IBIT Bitcoin Trust ETF Technical Analysis Trade This chart highlights a parabolic uptrend in IBIT, with price making a significant move from consolidation to new highs. The chart includes pivot levels (S1, R1, R2), dark pool levels, moving averages (8 EMA and 21 EMA), and volume, all of which help in understanding the current price action and predicting potential moves.
Key Observations:
1. Trend Structure:
The chart shows a strong uptrend supported by the 8 EMA and 21 EMA.
A breakout above the 61.99 resistance (R1) occurred recently, but price has since pulled back slightly, consolidating near 56.10, which aligns with a dark pool level.
2. Support and Resistance:
Resistance Levels:
61.99 (R1): The key breakout level, which price is currently retesting as resistance.
68.77 (R2): The next significant resistance and a long-term target for bulls.
Support Levels:
56.10: A dark pool level and immediate support zone.
53.00: Key short-term support near the 21 EMA.
47.30 (S1): A deeper support level in case of a larger pullback.
3. Volume Analysis:
A high volume breakout occurred recently, suggesting strong interest from institutions or retail traders.
However, recent volume bars are slightly lower, indicating that the bullish momentum is consolidating. This could lead to either a continuation higher or a pullback to support.
4. Moving Averages:
The 8 EMA is currently acting as immediate dynamic support, while the 21 EMA (~53.00) provides a secondary layer of support.
As long as the price remains above these moving averages, the uptrend remains intact.
Trade Setup:
Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation
Trigger: A breakout above 61.99 (R1) on high volume would confirm bullish continuation.
Profit Targets:
68.77 (R2): The next major resistance level.
70-75: A potential extension zone in a strong parabolic move.
Stop-Loss: Below 56.10, as a break below this level would signal a loss of bullish momentum.
Scenario 2: Pullback to Support
Trigger: If price fails to break above 61.99 and pulls back, look for buying opportunities near:
56.10 (dark pool level): Immediate support.
53.00 (21 EMA): A stronger support level for a bounce.
Profit Targets:
61.99: Retest of the breakout level.
68.77 (R2): Higher target if the trend resumes.
Stop-Loss: Below 52, as this would indicate a breakdown below the key EMAs.
Scenario 3: Bearish Breakdown
Trigger: A strong close below 53.00 with high volume would signal bearish momentum.
Profit Targets:
47.30 (S1): First major pivot support.
41.00-43.00: A retest of previous consolidation levels.
Stop-Loss: Above 56.10, as a reclaim of this level would invalidate the bearish thesis.
Final Thoughts:
Short-Term Outlook: Consolidation near 56.10 suggests the potential for either a breakout above 61.99 or a pullback to key support zones.
Long-Term Outlook: The parabolic nature of the trend suggests strong bullish sentiment, with deeper pullbacks offering opportunities to re-enter the trend.
Watch volume closely to confirm either a breakout or a breakdown, as institutional activity (dark pool levels) will likely play a significant role.
ETF
QQQ Trade AnalysisThis chart represents the daily timeframe for QQQ, showcasing a mix of technical indicators like pivot points (S1, S2, R1, etc.), exponential moving averages (EMAs), trendlines, dark pool levels, and volume. The chart indicates a recent pullback in a long-term uptrend, with price sitting near a key support zone.
Key Observations:
1. Trend Analysis:
Long-Term Trend:
The green ascending trendline suggests a consistent long-term bullish trend.
The price is still well above this trendline, indicating the broader trend remains intact.
Recent Pullback:
Price recently tested the R2 pivot (534.52), indicating an overbought condition, and has since pulled back.
It is now consolidating near the S1 pivot (490.80) and the 21 EMA, which are critical short-term support levels.
2. Support and Resistance:
Resistance Levels:
R1 (522.13) and R2 (534.52) are the immediate resistance zones. Price rejection at these levels confirms sellers’ presence.
R3 (553.45) is the long-term target if the bullish trend resumes.
Support Levels:
S1 (490.80): Current support level and pivot zone.
S2 (471.87): A deeper support zone near the green trendline, likely to act as a strong barrier.
Dark Pool Levels:
508.70 (recent activity) may serve as minor resistance.
496.39 and 480.70 indicate institutional interest zones that could provide support.
3. Volume Analysis:
Recent volume spike on the pullback indicates increased participation, potentially signaling a shift in momentum.
Red candles with high volume often signal distribution, but if price stabilizes near support, this could indicate accumulation by institutions.
4. Moving Averages:
Price has fallen below the 8 EMA, signaling short-term bearish momentum.
However, the 21 EMA near 490.80 acts as a critical level. A rebound from this area could indicate a resumption of the uptrend.
Trade Setup:
Scenario 1: Bullish Reversal from S1 (490.80)
Trigger: A bounce off the S1 pivot and reclaim of the 8 EMA (~508.70) would signal a bullish continuation.
Profit Targets:
508.70: Dark pool resistance and 8 EMA level.
522.13 (R1): Swing high and key resistance zone.
534.52 (R2): Longer-term resistance.
Stop-Loss: Below 486, as a break below this level would invalidate the bullish thesis.
Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown Below S1 (490.80)
Trigger: A strong close below the S1 pivot with increasing volume would confirm bearish momentum.
Profit Targets:
480.70: Dark pool support.
471.87 (S2): Pivot support and intersection with the green trendline.
459.48 (S3): Deeper downside target.
Stop-Loss: Above 500, as this would indicate a reversal back above key support.
Scenario 3: Long-Term Reversal Near Trendline Support
If price continues lower, the green trendline near 471.87 offers a high-probability buying opportunity, especially if accompanied by lower volume on the decline.
Final Thoughts:
Short-Term Outlook: Consolidation near S1 (490.80) requires confirmation of direction. A breakout above the 8 EMA would favor bulls, while a breakdown below S1 opens the door for further downside.
Long-Term Outlook: The green trendline and dark pool levels suggest strong institutional support on deeper pullbacks, keeping the broader bullish trend intact.
GOOD BTC ENTRY !! SL 59K TP 72KREASONS WHY !!
Market Sentiment and Momentum:
Bitcoin soared in 2023, and experts predict further gains in 2024, potentially reaching $80,000.
Despite long-term optimism, Bitcoin experienced a recent dip.
Technical indicators suggest potential downside, but the market remains in a tug-of-war.
If buyers can push past the $44,700 resistance, a jump to $48,000 is in sight.
Spot Bitcoin ETF Launch:
The launch of a spot Bitcoin ETF in early 2024 is poised to revolutionize the crypto landscape.
This move is expected to attract significant capital from both retail and institutional investors, further fueling Bitcoin’s ascent.
Bitcoin Halving Event:
Scheduled for April or May 2024, the Bitcoin halving event will curtail the yearly supply of new Bitcoin.
This reduction in supply could establish conditions where demand potentially outstrips supply, a fundamental factor in the optimistic price forecast.
Investor Confidence and Accumulation:
Investors are holding on to their BTC with conviction stronger than in 2021.
Relative realized profits show that despite a new all-time high, selling has not been as significant as during the previous cycle.
Consistent accumulation since February 2024 indicates confidence among investors, expecting further price growth.
XRP updateHi Guys
As we have specified the purchase range for you before, we said that if the range is maintained, he can serve his opponent.
Now you can see that with the lack of daily stabilization, it has returned below the range and is placed in a triangle.
With failure, he can move to the specified goals.
We will be happy if you give us energy with likes and comments.
Why BATT Could Be A Great ETF To Buy & HoldHere I have AMEX:BATT Amplify Lithium & Battery Technology ETF on a Multi-Timeframe Analysis with a Monthly & Weekly Chart!
Technicals:
Starting with the Monthly Chart, taking the Fibonacci Retracement Tool from the All Time Low @ $5.91 to the All Time High @ $20.78, we see that the Selling Pressure is waning with the Price Exhaustion happening in the Fibonacci 78.6% - 88.6% "Kill Zone" Range from ( $9.09 - $7.61 )
-Bears are losing grip on the asset
Zooming down to the Weekly where Price has visited the Kill Zone, we can see a ICT Concept Method called the Bullish Order Block taking place!
After Price found Support, Price created a New Swing Low Breaking Sellside Liquidity, then shortly after, Breaking Structure again while surpassing the Swing High!
-The Week Starting Monday, 29th of July 2024 creates the Bullish Order Block we should suspect Price to revisit before continuing its Uptrend behavior.
-This High of the Weekly candle sits right at the Upper Limits of the Support Zone and at the 50% Fibonacci Retracement Level!
**Price also could potentially make a deeper Retracement to the 61.8% Level to visit the LH it created before Breaking up through the Support Zone!
-Will be looking for Buy Entries in the ( $8.96 - $8.67 ) Range!
Fundamentals:
Lithium Stocks hit alot of hype in 2023 with the expectations of the EV Industry being our Near-Future way of transportation as a move toward a greener way of living!
EV sales wax and wane but as time as gone on, the look for the essential metal and mineral components needed for this industry to boom has began to fill as we are finding more and more vast and rich deposits of Lithium and other Rare Earth Minerals!
-https://www.tradingview.com/news/zacks:e90ae995b094b:0-bullish-views-power-long-term-lithium-etf-prospects/
With that, EV Demand will come
-https://www.tradingview.com/news/benzinga:5ead3a15a094b:0-arkansas-may-be-sitting-on-19m-tons-of-lithium-amid-rising-demand-for-ev-batteries-how-to-invest-in-what-elon-musk-calls-the-new-oil/
** Once Price goes Bullish, I have upcoming Areas of Value that it may contend with on the way up!
Why SCHD Could Be a Quick Win for Savvy Scalpers Eyeing Upside
As always, we like to keep it clean and simple, with technicals and analysis that's easy to see and understand. Let's get into it:
The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) has recently experienced a downturn, but several factors suggest a near-term upward reversal:
Technical Indicators:
1. SCHD's 100-day and 200-day simple moving averages are $27.95 and $26.79, respectively, with the current price above both, suggesting a longer-term bullish trend
2. StochRSI oversold on mult timeframes
3. Reached limit of reversal move after a Wave 5, which can act as near-term support
Recent Developments:
Dividend-paying stocks, including those in SCHD, have faced challenges due to volatility in the 10-year Treasury yield. However, with expectations of more stable interest rates, dividend-focused investments like SCHD could become more attractive.
Investor interest in dividend-paying equity ETFs has increased, with inflows more than doubling over the past month. This heightened demand could positively impact SCHD's price.
We see a near-term reversal to the $28.80 area -- a $0.50/share increase from current levels .
Be alert.
Trade green.
AIPIExploring the AI Covered Call ETF: AIPI
Let’s take a look at AIPI, a covered call ETF that focuses on stocks in the AI sector and trades on the US stock exchange. If you're analysing the chart, you might notice that dividend indicators don’t appear. That’s because this ETF doesn’t technically pay dividends. Instead, it collects dividends from its holdings, pays taxes on them, and distributes the rest to investors as taxable income. This is important to understand for tax planning, as it may impact how you report income depending on where you live.
The Strategy Behind AIPI
Being a covered call ETF, it limits your upside, especially in strong bull markets. However, the fund managers often adapt by writing covered calls at higher target prices when markets are bullish, capitalizing on demand for options. Most option buyers lose, which benefits the ETF's income strategy.
If you dive into the distributions and run the numbers, you’ll see that AIPI has been yielding approximately 30% annually. It’s a strong performer, but as with any investment, diversification is key. You might want to start small—maybe one or ten shares—and hold it for a few months to see how it performs for you.
Research the Components
When you look at AIPI, understanding its holdings is crucial. While the components might not show up directly on TradingView, a quick Google search can reveal the ETF's portfolio. You can also use benchmarks like SMH (a semiconductor ETF) as a rough gauge, but digging into the individual stocks within AIPI will give you a clearer picture of its trajectory.
A Trading Strategy Idea
Here’s a potential strategy for those interested in short-term moves:
Buy before the ex-dividend date.
Hold to collect the distribution.
Set a limit order at your purchase price or slightly higher to sell after the payout.
This approach could net you around 30%/12 per month, depending on timing and execution. Of course, this requires monitoring and is not guaranteed.
Other Covered Call ETFs to Explore
While AIPI is exciting, there are other options out there depending on your region and goals. For example:
On the TSX (Canadian markets):
BANK or UMAX, which focus on Canadian stocks or are hedged to the Canadian dollar.
On the US markets:
QDTE, a weekly payout ETF.
Run the math on annual distributions and compound that over time. If you’re young, this can be a powerful strategy for long-term growth.
Final Thoughts
Covered call ETFs like AIPI aren’t a secret ATM, and you shouldn’t expect them to churn out cash indefinitely. However, they can be a great addition to a diversified portfolio, especially for income-focused investors. I personally own AIPI and think it’s flying under the radar. Many websites don’t display full annual gains until the ETF has traded for at least a year, so it might not yet be on everyone’s radar.
Do your research, calculate potential returns, and explore different strategies to see what works for you!
XRP !!!Hello friends
As you know, XRP experienced good growth during this period and then entered the correction phase.
Now, by maintaining the specified range, he can see the specified targets. In case of a strong failure, there are lower ranges to buy, which I will inform you about.
be successful and profitable
Bitcoin - Bitcoin finally reached 6 digits!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. risk ON sntiment in the US stock market or investing in Bitcoin ETF funds will lead to its continued upward movement. which will cause the failure of the resistance zone. After the authentic failure of this area, we will see Bitcoin reach the ceiling of the channel.
Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OFF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. The target of this downward movement will be the level of 90 thousand dollars.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important.
Last week, Donald Trump appointed Paul Atkins as the new chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), a decision that sparked mixed reactions. Hester Peirce, popularly known as the “Crypto Mom,” expressed her strong support for Atkins to replace the current SEC chairman, Gary Gensler. She stated, “Based on my previous experience working with him in this organization, I can’t imagine a better candidate for this position.”
Meanwhile, Caroline Crenshaw, a current member of the SEC, has been nominated for another term and now awaits Senate confirmation. If approved, she will serve on the commission until 2029. During her tenure, Crenshaw has taken a notably strict stance on cryptocurrencies, earning a reputation for being even tougher than Gary Gensler. One key point of contention is her opposition to approving Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). In a letter dated January 2024, she cited concerns such as investor protection and market manipulation as reasons for her dissent. These views have led some to label her as the primary adversary of the crypto industry.
Bitcoin Spot ETFs now hold over one million bitcoins, surpassing the holdings of Bitcoin’s anonymous creator, Satoshi Nakamoto. Within less than a year, these funds have become the largest bitcoin holders in the world.
Lawrence Summers, a former U.S. Treasury Secretary, told Bloomberg that the idea of establishing strategic bitcoin reserves is “ridiculous.” However, he welcomed efforts to regulate the crypto space and foster financial innovation. Summers also expressed skepticism about reducing government spending through the Productivity Department, calling it a challenging path.
The performance and weekly and annual returns of major Layer 1 cryptocurrencies are shown in the accompanying chart. Meanwhile, Pavel Durov, the founder of Telegram, appeared in a Paris court to face charges of facilitating illegal activities through his messaging app. Durov, who was temporarily detained on August 24, was released after posting a $6 million bail but has been barred from leaving France until March 2025. French prosecutors have accused him of running a platform that aids illicit activities. If convicted, Durov could face up to 10 years in prison and a fine of €500,000. This case has raised concerns about privacy-focused technologies in the Web3 space.
At the same time, the number of cryptocurrency wallets with non-zero balances has reached 400 million. Michael Saylor, the CEO of Microstrategy, recently shared his proposed bitcoin purchasing strategy with crypto enthusiasts. He reiterated that bitcoin should be considered a long-term asset and advocated for using a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy for sustainable growth.
Saylor, one of bitcoin’s most prominent supporters, stated that for the past four years, he has consistently advised investors to “buy bitcoin and never sell.” He emphasized that bitcoin should be held as a long-term capital asset rather than a short-term profit tool. Saylor recommended that investors enter the market every three months using funds they do not need and hold the investment for at least ten years. He also stressed that investors should not worry about short-term volatility and should avoid stress by adhering to this strategy.
The trading volume of spot cryptocurrencies reached $2.7 trillion last month, marking the highest level since May 2021. A new survey revealed that over 80% of cryptocurrency holders admitted that their investment decisions were influenced by emotions like Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) and Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt (FUD). The survey, which included 1,248 participants, showed that 84% invested due to FOMO and 81% due to FUD.
Kraken Exchange commented that the findings suggest many investors trade based on emotions and fears rather than logical strategies. These emotions often stem from misunderstandings or mistrust about the future of specific cryptocurrencies. The survey also revealed that FOMO drives investors to chase rising prices, while only 17% focus on buying opportunities during price drops. Interestingly, 63% of cryptocurrency holders acknowledged
ETH is going to rise to a minimum of 8k USD in the coming monthsTechnical analysis suggests that Ethereum (ETH) could see a significant rise in value in the coming months, reaching a low of $8,000. This forecast is based on the identification of a technical pattern known as a "cup and handle" on recent price charts, which historically is an indicator of bullish continuation. This pattern signals a consolidation followed by a strong upward move, strengthening the positive outlook for ETH.
Furthermore, the pattern aligns perfectly with the bullish trend seen on weekly charts, where Ethereum has maintained strong performance around its key support and resistance levels. In this time frame, the structure shows steady accumulation, indicating that buyers are gaining strength and could trigger a new bullish cycle in the medium to long term.
Solana Hits Previous High And Something Else.Traders,
In the same day that BTC has almost tagged 100k, Solana has hit its previous high. But there is something else showing me that Solana will have a tough time moving higher from here. It's that blue trendline. That started all the way back in mid-October of last year. Solana had remained above it until June of this year when the market could confirm that Bitcoin was going to continue its sideways to down price action until U.S. election time. The day after the election, as I expected, Solana broke its channel to the upside. It has now catapulted to its previous high on rumors of ETF filings today. But its run straight into the intersection of our blue trendline with the level of the previous high, making this area of confluence remarkably difficult for the bulls to beat. Will these ETF rumors be a sell the news event? I mean, you have to know that big money and insiders already knew. I expect them to dump on retail like they always do, take some profits, and then re-enter once retail knows they've been had again and start to fold. I can see the price coming back down to $205 or so. But Solana is white hot riding on the back of meme coins lately, so it's also possible that we just ride under the $260 price for a week or two accumulating before making any more big moves up or down. I don't have strong conviction with either option but I do believe the least likely scenario is the third option, a straight breakthrough of our previous high.
✌️ Stew
The cryptocurrency market is a market of expectationsLots of good news, but that's just at first glance.
Expectations and reality
1. Last week we had good news about XRP victory, and this news was spread all over the internet and the market reacted with growth. XRP is not a security, but those contracts sold to early stage funds may still be considered securities.
So the case is not closed yet and it will continue as a subject of manipulation
The SEC can appeal this decision at any appropriate time.
2. FTX - there are a lot of rumors and different statements now about the reopening of this exchange, there are a lot of forms on the net ( fraudulent and not) about FTX account recovery and confirmation. Hope is given:) not the fact that the funds will be restored
3. I would not be surprised if they start to restore UST and LUNA case, if they do not start to restore at least give hope. ( reference - the cryptocurrency market is a market of expectations )
4. BTC ETF.
This is the same expectation that has been jutting for a long time and now strong funds such as BlackRock have joined, which have been buying physical bitcoin through other funds for a long time (e.g. at least 10% of Microstrategy belongs to BlackRock).
On the expectation of ETF approval the market is inspired ( I wrote a post about Blackrock ).
In any case after ETF approval we will see a drop here there is a logic:
- ETF contracts can be bought more than physical bitcoins.
- Need a good entry point into the market, 30k+ is not the best entry point
- A drop in price with physical bitcoins + media resources etc. seems to me as very logical and very likely.
All these points should happen at the peak of the hype, when many disillusioned in crypto after FTX and other shocks will start to re-enter the market, it all explains the Logistic Curve - the speed of information dissemination .
The Which curve explains that when FTX crashed in November 2022 was the beginning of a new cycle, which I talked about in previous posts, then everyone was afraid and thought it would go even lower.
And the end zone of the cycle is when the crowd comes into the market, a lot of noise shouting about a bright future, we are on the cusp of these events.
At that time of course we will see a lot of dumb money big green candles on small capitalization altcoins. And that's the time to get out.
Frankly I got out even earlier in stablecoins and now I only do swing trades ( positional orders positions with small stop loss )
If we talk about the time when all this can happen, it is a difficult question, because according to my previous calculations in September-October I was already waiting for the bottom, I am still waiting for it and my portfolio 100% In stablecoins is a proof of it.
Well after the fall we will have the most interesting negative news, here is the list:
- SEC appeal question on XRP
- SEC questions to all crypto companies that made public sale - fines, lawsuit.
- Questions to crypto exchanges ( bankruptcy of crypto exchanges)
- Regulation
- CBDC implementation and trading in some jurisdictions BTC/CBDC ( currency )
You definitely won't want to buy cryptocurrency on news like this, and this will be the moment when the new cycle begins.
So ladies and gentlemen we are here for a long time and welcome to our community. And remember, trading is not a sprint - trading is a marathon.
Best regard EXCAVO
BTC December Monthly Open For the last 6 months straight, BTC has pulled back on the monthly open and each time price has recovered and pushed higher. We are currently seeing the first half of that with a rejection off $98,000 so the question is, where does it stop?
The first place of interest is ~$93,500, a bullish orderblock with a strong candle following it. In a Bullrun these areas are expected to give a reaction and so that's my first place of interest.
A deeper pullback would take us the the 4H local low, a bounce here would establish a mini-range/ accumulation zone. Now that would make sense as a base is built to target the big even $100K, after such a strong rally a cool-off and reset of indicators would be beneficial, liquidating late longs would be a bonus (if you're not on the wrong side). This level also co-insides with the 4H 200 EMA, typically in a bullmarket this level holds well and caps off correctional phases. The RSI will then also be near/in the oversold zone as further confluence.
The HTF level that most are interested in is ~$84,000, A clear FVG level. This would be a loss of the 4H 200 EMA and definitely in the RSI oversold zone. We know that there is still a massive demand for BTC on an institutional level, ETFs and retail so pullbacks should be bought up in time, the question is when and where. A fill of this area would be more bullish in the long run as the FVG won't need to be filled later, meaning the potential severity of a crash or pullback in the future won't be as much.
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin continue to rise?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 in the 4H time frame and is trading in its descending channel. Risk ON sentiment in the US stock market or investing in Bitcoin ETF funds will lead to its continued upward movement. which will cause the downtrend channel to fail.
Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OFF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. This path will continue until the bottom of the channel and the specified support range.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important.
According to a report by Fox Business, informed sources have indicated that the new U.S administration might grant the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) authority to oversee certain digital assets. The CFTC’s expanded role could include regulating cryptocurrency exchanges and cash markets tied to digital assets such as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), which are categorized as commodities. These changes could diminish the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) influence in this sector.
Gary Gensler, the current SEC chairman and a staunch crypto critic, has supported granting CFTC more authority over Bitcoin, deeming it a commercial commodity. In March, the CFTC filed a lawsuit against the crypto exchange KuCoin, also classifying Ethereum as a commodity.
As of November 2024, MicroStrategy owns over 380,000 Bitcoin, valued at approximately $31.6 billion, accounting for nearly 2% of the total global supply. This Virginia-based software intelligence company first began purchasing Bitcoin in 2020 and has since expanded its holdings to 15 times those of its closest corporate competitor, Marathon Digital.
Tesla, which invested $1.5 billion in Bitcoin in February 2024, ranks fourth among public companies in Bitcoin ownership. Around the same time, Tesla also started accepting Bitcoin as payment for its vehicles.
El Salvador’s President Nayib Bukele has proposed leasing the country’s 170 volcanoes to Bitcoin miners, granting them access to the geothermal energy.
Dan Morehead, CEO of Pantera Capital, has forecasted that Bitcoin’s price could reach $740,000 by April 2028 based on historical trends. Morehead tied this projection to the election of Donald Trump as a pro-crypto U.S. president and a Congress supportive of digital assets.
He also highlighted that only 5% of the global financial wealth is invested in blockchain-related assets, suggesting significant growth potential for Bitcoin. In his letter, he wrote, “Even after 11 years, Bitcoin is still like a seed sprouting in the soil.” He added that the regulatory challenges faced by blockchain over the past 15 years have now transformed into golden opportunities.
This optimistic outlook aligns with Pantera Capital’s Bitcoin fund, which has delivered strong performance. Launched in 2013, the fund has achieved a 131,000% return over 11 years, excluding fees, primarily due to Bitcoin’s 1,000-fold price increase since the fund purchased it at $74 per BTC.
Morehead emphasized that “it’s not too late to buy Bitcoin.” He added, “Some investors may think that Bitcoin’s doubling this year means they missed the opportunity, but this is a flawed mindset.”
Former Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao (CZ) sparked a debate about meme coins in the crypto space. In a tweet, he criticized meme coins, stating, “I’m not against memes, but meme coins have gotten a bit bizarre. Let’s build real applications using blockchain.”
Meanwhile, Hong Kong has proposed tax exemptions for cryptocurrency activities, aiming to compete with Singapore as a leading financial hub and attract major investors and asset managers. According to the Financial Times, the exemptions cover profits from digital assets, private credits, overseas properties, and carbon credits.
Patrick Yip from Deloitte China noted that this initiative could bolster Hong Kong’s financial industry as family offices in the city allocate up to 20% of their portfolios to digital assets.
During the trading week of November 25–29, U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs saw $138 million in capital outflows after seven consecutive weeks of inflows.
Performance of the top-traded ETFs on Friday:
• Total: $320 million
• BlackRock: $137 million
• Fidelity:
SPY Bullish Continuation Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SPY made a bullish
Breakout of the local
Horizontal level of 600$
Which indicated a bullish
Sentiment prevalence
On the market so we
Are now bullish biased
Locally and we will be
Expecting further growth
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
The History of Forex Trading: How It All Began Ever wondered how forex trading became the massive, 24/5 global market we know today? Here’s a quick look at its fascinating journey:
1️⃣ The Gold Standard Era (1870s–1930s)
Forex trading originated when countries began linking their currencies to gold. This system created fixed exchange rates but collapsed during the Great Depression due to economic instability.
2️⃣ Bretton Woods Agreement (1944–1971)
After World War II, nations agreed to peg their currencies to the US Dollar, which was backed by gold. This made the USD the world’s reserve currency and gave rise to modern foreign exchange systems.
3️⃣ Floating Exchange Rates (1971–Present)
When the Bretton Woods system ended, currencies began to "float," meaning their values were determined by supply and demand in the market. This shift created today’s forex market, where traders speculate on fluctuating currency prices.
4️⃣ The Rise of Retail Forex (1990s–2000s)
The advent of the internet and trading platforms like MetaTrader brought forex to individual traders. What was once reserved for banks and institutions became accessible to anyone with an internet connection.
5️⃣ Today’s $7.5 Trillion Market (2020s)
Now, forex is the largest financial market in the world, with $7.5 trillion traded daily. Traders from every corner of the globe participate, using advanced tools and strategies to navigate this dynamic market.
Forex has come a long way, and we’re part of its exciting evolution. What do you think the future holds for forex trading? AI tools? Crypto integration? Let me know in the comments!
Is Ethereum lagging behind the market and competitors?Btc is thr king and Eth is ghe queen of the cryptocurrency .
Now. Question is here, Does Ethereum want to remain queen?
I have been checking the status of 4 rival coins since September 1st.
Bitcoin
Ethereum
Cardano
Solana
====≈===================
The following section shows a comparison of prices from September 1st to now and their growth percentage.
Btc 52500 >> 99600 ≈90%🥉
Eth 2140>> 3425 ≈ 60% 🧸
Ada 0.3 >>> 1.15 ≈ 283% 🥇
Sol 120>>> 255 ≈ 112% 🥈
As we can see, Ethereum growth has been very, very low.
I think if Ethereum fails to make significant growth in this uptrend, competitors will take Ethereum's place and the crown will be taken from Ethereum's head.
What is your judgment and analyzing?
Please share your comments with me 🙏
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin stabilize above $100,000?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 in the 4H time frame and is trading in its ascending channel. Risk On sentiment in the US stock market or investing in Bitcoin ETF funds will lead to its continued upward movement. We will look for bitcoin selling positions in the range of the channel ceiling (weekly).
Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OFF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. The break of the charted channel will pave the way down for Bitcoin. Bitcoin buying positions can be looked for in the two specified demand zones.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important.
Michael Saylor, founder of MicroStrategy and a prominent Bitcoin advocate, is set to present a Bitcoin investment strategy to Microsoft’s board of directors next month. On November 19, Saylor announced that he would have three minutes to outline the investment plan to the board.
This development follows Saylor’s headline-making proposal last month, where he offered to help Microsoft generate $1 trillion in revenue through a Bitcoin-based treasury strategy. In an October post on X, Saylor urged Satya Nadella to reach out if he wanted to secure the next trillion dollars for Microsoft’s shareholders.
The proposal came after reports that Microsoft shareholders would vote on a proposal to consider Bitcoin as a reserve asset. However, the board of directors blocked the proposal. Nevertheless, market observers noted that major shareholders like Vanguard, BlackRock, State Street, and Fidelity will play a critical role in the company’s final decision.
With $78 billion in cash reserves, Microsoft has made significant investments in companies such as Skype and OpenAI but has yet to allocate any funds to Bitcoin or related assets. Saylor argues that this approach is short-sighted and urges tech giants like Microsoft, Apple, and Google to consider Bitcoin as a superior alternative to cash reserves. According to Saylor, if Apple had invested $100 billion in Bitcoin, it could have grown to $500 billion, and the company would now have a $500 billion business growing at 20% annually.
Last week, altcoin trading volumes surpassed $300 billion for the first time since 2021.
Meanwhile, lawmakers in Pennsylvania have introduced a bill in the state’s House of Representatives that would allow the state treasury to allocate up to 10% of its funds to Bitcoin. If passed, the law would enable the Pennsylvania Treasurer to invest part of the state’s $9.7 billion general fund and its nearly $7 billion “rainy day” fund in Bitcoin.
Bitcoin itself has surged past $99,000, marking its largest monthly candle in several years. So far, the cryptocurrency has recorded a 40.67% monthly gain.
Donald Trump, the president-elect, has nominated Scott Bessent, a prominent hedge fund manager and cryptocurrency advocate, as the next Treasury Secretary. Bessent, founder of Key Square Group, is expected to play a pivotal role in shaping Trump’s economic policies and has supported the president-elect’s plan to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve.
Bessent’s nomination will require Senate confirmation. If approved, he will oversee the administration’s economic agenda, including tax reforms and cryptocurrency-related policies. His extensive experience in finance and investment is expected to influence the Treasury Department’s approach to emerging financial technologies.
Google searches for Bitcoin have reached their highest level in a year.
Meanwhile, Republican Senator Cynthia Lummis of Wyoming told CNBC, “The proposal I’ve put forward, and one that President Trump has discussed, involves creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve.” She added, “This digital asset acts like a gold standard, and a strategic Bitcoin reserve is a way to integrate it into our system.”
She explained that the Federal Reserve’s 12 banks currently hold reserves that include gold certificates, which can be revalued at fair market value. Senator Lummis proposed converting these gold reserves to Bitcoin, thereby eliminating the need to print new dollars to establish this reserve.
Bitcoin Hits All-Time High After BTC ETF Options DebutMarket Update - November 22, 2024
Takeaways
BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust became the first US spot bitcoin ETF approved for options trading: The price of bitcoin subsequently surged to nearly $98,000 on Thursday, reaching a new all-time high.
Institutional interest in MicroStrategy surged this week, with the value of those holdings jumping to $15.3 billion: Microstrategy founder Michael Saylor has continued to purchase bitcoin and MSTR shares have seen year-to-date gains of roughly 450%.
Trump considers Teresa Goody Guillén for SEC chair: Her appointment would likely usher in crypto-friendly policies and regulatory reform.
Meme coins including Bonk, Mog, and Brett have set all-time highs amid a rally partly driven by the resurgence of DOGE to $0.43: Bonk surged 120% following a burn campaign earlier this week, while Moo Deng also hit record prices.
Russia has drafted amendments to tax crypto income, classifying digital assets as property: The new laws would subject trading and mining income to a 15% personal income tax, while VAT exemptions would apply to crypto transactions.
➕ Topic of the Week: Recurring Buys
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SPY Long From Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SPY is trading in a strong
Uptrend an the index is
Already making a bullish
Rebound from the local
Horizontal support below
At 584$ which reinforces
Our bullish bias and makes
Us expect a further move up
Buy!
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Bitcoin - When will Bitcoin go to price correction?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the daily timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. Risk ON sentiment in the US stock market or investing in Bitcoin ETF funds will lead to its continued upward movement. We will look for bitcoin selling positions in the range of the channel ceiling (weekly).
Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. Bitcoin buying positions can be looked for in the two specified demand zones.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important.
US Spot Bitcoin ETFs
• Performance Last Week:
• During the first three trading days, US spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced substantial capital inflows, starting with a $1.11 billion inflow on the first day.
• However, in the last two trading days, the ETFs faced capital outflows of $400 million and $370 million, respectively.
• Weekly Summary:
Overall, the ETFs recorded a net capital inflow of $1.67 billion for the week, marking a positive performance.
Crypto Market Liquidations
• Coinglass Data:
• Over the past 24 hours, due to market volatility, more than 101,000 traders were liquidated, resulting in a total liquidation value of $231 million.
• This significant figure highlights the impact of recent market fluctuations on crypto traders.
Credit Agricole’s Analysis of the US Dollar
• Future of the Dollar:
• Unlike the 2018 rally driven by Trump-era policies, Credit Agricole argues that 2025 will not see a repeat of the same trend.
• Reasons:
• Current economic conditions differ significantly from 2018.
• Monetary policies and the dollar’s current strength indicate that the dynamics driving the dollar’s movements have shifted.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. on Bitcoin
• Bitcoin as the “Currency of Freedom”:
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr., former Secretary of Health under Trump, described Bitcoin as a tool for protecting the middle class from inflation and a solution to counter the devaluation of the dollar.
• He also highlighted Bitcoin’s potential role in addressing America’s crippling national debt, emphasizing its importance in the country’s economic future.
Declining Correlation Between Bitcoin and Gold
• The correlation between Bitcoin and gold has dropped to its lowest point in 11 months.
• James Stanley, Chief Market Strategist at Forex.com:
• Gold has recently reached an overbought status, and its price correction is reasonable.
• Investor Focus on Bitcoin:
As Bitcoin approaches the $100,000 threshold, gold may regain investor appeal, especially near critical support levels.