Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 31, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin gyrated in this week's trading between our major Mean Sup 67100 and the newly created Mean Res 69400. The upward movement target shows a continuous target of Bull Stage Squzee Rebound 73200, marked as Key Res 73200. The main obstacles are Mean Res 69400 and 71500, respectively. On the downside, we look at the established Mean Support at 65000 as a concrete target before a renewed upswing occurs.
Economy
DXY - Are You Ready?📈Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📉 DXY has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in red.
Currently, it is undergoing a correction phase, and approaching the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong demand zone highlighted in orange.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the orange demand and lower red trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #DXY is hovering around the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Buying Silver at 22$ based on H.Marks Cycle theory.Risk and Time are in opposite sides of a coin. Meaning what is unknown equals risk. Markets are forward pricing mechanism, meaning when something is known - usually was already priced in (bought with risk).
H.Marks theory was you should buy things in advance, when there was hypothetical most risk; in practice it would be the least risk (as shown in graph). As long as there were hedges and drivers? You cant measure future demand?
Here key words were economic gravity and inflation trend (unknown). Once we saw inflation in mid-January -> we could start placing bets on silver (22$).
//Highest profit comes from buying in advance (combining w/ 200dma cycle?). When something is "risk-free" or certain -> it has 50-50 chance of profit and loss in both directions?; when something is "small risk", certain has small returns.
//this works as long as there is 1:5 potential.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 24, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 reached our projected Outer Index Rally at 5342 and then quickly retraced as part of the primary reignited squeeze move path. It is unlikely that it will drop to the primary down target Mean Support at 5221. However, it may continue to advance towards the completed Outer Index Rally at 5342, the Inner Index Rally at 5408, and the next Outer Index Rally at 5450. The secondary reignited squeeze triggering points are at specified destination pinpoints.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 24, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar bounced off last week's established Mean Resistance level of 1.089 and reached our specified lower target of the Mean Support level of 1.082. The likelihood of revisiting the Mean Resistance level of 1.089 and reaching the Inner Currency Rally level of 1.091 is slim. On the downside, the currency is prone to hit the Mean Support level of 1.081 and target a well-established price level of 1.075.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 24, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has broken through our Mean Resistance at 66900, completed our Inner Coin Rally at 69800, and then pulled back to the trading zone. The target for an upward movement is now set at the newly established Mean Resistance at 71500 and the aged Key Resistance at 73200. On the downside, we are looking at the newly established Mean Support at 67100 and a possible extension to Mean Support at 65000.
BTC - Path of least resistance and maximum painI'm not a conspiracy nut but giving room for belief in conspiracy theories, let's say the entire crypto market is a "washing machine" for various fronts. It just doesn't have any practical utility right now, that makes the world a better and safer place. The possibilities are endless but let's just say it hasn't been leveraged for any noble cause, yet. Sakamoto Natoshi would be turning in his grave should he know what his noble invention was being used for, if indeed it was a noble act from the get go.
Bottomline, it has a shade to it's existence, and as such can only be construed to serve malicious intentions of governments, authorities and the rich.
So it is always bound to opt the path of least resistance and maximum pain, as far as common folk are concerned, i.e. acting against them.
Now stepping into reality, considering common folk, retail traders and institutions who are involved in this charade.
Common folk: I meet people constantly who have never heard of bitcoin, also people who learnt about it's existence just now in 2024!
A subset of this common folk with some grasp of how world economics work and an appetite for risk want a piece of the action.
Retail Traders: I'm not sure if the term "retail traders" also encompasses the so called "whales". I'm assuming not. So let's say everyone working with a portfolio value of 1BTC or less. From this category (at least the sensible and well educated) never expected what happened in the first 3 months of 2024.
But now that we are where we are, they also want a piece of the action(including myself), knowing very well they could be too late at the scene.
Institutions: All the hedge funds and their 60+ grandpa managers who do not understand technology are also now a part of this charade, in addition to various tech companies and their CEOs, playing we know it all.
"Apparently" the whole rally is attributed to the ETF inflows from said institutions. And somehow there is this sense of unshakable faith in the air, if these institutions are already invested, BTC is bound for the moon and it can never look back again. There are preposterous articles on how any price below 70k was a buy!
Everything mentioned so far isn't an established fact! Let's now turn to tangible facts we know, our dear charts! Hoping and praying to the good lord, that this data is also not fabricated.
The 12 month candle on the left is as big as it's ever gotten. We still have 7 months left to go until the candle closes. And looking at the volume, we are at 450k on this particular exchange, compared to an average of ~2 million on previous full candle.
Assuming half a million traffic per quarter, this volume does make a lot of sense but what it doesn't correlate to, is the ETF's inflows. If anything, it should be double or triple the average based on all the news about the kind of money that's been inflowing. Very skeptical!
If I were any sensible and should I consider myself in the position of a market maker, I see a lot of paths testing and breaking supports(the beaten path), rather than price discovery(the road not taken). Because,
-who dares to buy any further?!
-retail is already late to the party, don't want that portfolio eroding
-institutions are "supposedly" already invested, who are they going to sell it too? They should be idiots to buy it all over again all the way to 100k, coz if nobody wants to buy now, who's gonna buy at 100k?!
-halving has reduced the supply, there is less supply for the next 3 quarters than the previous 12 month candles and it makes sense to buy/sell lower again than at the 100k or 130k area
On the contrary, looking at the perspective of taking bitcoin away from the common folk's reach, it does make sense to drive the price into the 6 figures. But then again, if you take it away from the common folk's reach, how is the so called "evil system", that's basically designed to prey on simple minds, supposed to work?!
I know, I know, I'm rambling! The point is, I don't see this going to the moon any time soon! And I could be completely wrong about this and may have already fallen for the trap that's set for all of us! Time will only tell.
Heartfelt thanks to anyone who's managed to reached thus far, please leave a like if you did like the read or teach me a swear word in your mother tongue down in the comments, for wasting your time! Peace!
OIL - Getting Slippery?🩸Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📉 After breaking below the last major low marked in red at $84.5, OIL has been overall bearish , trading within the rising channel in blue.
📈 For the bulls to regain control, a break above the last major high marked in blue is needed.
📚 Meanwhile, OIL would be bearish and can still trade lower to test the $75 - $76.25 support zone.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 17, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis for the Week of May 10th, it was observed that the market successfully retested the Key Resistance at 5260 and the Outer Index Rally at 5280. It is suggested that the Outer Index Rally at 5342 will be reached after hitting the newly established Key Resistance at 5314, followed by a potential move to the primary down target Mean Support at 5221. Additionally, there is a possibility of further advancement towards the Inner Index Rally at 5408 and the next Outer Index Rally at 5460, with the secondary triggering points at destination points.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 17, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, the Eurodollar made a spectacular surge on the upside to our Inner Currency Rally 1.084 and a lot more. Current market conditions suggest that the Eurodollar may continue upward momentum to complete our Inner Currency Rally 1.091 via the newly created Mean Res 1.089. On the downside, the currency is prone to go down to Mean Sup 1.082 and possibly Mean Sup 1.076.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 17, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin surged in this week's trading session as projected. The coin slammed through Mean Res 64000 and rests comfortably at Mean Res 66900 as of this writing. An intermediate pullback is anticipated, expected to pave the way for a renewed Bull Stage movement, with targets set on the Inner Coin Rally 69800, Key Resistance 73200, and beyond.
SHILLER P/E RATIO ... Went Higher than 1929!Only Twice in 150 Years of US Equities
has the Shiller PE ratio gone higher than the 1929 TOP
2000 & 2022
The Shiller PE is useful as it smooths out the PE ratio over a 10 year average ...
very useful for forecasting.
The financial markets have been perverted & all know this.
The #FED can only print and save your Assets
after a financial crisis appears on the scene
and when #DEFLATION takes hold.
They're are actively rugging the markets
The FED always creates volatile markets the exact opposite of their mandate
As this is what their shareholder actually want.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 10, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The index reached our projected Mean Res 5200 and swiftly jumped higher to press on to our Key Res 5260 and anticipated outcome of Outer Index Rally 5280; this upside move will trigger a strong squeeze pullback to Mean Sup 5178 and 5108. However, Spooz could go down to hit the two Mean Support levels from its current position before going to the mentioned support targets.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 10, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, the Eurodollar fluctuated around our significant Mean resistance level of 1.080. There are projections that the currency may experience an upward surge and complete the Inner Currency Rally of 1.084 before undergoing a downward transition to the Mean Support level mark of 1.074 and possibly further down to designated targets. However, it is also possible that the Eurodollar might go down to hit the Mean Support level of 1.074 from its current position.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 10, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has consistently respected our Mean Res 64000 in this week's trading with the projected Intermediary Squeeze Retest target to Key Sup 58300 and completed Inner Coin Dip 57200, which is in progress. This is expected to lead to a renewed Bull Stage movement, targeting the Mean Res of 64000, 66900, and beyond once again.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 3, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The index reached our projected Mean Sup 5013 and swiftly jumped higher by suppressing our played-out interim Dead-Cat Rebound Mean Res 5110. Now, the index is moving to complete our Inner Index Rally 5175. This upside move will trigger a strong squeeze pullback to Mean Sup 5013.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 3, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar experienced significant volatility during this week's trading session, with an upward movement that surpassed our Mean Resistance level at 1.075. As a result, a new resistance mark has been established at 1.080. However, it is projected that the currency will experience a downward transition to the Mean Support level mark of 1.066. It will dip further to retest the previously completed Inner Currency Dip at 1.060. Furthermore, the currency is anticipated to continue its downward trajectory, reaching our next Inner Currency Dip level at 1.054.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 3, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has completed our Inner Coin Dip 57200 and rebounded strongly with renewed strength. Currently, the main barrier to further upside move is marked at 64000. It is expected to experience a pullback to retest a Key Sup 58300, which will lead to renewed a Bull Stage movement targeting the Mean Res of 64000, 66900, and beyond.
#Treasury Yields are they going to over 7% !!!Interest rate bull and bear markets can run for many years before they change direction.
Currently the yield curve is the lowest it has ever been and is still declining.
The long term charts above are strongly suggesting that the bear market in interest rates ended during the pandemic crash low in 2020 after 39 years of decline.
This will have major consequences if the #Economy is unable to whether a higher cost of capital
and Gives big money managers to park their money in a risk free asset and earn #yield
treasury notes are any #bond with a less than 2 year maturation.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 26, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The index reached our Mean Res 5057 and valiantly surpassed it, indicating further upside potential to the Inner Index Rally target marked at 5175. From that point on, turning downwards to Mean Sup 5013 is a strong possibility. A further down trajectory is marked as Outer Index Dip 4865.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 25, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar has reached a crucial point in its trajectory, having just encountered its Mean Resistance level of 1.072. This has triggered a sharp downward move, with the currency now seeking its vital Mean Support level at 1.062. This suggests a probable continuation of the downward trend, which traders and investors should take note of.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 25, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin's trading this week has been volatile, fluctuating around our Mean Resistance level of 65600. Our Key Support level of 61300 will likely soon be retested once again, which could serve as a launching pad for a new Bull Stage rally. The target for this rally would be the newly established Mean Resistance level of 66900 and beyond.
$JPINTR - Interest Rates MoMECONOMICS:JPINTR -0.1% November/2023
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintained its key short-term interest rate at -0.1% and that of 10-year bond yields at around 0% in a final meeting of the year by unanimous vote, as widely expected.
The central bank also left unchanged a loose upper band of 1.0% set for the long-term government bond yield.
The board said that it will patiently continue with monetary easing amid extremely high uncertainties at home and abroad.
It also mentioned that policymakers will respond to development in economic activity and prices as well as financial conditions.
By doing so, the BoJ aims to achieve a price stability target of 2% in a sustainable manner,
accompanied by wage increases. The committee reiterated that it will not hesitate to take extra easing measures if needed.
source: Bank of Japan