Bitcoin Is Finishing A Corrective DeclineBitcoin with ticker BTCUSD made nice and clean A-B-C correction in the 4-hour chart as mentioned and highlighted. We can actually already see it trying to wake up from the first 26k support area, but to confirm a completed correction, we need to see a recovery back above channel resistance line and 29k region. Just in case if correction is still in progress, then next deeper support is at 25k-24k that can be tested within an ending diagonal (wedge) pattern for wave C according to count #2.
Elliottwaveprojection
GameStop ($GME): Potential Consolidation in mid-termGameStop Corp. offers games and entertainment products through its ecommerce properties and stores. It operates through the following geographic segments: United States, Canada, Australia, and Europe. Each segment consists primarily of retail operations, including stores and ecommerce properties focused on games, entertainment products, and technology. GameStop offers new and pre-owned gaming platforms from the major console and PC manufacturers, sells new and pre-owned gaming software for current and certain prior generation consoles, and offers a variety of in-game digital currency, digital downloadable content, and full-game downloads. The firm’s stores and ecommerce sites operate primarily under the names GameStop, EB Games, and Micromania. Its pop culture themed stores also sell collectibles, apparel, gadgets, electronics, toys, and other retail products for technology enthusiasts and general consumers in international markets operating under the Zing Pop Culture brand. The company also publishes Game Informer, a print and digital gaming publication. GameStop was founded by Daniel A. DeMatteo in 1996 and is headquartered in Grapevine, TX.
From a technical point of view, the trend is still bullish on weekly chart (Log Scale), but at the same time, a breakout of the previous low should trigger a bearish leg with a first Target around $9.70 area.
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FERRARI ($RACE) at the resistance area!From a technical point of view, Ferrari ( NYSE:RACE ) Stock Trend is bullish, but at the same time it has reached an important resistance area around $300/320, and from here it could trigger a short-term corrective structure. The minor structure 12345 might be completed, but as we can see from the chart, it might be a wave 5 of 3 (major), so once the correction is completed, I don't rule out a new bullish leg.
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Bitcoin ($BTC): Next potential swing on intraday chartFrom a technical point of view, and at least for the moment, we have to consider the last bearish leg as a simple pullback or part of a corrective structure. The main support area is around 26.450/26.000, and if it will works properly, it should trigger an interesting bullish leg. The main support on daily chart is around 26,750 and the trend on weekly chart is still bearish.
Note: Updates will follow below.
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XAUUSD DAILY TIMEFRAME FORECASTI have tried many scenario on Gold, and i prefer this projection as my trading plan.
Invalidation level at 1949.77, means, in the short term Gold continue to bullish before making major correction on Wave 4 as you can see at the picture.
Elliott Wave is high subjective, i will post if there's a new update on my perspective.
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Nifty50 Analysis: 2023.05.19Medium term view (no short term):
- It looks like Nifty50 is forming a leading diagonal as part of wave a (yellow line).
- Currently it may be into wave iv of wave a.
- For this set up to be true, Nifty must reach around 18200 to mark the end of wave iv and from there retrace to form wave v of wave a. The entire wave a should complete around 18000.
- After completion of wave a, Nifty should touch around 18180 - 18230 to complete Wave b.
- After completion of Wave b, it should all fall down to the level of 17850-17800, which is also 38.2% retracement of entire impulse since previous bottom of 16828.
USDJPY: Intraday Technical AnalysisFrom a technical point of view, on the intraday time frame the trend is bullish, but at the same time, we cannot exclude a corrective structure in the short term. The first Target of this Pattern is around 136.9 area.
If we look at the daily chart, at the moment the view remains the same, at least as long as the Price Action remains above support:
(Click and Play on Chart below)
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Broken Channel Support On EURUSD Can Cause Deeper Correction“USD is turning up vs EUR ahead the US debt-ceiling deadline. EURUSD pair breaking the trendline support“
The USD is higher while stocks are still somehow sideways. The reason for the higher USD can be optimism and speculation about US debt-ceiling. We expected that they will approve it, otherwise, this will cause a lot of damage on the financial market. Yellen has repeatedly warned that »failure by Congress to raise the $31.4 trillion federal debt limit could spark a “constitutional crisis” and would unleash an economic and financial catastrophe for the U.S. and global economies”, as reported by Reuters.
USD is trading higher with US yields, and it appears there can be more USD strength coming when looking at the EURUSD pair.
From Elliott wave perspective, every five-wave impulse from lows/highs suggests a change in the trend, but most importantly, after every five waves there comes a three-wave correction.
EURUSD has been trading higher as expected and reached a new 2023 high, where we still think that pair can have now a “temporary” failure break to the upside, which certainly can be the case as recovery seems to be slow and overlapping up from March 1.0517 low. So, latest leg up EURUSD from 1.0517 low, can be an ending diagonal in wave 5 of a higher degree five-wave bullish, which is also a very strong bullish reversal pattern.
Now that EURUSD is turning down, we can also see the pair trying to break out of an important Elliott wave channel support line after a bearish divergence between highs of wave five and wave 3 which is usaully the case at an important top of an impulse. That said, we think that a higher degree correction can be underway now with next ideal support for the EURUSD this year visible at the former wave (4), 1.05 support area.
Weekly Update: Do the Little Things Matter? As an analyst, I often wonder if I get too much into the weeds (so to speak) at times. In the final analysis do those tiny details even matter? When you’re both a full time trader for profit, and simultaneously an analyst who shares one’s work publicly, often times distraction and multi-tasking is the enemy of discovery.
Hopefully, this is not one of those times.
It’s no secret I exclusively use MACD in my analysis. To use MACD properly is to know the indicator intimately. MACD, or moving average convergence/divergence, is a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two exponential moving averages (EMAs) of a security’s price. The MACD line is calculated by subtracting the 26-period EMA from the 12-period EMA. The result of that calculation is the MACD line or Zero-Line. A nine-day EMA of the MACD line is called the signal, which is then plotted on top of the MACD line, which can function as a trigger for buy or sell signals. That's probably more than you ever wanted to know about the indicator.
Now in my analysis I do not use MACD as a buy/sell indicator. I exclusively use MACD as a means to guide me within my Elliott Wave analysis. In doing so I have to rely on the indicator to guide me with the following:
1. Is this an A-wave within a corrective structure, or a wave 3 within an impulsive structure?
2. Is the trend concluding or persisting?
3. Is the bottom or the top of a wave structure valid, or should I expect One More High or Low (OMH/OML).
Without observing the indicator in conjunction with my Elliott Wave count, I fear I would be inaccurate in my forecasts. To say MACD is essential to my price pattern analysis is analogous to saying water is essential to life. For me, I cannot perform one without the other. However recently I noticed some very small anomalies in the indicator while analyzing price action that I hope to remember to come back and check for validity.
in the above chart I notated two bottoms in price action and how the indicator reacted to both. As I track and report on each and every tick of the ES/SPX Futures, I noticed our recent breach of 4068.75 a week go to 4062.25 was not on positive divergence. Now anyone who would say I'm way to focused on a detail that in the grand scheme of things means nothing, would get no push-back from me. But is it really meaningless? Is it a clue? Is it the detail 99% of traders would miss, and in the end...is everything?
Truth is...I don't know yet. Time will tell.
The above chart I have manually stretched the MACD indicator, but unstretched and it clearly debatable the recent bottom may not have breached the previous MACD reading and since price has reversed, to the unobservant eye, we have what could be positive divergence.
So, how do we know?
To confirm this was not a mear over estimation of one's detailed orientated skills, the price action would need to follow through lower, without making a new high. Thereby confirming this MACD reading was no random reading worthy of being overlooked. RN Elliott postulated that price action is fractal across all time frames. That's interesting to me, because of this one singular MACD reading has chosen to occupy space in my brain so much that I'm now noticing the very same anolmolies in the micro patterns as well.
Nonetheless, I have a tendency to think positive or negative divergence is either confirmed or it's not. In my current mind, this is not up for debate. Now maybe I am proven wrong as time goes on, but even if that happens, this would not be an unworthy study in what confirmation actually means.
Therefore, I will continue to wonder, IF THE LITTLE THINGS MATTER.
Best to all,
Chris
BTCUSD | 1st ABC Correction A-wave Target ProjectionA potential bullish scenario : 1st ABC correction zigzag pattern with upcoming wave 5 of c-leg targeting 0.382 retracement of previous 5X motive wave move between 24-25K
However, wave 1 and 3 in c-leg are extended, wave 5 can be the shortest wave and truncation is still possible.
Action: A safer long entry can be placed when breakout downtrend line 2-4 or above wave 4 of c -leg, targeting the upper resistance of the bull flag.
Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stoploss!
XAUUSD FORECASTI know almost all forecast on XAUUSD choose Triangle Scenario, So here's my perspective as WXY Corrective.
Elliott Wave's perspective is highly subjective, in my opinion, Invalidation Level is needed as all technical analysis is just an art of probabilities.
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Weekly Update: Stop Motion ChartsUnfortunately this week I do not have the time to do a deep dive into the ES futures...suffice to stay, if you like being entertained...go back and review my ES Chart posts over the weeks. It's like watching stop motion animation as the only that has changed on the chart is the price action.
PS: Next week I'll have more time to update my followers.
Best to all,
Chris
BNBUSDT Short (Longer term view)Here we have a longer term trade for BNBUSDT shown on the daily chart.
The Elliott Wave pattern shown in the image is an "ABC" pattern.
Blue wave (A) moves upwards and consists of 3 waves: A,B, and C (in yellow).
Blue wave (B) moves downwards and consists of 3 waves: A,B, and C (in yellow).
In accordance with the theory, wave C in an ABC must end with 5 waves, which is what we see with blue wave (C).
Blue wave (C) also formed an "ending diagonal" which usually signals that a sharp reversal is due ahead.
Entry price 1 is so that the position can be entered in case we continue down from here and is at 311.03
Entry price 2 is there in case the market pushes higher one last time before moving down and is at 347.35
Be cautious not to over allocate capital at Entry price 1, otherwise your risk:reward ratio will go down to around 1:1
Profit target 1 is at 253.77
Profit target 2 is at 235.74
As always this is not financial advice and is only intended for educational purposes
XRPUSDT LongThis is Elliott Wave Analysis that shows a potential long trade opportunity.
If Bitcoin breaks down sharply, do not take this trade, as the price will likely drop much further than shown in the image.
If the parallel trend channel holds, this could be a good trade. If you do take this, be ready to cut the trade if the market drops further than expected. It is best to not enter with a limit order, but manually enter using a market order if the market seems to hold within the green triangle buy zone shown in the image.
Entry: Between 0.4073 and 0.4000
Exit: 0.4337: profit target 1, 0.4581: profit target 2
Stop loss: 0.3792
Disclaimer: Not financial advice - intended for educational purposes only
Tesla Is Coming Into SupportTesla made nice and clean impulsive five-wave recovery from the lows that is now followed by a three-wave A-B-C correction, which from Elliott wave perspective suggests bigger recovery.
Tesla is now coming down into a support as mentioned few weeks back. Looks like wave C is now at the support, deeper one is 140. Invalidation level is at 102.