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Brent Oil Slides Despite OPEC+ CutsOPEC and allies including Russia, have been implementing a series of supply reductions since late-2022, which have helped support oil prices and on Sunday they agreed to prolong those curbs . Around 3.66 million barrels (mbpd) of cuts that were due to expire at the end of the year were rolled over into 2025. The most recent tranche of 2.2 mbpd that would expire at the end of the month was extended into Q3 and will be phased of gradually after that. The decision keeps current total reduction cuts at nearly 5.9 mbpd and almost 6% of global output. On the other hand, members will start tapering some of those curbs over a 12-month period starting in the fourth quarter and the detailed plan could hinder their ability to keep output lower, if such need arises. Furthermore, the group sidestepped the contentious issue of capacity, while compliance has generally been loose in the past. Brent oil slumps following the decision, as output will start to go up from October, just as non-OPEC countries like the US keep pumping oil. At the same time, demand growth is expected to decelerate sharply this year. Optimism for Middle East ceasefire, along with poor China PMIs, also contributed. UKOil is now exposed to this year’s lows (74.76), although breaching those of 2023 (70.09) is a much harder task. However, the deep output cuts by OPEC+ will lead to tighter market at least in the near term and this can continue to support oil prices. Furthermore, central banks are moving towards less restrictive monetary policies, which can also help. On the technical side, the RSI points to extremely oversold conditions that can contain the fall and give UKOil the opportunity to rebound. A return above the EMA200 (blackline) that would pause the bearish bias would need strong catalyst though and the upside is unfriendly. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
FX:UKOILLong
by FXCM
Kiwi Upside Bias Strengthened after Hawkish RBNZThe Reserve Bank of New Zealand delivered a hawkish hold on Wednesday, as it raised the OCR forecast to 5.7%, leaving room for further tightening. Policymakers believe that longer restriction may be needed to achieve the 1-3% inflation target and also upgraded their forecast, expecting CPI to fall less and slower than previously thought. The US Fed meanwhile has adopted a cautious stance towards removing monetary restraint, due to stubborn inflation this year, strong economy and robust labor market. The central bank is still widely expected to lower rates this year though. Most commentary - including from Chair Powell - has dismissed prospects of rate hikes, pointing to the need that sustained restrictive stance to control inflation. The monetary policy differential favors the Kiwi, since RBNZ has kept more tightening in play, whereas its US counterpart has hinted to cuts. NZD/USD is on the driver’s seat with the ability to tackle 0.6219, although news 2024 highs, but further gains towards 0.6412 have higher degree of difficulty. On the other hand, the Fed’s apprehension provides support to the greenback and this can create pressure back toward the EMA200 (black line). Daily closes below it would pause the upside bias, but sustained weakness below it does not look easy – fundamentally and technically as the daily Ichimoku looms. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Long
by FXCM
AUDUSD Exposed to Pivotal Support in the RBA AftermathThe Reserve Bank of Australia raised its 2024 inflation forecast on Tuesday and appeared more concerned around achieving its 2-3% target. Despite considering the case for a hike, policymakers decided to hold rates at 4.35% for fourth straight meeting. The Aussie reacted lower, as markets likely expected a more hawkish language from the RBA, given the upgraded CPI projections. At the same time, inflation persistence in the US has turned the Fed cautious towards lowering rates, pedaling the higher-for-longer narrative. Markets have pushed back the timing of such moves to beyond summer and price in just 25-50 bps worth of cuts this year. AUDUSD is now exposed to the critical confluence of supports, provided by the EMA200 and the 38.2% Fibonacci of the April low/May high advance. Daily closes below it would shift immediate bias to the downside and open the door to further losses towards 0.6464. However, the policy differential is unlikely to fuel sustained weakness and if anything, it could become supportive. The Fed is still projected to cut this year, whereas markets have priced out such moves by the RBA for around a year more and Governor Bullock did not rule out hikes. Above the EMA200 and the 38.2% Fibonacci, bulls are in control with the ability to set higher highs. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Long
by FXCM
Technicals Made Easy: Technical Dissection of Nifty Hourly ChartIn The above chart you can see how Nifty follows various Technical aspects of the chart. First of all we can see a Parallel channel in which Nifty is travelling. The channel has 3 parts. 1) Channel Top. 2) Channel Bottom. 3) Mid Channel. Channel top will always work as a resistance and Channel bottom will always will work as support. Channel Mid or Mid channel will act as support or resistance depending on where the candles are. If the candles are below the mid-line, the line will act as resistance. If the candles are above the mid-line, the line will act as support. Similarly the 50 and 200 EMA (Mother and Father lines) have similar characteristics. If the candles are below respective Mother and father line, the lines will act as resistance. If the candles are above the EMAs the EMAs will act as supports. In the chart we also see negative MACD crossover at one particular point and candles behaving bearishly after the same. Similarly after a positive MACD crossover the candles might behave bullishly. Technical analysis is simple process by which you try to study the combined psychology of overall investors and how they behave at particular levels. Technical analysis in other words is graphical representation of behavioural patterns of investors, keeping historical data at the core of decision making. It is also science and not some wizardry or magic. In case you want to learn more about Technical or Techno-Funda analysis you can leave a comment below.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
1
SOXL: Tactical approach to scale in and outStudying recent price action in SOXL (3X ETF on SMH - semiconductor segment). Example of an uptrend that ended (as defined by 34EMA wave), and then a retracement from 200MA back up to the 34. In this scenario, be cautious about buying into the bounce as it can often drop back down after reaching the 34 again from the bottom. Past support becomes current resistance. Capture gains tactically but exiting a portion of the position once reaching that potential resistance, and again if the breakdown does occur. Determination of what is considered a breakdown, and how much to reduce is suggested as 2 candles showing downtrend, and 50% reduction.
AMEX:SOXL
by cch31
The Aussie is Vulnerable Despite its BounceAUD/USD rises after its 2024 lows as the greenback’s strength deflates, eying the pivotal EMA200 and daily closes above it would shift bias to the upside. However, such outcome has high degree of difficulty technically. The EMA200 can contain the rebound and sustain the bearish bias, which would keep the Aussie exposed to the 2023 lows (0.6269). The hawkish repricing around the Fed is likely to continue to help for the USDollar, as stubborn inflation, strong economy and robust labor market favor a conservative approach around rate cuts by the Fed. Its Australian counterpart seems to be further from such moves at this stage, but today’s poor labor data strengthen the case for an RBA pivot. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Short
by FXCM
XRP | ST Long H1 | Chance to RallyPair: XRPUSDT Timeframe: H1 Direction: Long Technical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastic momentum is neutral - Price action supported by 100MA - Price bounced off 61.8% Fib levels Fundamental Confluences for Trade: - XRP plans to launch US-denominated stablecoin to bridge the gap between Crypto & Fiat will help generate more uses & liquidity for the XRP Ledger blockchain Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 0.6030 - 0.6100 SL @ 0.5856 TP 1 @ 0.6225 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 0.6405 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 1.72 (Depending on Entry Level) May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D *This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
Long
by weekendanalyst
Kiwi Upbeat after the RBNZ Hold but US CPI LoomsNZD/USD reacted positively as the RBNZ kept rates again at 5.5%, appeared a little more worried about inflation than the last time and said it is necessary to maintain a restrictive stance to reduce price pressures. The move above the EMA200 gives it the opportunity to take out the 38.2% Fibonacci, but does not yet inspire confidence for further gains that would challenge 0.6217. RBNZ appears further form a pivot than its US counterpart, but the Fed has turned cautious around lowering rates and the three cuts scenario is being questioned. The RSI points to overbought conditions that can contain the upside and a rejection of the 38.2% Fibo would keep new 2024 lows in play (0.5938). Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
by FXCM
Bitcoin Trends: Identifying Bullish and Bearish Signal.Hello Trading View Community, From soaring to record highs to suddenly dropping over 10%, Bitcoin (BTC) has been full of surprises. Today, let's dive into this rollercoaster ride, exploring the twists and turns of Bitcoin's recent price movements and what might lie ahead. Bear Divergence in RSI and Price Action 📉 Our journey starts with a notable bear divergence on BTC's daily chart. Here's the scene: Bitcoin prices reaching for the stars while the RSI, our trusty sidekick, decides it's not quite ready to leave the ground. This divergence signals a potential cooldown or reversal on the horizon, suggesting the latest rally might need to catch its breath. What Does the Trend Say? 🔄 Rewind to October, when our trend-finding indicator flashed a bright Long signal, setting the stage for the rally that led to January's highs. This beacon was a trader's dream, but like all dreams, a wakeup call—marked by today's shift, as spotted by our dot plotter—suggests a moment of pause or a plot twist in Bitcoin's saga. Plotting the Dots... 📍 Our dot plotter, straightforward yet insightful, has begun signaling a change in momentum, suggesting the party might be winding down. It's like the DJ switching from high-energy beats to a slow jam, hinting it's time to pay attention to the changing vibes. EMA's to the Rescue? 🛡️ Zooming into the EMAs, we see Bitcoin comfortably above our 21 EMA (the one in pink), keeping the bullish spirit alive. However, it's a delicate balance; staying above this line could mean this is just another one of Bitcoin's famed quick corrections. Wrapping It Up... 🎬 Considering the bear divergence in RSI and the signals from our custom indicators, a bit of caution could go a long way. The journey since October has been lucrative for those who followed the Long signals, but the road ahead seems uncertain. The convergence of our analysis suggests it might be time to brace for a potential short-term shift. For enthusiasts hoping to see Bitcoin's ascent resume, the key is to stay vigilant with the charts in the coming days, with a keen eye on the weekly close. This current dip may very well be one of Bitcoin's classic corrections that prelude a continued upward trajectory. Yet, caution remains the word of the day. As we navigate this uncertain terrain, the descent of Bitcoin will have us closely monitoring for a close below the 21 EMA, signaling a potential shift in strategy. A new Short signal could then emerge as our beacon, guiding our next moves in this ever-evolving saga of Bitcoin trading. Thank you for joining me on this analysis. If you've found it helpful or entertaining, a "Like" or "Follow" would be much appreciated. Trade wisely, and remember, these insights are here to aid your journey, not dictate it. These are just ideas, not trading advise...
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by jnpTrends
Bitcoin's Retracement: Back down to the 50k~60k rangeBitcoin is currently in a retracement move, making many nervous, but there is nothing to worry about. This pullback, while notable, is not unprecedented in BTC's storied history. However, it sets the stage for a potentially massive pump following the upcoming halving event, thanks in part to the burgeoning presence of Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) by Blackrock and the like. The Retracement: A Brief Overview Bitcoin's latest retracement could see a retracement as low as $51,968 and as high as $59,000, reminding us all about Bitcoin's notorious volatility. Such corrections are not unusual in the lead-up to Bitcoin's halving events—periodic occurrences that halve the reward for mining new blocks, effectively reducing the new supply of Bitcoin by half. Historically, these retracements have been precursors to significant price rallies, as the reduced supply tends to lead to increased demand among investors. The Halving: A Catalyst for Growth The next Bitcoin halving is poised to occur on approx 18th of April 2024. In fact, for the first time in Bitcoin's history, has the ATH (All Time High) been broken BEFORE the halving, which suggests a strong preparation for a massive imminent pump. The logic is straightforward: as the reward for mining new bitcoins decreases, the scarcity of the asset increases, which can lead to a rise in price if demand remains constant or increases. ETFs: The New Players in Town Adding a new layer of potential to the post-halving landscape are the Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) focused on cryptocurrency. ETFs have opened the doors for a broader range of investors to enter the Bitcoin market, offering a regulated and potentially less volatile means of investment. The introduction of Bitcoin ETFs has been met with enthusiasm, as they provide a bridge for traditional investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin without the complexities of direct cryptocurrency ownership. The presence of ETFs is significant for several reasons. First, they signal a growing acceptance of Bitcoin within the traditional financial ecosystem. Second, they increase the liquidity of Bitcoin, making it easier to buy and sell large amounts without significantly impacting the market price. Finally, and perhaps most importantly, ETFs could attract institutional investors who have been on the sidelines, waiting for a more familiar and regulated entry point into the cryptocurrency market. Looking Ahead: A Massive Pump on the Horizon? The combination of the upcoming halving event and the increasing integration of Bitcoin ETFs presents a compelling case for a potential massive pump in Bitcoin's price. While the cryptocurrency market is notoriously difficult to predict, the historical impact of halving events, coupled with the fresh influx of interest and investment via ETFs, suggests that we could be on the cusp of the biggest bullish market Bitcoin has ever seen in its entire history.
Long
by Market-Pip-Factory
1
EURUSD likely to move from Uncertainty to OpportunityHello Traders, It's good to be back to posting my analysis after a short break. Here is my outlook on the EURUSD currency pair. The directional movement of EURUSD is quite unclear. Recently, we have seen price encountered difficulty in closing above the previously established local maximum at 1.08058 in close proximity to the 800EMA, which serves as a dynamic resistance. Upon revisiting this level, a negative reaction occurred in the form of a pullback. The current level is well-defined, and the breach of both this level and the 800EMA constitutes a strong signal for active buying. Until such a development occurs, the corrective structure may persist. This current structure could also be viewed as a 1-2 wave structure within a broader wave . As such, this nested structure holds the potential to evolve into a considerably prolonged upward impulse. In the prevailing circumstances, a breakout beyond the 1.08060 level would signal buying opportunities. The initial target is the 1.08640 level, acting as the center of gravity, and a successful breakout beyond this level is expected to push the price towards 1.0925 and 1.0986, respectively. Cheers and Happy trading!
Long
by Samuel124
Capitalizing on a Downward Trend: Using this indicatorDescription: In this comprehensive analysis, I'll walk you through my thought process and strategy for identifying a potentially lucrative short-selling opportunity on the NQ ticker, leveraging the insightful "Custom EMA with Color Fill" indicator by Pablo The Transparent Trader. This indicator has been specifically designed to cater to the needs of swing traders, providing a clear visual representation of market trends and momentum through a color-coded Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a distinctive color fill between the EMA line and the current price. The Hypothesis: My strategy hinges on a simple yet powerful observation: if the current 2-day candle on the NQ ticker closes below the trendline and beneath the EMA—specifically within the red background of the indicator—it signals a strong bearish momentum. This scenario suggests that it may be an opportune time to consider a short position (you could consider using inverse ETFs instead of shorting). Entry Strategy: Upon the 2-day candle's closure below the critical levels mentioned, I plan to enter a short position. This decision is backed by the indicator's visualization, where a red EMA line and a red fill between the price and EMA indicate a downward trend, suggesting that the market might continue to move lower. Risk Management: To safeguard the trade against unexpected market reversals, I will set my stop loss just above the most recent high. This placement ensures that my trade is protected from significant losses should the market direction change unexpectedly. Profit Taking: In terms of profitability, I aim for a 2 to 1 ratio between my risk and reward. This means that for every unit of risk I take, I expect to gain twice as much in return. This risk-to-reward ratio is not only a testament to the strategy's potential profitability but also underscores the importance of disciplined risk management. Indicator Insights: - Configurable EMA: The ability to adjust the EMA length allows for flexibility in analyzing different time frames, making this indicator suitable for various trading strategies. - Visual Trend Indicators: The color-coded EMA line, alongside the color fill, offers immediate insights into the market's direction. A red EMA and fill signify a downtrend, guiding traders towards short-selling opportunities. - Trend Strength and Entry Points: The distance and the color fill between the price and the EMA provide valuable information on the trend's strength and potential entry points. A wider gap suggests a strong trend, while a narrowing gap could indicate a trend reversal. In conclusion, the "Custom EMA with Color Fill" indicator is not just a tool for visualizing market trends; it's a comprehensive strategy guide for swing traders looking to capitalize on short-term market movements. By following the outlined strategy, traders can make informed decisions, backed by a clear understanding of market dynamics and a disciplined approach to risk management. Whether you're a seasoned trader or new to the scene, this analysis should provide you with a solid foundation for navigating the NQ ticker's volatile waters.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Pablo_The_Transparent_Trader
CHFJPY 1H Possible Double bottom in an up trend channelOn this 1H chart for CHFJPY we can notice that the price has been moving in an up trend channel for a while now. Recently it dropped to test the up trend support. At this stage the price is forming a potential double bottom. Monitor it for a potential breakout. Additional confluences: - MACD can produce a bullish cross if the price starts going up to complete the Double bottom - The 2 bottoms are re-bouncing from the 200 EMA - If the price goes up, in can cross above the 20 and 50 EMAs. Monitor for a bullish cross
Long
by RTED_Investing
1
GBPAUD 4H chart potential Bull FlagOn this 4H chart for GBPAUD we can notice a strong resistance range. Recently the price broke temporary above it but now it dropped to retest it. In the proces of retesting it, the price started forming a potential Bull flag. Am effective breakout from the pattern can align with a re-bounce from the support range and lead to a strong increase in the price Additional confluences: - 20, 50 and 200 EMAs are aligned to indicated a general up trend - The price has dropped to test the 20 EMA which aligns well with the support range and the chart pattern Additional note: If the price provides an entry for the pattern, initially this can still happen within the support range. If you want to get even more curtainty, you may want to wait for the price to close above the range
Long
by RTED_Investing
8
Bitcoin(BTC): Broken Trend (Drop Incoming)The first day of the week is already showing some surge to test that major $40K zone, which is the last zone that holds the price up as of now. Upon successfully breaking that zone and securing that $40K zone, we are not seeing any other support from there on, which means we are going to move to reclaim the FVG zones. Although the setup looks very good, we always have to wait for further confirmations (which in current state is the breakdown of $40K zone) Swallow Team
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by SwallowAcademy
BONK DAILY SHORT ON THE RETRACE, THEN LONG PAST THE ATHTA Technical Analysis Navigating the Waves of Bonk (Meme Coin/Token): A Technical Perspective In the vibrant and volatile landscape of cryptocurrency, Bonk, a notable meme coin/token, exhibits intriguing technical patterns worthy of a trader's keen eye. Presently, Bonk seems to be navigating through a phase of retracement, specifically within the Level 2 bracket. This is a crucial juncture, as it teeters on the precipice of a potential rebound from the pivotal support level at 0.00000494. This support zone is not just a numerical threshold; it represents a psychological battleground for market participants. In alignment with the broader market's synchrony with Bitcoin's movements, Bonk's trajectory is a dance closely choreographed with the crypto kingpin. However, the plot thickens with the presence of dual weekly Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) lying in wait at the lower end of the current impulse wave. These gaps are like hidden eddies in the market's flow, capable of exerting a magnetic pull on the price action. Weighing these technical elements, my hypothesis leans towards a more optimistic scenario. The likelihood of Bonk's price action finding a resilient footing at or near the 0.00000494 support zone appears substantial. Should this occur, it would pave the way for a bullish resurgence, a narrative well-favored by bullish traders and enthusiasts alike. In essence, while the dance with uncertainty continues, the rhythm of the market seems to hum a bullish tune for Bonk, at least in the long term. The current positioning of the price within the 'discount zone' reinforces my analysis that it is traversing a Level 2 zone. Maintaining this structural integrity is key; provided it remains intact, we're likely to witness a robust upward movement, potentially surpassing the previous all-time high (ATH). Fundamentals Point of View Bonk Coin/Token: A Revised Fundamental Analysis Bonk, a meme coin/token predominantly based on the Solana blockchain, has recently garnered significant attention in the cryptocurrency market. Its fundamental characteristics, though whimsical and speculative, have shown a compelling story of growth and market dynamics. The most notable aspect of Bonk's journey is its substantial market performance, particularly towards the end of the previous year. Key developments, such as the introduction of single-sided staking and listings on major exchanges like Coinbase and Binance, have played a crucial role in its price rallies. For instance, the listing on Coinbase led to a remarkable 50% rally in its value, while the Binance listing saw an over 100% surge. Despite these successes, Bonk has not been immune to market volatility. It underwent a significant correction, losing over 70% of its value at one point. However, it has shown resilience and recovery, evidenced by a recent 30% surge in its price. Looking ahead in 2024, the outlook for Bonk is largely bullish. Market predictions suggest potential trading values that could surpass its recent all-time high. This optimism is fueled by the ongoing support from the community, its presence on major exchanges, and the overall market sentiment towards meme coins. From a market dynamics perspective, Bonk's performance is reflective of the broader sentiment in the cryptocurrency market. Its correlation with the movements of major cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin, indicates its sensitivity to overall market trends. The listings on prominent exchanges have boosted its visibility, attracting investor interest and potentially influencing its market momentum. It is important to note, however, that like other meme coins, Bonk's trajectory remains highly speculative and subject to market whims. The inherent volatility of such assets poses risks of sharp corrections and potential market manipulation. While community-driven momentum can lead to significant gains, investors and traders should approach with caution and a measured understanding of the asset's speculative nature. In summary, Bonk's fundamentals point towards a cryptocurrency whose fortunes are closely tied to community sentiment, market trends, and its evolving presence in the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Its recent market performance and bullish outlook for 2024 present both opportunities and challenges, requiring a balanced approach to potential investment decisions
Long
by Market-Pip-Factory