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Earningsanalysis

Netflix, What happened?Overview After poor revenue release and news of losing subscribers in large quantities, Netflix has posted two major losses in recent times. This brings the valuation of Netflix shares down a total of nearly 70% from November highs. The future At this rate, the stock has been poorly rated by many analysts and has strongly bearish momentum. The question now is whether or not Netflix will try to implement a new way of doing business or alter current operating methods to try and bring its value back. In the event that Netflix is able to find a viable solution to return to successful business, we may see golden opportunities to buy back into such a large company with huge potential. However, given the rise in popularity in other video streaming services, it's unlikely that Netflix will be able to continue on its success by solely providing video streaming services without a major change in operation.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by BrewerCapital_
Netflix Analysts forget microeconomics principles... Hysteria??Netflix Q2 2022 Earnings Report: ir.netflix.net Key Takeaways of Netflix Earning Report > Lowest P/E ration in 10 years of operating. > Revenue is UP 2.06% from last quarter. > Revenue is UP 9.8% from Q2 of 2021 > Operating Margin of 25.1% is UP 19.1% from the last 4 Quarter average. > Diluted EPS of $3.53 is UP 25.6% from the last 4 Quarter average. > Global subscriptions is 6.7% UP from Q1 2021 > Cash Flow is strong. > Netflix Content is still Great. Streaming market share for total US TV time has risen 0.4% in a 10 month period. That is factoring all the new cheaper competitors entering the Market. > Net Margin has Been growing at a constant and rapid pace. With the Financials briefly covered above, here are some of the key thoughts to keep in mind. Why are financial "Analysts/reporters" trumpeting on about the around 2 million lost subscribers? The answer is that they have not read the Financials. Their understanding of the streaming market is limited to subscriber count as the sole Variable to take into account. This is the unfortunate result of an incentive, to hold one reason or aspect as the sole driver of the streaming business. >> The microeconomic 101 principle should have made it clear that as Netflix prices are raised there will be less demand. >> What is more important is that the FINANCIAL inflows, more than make up for the lost 2 million subscribers. The demand is Inelastic and therefore the price rise, was the right decision from a shareholder & business perspective. >>> I will be DCA into this oversold discount, increasing my Netflix position in my portfolio. With the long term in mind, that Netflix is a main pillar in the continuously growing streaming sector<<< Not financial advice, just an investor/trader's opinion. Who is looking for the best reward to risk In this turbulent market. Check out my AMD analysis if you liked this Idea:
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by FortunaAlgoAnalytics
Wish Wyckoff showtimeResults were as expected and clearly belong to the previous management team.No no point for the current team to show any improvements. As stated by the newly appointed team the real turnaround results should be visible somewhere in Q2 2022, so for Q1, I expect a Wyckoff accumulation. Retail is so depressed and tired that eventually nobody will be left except me. Points looking forward 1. Cash on hand $1b, plenty of time for a turnaround, 0 debt. 2. New C-level executives must prove themselves+receive stock bonuses, so their serious effort is granted. 3. Logistics revenue up 45% YoY, when ad spending resumes this should rocket because shipping times will fall dramatically = happy customers 4. Bad merchants are cleared away, quality is improving slowly but steady = happy customers 5. New redesign in platform launching soon = happy customers 6. Institutional accumulating more and more 7. Everybody(retail) is getting tired and is at a loss of -50% or more, now it's time for a slow death. If markets go up then other stocks will fly and this one will keep accumulating making everyone nervous and anxious, so in the end, everybody will be gone. My targets for this year Q1 : $3-3.50 Q2 : $5-7.5 Q3 : $9-12 Q4: $15 My targets for 2023,2024,2025 1. $22 2. $32 3. $60 Stay safe and always have a plan.
WLong
by Philoslother
7
Strong SUPPORT at $20.00 area on $KNBETechnical analysis: $20 area has been strong support since Jul 2021. If it holds $20 area, it is nice chance to buy some shares of $KNBE. It has big potential to hold it. Fundamental analysis: Knowbe4 Inc Cl A (KNBE) reported 4th Quarter December 2021 earnings of $0.07 per share on revenue of $69.3 million. The consensus earnings estimate was $0.01 per share on revenue of $67.1 million. The company said it expects first quarter revenue of $72.0 million to $73.0 million and 2022 revenue of $328.0 million to $330.0 million. The current consensus revenue estimate is $69.15 million for the quarter ending March 31, 2022, and revenue of $308.65 million for the year ending December 31, 2022. Signal: BUY: $20.00 TP1: $22.25 TP2: $24.26 SL: $19.11 2:1 and 4:1 Risk/reard ratio
KLong
by Trading_with_Shakhboz
Post 10/28 Earnings Announcement Analysis Post 10/28 Earnings Announcements $XOM, $CVX, $PSX, $AON, $CL $XOM - Exxon Mobile Reported EPS of $2.96/share - beat estimates of $2.20/share Earnings of $6.8B vs.($296M) in Q3 FY20' Revenue of $44.7B vs $45.4B down (1.54%) YoY Operating CF of $12.1B FCF was a record-setting $6.7B Returned $3.7B to shareholders in dividends Reduced debt by $4B - bringing debt/capital ratio to ~25% Up 1.76% after hours $CVX - Chevron Reported EPS of $2.96/share Revenue of $44.71B up +80% YoY Returned $6.2B to shareholders in dividends Repurchased $625M of stock Reduced Debt by $5.6B FY21 Spending down 22% YoY Net Oil-Equivalent Production rose to 3.03M bbl/day - up 7% YoY Up 1.64% after hours - up 34% YTD $PSX - Phillips 66 Reported EPS of $0.74/share - beat estimates of $0.60/share - up 163% YoY Earnings of $712M Revenue of $27.89B Operating CF of $1.7B Returned $841M to shareholders in dividends and share repurchases Announced new $3B share repurchase program Up 2.75x% after hours $AON - Aon Reported EPS of $1.53/share - up 14% YoY Revenue of $2.7B - down 13% YoY Income of ($801M) down (282%) YoY FCF of $1.14B - (40%) YoY Down (%2.52%) after hours $CL - Colgate-Palmolive Reported EPS of $0.75/share - down (7.0%) YoY Net Income of $681M down (9.4%) YoY Sales of $$4.4B - up 6.5% YoY Operating Profit of $976M - down (4.12%) YoY Operating CF of $2.2B Up 0.35% after hours
SP:SPX
by jnallain1
Post 10/25 Q3 FY21' Earnings Analysis $FB, $KMB, $BRO, $LOGI, $LII $FB - Facebook - reported earnings of $3.22/share beating estimates of $3.19/share - revenue of $29.01B vs. $29.57B estimates up 35% (YoY), net income rose to $9.2B up 17% YoY Reported daily active users of 1.93B Company said it’s adding $50B to its stock buyback program - helping lift the shares ~2% in extended trading Expects Q4 revenue of $31.5 billion to $34 billion $KMB - Kimberly-Clark - reported earnings of $1.62/share missing estimates of $1.66/share - sales came in at $5,01B a 7% increase YoY - bottom line declined from $1.72/share YoY Profit reported of $745M down from $806M (7.6%) YoY thanks to a rise in costs of $480M. Increase in pulp & polymer-based materials, distribution, as well as energy costs led to a rise in input costs These were somewhat offset by organic sales growth, reduced marketing, research and general expense as well as cost savings of $115M & $35M from the FORCE (Focused On Reducing Costs Everywhere) program & the 2018 Global Restructuring Program Quarterly earnings were hurt by escalated inflation &supply chain disruptions leading to higher-than-anticipated increase in costs $BRO - Brown & Brown - quarterly earnings of $0.58/share beating estimates of $0.52/share an 11.54% earnings surprise - revenues of $770.3M vs $674M a 14.3% increase YoY Over the last four quarters - company has surpassed consensus EPS and Revenue estimates four times! Shares have added ~40.2% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 21% $LOGI - Logitech - reported earnings of $2.45/share beating estimates by a whopping 126.9% - bottom improved $0.84/share YoY - net sales of $1.67B surged 85% YoY - gross profit jumped more 2x to $754.2M an increase of 122.1% YoY Logitech’s Gaming segment sales soared 78% YoY $436.4M -Video Collaboration sales skyrocketed 218% YoY to $292.5M - Audio & Wearables segment sales jumped 87% YoY to $153M $LII - Lennox International - reported quarterly earnings of $3.40/share - missing estimates of $3.64/share an earnings surprise of (6.59%) - revenues of $1.06B missing estimates by 6.11% Over the last four quarters the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times The company has topped consensus revenue estimates three times over the last four quarters Lennox shares have added about 14% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 21%
SP:SPX
by jnallain1
SNAP: Post-Earnings Analysis!Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how SNAP is doing today! SNAP is dropping more than 25% the moment I write this analysis, and it seems nothing can save it. However, even in the most stressful moments, we can use technical analysis to understand the situation. Not by coincidence, SNAP dropped to the $ 57 area, which was a previous support on July this year. This is good, because SNAP didn’t drop to a random point, but the problem is that we don’t see any reaction. There’s not a single bullish structure around, and this is the first thing required in order for it to reverse. We don’t see any bullish chart pattern in the 1h chart, and it is too soon to talk about candlestick patterns in the daily chart. If we see a bullish reaction, it could be amazing, as the risk/reward ratio is looking good for those who are out of SNAP and want to buy it at the cheapest price possible. However, there’s no way we can buy without confirmation. As Livermore would say: “Don’t take action with a trade until the market, itself, confirms your opinion. Being a little late in a trade is insurance that your opinion is correct. In other words, don’t be an impatient trader.” As far as we know, it could drop all the way to $ 49.90 again, and that would be great. Nevertheless, as someone who’s out of SNAP, I see this as a possible buy. Do you think a drop of 25% is fair, or the market overreacted? Either way, I don’t think this is a sell. The risk/reward ratio makes no sense. If I were shorting it, I would probably buy it back today, and take advantage of this movement. Before you leave, remember to support this idea if you liked it, and follow me to keep in touch with my daily studies. Have a good weekend!
NYSE:SNAP
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
10
Post 10/21Q3 FY21' Earnings Analysis$AAL, $LUV, $BCS, $BX, $CMG, $INTC, $SAP, $SNAP, $T, $VLO $AAL - American Airlines - posted better-than-expected revenue numbers, although down (25%) from Q3 of 2019 - shares were up +1.3% at the ended of the day, with this being their smallest quarterly loss since the pandemic $BX - Blackstone - earnings nearly doubled YoY - reported an ATH of distributable earnings, success that’s largely driven by their focus on investing in high-growth areas of the economy $T - AT&T - fell slightly after posting big subscriber gains -investors questioning the impact of promotions on the company’s future growth $CMG - Chipotle Mexican Grill - reported better-than-expected EPS and revenue numbers - including a sales jump of 22% citing higher menu prices as a reason for the offset of rising costs $SNAP - Snapchat - Snap fell (22%) after Q3 revenue missed estimates - thanks to its advertising business being disrupted by Apple privacy changes introduced earlier this year
SP:SPX
by jnallain1
$CASA strongest Q4 with record wireless revenueIn the fourth quarter of 2020, Casa Systems' revenue rose 7% year over year to $120.5 million. Adjusted earnings increased from $0.15 to $0.27 per diluted share. Your average Wall Street analyst would have settled for earnings of roughly $0.11 per share on sales near $107.5 million. The company booked 26 purchase orders for 4G and 5G wireless systems in the fourth quarter, making wireless products the largest revenue generator in this period at 42% of total sales. That's a significant shift from the year-ago quarter, where cable broadband equipment accounted for a leading 48% of Casa's total sales. Wireless sales nearly doubled in fiscal year 2020, while fixed telco network sales posted even faster growth of 150%. The laggard in Casa's portfolio these days is the cable networking segment, which CEO Jerry Guo sees as a "steady and consistent" contributor rather than a growth driver. www.fool.com “We had one of our strongest quarters with record wireless revenue and a healthy backlog to support our top-line growth in 2021,” finance.yahoo.com
C
by AlenCiken
$JMP killer earnings $0.45 per shareJMP Group (NYSE:JMP) stock is soaring higher on Friday after releasing its earnings report for the fourth quarter of 2020 after-hours yesterday. The most recent earnings report has JMP Group bringing in earnings $0.45 per share of on revenue of $53.62 million. Both of these are strong increases over the company’s EPS and revenue of 1 cent and $23.82 million from the same time last year. Those positive results for the quarter are easily enough to explain why JPM stock is on the rise today. However, there’s more investors should note. It looks like the company is the target of investors looking to pump and dump it on the news. Talk on social media seems to back this idea up. As a trader you have to understand the power of a catalyst. $JMP had killer earnings. finance.yahoo.com
J
by AlenCiken
$VCRA provide outstanding Fourth Quarter 2020 Financial ResultsVocera Announces Fourth Quarter 2020 Financial Results $VCRA Today reported total revenue of $56.6 million for the fourth quarter of 2020, an increase of 14% compared to last year. GAAP net income of $0.1 million compared to a GAAP net loss of $(1.7) million last year Non-GAAP net income of $9.7 million compared to $4.9 million last year Adjusted EBITDA of $13.1 million compared to $6.9 million last year Full-year bookings were $233.3 million, up 17% year-over-year Deferred revenue and backlog combined of $173.9 million as of December 31, 2020, an increase of 28% over last year Earnings per share were up 86.67% over the past year to $0.28, which beat the estimate of $0.20. finance.yahoo.com finance.yahoo.com
V
by AlenCiken
2
Evening star pattern, up 25% just in February prior to earningsSHOP has been a beast for along time! It has runup 25% just in February, so be careful for earnings on Feb 17th. The past 3 days show a bearish evening star pattern (not 100% perfect). I calculated the implied move to be 6% or $90 dollars. Options - 1068 in $1500 weekly calls, over 1600 in $1200 weekly puts. If you know how to play iron condor, I think that is best earnings trade o capture premium. They beat last earnings and raised expectations , its going to be hard to repeat, imo. Have a great long wknd!
NYSE:SHOP
by hockeysniper
4
MA (MASTERCARD INCORPORATED) LONG SET UP (EARNINGS)TITLE/(DATE)- Buy LIMIT MA ASSET- MA PLATFORM- MT4 ORDER TYPE- Market first entry / Buy limit second Time Frame- 1D ENTRY PRICE 1- $314.50 (Market) ENTRY 2- $307.50 (Pending) STOP LOSS- $300.50 (140 PIPs) TAKE PROFIT 1- $328.50 (140 PIPS) TAKE PROFIT 2- $342.50 (280PIPS) TAKE PROFIT 3- $356.50 (420 PIPS) TAKE PROFIT 4- $370.50 (560 PIPS) STATUS: ACTIVE Aug-27-20 Initiated Mizuho Buy $400 Jul-21-20 Resumed Daiwa Securities Neutral $314 Jul-14-20 Initiated Goldman Buy $364
NYSE:MALong
by MavRich_Trading
1