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Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

LINK longEnglish: $LINK remains above the EMA (55, Close) but without clearly exceeding the bearish trend line. The Momentum has upward directionality but with an ADX below level 23, beyond that level the ADX would be confirming an upward trend that could take the price to the previous maximum, obtaining a 68% increase approximately. I would say that this is an ideal scenario because we can see that it is in the low zone of a bullish channel. $LINK se mantiene por encima de la EMA (55, cierre) pero sin superar claramente la línea de tendencia bajista. El Momentum tiene direccionalidad alcista pero con un ADX por debajo del nivel 23, al superar ese nivel el ADX estaría confirmando una tendencia alcista que podría llevar el precio al máximo anterior, obteniendo un aumento del 68% aproximadamente. Yo diría que este es un escenario ideal porque podemos ver que está en la zona baja de un canal alcista.
Long
by OskarGallard
1
Quick ADA updateADA has broken out sideways from its Descending Triangle. ADA is ranging sideways. ADA is also in a Symmetrical Triangle pattern, which is indicated by the descending and ascending dashed black support and resistance lines. ADA is now in a massive Bollinger Bands Squeeze. A big move should be expected, what direction that is, remains to be seen. ADA is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1d chart. Note that ADA has not closed a daily candle above its BB Basis since 15th Oct. At the moment, ADA is below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1d chart. ADA needs to close this daily candle above the LSMA. ADA is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range POC for the fixed range of 5 daily candle that i have selected. ADA is also back above its Volume Profile Visible Range POC for this charts visible range. Overall Volume on Binance is still relatively low when compared to what ADA had a few months back around 25th August but note that the last 3 Volume Bars have been above its Volume 20 Period MA. For your viewing pleasure, I have also added support and resistance zones indicated by the back lines with orange shading. The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating Positive Momentum has RISEN slightly with the +DI (Green Line) at 9.45. Note that negative momentum DROPPED slightly more with the -DI (Red Line) at 13.39. Note however that while the trend strength is still strong above the 20 Threshold with the ADX (Orange Line) at 24.65 but note its has dropped below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 25.22 indicating a weakening of trend strength, which could also be because of the continued sideways momentum. The On Balance Volume (OBV) is indicating an increase in upwards momentum, but note that the OBV (Blue Line) is still below its 9 Period EMA. The OBV needs to cross back over the 9 Period EMA and stay above its for continued upwards momentum. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is indicating that we have had the MACD Line (Blue Line) cross back above the Signal Line (Orange Line) but note that the MACD Line is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line. So what does all this mean? ADA is in a Bollinger Bands Squeeze, its debatable as to which direction ADA will pop. If you are Long, signals to look out for on this 1d timeframe are: 1: A successful daily close above the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. 2: Upwards momentum with Expansion of the BB Upper and Lower Bands with the BB Middle Band sloping upwards. 3: A successful daily close above the descending trend-line. 4: A successful daily close above the LSMA. 5: OBV Line crossing back above its 9 Period EMA. 6: ADX Line crossing back above its 9 Period EMA. 7 +DI Line crossing back above the -DI Line. 8: MACD Line crossing back over the 0.0 Base Line into the Positive Zone. A key thing to remember is that sideways ranging is done within a range, not at a constant price. Apologies for the lack of posting, I've been crazy busy filming. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BINANCE:ADAUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
5
VET - weekly chart analysisVET has broken back ABOVE its massive Symmetrical Triangle and has so far successfully tested it as support on this 1w timeframe. VET needs to 110% CLOSE this weekly candle ABOVE the Descending Trend-line of the Symmetrical Triangle. Note that VET is still safely above its Longterm Upwards Trend-line (Ascending Dashed Line) on this 1w timeframe. VET is still above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1d timeframe. Note that VET has room to move up before hitting the Bollinger Bands Upper Band on this 1w timeframe. VET is still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1w timeframe. For this indicator, ABOVE the LSMA is a potential ‘BUY’ and BELOW the LSMA is a potential “SELL’. Note that VET is still above its Volume Profile Fixed Range POC for the fixed range of 5 weekly candle that i have selected. Note that Volume has increased slightly but note that the Volume Bars are still Below its Volume 20 Period MA. I have added various support and resistance areas on this chart and you can clearly see the interaction with theses area. Note that VET has found some resistance from its first resistance line. The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating that the trend strength is sideways but strong with the ADX (Orange Line) at 22.69. Note that the 9 Period EMA is above the ADX at 25.38 but is dropping. The +DI (Green Line) has dropped slightly to 21.79 but the -DI (Red Line) has also dropped slightly to 14.34. This indicates both positive and negative momentum has dropped slightly. We will potentially see a massive move upwards if the ADX (Orange Line) crosses back above the 9 Period EMA (Black Line) if the +DI (Green Line) is still above and moving away from the -DI (Red Line) on this 1w timeframe. The OnBalanceVolume (OBV) is indicating momentum is sideways within a range. Note that the OBV (Blue Line) has crossed back above the 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) indicating upwards strength on this 1w timeframe. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is indicating that we have had the MACD Line (Blue Line) cross back ABOVE the Signal Line (Orange Line) on this 1w timeframe. Note that the MACD is still in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line and note that we have had our first proper Green Histogram for the first time in 7 weeks. I have also added a Trend-Based Fib Extension to show some potential FIB levels if VET continues the upwards trajectory on this 1w timeframe. VET is also in a very thin Rising Wedge Pattern. VET needs to invalidate this bearish pattern by breaking back above it and successfully testing it as support on this 1w timeframe. What is interesting is that the Rising Wedge takes us right up to the 4.236 Fib Level at $0.5147. This is something to keep an eye on on this 1w chart. Note that this chart is looking at the longterm without taking into account what is happening on lower timeframes, which you should be watching & analysing as well. All in all, VeChain is looking great so it should be an interesting couple of weeks for VET providing BTC behaves herself. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing. Notes: Bollinger Bands = Grey Bands on chart LSMA = Blue squiggly line on chart VPFR POC = Short horizontal red line on chart VPVR POC = Long horizontal red line on chart 50EMA = Yellow squiggly line on chart Symmetrical Triangle = Converging ascending and descending black lines Rising Wedge = Ascending converging dotted lines Longterm upwards Trend-line = Ascending dashed black line. Support and resistance areas = Horizontal black lines with yellow shading
BINANCE:VETUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
1
LOONIE Likely to target 1.24500 region as a consolidation move!Price seem to be supported by S2 MONTHLY PIVOT. A potential break of trendline could lead the price to aim towards descending trendline located at the area near S1 MONTHLY PIVOT. For the criteria to meet, The 4H candle needs to close above the trendline and 4H 50 EMA. After this the RISK TO REWARD needs to be evaluated based on WEEKLY pivots. This move is likely just a consolidation move as the LOONIE looks to retrace slightly to a concrete psychological resistance at 1.25000. Downtrend is still in play as the currency is supported by commodities prices. This is just my analysis and its not a trade signal. shall the the criteria meet I shall post the trade instruction in a new post.
Long
by FX618Analysis
Ethereum - 1d chart analysisETH is in a Rising Wedge Pattern on this 1d timeframe. A Rising Wedge Pattern is a Bearish Chart Pattern. ETH needs to invalidate this Bearish Pattern. At the moment of typing this, ETH is still above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. At the moment, ETH is below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1d timeframe. Note that a close below the LSMA and a successful retest as resistance is a potential sell signal for this indicator. ETH is still above its VPFR POC for the fixed range of 13 daily candle that i have selected. Note that ETH is also still above its VPVR POC for this charts visible range. Volume is low on this Binance chart & note that the Volume Bars have been decreasing in size and also note that the last two Volume Bars have been below its Volume 20 Period Moving Average. The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating the trend strength is strong with the ADX (Orange Line) at 27.18 and still safely above its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 23.30. The +DI (Green Line) has dropped to 18.61 and the -DI (Red Line) has also dropped to 7.24. This indicates that while Positive Momentum has dropped, Negative Momentum has also dropped. The OnBalanceVolume (OBV) is indicating positive momentum has dropped. Note that the OBV (Blue Line) has dropped below its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) indicating a weakening of positive momentum. The OBV (Blue Line) needs to stay above the Ascending Dashed Line, if the OBV cannot stay above this line, then ETH will drop out of its Rising Wedge Pattern to the downside. If the OBV (Blue Line) breaks back above the 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) then we may see ETH invalidate the Rising Wedge Pattern. ETH needs to invalidate the Rising Wedge Pattern. If ETH cannot invalidate this bearish pattern & if it eventually drops downwards out of the Rising Wedge, the VPFR POC and Bollinger Bands Middle Band may become a crucial support levels. If the BB Middle Band fails as support, then ETH may drop to its 50EMA level. As always, we also need to keep an eye on what BTC is doing. It should be a very interesting week for ETH. This is my very first Ethereum chart post, so I hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hodl-ing. Notes: LSMA = White dots on chart 50EMA = Yellow dots on chart Bollinger Bands = Grey bands on chart VPFR POC = Short horizontal red line on chart VPVR POC = Long horizontal red line on chart Rising Wedge = Ascending converging dashed lines on chart Volume MA = Orange Line going through Volume Bars on chart
BINANCE:ETHUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
1
VTHO - daily chart updateVTHO is still in a massive Symmetrical Triangle on this 1d timeframe and is fast approaching the APEX. VTHO has found some resistance from its 0.236 Trend-Based Fib Extension level. A close above this level and successful retest as support will be a very good sign, VTHO is in a Bollinger Bands Squeeze on this 1d timeframe. A big move normally proceeds after a BB Squeeze. At the moment of typing this, VTHO is above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. VTHO is also above its 50EMA and 200EMA. Note that Bothe the 50EMA and 200EMA are moving sideways. At the moment of typing this, VTHO is above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1d timeframe. A daily candle close above the LSMA will be a very good sign as a close above the LSMA is a potential buy signal for this indicator. Volume is still relatively low on this Binance Chart and note that the last Volume Bar was below its Volume 20 Period SMA. VTHO is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range POC for this charts visible range. The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is showing that the trend strength is strong with the ADX (Orange Line) at 23.49, curving upwards and above its 9 Period EMA which is at 21.84. The -DI (Green Line) is still above the -DI (Red Line) but the +DI (Green Line) has dipped to 29.45 and the -DI (Red Line) is at 14.17. This is indicating that Positive Momentum has dropped quite a bit but Negative momentum has only risen slightly on this 1d timeframe. The OnBalanceVolume (OBV) is indicating momentum is sideways within a range. At the moment the OBV (Blue Line) is still above its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line). the OBV (Blue Line) needs to stay above the 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) if we are to see a move upwards after the Bollinger Bands Squeeze. On this 1d timeframe, VTHO needs to close this daily candle above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA as well as its LSMA, 50EMA and 200EMA levels. If the Bollinger Bands Squeeze ends with a big move upwards, i have added a Trend-Based Fib Extension to show some potential support and resistance that VTHO may encounter if the BB Squeeze ends with a big movement upwards. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ng.
by TradingThroughTheLens
1
Potential Conter trend corrective underway in the EUR/NZDGood afternoon folks, Happy Friday! On our hunt for some potential ideas forming this morning, we came across an opportunity in the EUR/NZD. At the moment price seems to have formed a nice higher low and has surged to the upside with a particular degree of momentum. Given that we have such a huge gap away from our 8EMA, I would expect the gap close to be well under way before long. We did see something similar to this counter trend view earlier in the week before we saw another leg down but given where price is in the wider picture, having closed beneath major support, the likelyhood of a deeper corrective certainly seems to be on the cards. Wait for a potential trigger via the breakout and retest of the 1.62400 zone for a potential window of opportunity to seek longs to approximately 1.63300-400. Dont rush the process and trade the plan. Have a lovely weekend!
Long
by TheTradingRoom
BTC longterm 1w chart analysisBTC has invalidated its very long Descending Triangle indicated by the 2 large black dashed lines. BTC is still in its Longterm Upwards Pitchfork Pattern on this 1w timeframe, note that BTC is back above the Pitchfork Median Line (The Thin Dashed Line) on this 1w timeframe. BTC is still safely above its 50EMA on this 1w timeframe. BTC is still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1w timeframe. At the moment, BTC is still above its Bollinger Band Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA and also still above its Upper Band. Note that we have had expansion of the Bollinger Bands Upper and Lower Bands and the Middle Band is sloping upwards on this 1w timeframe. Note that BTC is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range POC for the fixed range of 4 weekly candle that i have selected. Note that BTC is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range POC for this charts visible range. Volume is worryingly low on this Bitstamp 1w chart compared to what BTC was getting in Dec 2020 to Jan 2021. Note that the last 22 weekly Volume Bars have been below its Volume 20 Period Moving Average. This is something to keep an eye on. For your viewing pleasure, i have added various support and resistance areas indicated by the black parallel lines with yellow shading. You can clearly see the interaction with these various areas. The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is showing that the trend strength is strong on this 1w timeframe with the ADX (Orange Line) at 23.45 and is curving upwards and is getting very close to crossing back over and above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 26.02. We have an increase in Positive Momentum with the +DI (Green Line) at 29.12. The -DI (Red Line) has also continued to drop to 14.13 indicating Negative Momentum has dropped. If the ADX (Orange Line) crosses back over the 9 Period EMA (Black Line) and stays above it, we can expect continued upwards momentum on this weekly timeframe so long as the +DI (Green Line) stays above the -DI (Red Line). The OnBalanceVolume (OBV) is showing strong upwards momentum and note that the OBV (Blue Line) is still above its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) for this 1w timeframe. Using the OBV indicator, the OBV line needs to stay above the Ascending Dashed Line, the 9 period EMA and the Horizontal Dashed Line. The OBV also needs to break above its Ascending Dotted Line which when combined with the Ascending Dashed Line actually looks like an Ascending Wedge on the OBV indicator. This is something to keep an eye on. A few scenarios to think about: 1: BTC may continue to walk up the Upper Bollinger Band like we saw before from the week of 19th Oct 2020 up until the week of the 15th Feb 2021. 2: BTC may consolidate sideways within a range between its new ATH and its 2nd support and resistance area before continuing upwards. 3: BTC may drop back to either its VPVR POC or its VPFR POC as potential support levels. 4: BTC may drop back to its LSMA as a potential support. 5: BTC may drop back under the Bollinger Bands Upper Band, consolidate above the Middle Band and then continue upwards. 6: BTC may drop back to its Bollinger Bands Middle Band as potential support. 7: BTC may drop back to its 50EMA (which is a worse case scenario but unlikely at the moment). The volume shown on this chart doesn’t take into account volume from other exchanges, but we need to keep an eye on the Volume Bars and whether or not the Volume Bars can cross back above its Volume 20 Period SMA on this 1w timeframe. We also need to keep an eye on whether or not the ADX can cross back above the 9 Period EMA as well as what I’ve mentioned above regarding the OBV indicator. We also need to keep an eye on how BTC closes this weekly candle. Here is a wider view of this longterm 1w chart. Note that this post is just focusing on the very longterm and not taking into consideration or analysing what is happening on lower timeframes, which you should be doing. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
4
USDJPY too overstretched! Correction Likely to Occur USDJPY is too overstretched or to put it in technical analysis term, its too oversold. Therefore an anticipated correction would likely occur. However as traders we perform technical analysis and await confirmation that a correction would likely take place. Here we have a 4H chart of USDJPY. 115.000 represents a concrete monthly psychological resistance where the prices might likely reverse for time being. Also on the chart an ascending channel is visible and MONTHLY pivots. A confirmation which is needed here would be the following: 1) break of ascending channel 2) Close of 4H candle below the 4H 50 EMA 3) close of D candle below R2 monthly pivot After all the above criteria have met, its important to know that the initial target would R1 MONTHLY PIVOT (112.500). However since this trade is on 4H timeframe, an extra caution is required which would be to notice where the weekly pivot pointS are located when the trade criteria has met. Combining all these, the risk to reward ratio evaluation is required and SHORT trade can be placed. Note: This is just my personal technical analysis and its not a trade signal. The trade signal would be posted on an entirely different post shall the trade criteria meet.
Short
by FX618Analysis
EURUSD likely to target 1.16800 & fall towards 1.15000Currently EURUSD is consolidating an upmove towards monthly pivot on daily TF. The consolidation target would be the area near 1.16800. Once the price hits the monthly pivot, we can likely expect the downtrend to resume. A swing low was already broken and what is happening currently is just that the price is retracing towards the broken support. The 1.15000 is a concrete psychological support. so its advisable to use it as a TP target. assessing the risk to reward ratio is important as well. once the price retarces i will post a short trade idea with entry and exit details based on RR.
Short
by FX618Analysis
McGinley Dynamic IndicatorMcGinley Dynamic Indicator: It was invented by John R. McGinley. It would automatically adjust itself in relation to the speed of the market. This future can be very helpful as it is sometimes difficult to choose the right period for the MA. It also helps to account for the gap that often exists between prices and moving average lines. Can't be used as a single indicator and we need to combine this with other indicators or another McGinley indicator. Price actions respect moving averages because so many traders use them in their strategies. Because of the formula, the Dynamic Line speeds up in down markets and moves more slowly in uptrends. One wants to be quick to sell in a down market, yet ride an up-market as long as possible.
Education
by apadanaforex
EURUSD could target 1.16000 as a consolidation move! There is no doubt that EURUSD is trending lower, however it is completely in an oversold territory as the 4H RSI is indicating bullish divergence. Therefore this pair can be said to be in a consolidation phase. For this trade criteria to be met, the trendline needs to breached, after which the weekly pivots should be evaluated and a long trade can be placed depending on the RR. This might occur this week or next week. The initial target for this pair would be 1.16000 area (present of another descending trendline). However shall this target HIT, we can expect this pair to resume its downtrend towards the monthly psychological support of 1.15000. Shall there be any updates regarding trade entry, i will post them in this thread.
Long
by FX618Analysis