to its lower fees. With this new initiative, Ethereum aims to regain market share by offering a more accessible and user-friendly experience, potentially driving an influx of activity on the network.
Currently, this feature is exclusive to the MetaMask browser extension but will soon be available on its mobile app, expanding the accessibility even further.
Technical Indicators Signal Bullish Potential
From a technical standpoint, ETH's charts reveal promising signs. Despite a 1.73% dip at the time of writing, ETH is trading within a falling wedge pattern—a bullish formation that typically signals an imminent breakout. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 60, indicating strong buying pressure and positioning the asset firmly in bullish territory. Additionally, CRYPTOCAP:ETH remains above key moving averages, suggesting that upward momentum is building.
Notably, CRYPTOCAP:ETH briefly broke above the falling trend channel earlier, signaling the beginning of a potential bullish renaissance. While this move was short-lived, largely due to trading volume being siphoned into BTC, the broader market conditions will favor altcoins in the coming weeks. If Bitcoin's dominance stabilizes, the altcoin season could see CRYPTOCAP:ETH soaring past $4,500 and beyond.
A New Era for Ethereum
This combination of fundamental advancements and technical strength positions Ethereum for a potentially explosive rally. The reduced gas fee burden will attract more traders to the network, increasing transaction volume and demand for $ETH. Coupled with the broader market rally, this development could mark a turning point for Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ), setting it up to challenge new highs.
As the crypto market evolves, Ethereum's adaptability and innovations like those from MetaMask ensure it remains at the forefront. With the stage set, all eyes are on ETH's next big move—potentially reaching the $4,500 mark and beyond in the near future.
ETHEREUM safe investment 4000$ is coming (educational)Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Ethereum and some educational points, 📚💣
Ethereum is widely regarded as one of the safest and most stable investment options in the cryptocurrency market, particularly for those who are looking for a less volatile alternative to other digital assets. Unlike Bitcoin, whose price has experienced explosive surges and significant drops, Ethereum's price movements tend to be more predictable and less prone to extreme fluctuations. This relative stability is one of the reasons why many investors view Ethereum as a secure asset for long-term growth. Additionally, Ethereum’s price movements are often correlated with Bitcoin’s, which means that it tends to follow similar trends in the market, offering a degree of security to those who are cautious of sudden market shifts. 📚🎇
Ethereum also benefits from being one of the largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization, which contributes to its perceived stability. With a robust and evolving network, as well as growing institutional interest, Ethereum has established itself as a cornerstone of the cryptocurrency ecosystem. This positions Ethereum as an attractive investment option for those looking for reliable returns over time, especially for those who have the financial capacity to invest a larger sum. 📚💡
For investors with the means to acquire at least five Ethereum tokens, the potential for steady returns makes it one of the safest investment choices in the market. Historically, those who have invested in Ethereum have been able to see a return of at least 30 percent, which can be a promising indicator of future growth. Additionally, while Bitcoin has seen record-breaking all-time highs (ATH) in recent days, Ethereum has yet to experience a similar surge. This suggests that Ethereum may be on the verge of a significant upward trajectory, making now an ideal time for those looking to capitalize on its potential before it reaches its own ATH. 📚🙌
When it comes to risk management, it is essential to maintain a balanced and strategic approach to investing in Ethereum. One of the most important rules for any investor is to avoid getting attached to imaginary or overly ambitious price targets. Instead, it is crucial to set clear and realistic take-profit goals, ensuring that gains are locked in at the right time. Once these targets are met, it is wise to reassess the market and explore new investment opportunities. Staying disciplined and adhering to a strategy will help mitigate risk and maximize returns. 📚✨
In addition to proper risk management, diversification plays a key role in maintaining a well-rounded portfolio. Investors should not put all their funds into a single asset but rather spread their investments across different opportunities to reduce exposure to any one particular market risk. Regularly reviewing market trends and staying informed about developments in the cryptocurrency space will help investors make more educated decisions and better navigate any fluctuations in the market. 📚✌
The chart I have provided clearly demonstrates Ethereum’s price movements and potential for growth over time. With its strong market presence, established infrastructure, and significant institutional backing, Ethereum remains a solid investment choice for those looking to achieve both short-term profits and long-term growth. By understanding the market dynamics and practicing sound risk management, investors can position themselves for success and take full advantage of the opportunities Ethereum offers in the ever-evolving cryptocurrency landscape.📚🐋
🧨 Our team's main opinion is
Ethereum is considered a safe and stable investment due to its predictable price movements and strong market capitalization. With potential for steady growth and minimal volatility compared to Bitcoin, it's ideal for those able to invest significant amounts, offering long-term returns. 🧨
Thank you for your attention. If you have any questions or comments, I’m here to respond to you. 🐋💡
POLY-MATIC Swing Long Idea - Altcoin SeasonMATIC/POLY is one of the leading Ethereum Layer 2 chains. We haven’t seen an ETH rally yet, so ETH-based coins (ETH betas) are currently underperforming. However, I recommend considering a small position to potentially catch an ETH pump, as these ETH-based coins have significant technical potential.
Technical Analysis:
The price ran the 2022 low and the 2021 March low, generating strong bullish momentum. The run on the 2021 March low is particularly significant because that low initiated the 2021 bull cycle for this coin. I believe this level represents the maximum pain point for MATIC, and most paper hands have likely exited after this level was swept.
Following this move, we observed strong bullish momentum, and a few days later, the weekly structure shifted to bullish, creating a weekly demand zone, which I have marked on the chart. Recently, the bearish trendline responsible for the downward trend since Spring 2024 was broken, and we also have a daily demand zone just below the trendline.
I believe the price may retrace to the daily and weekly demand zones, possibly retesting or deviating slightly from the trendline before taking off. This area also aligns with the Fibonacci equilibrium (discount) zone, which adds further confluence for a reaction from there.
I will look for LTF confirmations before initiating the setup.
SL: $0.27 (daily close below)
TP1: $0.78 (2x from the entry)
I plan to carry this position until the end of the 2025 altcoin bull cycle and will not take profits from this trade. However, I strongly recommend taking some profits while the price rises. My risk management strategy is unique and may differ from yours.
Doge Gov Bull Flag Formed on 12H Candle - PT $1 on1.618 FibWe have a particularly bullish pattern forming on the 12H candles and it matches my previous analysis on the 1.618 Fib Target of $1.08 (article linked below).
When multiple trading patterns emerge, the breakout move becomes more assured.
We now have two powerful trading singles 1.618 and Bull Flag confirming next upside price target of $1.
Enjoy Frens
KING IS BACK!!! BITCOIN ON SURE TRAJECTORY TO 100KAs Bitcoin approaches the crest of its third wave, nearing the 100K mark, emotions surrounding the crypto king have been overwhelmingly positive. This sentiment is to be expected, especially given the current cycle and the position we find ourselves in.
The fourth wave was a bit cheeky since it has what we can call, an unorthodox bottom, given that the actual end of it was above the lowest point in the corrective pattern. Just one of the many tricky aspects that corrections use to fool the operators. I feel safe to take the low a52350 on September 8 as the official low for this wave.
From this point, we start to see a strong fifth wave carrying a lot of momentum. I have noticed before that, as in commodities and futures, many crypto tend to exhibit the most strength in the fifth and final wave instead of the third, having the farthest advance in its last hurrah.
I have two very likely termination points for this move depicted as the blue lines at 107,650 and 123,175, which are 1-3(100%) and 1-3(127%) respectively. We could see an even bigger travel but we we'll need to adjust for that as it may come.
For now safe to say that as with every surge that the king of crypto ever has had, it comes accompanied by all kinds of scams and pumps and dumps along the way. Most new crypto independent projects are scams as this community has turned mostly speculative rather than actually looking to add value to society. If you are to put money in crypto which I don't necessarily think is the best idea, I would still suggest to stick the to big staples that have shown to have reliable pools of liquidity, that although still subject to manipulation, in the very least it has had permanence and longevity.
Happy Trading and good luck. :)
#ETH/USDT Ready to take off upwards#ETH
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and sticking to it well
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at 3070
We have a downtrend, the RSI indicator is about to break, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100
Entry price 3120
First target 3160
Second target 3200
Third target 3240
Ethereum Longterm Price Prediction / 3500$ is the next stationBINANCE:ETHUSDT
COINBASE:ETHUSD
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
(If there is just one SL on the chart, I suggest, low risk status)
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
3000$
3500$
3914$
🔴SL:
2024$
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilize against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
"Did You Miss the Boat on Ethereum? The 100k Club Analysis
The cryptocurrency market is no stranger to waves of excitement, fear, and opportunity. Ethereum, as the second-largest crypto by market cap, has its own unique rhythm dictated not just by retail traders but by the 100k Club—the wallets holding over 100,000 ETH. This year, the 100k Club's supply movements gave us two prime buy zones: January 25th, 2024, and October 25th, 2024. If you're like me, you might be kicking yourself for missing these golden opportunities. Let’s unpack what happened and why these moments were critical.
January 25th, 2024 – The First Signal
In late January, Ethereum experienced a significant drop in holdings by the 100k Club, as reflected by the ETH_SPLYADRBAL100K metric. This wasn't a sell-off in the traditional sense but rather a redistribution event, marked by a decrease in ETH supply held by the largest wallets. My Custom indicator printed a strong Buy Zone signal, suggesting that whales were offloading ETH at a time when the market was primed for accumulation.
What Happened Next?
Following this signal, Ethereum's price saw a steady climb, eventually breaking out of its consolidation phase. The redistribution by whales opened the door for new market participants to accumulate ETH, fueling the bullish momentum that followed.
October 25th, 2024 – History Repeats Itself
Fast forward to October, and the indicator flashed another Buy Zone. This time, it coincided with an outflow surge from exchanges, further reinforcing the bullish sentiment. Once again, the 100k Club signaled their distribution phase, which has historically been a precursor to market upticks.
The Result
As of today, Ethereum's price has continued its upward trajectory from this signal. The indicator’s alignment of whale supply movements and exchange flows proved invaluable for identifying key entry points.
What I Learned (The Hard Way)
Like many, I hesitated. Watching the charts from the sidelines, I missed the January 25th buy zone, convincing myself the market had further to fall. By the time October 25th rolled around, I was too preoccupied with other trades to act. These signals were like flashing neon signs screaming "Buy Now," but I let them slip through my fingers.
If there's one lesson I've learned, it's this: The 100k Club doesn't lie. The largest wallets dictate Ethereum's macro trends, and their supply movements are the pulse of the market.
Keeping My Eyes on the Prize
Now, my strategy is simple: keep my eyes locked on ETH_SPLYADRBAL100K. With my Ethereum indicator, I’m tracking the 100k Club’s behavior, along with exchange inflows and outflows, to better prepare for the next major signal. Whether it’s another redistribution phase or a sell-off, I won’t miss the boat again.
Why You Shouldn’t Miss the Next Buy Zone
Ethereum’s journey is far from over. The 100k Club supply movements, combined with exchange activity, paint a clear picture of market sentiment. By following the indicators, you can anticipate where the market is headed and act accordingly.
Takeaway
If you’ve missed the boat like I did, don’t despair. The Ethereum market is cyclical, and the whales are always leaving breadcrumbs for those paying attention. Keep watching the 100k Club, and let’s be ready for the next big opportunity together.
EthereumEthereum (ETH) trades near $3,040 on Wednesday as on-chain data reveals a mix of capitulation and profit-taking among long-term holders. The selling pressure stems from investors potentially rotating into other better-performing altcoins in the past week.Ethereum investors could be rotating into other alts
On-chain data shows that Ethereum is facing rising selling pressure after investors realized losses of $141.3 million on Tuesday — their highest since September 10. On the other hand, a few investors also sold in the past few hours to book profits of about $230 million.The ETH Age Consumed metric, which tracks the movement of previously idle ETH tokens, also saw notable spikes in the past two days, indicating most of the recent selling activity is potentially from long-term holders.
The chart below, which shows ETH's mean coin age across several age bands, reveals that most of the selling activity comes from coins within the one to three-year cohort.
ETHBTC - Descending Pattern Breakout This has been a long bear season for alts including ETHUSD which is shown in this descending pattern
Right now there is a lot of money in BTC which I believe will move towards ETH as this pattern begins to breakout
We are currently seeing the extreme lows for Ethereum at this price.
Weekly timeframe
If the price is maintained above 3321.30, ATH is possible
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
It has broken through the important resistance area of 3265.0-3321.30.
Accordingly, if it shows support near 3321.30, it is expected to continue to rise.
In other words, the key is whether it can break through the 3438.16 and 3644.71 points.
If it does, it is expected to continue to rise to renew the ATH.
I think this rise is meaningful because I think that for the altcoin bull market to start, the rise of ETH must start first.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems that it has been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, it is expected that prices below 44K-48K will not be seen in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to this.
If the ATH is renewed, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as support and resistance.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to generate Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous to use it for trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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