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Es1

#SP500 Update $SPYI keep watching for indications of trend tiredness, such as an ending diagonal pattern backed by divergence against the RSI, despite the market's persistent ascent. I believe I have located the little wave c that is marked with the numbers 12345 in grey letters. However, I believe that this is not the end and should be followed by wave c of (y) that is larger in magnitude, which began in June. And based on what has occurred thus far, I would anticipate another, even larger diagonal - C of (X) - to bundle everything together. Too many expectations, and they must all be met one by one.
FX:SPX500
by Fomenka
ES1! Whoa, bro! The SP500 and E Mini are totally gearing up for a radical ride! 🏄‍♂️ They're cruising towards some major stops, and if they start showing some gnarly price weakness, there might be a chance for a sick reversal to fill that daily liquidity void. Dude, that's like the perfect setup for a killer retracement trade against the wave! And check this out, man, there's a potential long trade possibility from the liq fill around the $4327 region on ES1! 🤙 That's like catching a big wave right before it breaks, setting you up for a tubular ride to the moon! Keep your eyes peeled, bro, 'cause this market's gonna be a wild one! Watch for those juicy setups and get ready to drop in on those sweet trades! 🌊 Stay chill, trust your instincts, and ride those waves like a true surfer of the market! So, dudes, let's shred it out there, take those opportunities, and ride the markets like we're born to do! Cowabunga, my trading bros! 🤘😎
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by themarketknight
Weekly Update: Dead Bears are Starting to Stink up the JointThe last couple months have been challenging if you were bearish on the markets. However, recently it seems one by one, all the bearish analysts and money managers are now issuing their mea culpas, and are quickly embracing the bullish market perspective. I am no different. I made the mistake of allowing my analytical bias to remain front and center for too long within this move off the October 2022 lows. Its obvious now that I have the benefit of hindsight. When the ES advanced past 4208.50 in late May and subsequently went straight up, I should have been open to higher levels. Now the SP Futures are within 5% of their all-time highs. This post is not an attempt to justify my past perspectives post May. If I am to be 100% objective, the probabilities do favor bears now more so than any time in the past 10 Months. Let me explain. Our decline from the January 2022 highs surprised most market watchers. My scan of perspectives of in January 2022 timeframe yielded most we’re expecting a minor decline, only to the 4300-4400 level. The 3500 level was a surprise to nearly all. Currently most market watchers have remained cautious to outright bearish since October 2022, and are now surprised. Myself included. But we should expect a decline now. The question should be to what magnitude. Bears can dwell on the inverted yield curve, the potential for a recession, the unprecedented interest rate escalation and to what end? The markets continue to advance in the face of unparalleled uncertainty. Side Note: Do the markets like uncertainty now? LOL As an Elliottition, I can say we are at the end of a wave count now. That doesn’t mean we can’t extend higher. It also doesn’t mean we won’t hit new all-time highs later in the year. But even in the bullish scenario, we’re at a top. Of what magnitude I cannot say because this retracement will give us the answers we need to come to that conclusion. The various pathways are outlined in the above chart. However, what drives the market is the prevailing investor sentiment of market participants. Below you will see a chart of investor sentiment. ycharts.com We have recently hit a high in sentiment where declines soon follow. So, I think it’s prudent to keep in eye on sentiment in conjunction with the market price machinations. Lastly where as the Nasdaq had led the way up off last years low, I ask is the Nasdaq about to led us in the decline? The Nasdaq looks to have a high probability, low risk set up to the downside. Sure, the set-up can be invalidated…but in my opinion, we’re so close to the recent highs that the risk can be controlled with stops. Whereas, this set up could easily yield a 1,000-point decline vs a couple hundred-point advance, determined by one’s risk appetite. I have issued my mea culpa. It’s time to get back to being objective; and to be 100% objective we should soon expect a tradeable decline with some meat on the bones for the Bears. After which, we can assess the possibility of new all-time highs, or something even more ominous to the downside.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by maikisch
2
S&P500: Needs one last pullback before a new High.S&P500 is trading inside a narrow Channel Up, loosely supported by the 4H MA50 (RSI = 58.828, MACD = 5.720, ADX = 49.301). This pattern implies a rejection within the 4,605 - 4,620 Zone targeting 4,550. We are looking for a buy there or if S1 (4,527.50) breaks then near the 4H MA200 at 4,485 (also a HL trendline). In both instances our target is the R1 (TP = 4,640). It is important to observe the 4H RSI. The Channel Down's Bearish Divergence can lead it to the S1 Zone, where the stronger buys of June 26th and July 10th occured. This can coincide with the 4H MA200 test. Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500
by InvestingScope
5
How Long Will This Precarious Rally Continue?S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 07/28 In our trading plans yesterday, we published: "The risk continues to be to the downside, so longs might want to be cautious; however, bears have to wait for their opportunity strike and not jump the gun". There was a little pull back - bears should not rejoice, yet. The question on everybody's mind - whether they are a bull or a bear or a bystander - is: "How long can this rally continue?". And, nobody knows - or, can know - the answer, of course. But, as long as there are doubters, the rally will still have some steam left in it - mostly, feasting on short squeezes. The rest of this week's earnings should shed some more light on how the markets are shaping up in the wake of the sticky inflation. If they continue to appear to be on track or with a bias to the upside surprises then the next bull leg could get well entrenched. But, If the earnings show any unexpected weakness ("unexpected" is the key word there), then we might have seen an interim top. The previously stated level of 4575-4580 is now the key support/resistance level, with the 4603-4610 range the next resistance level. Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4598, 4584, 4575, or 4555 with an 8-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4588, 4570, 4563, 4550, or 4535 with a 9-point trailing stop.  Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 4545 or 4580, and explicit short exits on a break above 4540 or 4583. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 10:01am EST or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. Positional Trading Plans: Our positional models continue to indicate staying out of the markets until otherwise stated. By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an index-tracking instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #earnings
CBOE:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
1
S&P 500, 7/28/23For Friday, 4576.75 can contain session strength, below which 4488.25 remains 3 - 5 day target able to contain weekly selling pressures, and essentially the start of a wide zone down to 4391.25 able to absorb selling through August activity. Upside Friday, pushing/opening above 4576.75 allows 4638.25 intraday, also able to contain session strength and the level to settle above for yielding the significant 4670.50 - 4682.50 region by the end of next week, able to contain buying through August activity.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by SpecialeAnalysis
The Bull-Goldilocks Is Humming AlongS&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 07/27 Almost as everyone and their grandmother predicted, the FOMC hiked another 25 basis points. With the FOMC faded into the background, earnings stories would continue to set the market tone until they begin to feel the bull run fatigue setting in. The risk continues to be to the downside, so longs might want to be cautious; however, bears have to wait for their opportunity strike and not jump the gun. The rest of this week's earnings should shed some more light on how the markets are shaping up in the wake of the sticky inflation. If they continue to appear to be on track or with a bias to the upside surprises then the next bull leg could get well entrenched. But, If the earnings show any unexpected weakness ("unexpected" is the key word there), then we might have seen an interim top. The previously stated level of 4575-4580 is now the immediate support level, while 4603-4610 are the next resistance level. Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4598, 4584, 4575, or 4568 with an 8-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4588, 4572, or 4563 with a 9-point trailing stop.  Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 4593 or 4580, and explicit short exits on a break above 4583. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 11:31am EST or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. Positional Trading Plans: Our positional models continue to indicate staying out of the markets until otherwise stated. By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an index-tracking instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #earnings, #fomc, #powell, #interestrates
CBOE:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
S&P500 This new Channel Up can lead it to the All Time High.The S&P500 (SPX) index has been rising non-stop and appears not to be influenced by yesterday's Fed Rate Decision. The price reached however the top of Channel Up 1, the pattern that has been driving the price action since the October 13 2022 Bear Cycle bottom. This calls for a technical pull-back similar to the December 01 2022 and February 02 2023 Higher Highs, however that can only be confirmed after the 1D RSI breaks below its Higher Lows trend-line, which is exactly what happened on those fractals. Until then, and as long as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is supporting (has been unbroken since March 29), the more recent Channel Up 2, can lead the price to the 4820 All Time High (ATH) of January 04 2022. Of course before that Resistance 1 (March 29 2022 High) is present at 4640, so since Channel Up 2 is also on its top (Higher Highs trend-line), we can consider a Megaphone (sideways) consolidation, similar to what took place in April. As long as its hits the 1D MA50 and rebounds, we will be bullish, targeting 4820 on the new bullish leg (green arc). On the other hand if the index does close a 1D candle below the 1D MA50 and the 1D RSI breaks below its Higher Lows trend-line, we will sell and target the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 4250. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TradingShot
1
ES1! Supply and Demand LevelsLink to chart: www.tradingview.com I felt compelled to share this as we are starting to enter a previous 2022 resistance level. It looks like we have the bulls to move up higher before we hit this bears territory. Nonetheless, we will stay patient to let the charts and price action determine how we will execute. I am using ES as a confluence/indicator for when I trade NQ, as they ride along each other. I do not have any certain direction that the market will take to post as I normally do, but just watching the levels listed on my chart and price action to show me what trades I should take the day of.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by tradeswithjess
S&P 500, 7/27/23For Thursday, 4632.75 can contain session strength, 4558.75 in reach and able to contain session weakness. Closing today below 4536.75 signals 4482.75 within 3 - 5 days, where the market can bottom out through next week, and the point to settle below for indicating the more meaningful 4386.25 within 3 - 5 more days, able to absorb selling pressures through August trade. Upside Thursday, closing above 4632.75 indicates a test tomorrow of the significant 4670.50 - 4682.50 region, able to contain buying through August activity.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by SpecialeAnalysis
S&P500 Short term pull back technically possibleThe S&P500 / US500 touched the 4hour MA50 after the Fed Rate Decision for the first time since July 11th. This isn't a medium term buy signal as the current 2 month Channel Up, has given two strong buy entries lower, on the 4hour MA100. We expect the price to hit it at 4510. Buy there and target the Channel Up Top at 4630 (under Resistance A). The 4hour MACD Bear Cross formation, also hints to a pullback. Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by TheCryptagon
9
Is the Inflation Fight Still Relevant? We Shall Find Out Today!S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 07/26 With a quarter-point rate increase almost a given, today's FOMC meeting may be a non-event, and earnings could be the driving force for the next few weeks. Only some unexpectedly negative revelations/indications from Chair Powell today could influence the markets - otherwise, the FOMC release and the presser could be just fading into the background. The risk is to the downside, so longs might want to be cautious. Earnings so far this season indicate strong positive momentum. This week's earnings should shed some light on how the markets are shaping up in the wake of the sticky inflation. If they continue to appear to be on track or with a bias to the upside surprises then the next bull leg could get well entrenched. But, If the earnings show any unexpected weakness ("unexpected" is the key word there), then we might have seen an interim top. The previously stated level of 4525-4535 is now a key area of support; 4575-4580 is the next area of resistance. Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4581 or 4532 with an 8-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4575 or 4529 with a 9-point trailing stop.  Models indicate no explicit exits. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 02:50pm EST or later (i.e, way into the Chair Powell's press conference). By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  Positional Trading Plans: Our positional models indicate staying out of the markets until otherwise stated. By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an index-tracking instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session. NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #earnings, #fomc, #powell, #interestrates
SP:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
S&P 500, 7/26/23For Wednesday, 4627.50 can contain session strength, 4556.75 in reach and able to contain session weakness. Closing today below 4536.75 signals 4477.25 within several days, where the market can bottom out through next week, and the point to settle below for indicating the more meaningful 4385.50 within 3 - 5 more days, able to absorb selling pressures through August trade. Upside Wednesday, closing above 4627.50 indicates a test tomorrow of the significant 4670.50 - 4682.50 region, able to contain buying through August activity.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by SpecialeAnalysis
S&P 500 analysis for: 7/25/23For Tuesday, 4622.25 can contain session strength, below which 4493.75 is attainable by Friday’s close. Inside this wide range,4592.75 and contain intraday buying, and 4528.00 intraday weakness. Breaking 4528.00 allows 4493.75 intraday, able to contain session weakness. Closing below 4493.75 indicates 4471.50 tomorrow, where the market can place a weekly low, and the point to settle below for indicating the more meaningful 4375.50 by the end of next week, able to absorb selling pressures through August trade. Upside Tuesday, pushing/opening above 4592.75 allows 4622.25 intraday, able to contain session strength and the level to settle above for yielding the significant 4670.50 - 4682.50 region within several days, able to contain buying through August activity.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by SpecialeAnalysis
Earnings to Trump FOMC this Week?S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for MON. 07/24 With a quarter-point rate increase almost a given, the July FOMC meeting may be a non-event, and earnings could be the driving force for the next few weeks. This week's earnings should shed some light on how the markets are shaping up in the wake of the sticky inflation. Earnings so far this season indicate strong positive momentum. If the earnings continue to appear to be on track or with a bias to the upside surprises then the next bull leg could get well entrenched. But, If the earnings show any unexpected weakness ("unexpected" is the key word there), then we might have seen an interim top. The previously stated level of 4525-4535 is now a key area of support, and 4575-4580 is the next area of resistance. Positional Trading Models: Our positional models indicate staying out of the markets until otherwise stated. By definition, positional trading models may carry the positions overnight and over multiple days, and hence assume trading an index-tracking instrument that trades beyond the regular session, with the trailing stops - if any - being active in the overnight session. Aggressive/Intraday Models: Our aggressive, intraday models indicate the trading plans below for today. Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4562, 4545, or 4532 with an 8-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4559, 4540, or 4529 with a 9-point trailing stop.  Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 4548. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 02:31pm EST or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #earnings
SP:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
Futures on BTC and S&P500: The ratio you should considerThe main chart is the ratio between Futures on BTC and S&P500 👉 Bitcoin CME Futures contracts are equal to 5 bitcoin, as defined by the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate (BRR) 👉 E-mini S&P500 Futures contracts are equal to 50 x S&P500 Index Special remarks 😀 The Support Area and Resistance Areas are as highlighted on the chart. 😊 Since Bitcoin CME Futures were launched in Dec, 2017, S&P500 outperforms BTC to nowadays. 😁 Bitcoin has NO BALANCE SHEET, EARNGINS AND NEVER PAY DIVIDENDS
CME:BTC1!
by Pandorra
2
S&P 500, 7/24/23The 4670.50 - 4682.50 region can contain buying through August, once tested 4375.00 attainable within 3 - 5 weeks where the market can bottom out through September trade. A daily settlement below 4375.00 indicates 4155.50 long-term support over the following 3 - 5 weeks, able to contain selling through the balance of the year. Upside, a daily settlement above 4682.50 indicates the 4808.25, January 2022 high within several weeks, and onto new highs within several months. - For Monday, 4616.75 can contain session strength, below which 4493.75 is attainable by Friday’s close. Inside this wide range, 4572.50 and contain intraday buying, and 4528.00 intraday weakness. Breaking 4528.00 allows 4493.75 intraday, able to contain session weakness. Closing below 4493.75 indicates 4466.25 tomorrow, where the market can place a weekly low, and the point to settle below for indicating the more meaningful 4375.00 by the end of next week, able to absorb selling pressures through August trade. Upside Monday, pushing/opening above 4572.50 allows 4616.75 intraday, able to contain session strength and the level to settle above for yielding the significant 4670.50 - 4682.50 region within several days, able to contain buying through August activity.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by SpecialeAnalysis