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The Crypto Space - Clarity Through COINNASDAQ:COIN has had a phenomenal run since the beginning of 2023, currently up about 1,100% within 2 years! In this Elliott Wave Analysis, I present my view of where I think Coinbase will stall and fall. So far the sequence is filling up nicely and has presented, those with a keen eye, several opportunities to join the 11x party :) As per this 2 day chart, I believe we are quite close to completing w3 of w(5) . In terms of EW, the chart is very clean and has been bouncing off Fibonacci support and resistance, for each wave degree, with relative precision. I would like to see price tag $353 - $375 then drop to $300 - $271 , before proceeding to a new high between $416 - $457 to complete a full five wave sequence from the 2023 lows. The sell off, thereafter, should be significant and if the space survives will present another opportunity for similar or greater returns during the next cycle. This should also coincide with a cyclical top across the cryptoverse. What are your thoughts?
NASDAQ:COINLong
by investornomics
3
Possible Wave Counts of RELIANCE : Near to Bottom ?Reliance Industries Technical Analysis based on Elliott Wave Counts (Possible) Chart: The analysis is based on a 2-hourly timeframe chart of Reliance Industries (RELIANCE). Elliott Wave Theory: The analysis utilizes Elliott Wave Theory, which suggests that market prices move in repetitive patterns called waves. These patterns consist of impulsive waves (numbered 1-5) that move in the direction of the main trend and corrective waves (labeled A-B-C) that move against the main trend. Possible Wave Counts: Overall Trend: The chart suggests a potential overall uptrend, with the analysis focusing on a smaller degree wave structure within this larger trend. Impulsive Waves: The chart highlights several impulsive waves (1-5) of varying degrees, indicating periods of strong price movement in the direction of the trend. Corrective Waves: The chart also identifies corrective waves (A-B-C), representing periods of price consolidation or retracement against the main trend. Current Wave: The analysis suggests that the price is currently in a corrective wave (2), following an impulsive wave (1). Potential Target: Based on the wave counts, there is a potential for further upward movement once the current corrective wave completes. However, specific price targets are not provided in this analysis. Key Levels: Invalidation Level: A key level to watch is the "Invalidation Level" marked on the chart. If the price breaks below this level, the current wave count may be invalidated, suggesting a different interpretation of the market structure. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:RELIANCE
by RK_Chaarts
Golden opportunity for gold! The Fibonacci channel has been drawn, and Elliott waves can be observed on the chart. Currently, the price is in the fifth Elliott wave. We have two scenarios for the future of gold: 1)The first scenario is a bullish scenario. Given the geopolitical tensions and conflicts between Israel, Iran, and Lebanon, as well as China's threats against Taiwan, which have all contributed to a further increase in gold prices, if these trends continue, it could complete wave 5 at the 1.414 level of the Fibonacci channel. 2)The second scenario is a bearish scenario. If we witness a hawkish stance from the FED or a reduction in geopolitical tensions, then we should expect a price reversal from the previous high of 2687. In this case, the 0.618 Fibonacci channel level would serve as strong support. Considering the geopolitical tensions, I believe the first scenario and a breakout above the previous high are more likely. In that case, we should watch for a breakout above the previous high and then enter a long position after confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Market-Analyzer
Elliott Wave Outlook for RELIANCETechnical Analysis of Reliance Industries (RELIANCE) based on Elliott Waves This analysis is based on Elliott Wave Theory and is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investing involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Elliott Wave Analysis The provided chart of Reliance Industries (RELIANCE) outlines a potential Elliott Wave pattern within a 1-hour timeframe. Elliott Wave Theory suggests that financial markets move in predictable and repeatedly patterns based on investor psychology. Key Observations: 1. Impulse Wave: The primary uptrend appears to be an impulse wave, a five-wave structure. Wave 1: The initial uptrend from the low point. Wave 2: A minor correction or pullback. Wave 3: A strong extension of the uptrend. Wave 4: A smaller correction. Wave 5: The final wave of the impulse, often ending with a climactic price movement. 2. Corrective Wave: The current downward movement was a zigzag corrective pattern. Wave A: The initial decline. Wave B: A minor retracement. Wave C: The expected continuation of the downward trend. Potential Scenario: If the current corrective pattern zigzag finishes here or near, then further wave ((3)) is to start post completion of wave (C) of ((2)), and it would not go sudden upside, because any impulse wave unfolds in five subdivisions, so wave (1) of wave ((3)) can start any time post completion of wave (C) of wave ((2)). Note: This analysis is based on a specific interpretation of the Elliott Wave pattern. Other analysts might have different interpretations. It's crucial to use multiple tools and indicators to confirm your analysis. Additional Considerations: Fundamental Analysis: Consider factors like company earnings, industry trends, and economic indicators to support your technical analysis. Risk Management: Always use stop-loss orders to limit your potential losses. Diversification: Don't put all your eggs in one basket. Diversify your investments across different assets. Remember: Elliott Wave analysis is a complex tool that requires practice and experience. It's essential to approach it with caution and always consider the potential risks involved in trading. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:RELIANCELong
by RK_Chaarts
Bitcoin Market Outlook Elliot Wave Theory (W42/2024) // AlgoFyreThe market shows a bullish scenario with potential for an impulse wave up after a correction, possibly surpassing the all-time high post-election. However, two bearish scenarios suggest a major drop to 20K in the long term, highlighting significant downside risk. 🟢 Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Weeks to Months) - Bullish Scenario 🔸 Leading Diagonal (Green) Complete : The green lines on the chart represent the completion of the leading diagonal, which is the first wave of a larger impulse (wave 1). Leading diagonals often occur in the first wave of a new trend, indicating that a bullish trend is beginning. This is particularly important because it sets the foundation for a stronger upward movement that could follow after a corrective phase. 🔸 Corrective Phase (Red ABC) : After completing the first wave, we are now expecting a corrective structure. The red lines represent a potential ABC correction, a typical 3-wave corrective pattern in Elliott Wave theory. This correction could retrace some of the gains made in the leading diagonal, potentially finding support near key Fibonacci retracement levels (like the 0.25, 0.5, or 0.75 levels) drawn in orange on the chart. 🔸 Timing Around the US Election : The chart indicates that this ABC correction may take place leading into the US election, which is often a period of increased market uncertainty and volatility. It seems that the correction is expected to conclude before or around this event, setting the stage for the next major move. 🔸 Bullish Impulse (Wave 3) : After the correction, the chart projects a strong bullish impulse (the large green arrow), which would be the beginning of wave 3. In Elliott Wave theory, wave 3 is typically the most powerful and extended wave in an impulsive structure, often leading to significant gains. The breakout above previous highs around the 67,000-68,000 level (marked by the green wave 5 in the diagonal) would confirm the start of this impulsive wave, which could target much higher levels, possibly into the 70,000+ range. 🔸 Bullish Summary (TLDR): The leading diagonal in green (wave 1) suggests that a new bullish cycle is underway. We are currently expecting a 3-wave corrective move (ABC) before the next leg up. The correction could end around key Fibonacci levels, potentially coinciding with the US election. After the correction, a powerful wave 3 impulse is expected, likely driving prices significantly higher. 🔴 Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Weeks to Months) - Bearish Scenario 🔸 Bigger ABC Correction : The market is in the midst of a larger corrective pattern. The current movement is within the B-wave of this ABC structure. 🔸 Flat Pattern for B-Wave : The B-wave is forming a flat correction, which typically indicates a sideways consolidation with a final leg up before a downward movement. 🔸 C-Wave to 52K Area : After completing the B-wave, we expect a C-wave to the downside, targeting around the 52K level. This drop represents the completion of the B-wave within the larger ABC pattern. 🔸 Larger C-Wave Up : Following this drop, the final C-wave to the upside is projected. While this wave could potentially retest or even exceed the all-time high (ATH), it's not guaranteed. The key idea is that a significant rally is expected after the corrective B-wave down. 🔸 Major Downtrend Next Year : After this anticipated rally, a substantial downtrend is expected in the following year, potentially driving the price down to 20K or lower. 🔸 Bearish Summary (TLDR): Completing a B-wave flat correction within a larger ABC structure. Expecting a C-wave down to around 52K before a potential larger rally. After the larger C-wave up, a significant decline is expected, leading to 20K or lower in the following year. 🔴 Mid-Term Outlook (Next Few Months to Year) - Bearish Scenario 🔸 Leading Diagonal Completed (Red) : The red structure shows the formation of a large leading diagonal to the downside, suggesting that a strong downtrend has already been established. 🔸 Corrective ABC (Green) : After the diagonal, a corrective ABC pattern has formed. This correction has reached the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which is a common level for corrections to complete before resuming the primary trend. 🔸 Major Move to the Downside : Following the completion of this corrective phase, the chart is signaling the beginning of a significant bearish move, potentially leading to a price target near the 20K level. This aligns with the broader bearish outlook. 🔸 Bearish Summary (TLDR): Finished a leading diagonal to the downside, followed by a corrective ABC pattern. Correction reached the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. Expecting a major bearish move from this point, with a potential target of 20K. 🔶 Key Takeaway The market presents both bullish and bearish possibilities. The bullish scenario suggests that after a leading diagonal (wave 1) completes, a short-term ABC correction will occur, followed by a powerful wave 3 impulse to the upside, potentially pushing prices beyond the all-time high after the US election. On the other hand, the bearish scenarios indicate a significant downturn: one expects a C-wave drop to around 52K before a larger rally, followed by a steep decline to 20K or lower next year, while the other points to a completed leading diagonal with a corrective ABC reaching the 0.786 Fibonacci level, signaling the start of a major move down to 20K. Despite the potential short-term upside, both bearish scenarios ultimately point to a substantial long-term decline.
by AlgoFyre
MARA Bullish Outlook: Elliott WavesTechnical Analysis of MARA Based on Elliott Waves. The following analysis is based on the provided chart and is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investing in stocks involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct thorough research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Key Observations from the Chart - Elliott Wave Theory: The chart appears to be using Elliott Wave Theory to identify potential future trends. Elliott Wave Theory suggests that markets move in predictable patterns, often referred to as "waves." - Uptrend: The overall trend of the chart seems to be bullish, indicating a potential uptrend. - Invalidation Level: A horizontal line is drawn at the bottom, labeled "Invalidation Level." This level could serve as a support level, and if the price breaks below it, the bullish outlook might be invalidated. - Pattern Recognition: The chart seems to be suggesting a potential "5-wave impulse" pattern, which is often associated with an uptrend. - Price Action: The price has recently shown a pullback, which could be a healthy correction within the larger uptrend. Potential Outlook Based on these observations, the chart suggests a bullish outlook for MARA. If the price can hold above the "Invalidation Level" and continue to follow the Elliott Wave pattern, there is a potential for further upward movement. However, it's important to note that technical analysis is not foolproof. Market conditions can change rapidly, and unexpected events can affect the price. Always stay informed about the company's fundamentals, industry trends, and broader market conditions. Next Steps 1. Monitor Price Action: Keep an eye on the price in relation to the "Invalidation Level" and the Elliott Wave pattern. 2. Consider Other Indicators: Combine technical analysis with fundamental analysis to get a more complete picture of the company. 3. Risk Management: Implement risk management strategies, such as stop-loss orders, to protect your investments. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NASDAQ:MARALong
by RK_Chaarts
2
XLE: Rising Wave PatternTechnical analysis chart of the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE), with Elliott wave analysis overlaid. Let's break down the analysis based on the chart and labels: Overall Analysis: The chart suggests a bullish trend for XLE, based on the Elliott wave structure. It indicates that we have completed wave ((4)) of wave V and are now in the unfolding wave ((5)). Within wave ((5)), we have started wave (1), and are currently in wave (3) of (1). Wave Counts and Labels: V Red: This represents the fifth and final wave of a larger Elliott wave pattern. ((4)) Black: The fourth corrective wave within V. ((5)) Black: The fifth and final impulsive wave within V. (1) Blue: The first impulsive wave within ((5)). 1 Red: The first wave within (1). 2 Red: The second corrective wave within (1). 3 Red: The third impulsive wave within (1) (currently unfolding). Price Projection and Invalidation as per Waves: Bullish Projection: The chart suggests a potential target of 105 for wave ((5)). Invalidation Level: A break below 83.02 would invalidate the current bullish analysis. Educational Notes: Elliott wave theory is a technical analysis tool that identifies patterns in price movements based on a series of five waves. Impulsive waves (1, 3, 5) move in the direction of the overall trend, while corrective waves (2, 4) move in the opposite direction. Wave labels use brackets to indicate different levels of analysis. For example, ((5)) is a larger wave than (1). Colors are often used to visually differentiate between different waves and patterns. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
AMEX:XLELong
by RK_Chaarts
From Correction to Impulse: Elliott Waves in Jindal Steel power Technical Analysis of JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD. based on Elliott Wave Principles This analysis uses Elliott Wave Theory and structures, offering one potential market scenario among multiple possibilities. The information is for Educational purposes only and should not be taken as trading advice . There is always a risk of being incorrect, and users should not make trading or investment decisions based solely on this analysis. The content does not guarantee profits, and we are not responsible for any financial outcomes. It is recommended to consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. Introduction to Elliott Wave Theory: Elliott Wave Theory, developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott, identifies repetitive price patterns in financial markets, driven by investor psychology and crowd behavior. Here are some key Elliott Wave rules: 1. Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1. 2. Wave 3 is often the most powerful and cannot be the shortest of the impulse waves. 3. Wave 4 should not overlap with the price territory of Wave 1 (except in diagonal patterns). 4. Impulse waves move in five smaller waves (1-2-3-4-5), while corrective waves move in three waves (A-B-C). Wave Counts and Analysis: On the 2-hour chart of JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD., the completion of Wave (4) in blue is likely at the 896 low. This corrective phase may have concluded, signaling the start of a new bullish impulse wave. Current Structure: Wave (5) in Blue Unfolding We may now be at the start of Wave (5) in blue, which suggests further upward momentum. Within this wave, the internal structure shows: - Wave 1 in red of Wave (5) has been completed. - Wave 2 in red of Wave (5) also seems to have finished, a typical pullback phase. - Wave 3 in red of Wave (5) appears to be starting, signaling a potential strong upward move. Characteristics of Wave 3: Wave 3 is typically the most extended and powerful part of an impulse wave. It often accelerates rapidly, fueled by market sentiment, and can deliver outsized price gains. This wave is expected to push the stock price higher with more conviction. Based on Fibonacci levels, potential targets for Wave 3 are: - The first target could be 1020 (100% Fibonacci extension). - A further target lies at 1076, the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, a common level for extended third waves. - An extended target is 1111 at the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. Moving Averages Confirmation: Adding to the bullish outlook, JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD. is currently trading above both the 200-period EMA and the 50-period EMA on the 2-hour, daily, and weekly timeframes, which signals strong strength to show upward momentum across multiple timeframes. The alignment of these exponential moving averages (EMAs) indicates that the stock is maintaining long-term support, which provides additional strength to the current bullish wave count. Critical Level to Watch: 988 Once the price closes above the 988 level, we can expect further confirmation of strength. This price level is crucial as it would signal a breakout, paving the way for additional bullish momentum and targeting higher Fibonacci levels, such as 1020, 1076, and 1111. Invalidation Level: The wave count remains valid as long as the price stays above 896, the low of Wave (4) in blue. A break below this level would invalidate the current wave structure, implying that the bullish trend may be in jeopardy. Summary: In conclusion, JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD. appears to have completed its corrective Wave (4) in blue, with the price now starting to unfold into Wave (5) in blue. With Wave 1 and Wave 2 in red complete, the stock is likely entering Wave 3 in red, which typically exhibits strong price advances. The stock’s upward trajectory is supported by its position above the 200-period EMA and 50-period EMA across multiple timeframes (2-hour, daily, weekly), further strengthening the bullish case. Key levels to watch include 1020, 1076, and 1111, while 988 acts as a near-term breakout level. The invalidation point for this wave count remains at 896. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:JINDALSTELLong
by RK_Chaarts
3
Spotting the Trend: The Birth of Wave 3Technical Analysis Using Elliott Wave Principles on exampled chart of SBI Cards (Daily Time Frame) This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not intended as financial or trading advice. Market movements are inherently uncertain, and the analysis is based on one possible interpretation of the Elliott Wave structure. Please consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. Introduction to Elliott Wave Principles: Elliott Wave Theory is an analytical framework that helps traders and investors understand market psychology through price movement patterns. The theory suggests that market prices unfold in waves, which are driven by collective investor behavior. The patterns consist of five waves in the direction of the main trend, followed by three corrective waves. Understanding these wave patterns allows us to anticipate future price movements with greater accuracy. Key Elliott Wave Principles: 1. Five-Wave Impulse Pattern: The primary trend unfolds in five waves (1-2-3-4-5). Waves 1, 3, and 5 move in the direction of the trend, while waves 2 and 4 are corrective. 2. Three-Wave Corrective Pattern: After a five-wave sequence, a correction typically follows, consisting of three waves (A-B-C) that move against the primary trend. 3. Wave Relationships: Fibonacci ratios play a crucial role in Elliott Wave analysis, often governing the length of the waves. 4. Wave Characteristics: Each wave has its own set of characteristics. For example, Wave 3 is usually the most powerful, showing the strongest price movement, while Wave 5 may signal the final push before a significant correction. Current Elliott Wave Analysis on SBI Cards Wave Structure Overview: - The analysis focuses on the daily time frame of SBI Cards, where we can identify a completed corrective pattern and the beginning of a new impulsive wave structure. Wave Count Details: 1. Primary Count: - The chart indicates the possible completion of Wave ((2)) in black, marked by a complex corrective structure, ending near the 493.30 level. - The price has likely begun unfolding Wave ((i)) of Wave 1 in red of the larger Wave ((3)) in black. 2. Current Daily Structure: - Wave ((2)) seems to have completed with a three-wave corrective move, labeled as A-B-C. The final wave C (marked in red) appears to have ended at 493.30, representing the termination point of Wave ((2)). - Following this, the initial sub-waves of Wave 1 (red) have begun forming, with Wave ((i)) currently unfolding. - The nearest Invalidation Level for this wave count is 647.95. A break below this level would invalidate the current count, requiring a re-evaluation. Wave ((3)) Characteristics and Projections: - Wave ((3)) Characteristics: As per Elliott Wave Theory, Wave ((3)) is often the most dynamic and extended wave, reflecting strong momentum in the direction of the main trend. It’s typically the longest and most powerful of the impulsive waves, often reaching or surpassing the 1.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave ((1)). - Target Levels: For Wave ((3)) in black, potential targets could be calculated using Fibonacci extensions from Wave ((1)) & ((2)), projecting prices towards 161.80%, hear possibility for short to medium term could be 960.00 and beyond if Invalidation level is not Triggered, depending on the strength of the momentum. - Invalidation Level: If the price drops below 647.95, it would invalidate the current wave count, indicating that Wave ((2)) may still be in progress or that an alternative structure is developing. Conclusion: The analysis suggests that SBI Cards may have completed a major corrective wave and is now in the early stages of a new impulsive sequence. The focus should be on the development of Wave ((3)) in black, which has the potential to drive prices significantly higher if the wave count holds true. As always, this educational analysis is not intended as trading advice, and one should consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:SBICARDEducation
by RK_Chaarts
7
Decoding the Final Wave: An Elliott Wave PerspectiveTechnical Analysis Using Elliott Wave Principles on example of Larsen & Toubro Ltd. (Hourly Time Frame) The analysis presented is purely for educational purposes, demonstrating the application of Elliott Wave Theory. It is not intended as trading or investment advice. Markets are unpredictable, and all analyses have a degree of uncertainty. Introduction to Elliott Wave Principles: Elliott Wave Theory is a powerful tool used by traders and analysts to decipher the underlying structure of market price movements. Developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott, this theory is based on the idea that market prices unfold in specific patterns known as "waves." These waves are driven by collective investor psychology, moving in predictable cycles of optimism and pessimism. The theory is broken down into two main phases: the impulsive phase, which moves in the direction of the main trend, and the corrective phase, which moves against it. Key principles to remember: 1. Wave Structure: An impulsive wave (motive wave) consists of five waves (1-2-3-4-5) in the direction of the trend. A corrective wave is composed of three waves (A-B-C) that move against the trend. 2. Wave Personality: Each wave within the Elliott Wave structure has distinct characteristics. For example, Wave 3 is often the strongest and longest, while Wave 5 tends to be a final push before a trend reversal. 3. Wave Relationships: Fibonacci ratios are frequently observed in wave relationships, providing potential price targets and retracement levels. 4. Validation and Invalidation Levels: These levels help in determining the accuracy of wave counts and projections. If price breaches the invalidation level, the wave count is reassessed. Current Elliott Wave Analysis on Larsen & Toubro Ltd. Upon analyzing the hourly chart of Larsen & Toubro Ltd., we can observe the following wave counts and structures: Wave Structure Overview: - The chart shows a complex corrective structure following a significant impulsive move. The price action seems to be in the final stages of a larger wave pattern. Wave Count Details: 1. Primary Count: - We are potentially in the 5th Wave (red) of the final (5)th Wave (blue) on the daily time frame. - The 5th wave, according to Elliott Wave Theory, often exhibits certain characteristics such as declining momentum, signaling the end of the trend. 2. Current Hourly Structure: - Wave (4) in Blue has been completed at the price level near 3175.05, marking it as the last corrective wave before the final impulsive wave. - The chart illustrates a five-wave sequence emerging from this level, indicative of the development of the 5th wave. - Within this structure, we can identify sub-waves: - Wave 1 peaked around 3720. - Wave 2 retraced back near 3460. - Wave 3 is anticipated to push towards higher levels, with Wave 4 and 5 completing the sequence. Wave 5 Characteristics and Projections: - Wave 5 Characteristics: [/i ] Typically, Wave 5 in a motive wave structure can be either strong and extended or show signs of divergence, where momentum indicators such as RSI or MACD might not confirm new highs. - Projection Target Levels: Based on Fibonacci extensions, potential targets for Wave 5 lie around 4141.30, 4352.60, and even possibly towards 4400.00. - Invalidation Level: If the price breaks below 3175.05, the wave count would be invalidated, necessitating a reassessment of the entire structure. Conclusion: The analysis indicates that Larsen & Toubro Ltd. is in the final stages of a larger wave pattern, specifically the 5th wave of an impulsive sequence. As this wave unfolds, it’s crucial to monitor the target and invalidation levels closely. This educational analysis serves to illustrate the application of Elliott Wave Theory, with no intention of providing trading advice. Always consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:LTEducation
by RK_Chaarts
6
Mastering Elliott Waves: Key Rules You Can't IgnoreEducational Idea : Understanding Key Principles of Elliott Wave Theory Introduction Elliott Wave Theory is a powerful tool used by traders to analyze market cycles and forecast future price movements. Understanding its core principles can help you make more informed trading decisions. In this article, we will delve into three fundamental principles of Elliott Wave Theory that cannot be violated. Remember, this video is purely for educational purposes and not intended as trading advice or tips. 1. Wave 2 Can Never Retrace More Than 100% of Wave 1 The first principle of Elliott Wave Theory is that Wave 2 can never retrace more than 100% of Wave 1. In other words, Wave 2 cannot go below the starting point of Wave 1. If it does, it invalidates the wave count and suggests that the initial impulse wave (Wave 1) was incorrectly identified. This rule ensures that Wave 2 is a correction wave within the larger trend and not a reversal of the trend itself. Example Illustration: - If Wave 1 starts at 100 and peaks at 150, Wave 2 can retrace to any level above 100, but not below it. 2. Wave 3 Can Never Be the Shortest Among All Three Impulse Waves (1-3-5) The second principle states that Wave 3 can never be the shortest among the three impulse waves (Waves 1, 3, and 5). Typically, Wave 3 is the longest and most powerful wave, characterized by strong momentum and volume. If you find that Wave 3 is shorter than either Wave 1 or Wave 5, the wave count is incorrect, and you need to re-evaluate your analysis. Example Illustration: - If Wave 1 is 50 points and Wave 3 is only 30 points, while Wave 5 is 40 points, this violates the rule as Wave 3 is the shortest. 3. Wave 4 Cannot Enter the Territory of Wave 1 (Except in Diagonals & Triangles) The third principle asserts that Wave 4 cannot enter the price territory of Wave 1. This means that the lowest point of Wave 4 should not overlap the highest point of Wave 1. An exception to this rule occurs in diagonal and triangle patterns, where some overlap is permissible. This rule helps maintain the integrity of the impulse wave structure. Example Illustration: - If Wave 1 peaks at $150 and Wave 4 retraces to $145, this overlaps and invalidates the wave count unless the pattern is a diagonal or triangle. Conclusion By following these principles, you can ensure that your Elliott Wave analysis remains robust and accurate, helping you navigate the complexities of the financial markets with greater confidence. Understanding and applying these key principles of Elliott Wave Theory can significantly enhance your market analysis and trading strategies. Keep these rules in mind as you study and apply Elliott Wave Theory in your trading journey. Remember, this video is purely for educational purposes and not any kind of trading advisory or tips. This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Feel free to share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Happy trading! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:IRFCEducation
by RK_Chaarts
13
Charting the Future: An Elliott Wave ApproachTechnical Analysis of Rajesh Exports Using Elliott Wave Theory Monthly Time Frame Analysis Elliott Wave Count and Structure: - The monthly chart of Rajesh Exports shows a clear Elliott Wave pattern, suggesting the completion of a corrective wave (C) of a larger degree wave ((2)) in Black, implying that a new bullish impulse is likely to begin wave ((3)) in Black. - The recent price action indicates the end of Wave (C), part of a larger correction that followed a significant impulse wave (5) earlier of wave ((1)) in Black. - This suggests that the stock is about to start a new bullish cycle, labeled as Wave (1) in Blue of a new impulse higher Primary degree wave ((3)) in Black. Bullish Divergence: MACD: The price shows hidden bullish divergence with the MACD, as the MACD line forms higher lows while the price makes lower lows on Monthly time frame. RSI: Similar hidden bullish divergence is observed with the RSI too on monthly time frame, reinforcing the bullish outlook. Daily Time Frame Analysis Bullish Divergence: MACD: The price shows bullish divergence with the MACD, with the MACD line forming higher lows while the price forms lower lows. RSI: The RSI also shows bullish divergence, adding further weight to the bullish scenario. Trigger Point: Trendline Breakout: The daily chart indicates a trendline breakout accompanied by a significant increase in volume. This breakout suggests a strong bullish sentiment and confirms the start of a new upward trend. Invalidation Level: The invalidation level for this bullish scenario is set at 261. If the price falls below this level, the bullish wave count would be invalidated. Targets: According to Elliott Wave Theory, the third wave (3) is typically the most powerful. Using the Fibonacci extension, the 161.8% target of Wave (1) places the possible price target near or above 1800. Summary Elliott Wave Count: Indicates a potential start of a new bullish impulse wave. Bullish Divergence: Both MACD and RSI on the daily and monthly charts show bullish divergence. Trendline Breakout: Confirmed with high volume, suggesting strong upward momentum. Invalidation Level: 261 Target: 161.8% Fibonacci extension of Wave (1) projects a target near or above 1800. The overall analysis suggests that Rajesh Exports is poised for a significant upward movement, with strong bullish indications from both the Elliott Wave counts and technical indicators. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:RAJESHEXPOEducation
by RK_Chaarts
4
Charting with Elliott WavesUnderstanding how to do Technical Analysis of any chart based on Elliott Waves This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as trading advice. Multiple scenarios are possible in the real market, and there is a risk of being wrong. It is essential to consult with a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. We are not responsible for any profits or losses incurred based on this analysis. Wave Rules: Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1. Wave 3 is never the shortest wave. Wave 4 should not overlap with Wave 1's price territory, except in diagonal triangles. Applying Elliott Wave Theory Elliott Wave Theory is a powerful tool for traders, but it requires practice and a deep understanding of market psychology. By analyzing wave patterns, degrees, and Fibonacci relationships, traders can gain insights into potential market trends and make informed trading decisions. It is important to combine Elliott Wave analysis with other technical indicators and risk management strategies to enhance the accuracy and reliability of market forecasts. Elliott Wave Theory provides a comprehensive framework for understanding market cycles and predicting price movements. By mastering its principles and applying them with discipline, traders can enhance their ability to navigate the financial markets and capitalize on emerging trends. Let's understand study of this chart Current Wave Structure Primary Wave Count: - The chart illustrates a completed five-wave impulse sequence (1-2-3-4-5) followed by a corrective phase. - The primary impulse wave (labeled in red) has completed its cycle, marked by a significant peak at Wave 5. - The subsequent corrective wave (labeled in blue as (4)) has also completed, indicating a potential beginning of a new impulse sequence. Subwave Count: - The internal structure of the primary waves shows clear subwaves, especially within the third wave, which is typically the strongest and longest. - The chart depicts detailed labeling of smaller degree waves (i-ii-iii-iv-v), ensuring adherence to Elliott Wave principles. Recent Breakout Analysis Breakout Confirmation: - Recently, the price has broken out from a consolidation zone, supported by increased trading volumes. This is a positive sign indicating strong market interest and momentum. - The breakout occurred after the price retested the previous resistance level, which now acts as a support. This successful retest enhances the credibility of the breakout. Future Projections Impulsive Bias: - Based on the wave structure, the stock appears to be in the early stages of a new impulse wave. This suggests a bullish outlook with potential for significant upward movement. - The immediate target for this impulse wave is the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level at INR 2,976.60, aligning with typical Elliott Wave projections for Wave 3. Invalidation Level: - The nearest invalidation level for this bullish scenario is marked at INR 1,651.40. A break below this level would suggest a re-evaluation of the wave count and the current bullish bias. Conclusion The technical analysis of Dalmia Bharat Ltd. indicates a favorable outlook for continued upward movement, supported by a clear Elliott Wave structure and recent breakout confirmation with good volume. However, traders should monitor the invalidation level closely. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:DALBHARATEducation
by RK_Chaarts
GTPL HATHWAY LTD. Technical Outlook with Elliott wavesThe chart provided utilizes Elliott Wave Theory to analyze the price movements of GTPL HATHWAY LTD . Below is a breakdown of the wave counts and their significance: Primary Wave Count Labelled in Black Wave ((1)) in Black (Primary Degree): - This initial wave is marked from the low in March-2020 to the high Oct-2021. - It represents the first major upward movement after a prolonged downtrend, indicating a new bullish cycle. Wave ((2)) in Black (Primary Degree): - This corrective wave follows Wave ((1)), retracing a portion of the gains made in Wave ((1)). - It is marked from the high Oct-2021 to the low March-2022. - Wave ((2)) is typically characterized by a three-wave structure (ABC correction), although it appears to have a complex structure in this case. Wave ((3)) in Black (Primary Degree): - The current wave, which is expected to be the most powerful and extended wave. - It is divided into five smaller waves (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)-(5) within it, in Blue (Intermediate Degree). Intermediate and Minor Degree Waves Wave (1) of ((3)) (Intermediate Degree): - This wave is a smaller degree wave within the primary Wave ((3)). - It starts from the low of Wave ((2)) and moves up, completing its cycle around the first quarter of 2023. Wave (2) of ((3)) (Intermediate Degree): - A corrective wave within the primary Wave ((3)), following the high of Wave (1). - It retraces some of the gains made in Wave (1). Wave (3) of ((3)) (Intermediate Degree): - This wave is in progress and is expected to unfold into five smaller waves (i, ii, iii, iv, v). Subdivisions as Minor Degree in Red within Intermediate Waves Wave 1 of (3) (Minor Degree): - The first sub-wave of the intermediate Wave (3), indicating a small upward movement. Wave 2 of (3) (Minor Degree): - A corrective sub-wave following Wave 1, resulting in a minor pullback. Wave 3 of (3) (Minor Degree): - Expected to be the most extended and powerful sub-wave within the intermediate Wave (3). - This wave is likely to push the price significantly higher, followed by wave 4 & wave 5 to finish Wave (3). Bullish Scenario and Price Targets Target for Wave 3 (Primary Degree): - The projected target for Wave 3 is around the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level, which is 353. Key Levels - Invalidation Level: 155 - This level serves as a crucial point. If the price drops below 155, it invalidates the current wave count and the bullish scenario for now. MACD Trend Indicator: - Already running positive in both Monthly and Daily timeframes. - Turned upside in Weekly timeframe and is on the verge of a positive crossover. Trendline Breakout: A trendline breakout has been observed on the Weekly timeframe. Moving Averages: The price has closed above the 50EMA, 100EMA, and 200EMA in both Weekly and Monthly timeframes. Bullish Divergences: Bullish divergences are aligned on both Weekly and Daily timeframes. Support and Resistance: The price is taking support at the 20SMA mid Bollinger Band in the Monthly timeframe. The stock is attempting to close above the Weekly 20 SMA, which has not been achieved yet. Conclusion The detailed wave count analysis suggests that "GTPL HATHWAY LTD" is currently in the early stages of a primary Wave 3, which is typically the strongest and most extended wave in Elliott Wave Theory. The intermediate and minor degree waves within this primary wave indicate a structured and progressive upward movement, supported by various technical indicators. The primary target is set at 353, with an invalidation level at 155. If the price breaks below the invalidation level of 155, it indicates that we are still in Wave (2) of the Blue Intermediate Degree. Consequently, we would need to wait for the start of Wave 1 of (3). In this scenario, the new invalidation level would be 93.75. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:GTPLLong
by RK_Chaarts
6
Galaxy Surfactants: Bullish Wave 5 in MotionTechnical Analysis of Galaxy Surfactants Elliott Wave Analysis: Galaxy Surfactants is exhibiting a classic Elliott Wave structure on the weekly time frame. The stock has successfully completed waves (1), (2), (3), and (4), and now appears to be unfolding wave (5). Within wave (5), we have finished waves 1 and 2 and are potentially starting wave 3 on the daily time frame. Key Levels: Invalidation Level: The low of wave (4) at 2221 serves as the invalidation point for this bullish wave count. If the stock price falls below this level, the current Elliott Wave structure would be invalidated. Target Levels: Based on the wave structure, the potential targets for wave (5) are in the range of 3500 to 4000. Technical Indicators: MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD is positively aligned on both daily and weekly time frames, indicating bullish momentum. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is also showing strength, being positively aligned in both daily and weekly time frames. This supports the view that the stock is in a bullish phase. Wave (5) Characteristics: Wave (5) in Elliott Wave theory often represents the final leg of the primary trend. It is usually characterized by strong momentum and can sometimes extend to unexpected levels, especially if wave (3) was not the longest wave. The unfolding of wave (5) suggests that Galaxy Surfactants has significant upside potential. Conclusion: Galaxy Surfactants is showing a strong bullish setup according to Elliott Wave theory. With the stock potentially starting wave 3 of wave (5) and supported by positive MACD and RSI indicators on both daily and weekly time frames, the outlook is highly positive. The invalidation level is pegged at 2221, with targets towards 3500 - 4000 levels. Investors should monitor these levels closely to confirm the wave structure and potential continuation of the bullish trend. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:GALAXYSURFLong
by RK_Chaarts
2
Elliott Wave Modern Analysis: Major Bullish Trends Unveiled!Hello traders! 📈✨ Today, we're diving into a comprehensive Elliott Wave Modern analysis on the DOGEUSD weekly chart (W1). With our two-window setup, we are comparing the current market behavior with a historical bullish trend from December 14, 2020, to May 3, 2021. Let's break it down: Right Window Analysis: Period: December 14, 2020 - May 3, 2021 Market Behavior: During this period, DOGEUSD exhibited a massive bullish trend forming an ABC flat pattern. Key Levels: Wave A: $0.4530, representing a 500% increase from a lower degree abc Zigzag (marked in grey). Left Window Analysis: Current Status: The market is currently forming the early stages of a three-wave pattern (a:3 & b:3). Future Projection: - If history repeats, we might see wave c:5 with a potential 500% increase, targeting $0.7992 from the height of a:3. - Current Price: $0.1650 - Target: Watch for the first major peak around $0.7992! 🚨 Get ready for a potential bullish surge in DOGEUSD! 🚨 With these insights, we could be on the brink of another significant move. Stay tuned and trade wisely! 🚀💸 🔗 Follow for more updates and detailed analyses! 📊📌 #ElliottWaveModern #CryptoAnalysis #DOGEUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishTrends #CryptoTrading #TradingView 🚀📈🌊
BINANCE:DOGEUSDLong
by erbe
2