EGO
S&P500 - Week 35 Recap and Takeaways This week was full of twists and surprises in the stock market. We managed to execute three trades, all of which ended in profit, but there were some key lessons to carry forward into next week. Let's dive into the rollercoaster that was Week 35.
1. The Bulls Lost the Fight for a Breakout
Our initial Plan A was geared toward a bullish breakout above the blue resistance level, with hopes of reaching a new all-time high (ATH). However, the market had other plans. As soon as the index dipped below the VWAPs with strong volume, our Plan B automatically kicked in.
2. Trade 1 - Initiating Plan B
As we outlined last weekend, our backup plan was to look for a 4-star bearish setup between the key zones (blue and green). The idea was to enter a short trade if the RVOL was greater than 3 and the market dipped below VWAP1 and VWAP2, provided the risk/reward (R/R) ratio was in our favor at a minimum of 1.7. This setup unfolded perfectly on Monday. We entered the trade, but as the price paused at an R/R ratio of 1.5, we decided to take 50% off the table, move our SL to the entry level, and let the market decide the rest. Although we aimed for a TP2 at an R/R ratio of 2.5, the price didn't drop that low and started a comeback later in the day. When the intraday downtrend broke near the end of the session, we closed Trade 1, netting a realized R/R ratio (r) of 0.885. Given the shaky conditions, we were happy to walk away with clear signals and a modest profit.
3. Understanding R/R Ratio(e) vs. R/R Ratio(r)
Both estimated (e) and realized (r) R/R ratios are crucial in trading. Success in trading isn't just about estimating potential gains but also about tracking what you actually realize. This distinction is vital, especially during back-testing, as it separates profitable traders from those who break even or worse.
4. Trade 2 - The Day Before NVIDIA’s Quarterly Report
On Wednesday, NVIDIA released its quarterly report after the NY exchange closed, and the results fell short of market expectations. The day started below VWAP with high RVOL, which matched our criteria for another short trade. We again set our TP in two stages—TP1 at an R/R ratio of 1.5 and TP2 at 2.5, as the market confirmed a new intraday downtrend. This trade played out perfectly, with both the estimated and realized R/R ratios matching.
Some might wonder why we closed the trade even with strong momentum. The answer lies in the green long-term bullish trend line. We placed our final TP just above this line, anticipating support in that area, which is exactly what happened. The market bounced back just before the end of the day, and we closed out the trade before NVIDIA’s report was released. The risk of holding on for more was simply too high.
5. Trade 3 - The Day After NVIDIA
After NVIDIA’s report, the S&P 500 dipped below the long-term trend line during the Asian session, but by the time the London session began, the price was fighting back. With RVOL greater than 3 and the index reclaiming VWAP1 and VWAP2, we entered another short trade with an estimated R/R ratio greater than 1.7. This trade also hit both of our TPs, and we exited just as the market approached the blue resistance zone.
6. Were There More Setups This Week
As we reviewed the week, we found that no additional trades aligned with our strategy. On Tuesday, the market bounced back from VWAP with high RVOL but didn’t offer a favorable R/R ratio. On Thursday, RVOL was below 3 during a potential setup, and on Friday, despite strong RVOL, the R/R ratio was again too low. Later on Friday, the market surged, but low RVOL kept us on the sidelines.
Conclusion
The key takeaway from this week is the importance of patience and discipline. It’s crucial to sit on your hands when not all your rules are checked. Even if the trade you didn’t take would have worked out, letting your ego guide your trading decisions can be a trap. Your ego might remember that one missed opportunity and push you to take the next trade without all your criteria being met, but that’s a recipe for disaster.
Sticking to your trading rules is like maintaining trust in a relationship. Ignoring your rules is akin to cheating; it might be thrilling at first, but it will eventually lead to more pain than gain. So, stay calm, trust your process, and let the market create the trade for you, not the other way around.
We hope this update adds real value as you continue to navigate the markets this week. Stay disciplined, patient, and focused on making smart, strategic trades!
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El Dorado Gold (EGO) AnalysisCompany Overview:
El Dorado Gold, a significant player in the gold mining sector, has shown strong performance in Q1 2023. The company's operations span various regions, with a strategic focus on optimizing production and controlling costs, which has led to impressive financial results and a rising stock price.
Key Highlights:
Production Surge: EGO reported a 21% increase in gold production during Q1 2023, a significant boost that reflects the company's operational efficiency and resource management.
Cost Management: The company successfully lowered its all-in sustaining costs (AISC) to $1,184 per ounce, enhancing profitability and providing a stronger buffer against potential market volatility in gold prices.
Strategic Deal: El Dorado Gold struck a deal with TRU Precious Metals, acquiring an 80% stake in the Golden Rose gold-copper project in Newfoundland, Canada. This acquisition positions EGO to further increase production and diversify its asset base, potentially driving long-term growth.
Stock Performance: The company's strong operational performance and strategic acquisitions have positively impacted its stock price, signaling investor confidence and optimism about its future prospects.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NYSE:EGO above the $14.50-$15.00 range.
Upside Potential: With an upside target of $21.00-$22.00, El Dorado Gold presents a solid investment opportunity, underpinned by strong production growth, effective cost management, and strategic expansion.
🏅 El Dorado Gold—striking gold and delivering value! #EGO #GoldMining 💰✨
EGO NO GO Traders’ Downfall: Six Actions to AvoidThere is NO place for ego and bravado with trading.
If it falls under your personality, you have been warned.
Do you know why?
Because ego and emotion are traders’ kryptonite.
In this piece, we’ll dive into the egotistical trader’s playbook and shine a light on six actions that could be crippling your trading game.
EGO NO GO #1: Overtrade: More is Not Always More
Overtrading is like trying to sprint a marathon; it’s unsustainable and a fast track to burnout.
You need to pace yourself or you’re going to get a spasm or a stitch.
As a trader, you’re not a machine-gun trader, firing rounds at every shadow.
You need to only look and wait for the highest probability trades.
Remember, it’s about the right trades, not just more trades.
Solution: Quality Over Quantity as I always tell my MATI Traders!
EGO NO GO #2: Revenge Trade: The Emotional Spiral
After a loss, I know it feels tempting to jump straight back into the markets in order to recover your funds.
But let’s face it…
Revenge trading is about as effective as using a leaky bucket to bail water out of a sinking ship.
Solution: Keep Cool and Carry On
Clear your head.
Take a walk, grab a beer – The market will always be there for you the next day.
And it will probably dish out even better trades.
Remember, the market doesn’t know you, and it certainly doesn’t owe you. Stick to your plan, not your pride.
EGO NO GO #3: Ignore Risk Management: The Silent Killer
If you ignore risk management, it’s like skydiving without checking your parachute.
What if you jumped and instead of a parachute you’re wearing a backback?
Don’t laugh, these things happen.
With trading you need your risk management measures:
Stop loss of less than 2%
Drawdown management when the portfolio goes down.
Risking money you can emotionally handle to lose.
Making sure of your trade size.
Checking your risk to rewards.
Ensuring you’ve protected your positions.
Solution: Plan Your Risk
Decide on your risk parameters before you enter a trade, and then—this is key—stick to them.
Your future self will thank you.
EGO NO GO #4: Dismiss Market Analysis: Gut Feelings vs. Hard Data
You also need to check the weather.
By weather I mean, look at the news events coming out for the day and week.
Is it NFP (Non Farm Payrolls)? – The day when you DON’T day trade.
Is it CPI (Consumer Price Index)? – The day you DON’T Trade
Is it FOMC where the federal committee talks and causes volatility?
Solution: Check the news events and be vigilant.
EGO NO GO #5: Blame Everything: The Pointless Game
When trades go south.
They look to blame.
They point fingers to their mentors, their strategy, themselves.
There is NO blame game with the markets.
If you followed your rules, strategies, risk to reward and everything else – You did the best of your ability for that trade.
Solution: Own your trade to Hone your trade It
Accept responsibility, learn from your mistakes, and grow stronger. It’s the only way.
EGO NO GO #6: Fail to Adapt: Evolve or Be Left Behind
The market is a beast that’s always changing.
I always say adapt or die.
Feel the general market’s environment.
Know whether it’s in a favourable or unfavourable period.
Tweak your system to improve your metrics.
Change the markets by adding or removing ones that aren’t working.
Take ego out of the analysis.
Solution: Stay Sharp, Stay Updated
FINAL WORDS:
I’m sure you already feel less egotistical when it comes to trading. And that means, this article has done it’s job.
Whenever you feel ego creeping in, remember this article save it and store it.
In fact go through all the articles that resonate, print them and store them in a file.
It will be your guide to trading well!
Let’s sum up the ego tendencies and how to avoid them…
Avoid Overtrading: Less can be more.
No Revenge Trading: Act with strategy, not emotion.
Stick to Risk Management: It’s your safety net.
Conduct Market Analysis: Never trade uninformed.
Stop the Blame: Learn and move forward.
Adapt to the Market: Evolve your strategy to stay relevant.
Eldorado Gold Strong Production Figures Ignite Investor Optimism
In the dynamic world of gold mining, Eldorado Gold Corporation (NYSE: NYSE:EGO ) emerges as a beacon of success, reporting robust production figures for the fourth quarter of 2023 and achieving its full-year guidance. The recent announcement of preliminary gold production of 143,166 ounces in Q4 and an impressive 485,140 ounces for the entire year reflects Eldorado's commitment to operational excellence and strategic growth. This article delves into the key highlights of Eldorado's performance, analyzing its operations in Canada, Turkiye, and Greece, and explores the positive technical outlook that has investors optimistic about the stock's future.
Eldorado's Production Triumphs:
1. Canada: The Lamaque Complex Sets Records
- The Lamaque Complex takes the spotlight with record-breaking gold production in both the fourth quarter and the entire year. A 29% increase in Q4 production over the previous quarter is attributed to enhanced grade and mill throughput. Eldorado's success in Canada reinforces the Company's operational efficiency and resource utilization.
2. Turkiye: Kisladag and Efemcukuru Showcase Strength
- Kisladag experiences a 24% surge in gold production during Q4, fueled by increased tonnes placed on the pads and improved irrigation rates. The commissioning of the North Heap Leach pad in Q3 plays a pivotal role in this growth. Meanwhile, Efemcukuru achieves record throughput rates in Q4, averaging 1,500 tpd, contributing to meeting full-year gold production targets. The completion of the mine rock storage facility positions Eldorado for more efficient waste rock and tailings management.
3. Greece: Olympias Delivers Record Annual Production
- Despite a slight dip in Q4 gold production at Olympias compared to the previous quarter, the mine achieves a record annual production due to operational initiatives implemented throughout the year. Improved ventilation and increased productivity within the Flats zone, enabled by larger stope sizes and bulk mining methods, underscore Eldorado's commitment to continuous improvement.
Technical Outlook and Investor Sentiment:
Eldorado Gold Corporation's stock ( NYSE:EGO ) stands out in the market, trading near the top of its 52-week range and comfortably above its 200-day simple moving average. The price momentum signals a positive sentiment among investors, with the stock showing upward momentum. Investors are optimistic about Eldorado's future value, further bolstered by the Company's strong operational performance in 2023.
Conclusion:
Eldorado Gold Corporation's impressive gold production figures for 2023, position the Company as a compelling investment opportunity. Investors are likely to be encouraged by Eldorado's operational achievements across its key assets in Canada, Turkiye, and Greece. As the Company continues to demonstrate resilience and growth potential, Eldorado Gold shines brightly as a promising player in the gold mining sector, attracting attention and confidence from the investment community.
The Mind of an Ego Trader – 10 ActionsWe always hear of the two most dangerous states of trading.
Fear and greed.
But I think there is one more state, that really drives a trader to financial collapse.
EGO.
Ego is thinking you’re always right where you ignore risk and caution.
It’s the voice in your head that tells you to make risky choices because you believe you know better.
To overcome being an ego trader, we need to go inside the mind of one.
Let’s start…
Ego traders overtrade
One of the most common pitfalls of ego trading is overtrading.
This is the act of buying and selling markets way more than you should.
They believe that the more they trade, the more profits they will make.
Solution:
Adopt a well-defined trading strategy and stick to it. You need to know how and where to enter your trades with strict risk management.
Remember, quality should always be prioritized over quantity.
Ego traders like to revenge Trade
Ego traders refuse to be wrong.
They’ll take a trade in one direction, bank a loss.
And then immediately get in again, but in the opposite direction – to make up for losses.
Their goal is not to trade well but to recoup any losses ASAP.
This behaviour is often driven by the ego’s inability to accept a loss. And this will drive them crazy until they blow a big portion of their account.
Solution:
Acceptance is key.
Every trader is going to take losses.
You need to take the loss (see it as the cost of trading), and come back the next day.
Take a step back, analyse the situation objectively, and stick to your trading plan.
Ego traders ignore risk management
Egotistical traders think like this.
“I want to grow rich quickly and refuse to only bank 3% to 4% of my portfolio per trade”.
They instead risk 5%, 10% and sometimes go full port.
They have this invincibility complex, that the more money they risk the more likely they’ll build their account quickly.
But this is reckless and your portfolio won’t last long. This will often lead to disproportionate losses.
Solution:
I sound like a parrot by now.
Always adhere to your risk management rules.
Determine your risk tolerance, set risk-reward ratios for your trades, and never risk more than you’re willing to lose on a single trade. You know this!
Dismiss Market Analysis
Ego traders are emotional.
They mainly trust their feelings, their jiminy cricket voices and their instincts over solid and proven market analysis.
This will obviously lead to discretionary trading decisions, which will eventually lead them with no strategy, no discipline, no rules, and no portfolio.
Solution:
Become a trading machine.
Think like a robot and always base your decisions on thorough market analysis.
This includes both technical analysis (price trends, indicators, etc.) and fundamental analysis (economic, financial, and other qualitative and quantitative factors).
Ego traders blame everything
Ego traders often blame the market, their broker, their children, the media, or unexpected news for their losses.
You need to grow up and take on the mature approach. Every financial decision and action you make, is solely your responsibility.
Solution:
Take responsibility for your actions.
Understand that the market is unpredictable and losses are a part of trading.
Don’t trade if you’re feeling distracted,
Don’t trade if you’re feeling you’ll blame something or someone.
Learn from your mistakes and learn to humble yourself before the market does.
Ego trader are trend top and bottom pickers
These are the guys that literally try to ‘predict’ bottoms or tops.
They go against the current trend, and instead guess that the price will turn from here.
They give you every reason why the market will turn.
They know privy info that no one else does (even though all info is in the public domain).
They know strategies and indicators that make these predictions (even though all indicators are based on past data).
They see and feel out of their asses about change in trends.
And when they’re wrong (which most times they are), they find every reason, news event and indicator to guess when the market will turn.
This usually results in entering at a bad price and subsequently facing a huge loss.
Solution:
Leave the tops and bottoms.
Seriously, ignore the first 10% of the bottom. Leave 10% of the top.
Claim the 80% market move when the trend has confirmed and is showing strong momentum.
Enjoy going with the trend not against it.
Ego traders over leverage
It confounds me that traders want more leverage.
They show off about 20 times, 50 times up to 500 times.
You know what that means right?
You can lose 20, 50 or 500 times the money you put in.
Leverage is a double-edged sword.
You desire the big wins and only think of the big wins.
When then you are wrong (and you will be), you end up losing a colossal amount.
Solution:
Use leverage responsibly.
Lower the leverage, the better you can manage your risk and reward management.
Ego traders disregard stop losses
Stop losses are designed to limit a trader’s loss on a position.
However, there are two types of ego traders.
The ones that trade naked (without a stop loss) and the trade goes heavily against them where they lose their hat.
Then there are the ones that put in their stop loss. But then they move their stop loss FURTHER away where they can risk more.
Once this happens, they marry into their trade.
And they’ll keep moving the stop loss away again and again and again and then BOOK.
Gone.
Solution:
First rule – Always set a stop loss.
Second rule – NEVER move your stop loss where you can risk more.
Super important.
Ego traders dismiss discipline
They have major commitment issues.
They choose their days and times.
They trade now and then when they feel like it.
And this dismisses the discipline of taking every trade, one needs to take to build a consistent portfolio.
Solution:
See trading as a business. See trading as a job.
See your trading strategy as your boss.
Work accordingly like your life and livelihood depends on it.
Discipline is key in trading.
Maintain your discipline and eventually it’ll turn into integration.
Then you’re sorted.
Ego traders fail to adapt
The market is constantly changing.
There are always new markets.
There are always new platforms.
There are always new brokers.
There are always new innovations and features.
And yet ego traders, stay put.
You need to learn to adapt to market changes.
You need to constantly update yourself as a trader, your strategy, your watchlist and stay with the times.
With discipline, a clear plan, and a bit of humility, traders can better navigate the markets and improve their chances of success.
Let’s sum up the Mind of an Ego trader so you know how to overcome it.
Ego traders overtrade
Ego traders like to revenge Trade
Ego traders ignore risk management
Dismiss Market Analysis
Ego traders blame everything
Ego trader are trend top and bottom pickers
Ego traders over leverage
Ego traders disregard stop losses
Ego traders dismiss discipline
Ego traders fail to adapt
3 Dangerous States of a Trader“To err is human”
It comes from Alexander Pope’s poem, “An Essay on Criticism.”
This popular saying reminds us that making mistakes and feeling emotions are a common part of the human experience.
In the high-stakes arena of financial trading, most people run their trading through three main emotional states.
You might not be able to eradicate them completely but we can learn to keep them in check for superior trading performance.
Let’s go through these three powerful states.
State #1: Fear in Trading
Fear is the emotional state that:
Stops traders from actioning trades.
Letting losses run (as they refuse to take a loss)
Cutting winners too short (as they don’t want to lose their profits)
When fear dominates, traders may freeze, act too soon, act too late or not act at all.
How to Overcome Fear in Trading
A well-structured trading plan is a trader’s best defense against fear.
You need to think like the market.
You need to trade like the market.
You need to remove fear from your actions.
That’s why you need to limit your risks per trade, where the loss does not affect you emotionally.
You need to be strict with your trading plan, to avoid any discretionary and impulse trading decisions.
And it’s important to start thinking with a more mechanical and rational approach rather than fear-driven ones.
Practice mindfulness and stress management techniques can also keep your fear under control.
State #2: Greed in Trading
Greed drives traders to chase profits.
This often compels them to take on excessive risk for the chance at bigger returns.
They either increase their risk per trade, knowing that the reward will be bigger.
Or because they want more, they will hold onto positions for too long.
Having greed overtake the mind, will also result in overtrading and using up too much of their portfolios per position.
How to Keep Greed at Bay in Trading
Understand that trading is a long-term game.
Consistency with small gains will build up a portfolio.
Be content with 3% – 4% winners. Keep to this and greed will fall away and you’ll have a better chance of longevity when trading.
State #3: Ego in Trading
Ego is one state I never see anyone talk about.
All you hear is fear and greed and greed and fear.
But EGO.
Ego is probably the most stubborn enemy.
“Ego gets you inches but it doesn’t get you impact.” – Cameron Sinclair
It convinces traders that they’re right, even when the market says otherwise.
An inflated ego can lead to overconfidence, over trading, revenge trading and it can cause traders to disregard their strategy, risk and they’ll end up making irrational and dangerous trading decisions.
How to Check Ego in Trading
Even the most successful traders suffer losses.
So you need to humble yourself and adopt amore mindful approach to realistic trading.
Each small loss is a contribution and a trading cost to one step to success.
You’ll also learn more from your losses than your gains. Which will give you an opportunity to learn and improve.
So go back to your trading journal and review, monitor and analyse the true essence of what it takes to build your portfolio.
This will help keep your ego in check.
Conclusion
Fear, greed, and ego are integral parts of the human experience.
But there is NO need and use for it to succeed as a trader.
When you learn to recognise these states and, you’ll be able to manage them better.
And this will drastically improve your trading performance.
Remember, successful trading is less about conquering the market and more about mastering your emotions.
MOST DANGEROUS TRADING TRAIT!Most people talk about Fear and Greed being the barometers to failure...
I think there is an underlying trait that is far superior which leads to ultimate account catastrophe.
EGO.
They just want to be right or they will have a hissy fit.
They refuse to take a loss...
They refuse to accept that the market is moving against you.
They find ways to disagree with the market which gets them committing moe.
They move their stop loss away further away - which means they risk more.
Rinse and repeat - GONE.
Cut out your ego or the markets will cut you out. Simple.
Trade well, live free.
Timon
MATI Trader
5 Key Advices To Share With Trader Who Is Struggling In TradingHello everyone:
Lately many of you have messaged me about getting FOMO and entering trades without confirmations.
In addition you can't seem to “not” enter trades when the market hasn't shaped up to your strategy and entry criteria.
I am hoping in today’s educational video it can help some of you guys to get back on track.
I want to share 5 main pieces of advice that can help out traders who are currently struggling.
These are experiences and lessons that I accumulate throughout the 8 years of trading and in hope to help some of you who are struggling in your current journey of trading.
1. Do “NOT” think about get rich quick in trading
-Trading is a marathon, not a sprint
-90-95% traders fail due to a combination of: Greed, FOMO, mindset/emotion, risk management, trading psychology.
-Trading is not a get rich quick scheme, but it can produce consistent, sustainable passive income if you can put in the time and effort
-Most try to jump to the result right away, without going through the journey, that is not how life works.
2. No trading strategies, style, method can give you 100% strike rate
-Trading is probability, not right or wrong.
-Understand you can have the best strategy in the world, and still not be profitable.
- Technical, Fundamental, Algo, EA...etc can all not work. This is why risk management is important to not over risk, over trade, over leverage your trading account
3. Backtest and journal
-Backtest your strategy so your brain acknowledges and recognizes it over and over again.
-Slowly build up confidence in your strategy and method. IT will come to you like second nature
-Journal all your wins and losses so you can review them. Work on them, accept your mistakes to grow and improve.
4. Control your EGO
-Human beings have ego to prove others are wrong and they are right
-We refuse to admit we made the error/mistakes, and blame others/external as the cause.
-Acknowledge that in trading, stop blaming the market, the broker, the mentor, the strategy...etc.
-Don't take things personally and be offended by it.
5. Never Give Up
-I blew several accounts in the beginning of trading career, gave up and quit trading multiple times
-I always ended up coming back to trading. After taking time off. Whether that is weeks or months in the beginning journey.
-No one is born into a trader, just like no one is born into a doctor, lawyer.
-If trading was that easy, then everyone would be rich.
-Success is measure by how many times you get back up when you failed
I hope these pointers can help you guys to get more focus and get back on track in trading.
Any questions, comments or feedback welcome to let me know, thank you
Jojo
Below I will share others educational videos that have direct relations to the topics above:
Trading Psychology: How to deal & manage losses/consecutive losses in trading ?
Trading Psychology: Revenge Trading
Trading Psychology: Fear Of Missing Out
Trading Psychology: Over Leveraged Trading
Trading Psychology: Is there Stop Loss Hunting in Trading ? How to deal with it ?
Prevent Blowing an account by backtesting:
Risk Management 101
waiting on the ego dipas per request, analysis on EGO
I would wait to buy in the lower range in the box. The STOCH RSI always come down to around the 0 level before a move back higher. it seems to follow that pattern, looking back on the daily chart and see reversals happen when it bottoms out
also, the Fibonacci support levels are pretty close from the big dump previously and also the current downtrend. I would buy chunks of it on the way down but i think buying around 7.00 or high 6's would be a good bet for another swing trade higher.
SPY - EGO and FOMO trading now?Do you want to trade the AMEX:SPY market, because you feel that we found the bottom?
Every trader can see some TA pattern in the market to find the "proof". But what about our EGO?
Trying to catch the bottom is like trying to catch a knife. It's very hard and it hurts.
I will show you, what we do with our portfolio and what we expect from the markets in the next few days.
I don't draw a lot of patterns to show all possible scenarios. Common sense is what we should use now and what you will see in the video.
Good trading guys!
FINEIGHT team
EGO trend reversal, looks very bearishEGOs run seems to be over for now, it had produced a continuation gap (bearish candlesticks), but that alone isn't enough to make a confirmation. After today with the 10% drop on shelf offering news.. it formed a bearish engulfing candle. Bearish engulfing also alone by itself is not enough to say bearish also.. so you look for volume confirmation. It seems we have that Double up those two candlestick patterns, along with gold making a pullback after breaking 1500... seems bearish too me. Trimmed position yesterday and will most likely close positions totally, or buy some short term puts. News seems to be coming with Skouries permit, so if that drops soon then its game on again. GLTA
EGO on the 15minEarnings out with CC at 11:30am... Australia is rallying hard with gold miners and gold is up big overnight. Earnings were decent but nothing crazy. Hoping for Greek mine updates this morning and we should be off the the races again
bollinger band gave me a buy signal....
upper band 8.32
middle 8.05
lower band 7.78
look at those for pivots or gaining/losing strength
goodluck !!!!!