QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETF Price PredictionOn March 7th we have the Fed Chair Powell Testimony, that could reveal that the FOMC is going to hike the interest rates for a longer period of time, and maybe give us a clue if it`s the case for a 50bps increase after the next meeting.
On March 10th we have the Non Farm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate that could also fuel a potential 50bps hike if they come better than expected.
In this context, my price target for QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETF is $285 by Mid-April.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
ETF
ETF PortfolioETF PORTFOLIO, TIME TO REBALANCE?
After accumulating heavily between May and July, the time to rebalance the ETF portfolio is approaching.
It has been a planting year, the partial harvest could come very soon. Despite the difficulties, everything is proceeding as it should, especially on the MSCI World, which has held up very well a complicated year like 2022.
The complete portfolio is up 12.5% after the last rebalancing, if we also take into consideration my trading strategy connected to it, we arrive well above 20%.
Not bad in terms of resilience in a year where my stock portfolio closed with a drawdown of -7.5%, supported by Apple and Amazon who underperformed anyway.
Partial sale target €79.50
For other assets ... well you know...
Happy trading
LazyBull
uvxy headed for 1:10 revse split early feb. 2023we are breaking out in spx daily, but are we at swing low in vix? contango is uvxy is matching what it nears as we head for high $4 range where it normally reverse splits 1:10. conveniently that puts us in the expected date range of early february. this VWAP strategy says we may be in for another long entry UVXY as we top out in es1! potentially around ftz 8, and above bands crossing bull by ftz 13.
Head and Shoulders Bottom | 14% move possibleDirexion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x Shares forms bullish "Head and Shoulders Bottom" chart pattern
"Head and Shoulders Bottom" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x Shares (SPXS:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $18.31 to the range of $20.50 - $21.00. The pattern formed over 20 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: The price seems to have reached the end of a period of "accumulation" at the bottom of a major downtrend; the break up through resistance signals a reversal to a new uptrend.
The Head and Shoulders Bottom is created by three successive declines in the price following a significant downtrend. The lowest low (head) is in the middle, flanked by two higher lows (shoulders) at roughly the same level. Volume is highest as the price makes the first two declines, then diminishes through the right shoulder. Finally volume surges as the price closes above the neckline (drawn between the two highs) to confirm the reversal.
Continuation Diamond (Bullish) | 19% move possibleVanguard High Dividend Yield ETF forms bullish "Continuation Diamond" chart pattern
"Continuation Diamond (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $110.96 to the range of $130.00 - $134.00. The pattern formed over 452 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: The price has broken upward out of a consolidation period, suggesting a continuation of the prior uptrend.
The pattern begins during a downtrend as prices create higher highs and lower lows in a broadening pattern. Then the trading range gradually narrows after the highs peak and the lows start trending upward. When the price breaks upward out of the diamonds boundary lines, it marks the resumption of the prior uptrend.
Double Bottom | 35% move possibleDirexion Daily Small Cap Bull 3x Shares forms bullish "Double Bottom" chart pattern
"Double Bottom" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3x Shares (TNA:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $43.19 to the range of $54.00 - $57.00. The pattern formed over 102 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: The price seems to have reached a bottom after failing to break through a support level and ultimately rising higher in a sign of reversal to a new uptrend.
The Double Bottom pattern forms during a downtrend as the price reaches two distinct lows at roughly the same price level. Volume reflects a weakening of the downward pressure, tending to diminish as the pattern forms, with some pickup at each low, less on the second low. Finally the price breaks upward above the highest high to confirm the bullish signal.
Bottom Triangle | 40% move possibleDirexion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury forms bullish "Bottom Triangle" chart pattern
"Bottom Triangle" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury (TMF:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $9.64 to the range of $13.00 - $13.80. The pattern formed over 60 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: The price seems to have reached a bottom, showing signs of reversal as it has broken upward after a period of uncertainty or consolidation.
A Bottom Triangle shows two converging trendlines as prices reach lower highs and higher lows. Volume diminishes as the price swings back and forth between an increasingly narrow range reflecting uncertainty in the market direction. Then well before the triangle reaches its apex, the price breaks above the upper trendline with a noticeable increase in volume, confirming this bullish pattern as a reversal of the prior downtrend.
Strong support trend line + Bullish "Flag" | 20% move possible1. "Flag (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Invesco Solar ETF (TAN:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $75.80 to the range of $92.00 - $94.00. The pattern formed over 9 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: The price seems to be resuming a sharp rally after taking a brief pause.
A bullish Flag pattern occurs during a dynamic market rally, representing a brief pause as the market "catches its breath" before running off again in the same direction. The pattern consists of two parallel trend lines, often sloping downward against the prevailing uptrend, and is confirmed when the price breaks through the upper boundary to resume the rise.
2. The price came to strong support line and has been closed above that line.
Target 1: $84
Target 2: $92
Historical Comparison of Vanguard Sector ETFsQuick comparison chart to see which performed better (or worse) during bull and bear markets.
It's not always a straight-forward answer, and more variables involved.
But... should give you an idea all things else equal regarding ticker choices and weights.
Continuation Wedge (Bullish) | 48% move possibleDirexion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares forms bullish "Continuation Wedge" chart pattern
"Continuation Wedge (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (DRV:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $40.35 to the range of $57.00 - $61.00. The pattern formed over 24 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: After a temporary interruption, the prior uptrend is set to continue.
A Continuation Wedge (Bullish) represents a temporary interruption to an uptrend, taking the shape of two converging trendlines both slanted downward against the trend. During this time the bears attempt to win over the bulls, but in the end the bulls triumph as the break above the upper trendline signals a continuation of the prior uptrend.
Price Target 1: $48
Price Target 2: $56
Price Target 3: $68
Price Target 4: $84
Flag (Bullish) | 18% move possibleiShares US Oil Equipment & Services ETF forms bullish "Flag" chart pattern
"Flag (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on iShares US Oil Equipment & Services ETF (IEZ:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $22.83 to the range of $26.00 - $26.70. The pattern formed over 15 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: The price seems to be resuming a sharp rally after taking a brief pause.
A bullish Flag pattern occurs during a dynamic market rally, representing a brief pause as the market "catches its breath" before running off again in the same direction. The pattern consists of two parallel trend lines, often sloping downward against the prevailing uptrend, and is confirmed when the price breaks through the upper boundary to resume the rise.
Price Target 1: $27
DFEN ETF forms bullish "Upside Breakout" chart patternDirexion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares forms bullish "Upside Breakout" chart pattern
"Upside Breakout" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares (DFEN:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $21.91 to the range of $24.60 - $25.20. The pattern formed over 50 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: The price broke upward out of a trading range suggesting we're entering a new uptrend.
The Upside Breakout pattern represents a trading range in which prices move sideways between two parallel horizontal lines. It's often a pause or congestion area within an existing trend though sometimes the breakout results in a reversal to the prior trend. Either way, an upside breakout through the upper resistance line signals an end to the consolidation period and the start of an uptrend.
Price Target 1: $24
Price Target 2: $26
Direxion Daily FTSE CHINA Bear 3x - bullish "Head and Shoulders"Direxion Daily FTSE CHINA Bear 3x Shares forms bullish "Head and Shoulders Bottom" chart pattern
"Head and Shoulders Bottom" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily FTSE CHINA Bear 3x Shares (YANG:NYSE). This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $9.29 to the range of $11.20 - $11.70. The pattern formed over 28 days which is roughly the period of time in which the target price range may be achieved, according to standard principles of technical analysis.
Tells Me: The price seems to have reached the end of a period of "accumulation" at the bottom of a major downtrend; the break up through resistance signals a reversal to a new uptrend.
The Head and Shoulders Bottom is created by three successive declines in the price following a significant downtrend. The lowest low (head) is in the middle, flanked by two higher lows (shoulders) at roughly the same level. Volume is highest as the price makes the first two declines, then diminishes through the right shoulder. Finally volume surges as the price closes above the neckline (drawn between the two highs) to confirm the reversal.
Price Target 1: $11.20 - $11.70
Price Target 2: $16
Price Target 3: $20
Price Target 4: $30
"Continuation Wedge (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Direxion1. "Continuation Wedge (Bullish)" chart pattern formed on Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3x Shares . This bullish signal indicates that the stock price may rise from the close of $25.48 to the range of $37.00 - $38.75.
Tells Me: After a temporary interruption, the prior uptrend is set to continue.
A Continuation Wedge (Bullish) represents a temporary interruption to an uptrend, taking the shape of two converging trendlines both slanted downward against the trend. During this time the bears attempt to win over the bulls, but in the end the bulls triumph as the break above the upper trendline signals a continuation of the prior uptrend.
2. Price already came to strong support level, so it's perfect time to buy!
3. Trendline was broken.
Target: $37,5; $50.
It's AAVE---Long IDEAHello everyone;
This Idea is for AAVE/USDT, spot pair, BUT It's Tradable on AAVE's Laveraged token as well .
So Aave has multi divergences at various Time frames, BuT we are Looking at ones on D and W charts,
I Marked Them with brush, They are visible on RSI,AwsomeOS and...
We are Also at 50% FIB Support, And of course a Giant BAT Pattern which is pretty much complete!
-So You can open your orders NOW or after confirmation on spot or ETF .
I Marked The First and second Targets on it,it may go Higher But ..
GOOD LUCK!
ppd contraction, ml strat consolidative, musashi crossthese strategies are signaling the consolidative move isnt over, and revisiting mean and regression is likely
theres no way to prove at the moment we will go through a phase like this, but if the opportunity presents itself its a path that mathematically makes sense
what would continuation toward contango look like?spot is having a time catching up with price, and this is one of my favorite derivatives. if the turnaround is going to continue to break out, and we pull back to a comfortable level keeping the uptrend daily i would follow the uptrend with leverage. im excited about the current daily pattern being a sign that a snap back to the bulls could happen tuesday, and im also excited about a lot of potential shorts of equity in the index. im just as excited about going long around emas and trendlines holding bull in the overall index. using fib im aiming for bear weekly highs as well as the 1 and the 1.618 as long as we are beating the regressive bottom and accute trend angle.
maybe uranium becomes an epic short againthe bull market turn around in uranium has made the news, and outlasted a broader energy sector comeback. technicals are threatening a reversal bac to bears, and the monthly-quarterly view is making a breakdown. if we maintain these resistances then i am betting on a massive short play in uranium in a 5 year daterange. short urnm and long ery on breakouts on down days in broader market.
the vwap strat says we could continue bullif we dont collapse completely nasdaq could be a buy in terms of where volume weighted averages and bill williams are. im buying on pullback, breakouts, and im selling a breakdown, resistance from highs. gap down i expect to close and move lower, gap up i expect to close and move higher,mostly flat and i ecpect to see move lower and then get bought up.