Get started

Es1

Country Garden is unable to meet the offshore debt payments The past few days were quite choppy for SPX. However, S&P 500 E-mini Futures have not broken above the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. That allows us to maintain a bearish stance and keep the recently introduced setup valid. As a result, there is not much to write about today, except for one noteworthy thing that caught our attention overnight: one of the largest Chinese real estate developers, Country Garden, failed to meet offshore debt payments (already in the grace period), suggesting default proceedings might be next. We will update our thoughts on the asset with the emergence of new developments. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of ES1! and Fibonacci retracement levels. Technical analysis gauge Daily time frame = Neutral Weekly time frame = Slightly bearish *The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
SP:SPXShort
by Tradersweekly
6
S&P500 Bullish Flag calls for a buy.The S&P500 got rejected twice near the MA50 (1d), causing a 7 day decline. Since the October rise has been stronger so far than this decline, we can consider it as a Bullish Flag. The price is approaching the MA200 (1d), where the October rally basically started. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 4380 (MA50 1d). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) is on the exact symmetrical level as the September 7th Low. An additional bullish signal, at least for the short term. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TradingBrokersView
3
Powell's Speech to Provide Market Direction?S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 10/19 This week marks the beginning of the peak of Q3 earnings season, and a potential inflection points in the geopolitical risks with signs of potential ground operations to begin by Israel in Gaza. Geopolitical risks, high interest rates, sticky inflation, extremely strong jobs market, early signs of consumers beginning to scale back...yet, retail bullish positioning has increased this week again. Powell's speech today may not necessarily provide any clear market direction, yet it could lead to some knee jerk moves. We have been publishing for the last two weeks: "Our models indicate 4310 as the level to close above for the current bearish bias to be negated". Now, this 4310 is the main support level and a daily close below that is needed for our models to turn bearish. The market tested this level briefly yesterday, Wed. 10/18, but bounced right back up to close a few points above it. This level may come into play again today, and how the price action ends today with respect to this level could give us some indications of near-term market direction. Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4377, 4352, 4322, 4306, or 4285 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4365, 4345, 4312, 4301, or 4280 with a 9-point trailing stop.  Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 4370 or 4319, and explicit short exits on a break above 4370 or 4314. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 09:59am EST or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #softlanding, #higher4longer, #higherforlonger, #israel, #geopolitical, #earnings, #powellspeech
SP:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
ES1! Trade Plan For 10/19/23The bears are currently in control of the market, but in the bigger picture it is a two-way tape. It's important to note that interest rates are rising across the board. The 30-year rate is above 5% and the 10-year rate is approaching 5%. This is not a positive sign for stocks. As I've mentioned before, interest rates dictate market direction. When rates rise, stocks tend to have a bearish bias, overriding short-term technical indicators. Keep an eye on gold and oil as well, as they can indicate any escalation in the Middle East conflict. Currently, both markets are trading within their normal range of volatility. Here's my plan for today: I'll be looking at my 3-minute chart with VWAPs and standard deviation lines. The bears will face their first challenge in defending the range of 4356-4363 this morning. If the market reaches that level, I'll consider short-selling. If we sustain trade below that range, we could potentially head down to the 4325-4315 area, although it may be a volatile journey. I anticipate some resistance from the bulls around 4341-4335, and the market could be highly volatile today. If we manage to surpass 4363, there's a possibility of a rally up to 4377-4384. However, I won't be a buyer during that rally unless interest rates start declining. I'll be looking to short-sell again if the market reaches the 4377-4384 range. This is a crucial area for the bulls today, as a failure to break above it will likely lead to more sellers and downward momentum. It's important to emphasize that this is a highly unpredictable market, so it's wise to trade with caution and keep positions small. Anything can happen in this environment, so avoid becoming too attached to any particular trade.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by anthonycrudele
S&P500 Channel Up trades depending on the 4hour MA50.The S&P500 / US500 is trading inside a larget Bearish Megaphone pattern, which is rising lately to price a Lower High on the Falling Resistance. This creates the potential for two Channel Up patterns, a dotted one more aggressive and a dashed one less aggressive. The determining factor is the 4hour MA50. So far it is holding and favors the more aggressive version. Buy and target 4450 (Falling Resistance). If it breaks, buy for a second time near the bottom of the less aggressive Channel Up and target 4440 (Falling Resistance). A triple straight Bullish Cross on the 4hour MACD is a strong indication of a bullish trend, that's why we use a double buy entry approach. Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TheCryptagon
3
Earnings Season Kicks OffS&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for FRI. 10/13 Today marks the kick off of the Q3 earnings season, and a potential inflection points in the geopolitical risks with signs of potential ground operations to begin by Israel in Gaza. Geopolitical risks, high interest rates, sticky inflation - reiterated by this morning's CPI numbers, extremely strong jobs market, early signs of consumers beginning to scale back...yet, retail bullish positioning has increased this week again. Is this Fools rushing in where Angels fear to tread or retail investors having some crystal ball into the future that institutions don't have access to? Only time can tell. However, our AI-driven models (since 2018 - not a "me too AI" bandwagon hopper) have negated the bearish bias yesterday, Tue. 10/10, based on the last two sessions' price action and in line with what we have been publishing for the last week or so: "Our models indicate 4310 as the level to close above for the current bearish bias to be negated". Now, this 4310 is the main support level and a daily close below that is needed for our models to turn bearish. Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4402, 4384, 4371, 4361, or 4312 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4398, 4357, 4348, 4332, or 4308 with a 9-point trailing stop.  Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 4380, 4375, or 4367, and explicit short exits on a break above 4353 or 4336. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 10:11am EST or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #softlanding, #higher4longer, #higherforlonger, #israel, #geopolitical, #earnings
SP:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
S&P500 Giant Cup and Handle completed? 5000 realistic now?The S&P500 index (SPX) has been trading within a Channel Down since the mid-July High. Last week though made a strong reversal on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) and the 1D MA200, closed the candle in green and is about to do so again for the 2nd straight week today. Ahead of a 1W MA50/100 Bullish Cross (the first in 7 years), this Channel Down can be interpreted as nothing more than the Handle of a Giant Cup and Handle pattern. We can argue that the whole Inflation Crisis of 2022 has been a Cup and Handle with the subsequent market recovery. The breaking of the 1W RSI Higher Lows trend-line indicates on the macro level a shift to a new, less aggressive trend, as the 2023 rally isn't easily sustainable without more fundamental catalysts. As a result, as long as the MA Support Cluster holds, we resume being bullish long-term. Target 1 is 4700 (bottom of the All Time High Resistance Zone) and by Q2 2024 Target 2 at 5000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPXLong
by TradingShot
3
S&P500 Strong MA200 (4h) rejection.S&P500 has had a strong rejection on the MA200 (4h) level today. It happened after it rose by +4.70% from last week's low, the same degree of rise as the September 1st Lower High did. Since the pattern is a Falling Megaphone, selling is prioritized. Trading Plan: 1. Sell on the first green (4h) candle. Targets: 1. 4300 (-2.40% decline like the September 7th pull back). Tips: 1. The RSI (4h) remains on a Rising Support. Breaking under it validates the sell. 2. Breaking over the MA200 (4h) on the other hand invalidates it. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by TradingBrokersView
2
Market to suck in die-hard bulls before abrupt reversal?Finally, the SPX rebounded to the level we initially expected it to reach (outlined last Friday). This move was accompanied by a bullish reversal in RSI, MACD, and Stochastic on the daily chart. To support a continuation higher, we want to see these indicators continue to develop bullish structures. However, to support a thesis that this is merely a correction of a prolonged downtrend that began in late July 2023, we would want to see RSI peak below 70 points (which is very common for downtrend corrections). In addition to that, we would like to see MACD fail to break above the midpoint. As for our stance, we continue to wait on the sidelines (for short re-entry if the situation develops as expected). However, at the moment, we still do not feel comfortable to take action. The SPX might continue higher, potentially to the level where it sucks in bulls who start predicting new all-time highs and soft landing, just before an abrupt reversal. If we were to think of such a level, it would be somewhere near $4,450 (coinciding with the breakout above the sloping resistance). Though this is, of course, only a speculation at this point. It is not warranted the market will rebound as high (especially as yesterday’s candle looks somewhat exhausted). Therefore, for minor clues, we will pay close attention to the price’s ability to hold above the 20-day SMA and Resistance 1; a failure to stay above these levels will raise our suspicion and potentially signal a loss of upside momentum. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of BTCUSD and two simple moving averages. The 20-day SMA acts as a support. If the price fails to hold above this level, it will be slightly bearish and raise our suspicion. Technical analysis gauge Daily time frame = Slightly bullish Weekly time frame = Slightly bearish *The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
SP:SPXLong
by Tradersweekly
8
Fools Rushing In or Angels' Crystal Ball? Day 3S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 10/12 Geopolitical risks, high interest rates, sticky inflation - reiterated by this morning's CPI numbers, extremely strong jobs market, early signs of consumers beginning to scale back...yet, retail bullish positioning has increased this week again. Is this Fools rushing in where Angels fear to tread or retail investors having some crystal ball into the future that institutions don't have access to? Only time can tell. However, our AI-driven models (since 2018 - not a "me too AI" bandwagon hopper) have negated the bearish bias yesterday, Tue. 10/10, based on the last two sessions' price action and in line with what we have been publishing for the last week or so: "Our models indicate 4310 as the level to close above for the current bearish bias to be negated". Now, this 4310 is the main support level and a daily close below that is needed for our models to turn bearish. Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4401, 4388, 4380, 4347, or 4337 with a 8-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4398, 4368, 4355, 4343, or 4334 with a 9-point trailing stop.  Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 4385 or 4376, and explicit short exits on a break above 4359 or 4371. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 09:32am EST or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #softlanding, #higher4longer, #higherforlonger, #israel, #geopolitical, #cpi
SP:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
S&P500: Bearish as long as the Megaphone holds.Bullish if brokenS&P500 hit the 4,375 target of our last signal (chart at the end) and turned neutral on the 1D technical timeframe (RSI = 54.575, MACD = -15.020, ADX = 40.128). The rise is now approaching the 1D MA50, over which the new top was formed before on the LH of the Bearish Megaphone. We will wait for the top and short, aiming at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement (TP = 4,325) as it happened with the September 7th pull back. If the price crosses over the LH, we will wait to buy on the first pull back near the 1D MA50 and target July's High (TP = 4,600). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500
by InvestingScope
9
/ES: Bearish Bat Still Targeting $4250 or Lower/ES formed another level of MACD Bearish Divergence near the HOP of this Bearish Bat, and from the $4,400 level of interest after briefly peaking above it. During the PPI release, it has peaked back above it again, but on what seems to be less relative strength, so I overall suspect that it will fail from here and come down to test $4,350, and if that level doesn't hold, then it will likely go all the way down to the lower support range of $4,250, where it will then be in danger of breaking below the trading range entirely, which would take it potentially to or even below $4,000 really fast.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by RizeSenpai
Fools Rushing In or Angels' Crystal Ball? Day 2S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for WED. 10/11 Geopolitical risks, high interest rates, sticky inflation, extremely strong jobs market, early signs of consumers beginning to scale back (per Walmart's CEO)...yet, retail bullish positioning has increased last week. Is this Fools rushing in where Angels fear to tread or retail investors having some crystal ball into the future that institutions don't have access to? Only time can tell. However, our AI-driven models (since 2018 - not a "me too AI" bandwagon hopper) have negated the bearish bias yesterday, Tue. 10/10, based on the last two sessions' price action and in line with what we have been publishing for the last week or so: "Our models indicate 4310 as the level to close above for the current bearish bias to be negated". Now, this 4310 is the main support level and a daily close below that is needed for our models to turn bearish. Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4401, 4390, 4381, 4359, or 4321 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4397, 4376, 4356, 4332, or 4315 with a 9-point trailing stop.  Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 4387, and explicit short exits on a break above 4335. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 10:01am EST or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #softlanding, #higher4longer, #higherforlonger, #israel, #geopolitical
SP:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom
Fools Rushing In Or Angels' Crystal Ball?S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for TUE. 10/10 Geopolitical risks, high interest rates, sticky inflation, early signs of consumers beginning to scale back (per Walmart's CEO)...yet, retail bullish positioning has increased last week. Is this Fools rushing in where Angels fear to tread or retail investors having some crystal ball into the future that institutions don't have access to? Only time can tell. However, our AI-driven models (since 2018 - not a "me too AI" bandwagon hopper) have negated the bearish bias, based on the last two sessions' price action and in line with what we have been publishing for the last week or so: "Our models indicate 4310 as the level to close above for the current bearish bias to be negated". Now, this 4310 is the main support level and a daily close below that is needed for our models to turn bearish. Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4379, 4357, 4343, 4322, or 4300 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4375, 4353, 4338, 4319, or 4297 with a 9-point trailing stop.  Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 4307, and explicit short exits on a break above 4315. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 10:31am EST or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #softlanding, #higher4longer, #higherforlonger, #israel, #geopolitical
SP:SPX
by TradersAIDotCom