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DAX rising weaklyMarkets rose on Wednesday, recovering losses from the previous session in anticipation of important data on regional activity and awaiting the ECB's latest monetary policy meeting. At the open, it was up 0.4%. It was followed by the French CAC40 and the FTSE 100 with 0.5% and 0.3% respectively, and finally the Spanish IBEX35 with around 0.4%. A rate cut of 25 basis points from record levels is expected today, heavily influenced and persuaded by signs of moderation in European inflation. The rapidly changing earnings outlook is what is driving this policy possibility. Doubts remain about what will be accepted going into the rest of the year after slightly better-than-forecast inflation data for the eurozone. The French PMI was similar to expectations overall, but services and composite details were slightly lower, the Spanish PMI slightly better than expected, the Italian PMI disappointed with its lower than expected data, and the German data provided relief by improving expectations. The overall Eurozone as a whole showed for the month of April a larger decline being -1% versus -0.5% expected and on an annual basis, -5.7% versus -5.1% expected. Today we have European Parliament elections across Europe, so PMI and production releases in Spain, Italy, France and Germany, which were expected to be better and did not meet expectations, will most likely affect the currency. Retail sales are expected to be negative due to the slowdown in consumption across Europe, so we will just want to see what the central bank tells us this afternoon. Regarding the German index, as we said, it has recovered its bullish mood this day. It has come out of the bearish trading zone of the last few weeks. Since Monday, the German spread has recovered 1.70%. We have to see if it will go back above the all-time highs this Friday or look to do so from next week onwards. What is clear on the chart is that the Trading Point is in the 17,000 zone, the shape being the bell of a possible triple bell with no excessive volume at its top, and the RSI at the moment is in the middle zone. For this reason it would not be unusual to see the German index pierce and pull back strongly to at least the area of 18,279 points approximately. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:GER40Short
by ActivTrades
5
The TradingView Show: Charting Markets with TradeStationHello to all global traders! We're live with David Russell, TradeStation's Global Head of Markets giving us an inside look at the most important moves in markets. He’s the expert behind the research and analysis from TradeStation’s official TradingView account. Follow them here: www.tradingview.com In this show, we examine the most important charts, interesting trades, and offer valuable education for all traders. What’s on David’s radar? The Fed, inflation, the upcoming Apple iPhone, the big money shifts moving from energy to tech, and other areas to watch including homebuilders and more. We look forward to connecting with traders worldwide. Share your questions in the comments, contribute your insights, and don’t forget to subscribe for more shows on TradingView with our partners, influencers, sponsors, and global community. Thanks for watching! This show is for educational and entertainment purposes only, not financial advice. Markets require hard work and dedication, so stay informed and keep learning. Look first, then leap! - TradingView Important disclaimers for ETFs: www.tradestation.com Important disclaimers for options: www.theocc.com All other important disclaimers: www.tradestation.com
TVC:TNX
by TradingView
5
Nvidia Stock Eyes Apple’s 2nd Spot After Monster 30% Gain in MayChip giant racked up nearly $700 billion in market cap last month and is on track to become the world’s second-largest company. If you’ve been extremely online and following the headlines for a while, you know how this blog will kick off: Nvidia (ticker: NVDA ) crushed, smashed, and shattered all expectations while reporting record profits and revenue. The artificial intelligence (AI) bonanza is so strong it’s literally no-froth-gains-only out there. Not that much in the loop? Let’s catch you up. For the fiscal first quarter, Nvidia reported record revenue of $26 billion, up 262% year-over year. Along the way, shares of the AI-focused company soared past $1,000 a pop and the stock is now threatening to overtake iPhone maker Apple (ticker: AAPL ) as the world’s second-largest company . Blink and You’ll Miss It. You Blinked, Right? Not that long ago — in March 2019 — Nvidia was a little-known GPU provider with its niche found in the gaming sector and the crypto mining corner. And, worth mentioning, it was chugging along as the 84th company in the world by market cap with shares changing hands at $30 a piece. Fast-track to nowadays, Nvidia’s market cap hovers near $2.7 trillion after gaining a monster 3,755% from its March 2019 lows. It also swooped in as the third-biggest company globally, replacing Amazon (ticker: AMZN ). Nvidia’s Big Gains Could Dethrone Apple The AI mainstay picked up more than $700 billion, or 30%, in valuation over May as its shares hit a record high of $1,160. The big leap positioned the company’s market cap less than 10% shy of Apple’s $2.95 trillion. This said, another $250 billion and Nvidia will become the second-biggest company in the world, trailing Microsoft ( MSFT ), valued at $3.2 trillion. That is, if Apple stays where it is now. The iPhone maker, on the other end of the spectrum, is having a rough year. The victim of a monopoly lawsuit , Apple is witnessing its shares linger around a 3% gain for the year, compared with Nvidia’s 130% rise. What’s more, spiraling iPhone sales in China added to the brewing troubles. Can Nvidia Sustain Its Bonkers Revenue Growth? Looking forward, Nvidia expects to rack up revenue of $28 billion for the current quarter . Recent quarterly performance shows that this type of guidance is not only being met, but it’s being comfortably exceeded. That’s what happens when you have big tech companies lining up to be your loyal customers. Nvidia is happily selling its hot hardware to the biggest and baddest out there — Microsoft (ticker: MSFT ), Google (ticker: GOOGL ), Tesla (ticker: TSLA ) and privately-held ChatGPT parent OpenAI are all scrambling to get their hands on the powerful chips made by Nvidia. These heavyweights usually pre-order the good stuff and sign contracts worth billions and billions of dollars, allowing Nvidia to predict how much revenue it will bring in over a quarter. Coming for That Margin Investors poured hundreds of billions into Nvidia as they sought to capture the AI train. What this has done to the industry is to propel a single company to the forefront while leaving a huge gap for the rest of the companies that a) have ample amounts of cash to invest, and b) are looking to get a piece of the AI action. Here’s Nvidia’s weak point: it boasts a huge profit margin. For the past quarter, Nvidia churned out a net income of $14.88 billion on its $26 billion revenue. That’s a clear invitation for other players in the ecosystem to swoop in and attack that profit margin. Rivals such as AMD (ticker: AMD ) could be looking to get involved in the battle for margin and launch a product that’s slightly better, slightly faster, and slightly cheaper than what Nvidia is making. The incentive is there — the question is when will a rival roll out a competitive product worthy of attention? Let’s Hear from You! What’s your take on Nvidia and the AI race? Do you own Nvidia shares or maybe AMD shares? Join the discussion below.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TradingView
21
Long ETH, Short BTC on Expected ETH ETF Approval SEC's unexpected nod for Ethereum Spot ETFs (“ETH ETFs”) through the approval of 19b-4 forms has ignited a fresh wave of excitement in crypto markets. This paper delves into the impact on ETH/BTC Ratio fuelled by this development. The ratio has been a laggard throughout the current bull run. ETHER ETF ADVANCES TOWARDS APPROVAL On 23rd May, the SEC unexpectedly approved the 19b-4 forms, permitting CBOE, Nasdaq, and NYSE to list ETH ETFs. This surprised participants who anticipated a rejection. Take note that this does not signify that spot ETH ETFs are approved for trading yet. The applications must still clear the next hurdle, which is the approval of the S-1 form. This process could potentially be drawn out over the next couple of months but there are encouraging signs. Last week, Blackrock updated its S-1 form for its iShares Ethereum Trust (ETHA), suggesting that the issuers and SEC were working towards fine-tuning the details. The Block reported that other issuers were told to send in their updated S-1 filings by Friday 31/May. Additional rounds of revisions are expected before a final decision. Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas opines that approval could come as soon as June. A key point of interest for ETH ETFs will be whether the ETH held in these instruments can be staked. Staking Ethereum generates 3.4% APR (Annual Percentage Rate) as of 3rd June. Staking is exposed to risk of losses through slashing. Yet, it makes Spot ETFs attractive to investors. ETH ETF WILL DRIVE SPOT DEMAND Like the spot Bitcoin ETFs, ETH ETFs will drive additional spot demand for the cryptocurrency. Since launch, Bitcoin ETFs have seen more than USD 13 billion of capital inflows . Spot ETFs represents new source of demand and in the month following its launch, inflows drove large price moves. ETH ETFs are unlikely to attract the same level of demand as Bitcoin ETFs. Inflows into ETH ETFs are expected to be a fraction of those into BTC ETFs, with ETH assets constituting about 10%-20% of BTC assets in various regions, according to comparisons of currently listed instruments. Source: Eric Balchunas on X Projecting this level of spot demand, ETH ETFs could witness inflows between USD 1.1 billion (10% of BTC inflows) to USD 2.2 billion (20% of BTC inflows) over the next three months. ETH HAS LAGGED IN THE CURRENT CRYPTO RALLY BTC has been the clear winner in the current crypto rally. BTC is the only large crypto to exceed its previous all-time-high until now. In terms of relative performance, other cryptocurrencies have displayed robust performance too. Other crypto-assets Solana, Dogecoin and Binance Coin have surged to outperform BTC over the last six months. ETH has been a noticeable laggard. ETH had been underperforming even BTC until 20th May. Following the rally after approval, ETH has just managed to catch up to BTC performance but still lags relative to smaller (and riskier) crypto assets SOL, DOGE, and BNB. To get a sense of relative performance, we can plot the ratios of these crypto assets with BTC. This chart makes ETH underperformance relative to BTC even clearer. This underperformance might suggest that investors have moved away from ETH. That risk when flipped could also present an opportunity for ETH to outperform BTC in the coming weeks. ETH/BTC ratio is a mean-reverting quantity and relative to the peaks seen during past cryptocurrency bull runs, the ratio is low. Notably, the ratio rallied sharply after BTC reached new all-time-high levels in the past. HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP Approval of ETH ETFs in the near term is likely to translate into spot buying, driving up prices. A hypothetical trade consisting of a long position in the ETH/BTC ratio will benefit as ETH outperforms BTC. Investors can execute a spread trade on the ETH/BTC ratio using CME Micro Bitcoin and CME Micro Ether futures. Each contract of Micro Bitcoin futures provide exposure to 0.1 Bitcoin and each contract of Micro Ether futures provide exposure to 0.1 Ether. Eighteen contracts of Micro Ether are required to balance notional value on both legs of the trade. • Entry: 0.0547 • Target: 0.0600 • Stop Loss: 0.0520 • Profit at Target: USD 655 • Loss at Stop: USD 336 • Reward/Risk: 1.95x Notably, this trade does not match notional exactly as the current BTC/ETH ratio is 18.28. Alternatively, CME offers Ether/Bitcoin Ratio (EBR) futures that enable investors to gain exposure to the ETH/BTC ratio through a single transaction and match notional exactly. Each contract of these futures corresponds to an exposure of USD 1,000,000 multiplied by the index value (approximately USD 54,810 at a ratio of 0.05481 as of May 31). These contracts enable investors to obtain relative value exposure on these closely correlated assets without taking a directional stance. The EBR contract is also substantially more margin efficient than individual futures on both legs (USD 6,800 vs USD 28,000 for the same notional value). However, investors should be aware that these newly introduced futures have poor liquidity compared to individual Ether and Bitcoin full-size and micro futures contracts. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
CME:MBT1!Short
by mintdotfinance
7
Macro Monday 49~Ireland – The Fastest Growing Economy in the EUMacro Monday 49 Ireland – The Fastest Growing Economy in the EU According to forecasts by the European Commission the European Union is set to grow by a humble 1.7% in 2024 however Ireland is the country which is forecasted to grow the most with an annual growth rate of 5% expected for 2024. In Q1 2024, Ireland recorded a 1.1% increase compared to the previous quarter, indicating significantly strong economic performance against its closest peers at 0.8% by the likes of Hungary, Latvia and Lithuania. For the 2023 year the top three European countries for GDP per capita (average economic value of the productivity of each person) were; 1. Luxembourg €143,304 2. Ireland €137,638 3. Switzerland €89,537 I might note briefly that the above figures change for REAL GDP which factors in inflation or changes in the price levels. It accounts for the impact of rising or falling prices on economic output. The real GDP figures for Luxembourg and Ireland are €76,176 and €67,149, respectively. The average real GDP for the EU is €31,740, placing Luxembourg 240% above the average and placing Ireland at 112% above the average, respectively. Real GDP figures highlight both countries as being well above the EU average. Irelands Largest Exports Ireland’s largest export in 2023 was pharmaceuticals, which accounted for 34.2% of the country’s total exports. The top export products included blood fractions including antisera, heterocyclic's and nucleic acids, medication mixes in dosage, hormones including miscellaneous steroids, and electro-medical equipment. These major exports represented 54.5% of Ireland’s overall export sales. The United States was the largest single goods export market for Ireland, accounting for a significant portion of the exports. The pharmaceutical sector, particularly, places Ireland among the world leaders for exporting blood fractions including antisera, and the country is also a major competitor in selling medical, surgical, or veterinary instruments on international markets. The Best Performing Stocks In Ireland The best performing stocks in Ireland for the year 2023 were led by Ryanair, with an impressive share price movement of 51%. Other top performers included Cairn Homes with 47%, Kingspan with 43%, Glenveagh Properties with 33%, and Glanbia with 31%. These companies showed significant growth and were among the most successful in the Irish market according to the data from Euronext Dublin based on the period from January to December 2023. For the past 12 months leading up to May 2024, the best performing Irish stock was Adventus Mining (ADVZF) with a total return of 35.90%, followed by AIB Group (AIBGY) and Bank of Ireland Group (BKRIF). These stocks have shown resilience and growth, reflecting positive investor sentiment and strong market performance. The Irish Stock Exchange - EURONEXT:ISEQ The Irish stock market is called Euronext Dublin, formerly known as the Irish Stock Exchange (ISE). It has been in existence since 1793 and is Ireland’s main stock exchange. As for the equivalent of the S&P 500 in Ireland, there isn’t a direct counterpart that matches the scale and scope of the S&P 500. However, the closest equivalent in terms of a benchmark index for the Irish market would be the ISEQ All Share Index which has between 20 and 25 Irish based stocks in the index. The ISEQ tracks the performance of all companies listed on Euronext Dublin, making it a broad-based indicator of the overall Irish stock market performance. Here are the weightings (expressed as percentages) of the top components in the ISEQ All-Share Index as of March 30, 2024: 1. Ryanair Holdings PLC: Consumer Discretionary sector - 23.96% 2.Kingspan Group PLC: Industrials sector - 15.58% 3.Kerry Group PLC: Consumer Staples sector - 13.81% 4.AIB Group PLC: Financials sector - 12.31% 5.Smurfit Kappa Group PLC: Industrials sector - 11.03% Let’s have a look at the ISEQ All Share Index Chart: With Irelands economy firmly in growth mode and with most economist anticipating it to be the fastest growing economy in the EU for 2024, we can assume we will have some wind at our backs in entering a trade on the ISEQ all share index (no guarantees). ◻️ The chart demonstrates a pattern whereby the months of August since 2021 have not been good months however are followed by the ISEQ making lows in October, thereafter rallying into longer term bull periods. A pattern we could potentially take advantage of going forward. A sort of “Halloween Effect” in the Irish Economy, a term used to describe how markets in general perform well during the Halloween period to Christmas. ◻️ The chart speculates at a similar pattern this year for an August retraction followed by October continuation. ◻️ Entries in during these months should guided by the 200 Day SMA (blue line on the chart). Ideally you would want to be above this line or wait until we get above it or bounce from it (at present we are above it so we await a bounce for entry). You could place stops just below this moving average also having entered the trade. With the Irish stock market index looking great and economists hailing a year of growth, lets pick out one individual stock we could take advantage of with an impressive looking chart set up. Glanbia Plc - GETTEX:GL9 Glanbia plc is an Irish global nutrition group with operations in 32 countries. It has a 2.2% allocation in the ISEQ All Share Index and is one of Ireland’s key players in the agri-food and nutrition industry. They handle dairy and grain processing, contributing to a €2 billion industry. You might recognize their popular brands like Avonmore, Kilmeaden, and GAIN Animal Nutrition. Glanbia Ireland plays a vital role in processing milk and creating various products for both local and global markets. Glanbia’s products are sold or distributed in over 130 countries. This company utilizes one of Irelands greatest products, milk from the cows that feed on the greenest pastures the world has to offer, and distributes this goodness around the globe. The unique product offering is matched by an impressive chart: ◻️ The chart has a long term cup and handle pattern and great Risk: Reward set up as illustrated. We are well above the 200 day moving average (blue line on the chart) and appear to be breaking higher. This was one of the better charts I could find in Irelands top 20 stocks that are in the ISEQ All Share, however, Ryan Air appears to be bouncing off a strong resistance level at present having broken to new highs and is worth a review. I will skip it for now. Pfizor is the Largest Pharma Company in Ireland Interestingly, Pfizer is the largest pharmaceutical company in Ireland. They have a significant presence in the country, with seven locations across four counties and employing more than 3,300 people. Pfizer was one of the first pharmaceutical companies to establish operations in Ireland, setting up in 1969. Their work in Ireland includes research and development (R&D), manufacturing, shared services, treasury, and commercial operations. Over the years, Pfizer has invested more than $7 billion in its Irish operations, demonstrating its commitment to the country’s pharmaceutical sector In 2022, Ireland was the world’s biggest exporter of vaccines, blood, antisera, toxins and cultures, with exports valued at $47.3 billion. This sector plays a significant role in Ireland’s economy, contributing to its position as a leading exporter in the pharmaceutical industry globally. I’m not covering the chart for Pfizer but I thought this was an interesting edge in the Irish marketplace. Whilst Pfizer operates in Ireland, I cannot find it included in the ISEQ All Shares Index therefore holds multinational status operating within the country but not as an Irish entity. An important Note on Irelands GDP Irelands GDP figures have been highly contested by economists and investigative journalists for a host of reasons some of which are outlined below. These arguments hold weight and should be considered whilst factoring in an assessment of Irelands Economy: 1. Measurement Issues: Ireland's GDP figures have been influenced by multinational corporations (MNCs) that use Ireland as a base for various financial activities, leading to concerns about the accuracy of these figures. The presence of MNCs can distort GDP calculations due to factors such as transfer pricing, intellectual property rights, and other financial engineering techniques. 2. Distortion from Corporate Re-domiciliation: The phenomenon of corporate re-domiciliation involves companies relocating their legal headquarters to Ireland without significant physical operations in the country. This can artificially inflate Ireland's GDP figures without necessarily reflecting real economic activity within its borders. 3. Lack of Convergence with Other Economic Indicators: There have been concerns that Ireland's reported GDP growth does not align with other indicators such as employment levels or wage growth, prompting skepticism about the accuracy of the reported figures. 4. Impact of Statistical Adjustments: The calculation methods used in determining GDP can lead to statistical adjustments that may not fully capture economic reality or provide an accurate representation of domestic production and income. 5. Potential Policy Implications: The contested nature of Ireland's GDP figures has implications for economic policy decisions based on this data, potentially leading to misinformed policy choices if the underlying economic reality is not adequately captured. Finally, it is clear that Irelands economy is in growth mode and could present some good opportunities for investment. Ireland is also of major importance to the EU as one of the only native English speaking nations remaining in the EU (since the UK exit - Brexit). One could expect Ireland to receive special consideration and attention from the EU for a host of reasons moving forward, good and bad. A small powerhouse country on the fringes of Europe that has a powerful economic punch to it, an educated and versatile workforce, and positionally is of geographical importance. This small island country has diversified itself as global leader in agriculture, pharma and manufacturing, and also acts as a host country for a range of tech giants. The future is bright for this little island nation however one wonders, would it be better off as a standalone economy outside the Euro Area, like Norway and Switzerland. For now it remains one of the 20 countries in the Euro Currency Area and of vital importance to the EU. One could describe Ireland as being at the helm of Eurozone's current trajectory, and with that, there is great risk and great promise. A nation in the balance. All these charts are available on my Tradingview Page and you can go to them at any stage over the next few years press play and you'll get the chart updated with the easy visual guide to see how Ireland's stock market has performed. I hope its helpful. PUKA
EURONEXT:ISEQLong
by PukaCharts
4
NVDA - Never regret taking profits !1) Everyone and their granny has heard of Nvdia by now. Lots of new retail traders are pulling into this name as the craze continues. My none-trader/investor friends have started asking if it's a good idea to "invest" now. That's a big red flag ! (My answer is no!) Remember, retail investors always come in last and hold the bags when the stock sells off. 2) Fundamentals have started to degrade across the board in the US markets and lots of names started to go lower. Small caps are incapable of making a new high and have made what seems to be a corrective move up since April. It's then a matter of time before the king follows. 3) Looking at the Elliott Wave count, we can clearly see that we're in a fifth wave, which for those that do not know, is the final move up before we see a considerable correction. RSI, MACD (or your fav oscillator) shows divergence which happens between wave 3 and 5. 4) On the smaller time frame, we can hope for a continuation higher, but, the upside is limited to probably less than +20% seen that we've finished (are finishing) the extended third of a third wave, which is the sharpest and longest. So, It's not a bad idea to start taking profits. I'll close 75% of my longs now. The rest on a drop below 1070$ or a move close to 1300$
NASDAQ:NVDA
by ElliottWaveBelgium
17
DOGE Ready for next expansion stage. Happy Monday traders! Today we are taking a look at the All Time History of DOGE coin. Before we look at eh price action of DOGE lets take a trip down memory lane and give you some history of this coin. Doge: Much Coin, Very History Doge, in internet meme culture, refers to a photo of a Shiba Inu dog with multicolored Comic Sans text captions representing the dog's thoughts. This meme became wildly popular in the early 2010s, inspiring. Yet, most have never looked up the true meaning of the word DOGE. Dogecoin (DOGE), launched in December 2013 by software engineers Billy Markus and Jackson Palmer. It was created as a lighthearted parody of the seriousness surrounding Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies at the time. They built Dogecoin using Litecoin's open-source code, which itself stemmed from Bitcoin. Dogecoin quickly gained a loyal following, especially on sites like Reddit, where it became a popular tipping currency for content creators. Despite its comedic origins, DOGE achieved surprising success. Here are some milestones: Instant popularity: Over a million visitors flocked to Dogecoin.com within the first month. Community focus: Dogecoin fosters a fun and inclusive online community, a stark contrast to some other cryptocurrencies. Elon Musk effect: Celebrity endorsements, particularly from Elon Musk, have caused the price of DOGE to fluctuate dramatically. Highs and lows: In 2021, DOGE reached a peak market capitalization of over $85 billion, but its value remains volatile. DOGE Definition: The chief magistrate in the former Italian republics of Venice and Genoa, known as the Doge (pronounced DOZH), held a complex and multifaceted role. Fun fact, Coins minted by the republic often featured the Doge's image or an abbreviation of their name. This served as a symbolic stamp of approval and helped ensure public trust in the currency. Today, Dogecoin remains a prominent cryptocurrency, though its price is significantly lower than its 2021 highs it may be repeating its historical gains very soon. Whether it's intention was to be a serious contender in the future or a lasting internet joke, DOGE's place in crypto history is secure. What do the charts say Looking at the all time history of this coin we can see that the price action has created two previous run ups producing over 21,000% gains between 2015 and 2017 and again reaching for the sky and touching over 50,000% gains during the 2020/2021 crypto bull market. Each cycle DOGE has nearly mimicked its prior cycles bear market, accumulation period and eventually, a mind melting bull run. As you can see on the chart we have completed the bear market and are currently breaking out of accumulation. My personal Targets for DOGE are $4.20, $10.10 and $12.00. If Doge did just half of the gains it did last run it would reach a total of over $12. With rumors shooting around the internet that Elon may add DOGE as the local currency for the X platform and this being a real possibility, I think it is counterproductive to think these type of gains are not in the cards. Much profits, Savvy
CRYPTO:DOGEUSDLong
by Crypto_Kinfolk
14
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsGold has delivered impressive gains of over 18% so far in 2024, and June looks promising for investors. With finite supply and fluctuating demand, gold prices are sensitive to economic and geopolitical news. This video dives deep into the current market dynamics and what to expect in the coming month. In June, geopolitical unrest could significantly impact gold prices. Any major news on this front may push gold prices higher. On Friday, gold retraced to our key level at the $2,325 zone, undoing gains made after the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) data for April. This report, showing cooling core price pressures (0.2% month-over-month, down from 0.3%), suggests a higher likelihood of the Fed cutting interest rates sooner. Lower interest rates are typically positive for gold, reducing the opportunity cost of holding this non-yielding asset. However, US interest-rate expectations are just one piece of the puzzle. Gold demand is also being driven by Asian buyers hedging against their depreciating currencies. Fund flows into Chinese gold ETFs are rising at the fastest pace since April, even amid surging US yields. This trend indicates that the US Dollar's strength may not be as negatively correlated with gold as it was in the past. In this video, we'll explore how to navigate these complex market dynamics as we prepare for an active trading month. Expect increased trading activity as fund managers and investors rebalance portfolios to meet allocation targets or adjust for market performance. XAUUSD Technical Overview: In this video, we take a detailed look at the XAUUSD chart, combining both technical and fundamental perspectives. Our attention is fixed on the critical $2,325 level for the upcoming week, historically significant and poised to steer trading dynamics. A sustained momentum above this mark could fuel further buying interest, potentially paving the way for fresh highs. Conversely, a bearish tilt below $2,325 might signal a resurgence of bearish sentiment. Join me as we break down these factors and explore potential trading opportunities in the gold market. Don't forget to like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell to stay updated with my latest analysis and insights. #GoldMarket #GoldInvestment #GeopoliticalImpact #InterestRates #AsianDemand #GoldETFs #MarketAnalysis #Investing #TradingTips📺🔔💼 Disclaimer Notice: Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
26
The Epic GameStop Saga: How Retail Traders Toppled Hedge FundsThe story of GameStop (GME) and Wall Street Bets is one for the history books. 🏆 This tale of David vs. Goliath saw everyday retail traders take on some of the most powerful hedge funds on Wall Street, and win—at least for a while. Let's dive into this rollercoaster of financial drama, where memes, emojis, and Reddit posts became weapons of choice. The Rise of the Retail Trader 💪 It all started on a subreddit called Wall Street Bets (WSB), where a group of retail traders noticed something peculiar about GameStop. Hedge funds like Melvin Capital were heavily shorting the stock, betting that its price would fall. But the WSB community saw an opportunity. By banding together, they could drive up the stock price, forcing the hedge funds to buy back shares at higher prices to cover their shorts—a process known as short covering. Short Covering Explained 🧠 For the uninitiated, short covering happens when traders who have shorted a stock (sold it hoping to buy it back at a lower price) must buy back shares as the price rises, to limit their losses. This buying pressure can further drive up the stock price, creating a feedback loop of rising prices and more buying. The Showdown 🥊 In January 2021, the WSB crowd launched their coordinated buying spree, and GameStop's stock price skyrocketed from around $20 to a peak of $483. Hedge funds were caught off guard. Melvin Capital, one of the primary short-sellers, faced massive losses. Enter Citadel, a large hedge fund, which stepped in to bail out Melvin Capital with a hefty cash infusion. But the damage was done. Retail traders had won a significant battle, showcasing their power to move markets. Fast Forward to Today ⏩ Fast forward to today, and the GameStop frenzy has simmered down, but the stock's legacy remains. Currently, the sentiment around GameStop is neutral. The put/call ratio, a measure of market sentiment, indicates that traders are neither overwhelmingly bullish nor bearish. They're getting out of the stock, which reflects a stabilizing interest. GameStop's price has recently dipped below a monthly supply zone of $40 per share, signaling a critical point in its trading activity. However, there's significant buying interest at around $10 per share. This suggests that if the stock drops to this level, we might see renewed buying activity. What’s Next? 📅 Looking ahead, GameStop's earnings report on June 11th will be crucial. Investors and traders alike will be watching closely to see how the company is performing financially. This report could either stabilize the stock or create new waves of volatility. The Legacy 🌟 The GameStop saga is more than just a story about stock prices. It's about the power of the collective, the impact of social media on financial markets, and the democratization of trading. Retail traders showed that they could band together and challenge the titans of Wall Street. And they did it with a sense of humor, using memes and emojis to rally the troops. So, what's the takeaway? Whether you're a retail trader or a hedge fund manager, the GameStop episode is a reminder that in the stock market, anything can happen. And sometimes, the little guys can win big. 🚀💥
NYSE:GME
by Mike_SnD
14
Solana (SOL): Will it Rebound Back to $170 or Slip Down to $150?With the resurgence of memecoin mania, Solana also received significant momentum. The bulls used all their strength to keep the value above $180 but the growing bearish strength caused a notable pullback. As a result, the SOL price is consolidating strongly within a narrow range of $163 to $172, indicating the possibility of a large move ahead. While the crypto markets have been outpowered by the bears, can the SOL price initiate a fresh upswing to nullify the selling pressure? Ever since the start of the rally in March, the SOL price has demonstrated its strength by marking highs above $200 a couple of times. However, a rejection followed, causing a 40% loss in value. Regardless of this, the current trade set-up suggests the bulls to be holding a tight grip over the rally and hence demonstrate a higher possibility of reclaiming $180 in the first few days of June. As suggested in the above chart, the SOL price continues its trade within a symmetrical triangle and is currently holding above the local support zone between $155 and $160. The tight accumulation has occurred due to the equal participation of the bulls and bears and hence this suggests a huge price action could be on the horizon. Besides, the technicals suggest a notable change in the trend as the Gaussian channel just turned green, indicating the beginning of an upswing. Moreover, the price is closely ranging just below the upper bands of the channel and if they manage to break above the levels, a fresh upswing may begin. Secondly, the stochastic RSI has also reached below the lower threshold and could be preparing for a rebound, substantiating the bullish claim. Therefore, Solana’s (SOL) price continues to remain within bullish influence and hence a bullish breakout above $175 may be expected at the beginning of the second half of 2024. WHITEBIT:SOLUSDT
Long
by paul_endeo
36
SPY Fibonacci Price Theory And BreakOut BarsThis instructional video teaches you the basics of Fibonacci Price Theory in conjunction with Breakout Bars and how price is the ultimate indicator. Throughout this video, I try to provide instruction on key elements related to the Fibonacci Price Theory (Unique & Standout Highs/Lows). Additionally, I've also included Breakout Bars and Fibonacci Price Retracement concepts. What I really hope you learn from this video is to see price as the true ultimate indicator for your trading decisions. Using technical analysis techniques is fine, but use price as the key element when trying to confirm or reject your trading ideas. I hope this helps you understand that price, action, and reaction through trends, peaks, and troughs are the most important components of the chart. Everything else is peripheral.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
3
New Product Launch: How to Use TradingView OptionsWe’ve rolled out our newest product and we’re eager to brag about it! It’s an options platform — TradingView Options. More precisely, it’s a powerful set of tools for options traders who want to keep a close eye on every little detail and fine-tune their strategy to perfection. What Are Options? Options are financial derivatives that give the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell the underlying asset at a set price within a set period. TradingView Options TradingView Options is designed to illuminate your options trading strategy from the first step to the last one. Get razor-sharp options strategies on gold futures ( COMEX-GC1! ), oil futures ( NYMEX-CL1! ), and many more. Let’s break it down and discuss what it's about. For starters, you’ve got three key components — Strategy Builder, Options Chain, and Volatility Analysis. 1. Strategy Builder Create, test and visualize options strategies with real-time data. Use pre-built strategies filtered by bullish, bearish, or neutral outlooks. Customize strategies with adjustable parameters like expiration dates and strike prices. Get estimates for max profit, max loss, win rate, and more. Compare multiple strategies on a single chart for performance analysis. 2. Options Chain Options chains are broken down into two sections — calls and puts. Strike price is displayed in the center column — it’s where the put or call can be exercised. Next to Strike is IV, %, which stands for Implied Volatility in percentages. Measure options risk with the Greeks: Delta, Gamma, Theta, Vega, and Rho. Easily switch underlying assets with a simple symbol search at the top left. 3. Volatility Analyze market volatility to understand potential price movements and risks. Market Coverage Currently, TradingView Options supports options contracts from major exchanges including CME and its subsidiaries NYMEX, COMEX, and CBOT, alongside NSE , and BSE . Conclusion The new options trading tools by TradingView empower traders with the data and analytical capabilities needed to whip up high-probability strategies and explore new opportunities for profit in global markets. Are you an options trader? What’s your trading style? Let us know in the comments!
NASDAQ:CMEEducation
by TradingView
37
Is Bitcoin a leading indicator of inflation?INDEX:BTCUSD Bitcoin is regarded (in some circles) as both a store of value and an inflation hedge. But what if Bitcoin is a leading indicator of inflation? In the chart shown, we can see the various Bitcoin peaks over the years preceding local peaks in US CPI (orange). The US interest rate is in blue. The last 4 peaks in US CPI YoY have occurred between 6.4 and 8.5 months after a peak in Bitcoin's price. Specifically: June 2016 high - 37 weeks (8.5 months) later at 2.7% December 2017 high - 28 weeks (6.4 months) later at 2.9% June 2019 high - 31 weeks (7.1 months later) at 2.5% November 2021 high - 33 weeks later (7.6 months later) at 9.1% It's also worth noting that the sequence of highs is the same; both BTC and CPI have a lower high, a higher high, lower high, then higher high. The peaks in 2011 and 2013 coincided with CPI highs 15 and 26 weeks later, but 2016/2017 was the time when crypto first entered the public's awareness. So why does this happen? Do Bitcoin whales buying lambos stimulate inflation? I'm joking, but I genuinely don't know, and I hope someone can explain lol. I've wondered if it's a case of correlation in that rising inflation is usually a sign of easy financial conditions—the ideal conditions for a risk asset like BTC to pump—with Bitcoin being the first to benefit as the ultimate risk asset (at least in the world of mainstream finance). I'm not sure though. The most concerning thing is the implication. We recently just made another all-time high in Bitcoin, but CPI sits at 3.4% at the time of writing, having moved sideways for almost a year now. As for whether this is a crazy coincidence, or me reaching to an astronomical degree, I don't know. The average period of time over these last 4 periods is 32 weeks, or around October/November time. The only catalysts I see are the US government spending money like it's going out of fashion and rising commodity prices. I'll also note that there doesn't seem to be any correlation with lows in inflation. Personal opinion on inflation: US inflation is stalling, rising, and falling across different measures. Producer prices, services inflation, annual PCE, and some core measures are tilting up. The only real decline recently has been core CPI. It's also interesting to note that 1 and 5-year Michigan inflation expectations are 3.3% and 3%, respectively. Multiple Fed officials have been hawkish lately: Fed's Barr: Q1 inflation was disappointing, it did not provide the confidence needed to ease monetary policy. Fed's Mester: Inflation risks are tilted to the upside. Fed's Bostic: It would not surprise me if it took longer to get to 2% inflation in the US than elsewhere. Given that we've reached a peak in interest rates (for the time being) but inflation has been moving sideways for around a year now, something has to change. It could be argued that monetary policy still needs time to work, but that doesn't really mesh with measures of inflation stalling or rising over the past year. Wouldn't the lag effect continue working to drive inflation lower? Likewise, why would the US economy be growing as fast as it is? One or more of three things will need to change: inflation, unemployment, or interest rates. Unemployment is at 3.9%, low by historical standards but rising since early 2022. Inflation, especially with what we've seen here, may also be on the rise soon. If the main lever the Fed has is monetary policy, it faces a dilemma. The data doesn't support a rate cut right now, while unemployment is rising slowly. If inflation begins to rise again, it may need to hike interest rates—not ideal when Joe desperately needs one for the upcoming election. This scenario of high inflation and high unemployment—stagflation—is what JPMorgan's CEO, Jamie Dimon, has been warning of : 'It’s a warning Dimon has issued before, previously saying he fears America is headed for a repeat of the 1970s when everything “felt great” and then quickly about-turned to a period of high unemployment and inflation paired with low demand, also known as “stagflation.” Appearing at AllianceBernstein’s Strategic Decisions conference on Wednesday, Dimon said he simply can’t see how the past five years of massive fiscal and monetary stimulus could result in anything other than this scenario. As it stands, the US dollar looks ready to surge higher and clear 2023 highs: While SPY and BTC, adjusted for inflation (CPI figure taken from first day of trading), sit below their 2021 highs: I am aware that the human tendency to look for patterns and confirmation bias may be clouding my judgement. However, in my view, the market is severely underestimating the risk of higher inflation and a potential interest rate hike, which I believe will drive the dollar higher throughout the rest of 2024. According to the Bitcoin chart, another wave of inflation could be back above 7%+. I personally find that hard to imagine, but second round effects in the 1970s saw inflation shoot past its previous peak. Deutsche Bank has drawn parallels with the 1970s . Long-term views: Long USD, Oil Short risk assets (equities, crypto) Unsure on gold and silver but skewed lower For these views to be truly validated, I would like to see: TVC:DXY above 105.75 NYMEX:CL1! above 84 AMEX:SPY below 494 NASDAQ:QQQ below 414 INDEX:BTCUSD below 56,500 This is not financial advice, nor a recommendation. I wrote this to bring attention to something strange I'd found, and strongly encourage you to do your own research. Thank you for reading.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by pasojov
23
Sell EURUSD Channel BreakoutThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0850, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0819 2nd Support – 1.0805 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.0885 This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
19
BITCOIN - A detailed Important scenario of what will happen!Anyone who puts 2025 as the end of the cycle is wrong, in my view In this analysis, I will list for you all the next steps, starting from now. - Altcoins and Bitcoin will rise to 85k, and it will happen from here until the end of June - the beginning of July.... This will coincide with TOTAL3 reaching 900B - 1T. -There will be a strong correction for the entire market, and Bitcoin will return to 72k and TOTAL3 will return to 700B - 730B. - In the period between August and October, Bitcoin will rise alone, and alternative currencies will begin to rise slightly - Trump wins the US elections, and remember what he said two days ago regarding cryptocurrencies, and this would bring great positivity to the market. At the end of 2024 or the beginning of 2025, Bitcoin will reach 125k - 150k, and that will be the peak of that cycle, and your greed will then reach the sky, but don't take your profits... When that happens, you will find those calling for 200k for Bitcoin, or posts tells 1M for BTC ! Then the following will happen: - Distribution of bitcoins to ALTS for two or three weeks with great ALTseason...Greed will reach its peak, and I will be attacked and anyone who tells " this is the peak, and you must take your profits and make them 100% cash". - Then there will be a complete collapse of the market and the American markets, and a decline that will continue for years, and this collapse will be less severe for Bitcoin, reaching areas between 50k - 45k, and most other currencies will disappear completely (90-99% decline). best regard Ceciliones🎯
Long
by ceciliones
157
WTI Oil H4 | Falling to pullback supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 79.94 which is a pullback support. Stop loss is at 79.00 which is a level that lies underneath the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 82.41 which is a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILLong
by FXCM
8
Market is on its Upper Band - Its 2nd Camel HumpAll the major markets are testing their upper band channels since their first major hump in the 90s. The Russell 2000 has reached its second hump and is on the way down. Though the Russell 2000 is the least known among the four indices, it serves as a leading indicator for the other three. Why? The Russell 2000 comprises 2000 mid-sized listed companies, which I believe employ the largest workforce in the United States. This means their employees are also the mass consumers who use or buy products and services listed on the Nasdaq, S&P, and Dow Jones. When the Russell 2000 is not doing well, mass consumers tend to spend less, and the rest of the indices subsequently follow. Micro E-mini Futures & Options Ticker: MYM Minimum fluctuation: Outright: 1.0 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
TVC:RUTShort
by konhow
10
Understanding Bearish and Bullish Bat Harmonic Patterns Understanding Bearish and Bullish Bat Harmonic Patterns: A Professional Guide for Traders In the dynamic world of trading, identifying potential reversal points is crucial for making informed decisions. Two powerful tools that professional traders often rely on are the Bearish and Bullish Bat Harmonic Patterns. These patterns, grounded in Fibonacci ratios, offer insights into market behavior and help in predicting price movements. This article delves into the intricacies of these patterns, providing a comprehensive guide for traders. __________________The Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern_________________________ The Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern is a reversal pattern that indicates a potential decline in price after an upward correction. Here's how to identify and interpret this pattern: X-A Leg: The initial move where the price falls from point X to point A. A-B Leg: The price then retraces upwards from point A to point B, typically reaching 38.2% to 50% of the X-A leg. B-C Leg: The price falls again from point B to point C, retracing 38.2% to 88.6% of the A-B leg. C-D Leg: The final leg sees the price rise from point C to point D. Point D is the critical point, expected at the 88.6% retracement level of the X-A leg and coinciding with the 161.8% extension of the B-C leg. Key Fibonacci Ratios: A-B: 38.2% to 50% retracement of X-A B-C: 38.2% to 88.6% retracement of A-B C-D: 88.6% retracement of X-A and 161.8% extension of B-C Trading Strategy: Traders should look for selling opportunities around point D, anticipating a downward move following the completion of the pattern. Entry, Stop-Loss (SL), and Take-Profit (TP) Criteria: Entry: Enter a short position at or near point D. Stop-Loss (SL): Place the stop-loss slightly above point X to account for any potential false breakouts. Take-Profit (TP): Set the first TP at the 61.8% retracement of the C-D leg and the second TP at the 100% retracement of the C-D leg. _________________________The Bullish Bat Harmonic Pattern_____________________ Conversely, the Bullish Bat Harmonic Pattern signals a potential rise in price after a downward correction. Here are the steps to identify and utilize this pattern: X-A Leg: The initial move where the price rises from point X to point A. A-B Leg: The price then retraces downwards from point A to point B, typically reaching 38.2% to 50% of the X-A leg. B-C Leg: The price rises again from point B to point C, retracing 38.2% to 88.6% of the A-B leg. C-D Leg: The final leg sees the price fall from point C to point D. Point D is the critical point, expected at the 88.6% retracement level of the X-A leg and coinciding with the 161.8% extension of the B-C leg. Key Fibonacci Ratios: A-B: 38.2% to 50% retracement of X-A B-C: 38.2% to 88.6% retracement of A-B C-D: 88.6% retracement of X-A and 161.8% extension of B-C Trading Strategy: Traders should look for buying opportunities around point D, anticipating an upward move following the completion of the pattern. Entry, Stop-Loss (SL), and Take-Profit (TP) Criteria: Entry: Enter a long position at or near point D. Stop-Loss (SL): Place the stop-loss slightly below point X to account for any potential false breakouts. Take-Profit (TP): Set the first TP at the 61.8% retracement of the C-D leg and the second TP at the 100% retracement of the C-D leg. ______________________Practical Application and Tips_______________________ To effectively utilize these patterns, traders should: Use Confirmation Indicators: Always combine harmonic patterns with other technical indicators, such as RSI or MACD, to confirm potential reversal points. Practice Patience: Wait for the pattern to fully develop and reach point D before taking action. Risk Management: Implement strict risk management strategies, including stop-loss orders, to protect against potential false signals. Conclusion: The Bearish and Bullish Bat Harmonic Patterns are powerful tools in a trader's arsenal, providing a structured approach to identifying potential market reversals. By understanding and applying these patterns, traders can enhance their decision-making process and improve their trading performance. Remember, like all technical analysis tools, these patterns are most effective when used in conjunction with other indicators and sound risk management practices. Happy trading!
BINANCE:ADAUSDEducation
by trading_jupiter
9